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  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @RobD

    "Update - Labour lead at 5
    by YouGov in Politics
    Tue August 19, 2014 6 a.m. BST "

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/08/19/update-labour-lead-5/
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,030
    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,030
    Smarmeron said:

    @RobD

    "Update - Labour lead at 5
    by YouGov in Politics
    Tue August 19, 2014 6 a.m. BST "

    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/08/19/update-labour-lead-5/

    That was today poll (tweeted yesterday, I think), fieldwork on the 17th and 18th. We are waiting upon the details of tomorrows poll, which was tweeted tonight.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    GIN1138 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    36% is big for the Conservatives.

    Don't worry, it will be lower in the next poll.

    Nothing is happening, nothing will happen until late Autumn.
    What do you think will happen in late autumn, out of interest?

    I expect the shift towards the Conservatives will start then, and proceed gently as the election approaches. However, it may not be enough to avoid Labour Most Seats.

    My estimate of probabilities:

    Lab Maj: Very unlikely. It could happen, but only if there is some game-changing event, such as Ed M ditching Balls in favour of Darling (assuming Darling wants the job, which I rather doubt).

    Con Maj: 20%

    Con-led government (which includes Con Maj): 50%.
    Wouldn't it have been quicker to say "I think it's 50/50"?
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    RodCrosby said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Lord Rennard has suspension from Lib Dems lifted

    A Liberal Democrat spokesman said this brought the matter to a close.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-28858533

    Glad to see the LibDems finally took my advice.

    They didn't have a leg to stand on, legally...
    Their legal case might have been less than robust - but the politics of this are awful.
    Only if you value witch-hunts more than you value natural justice...
    On this one, it is the women who have been denied natural justice. And that reflects badly on the Lib Dem leadership.

    Coming on top of their inability to deal with David Ward, it shows how weak they are.
    Why do you insist on making a fool of yourself?

    'Natural justice' is a right of defendants in quasi-judicial proceedings. Rennard was the defendant...

    What reflects badly on the Libdem leadership (as I warned at the time) was them leaping head first to pre-judge and post-judge the outcome of the party's domestic tribunal, misconstruing the party's own rules, and contrary to the principles of natural justice.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
    True, but "bestrode a tiny region in Italy like a Colossus" doesn't scan quite so well...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,030
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
    True, but "bestrode a tiny region in Italy like a Colossus" doesn't scan quite so well...
    You can use this pretty nifty site to track their progress:

    http://geacron.com/home-en/
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    The Mail's take on Rennardgate:

    The Liberal Democrats were plunged into crisis last night after former party president Lord Rennard was cleared of bringing the party into disrepute despite claims he groped a series of female activists.

    In an extraordinary statement, officials said the Lib Dems had ‘decided not to proceed with the disciplinary process against him’.


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2729364/Lib-Dems-let-Rennard-Former-president-return-Lords-cleared-bringing-party-disrepute.html#ixzz3At2B7WIg
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
    True, but "bestrode a tiny region in Italy like a Colossus" doesn't scan quite so well...
    You can use this pretty nifty site to track their progress:

    http://geacron.com/home-en/
    If there were only more hours in the day!
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    The Mail's take on Rennardgate:

    The Liberal Democrats were plunged into crisis last night after former party president Lord Rennard was cleared of bringing the party into disrepute despite claims he groped a series of female activists.

    In an extraordinary statement, officials said the Lib Dems had ‘decided not to proceed with the disciplinary process against him’.


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2729364/Lib-Dems-let-Rennard-Former-president-return-Lords-cleared-bringing-party-disrepute.html#ixzz3At2B7WIg

    It must be exhausting to be a Mail journalist, being constantly shocked and outraged while finding everything extraordinary and unbelievable.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,030
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
    True, but "bestrode a tiny region in Italy like a Colossus" doesn't scan quite so well...
    You can use this pretty nifty site to track their progress:

    http://geacron.com/home-en/
    If there were only more hours in the day!
    Something for the weekend!
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    The Mail's take on Rennardgate:

    The Liberal Democrats were plunged into crisis last night after former party president Lord Rennard was cleared of bringing the party into disrepute despite claims he groped a series of female activists.

    In an extraordinary statement, officials said the Lib Dems had ‘decided not to proceed with the disciplinary process against him’.


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2729364/Lib-Dems-let-Rennard-Former-president-return-Lords-cleared-bringing-party-disrepute.html#ixzz3At2B7WIg

    They had no choice (as I predicted). They would have been found guilty of the greatest witch-hunt since Salem, if it had ever got to court...
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    RodCrosby said:

    The Mail's take on Rennardgate:

    The Liberal Democrats were plunged into crisis last night after former party president Lord Rennard was cleared of bringing the party into disrepute despite claims he groped a series of female activists.

    In an extraordinary statement, officials said the Lib Dems had ‘decided not to proceed with the disciplinary process against him’.


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2729364/Lib-Dems-let-Rennard-Former-president-return-Lords-cleared-bringing-party-disrepute.html#ixzz3At2B7WIg

    They had no choice (as I predicted). They would have been found guilty of the greatest witch-hunt since Salem, if it had ever got to court...
    Er....hardly:

    a senior barrister..... has recommended that we make changes to the current criminal burden of proof and these changes will now be taken forward.

    Nick Clegg

    http://www.itv.com/news/update/2014-08-19/clegg-its-clear-women-felt-let-down-by-the-lib-dems/

    They're changing the rules because everything went so well?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
    True, but "bestrode a tiny region in Italy like a Colossus" doesn't scan quite so well...
    You can use this pretty nifty site to track their progress:

    http://geacron.com/home-en/
    If there were only more hours in the day!
    Something for the weekend!
    What's a weekend?

    My time gets booked so quickly, it's crazy. I had a call today from the Canadians, for instance, trying to persuade me to spend 3 days in Prince Edward Island next June. But it's a Monday start, meaning I'd need to fly Sunday at best :(
  • JohnLoonyJohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    RodCrosby said:

    Lord Rennard has suspension from Lib Dems lifted

    A Liberal Democrat spokesman said this brought the matter to a close.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-28858533

    Glad to see the LibDems finally took my advice.

    They didn't have a leg to stand on, legally...
    I very much doubt that they took your advice. More likely is that they came to the same conclusions as you did, independently of your opinion, after several months of rubbing their one-and-a-half brain cells together.

    If they had taken any notice of your advice, they would have ended these ridiculous proceedings ages ago and lifted the suspension straight away.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,030
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Mr. Easterross, point of order: Byzantium can legitimately be considered Roman.

    Point of order, sir!

    There is no "legimately considered" qualification.

    The Roman Empire did not come to and end until 1453. For over 2,000 years they (including the Monarchy and the Republic) they bestrode the world like a Colossus.
    Well, it took them a few hundred years to properly get going. In 500 BC, it was a tiny region in Italy.
    True, but "bestrode a tiny region in Italy like a Colossus" doesn't scan quite so well...
    You can use this pretty nifty site to track their progress:

    http://geacron.com/home-en/
    If there were only more hours in the day!
    Something for the weekend!
    What's a weekend?

    My time gets booked so quickly, it's crazy. I had a call today from the Canadians, for instance, trying to persuade me to spend 3 days in Prince Edward Island next June. But it's a Monday start, meaning I'd need to fly Sunday at best :(
    Well, something for the airport while you are waiting to take off! ;-)
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    RodCrosby said:

    The Mail's take on Rennardgate:

    The Liberal Democrats were plunged into crisis last night after former party president Lord Rennard was cleared of bringing the party into disrepute despite claims he groped a series of female activists.

    In an extraordinary statement, officials said the Lib Dems had ‘decided not to proceed with the disciplinary process against him’.


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2729364/Lib-Dems-let-Rennard-Former-president-return-Lords-cleared-bringing-party-disrepute.html#ixzz3At2B7WIg

    They had no choice (as I predicted). They would have been found guilty of the greatest witch-hunt since Salem, if it had ever got to court...
    Er....hardly:

    a senior barrister..... has recommended that we make changes to the current criminal burden of proof and these changes will now be taken forward.

    Nick Clegg

    http://www.itv.com/news/update/2014-08-19/clegg-its-clear-women-felt-let-down-by-the-lib-dems/

    They're changing the rules because everything went so well?
    When in a hole stop digging...?

    They can only change the rules with a 2/3rds majority of the members present and voting, so it's not a given.

    Such a change, even if passed, would not retrospectively alter Rennard's position (obviously), not would it necessarily make it easier to pursue such cases in the future, since there was manifest confusion over Webster QC's comments.

    Carlile QC was correct in saying that Webster QC found that the allegations against Rennard did not even come up to the balance of probabilities standard. So a reduction is the standard of proof would not have materially altered Rennard's outcome, even if the case were to be heard again.

    [Worryingly, however, all the previous links to the LDs disiplinary rules are now dead links..!]
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited August 2014
    JohnLoony said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Lord Rennard has suspension from Lib Dems lifted

    A Liberal Democrat spokesman said this brought the matter to a close.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-28858533

    Glad to see the LibDems finally took my advice.

    They didn't have a leg to stand on, legally...
    I very much doubt that they took your advice. More likely is that they came to the same conclusions as you did, independently of your opinion, after several months of rubbing their one-and-a-half brain cells together.

    If they had taken any notice of your advice, they would have ended these ridiculous proceedings ages ago and lifted the suspension straight away.
    There were some quite lively discussions on LibDem Voice, where I was in a minority of one. Who knows?
  • In fairness to @RodCrosby, whom I have disagreed with on divers issues before, he has been manifestly right about the handling of the Rennard allegations, as several others pointed out at the time.
This discussion has been closed.