For the past two years or so the fortnightly Opinium survey for the Observer has been one that has had some of the highest shares for UKIP – even, at times, into the 20s. This has happened even though Opinium doesn’t prompt for the purples and has them categorised as “some other party”.
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And to think all those Kippers that criticised David for pointing out the polling trend that UKIP are falling back since the Euros, have a look at this poll
Many thanks to Neil for offering me 20/1 on the Greens outpolling the Lib Dems at the GE.
Edit: That's assuming a no vote in your part of the world.
If it is a yes, then the conference season is going to be a bit messy.
Labour's conference begins 2 days after the indy referendum, if it's a Yes, then the conference is going to be very weird.
In the last parliament, the last major polling shift didn't happen until January 2010.
Nicola Sturgeon says record haul of medals has imbued voters with confidence and momentum is with yes campaign
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/aug/02/games-will-put-scots-on-path-to-independence
I'll say nowt if you do too .... but the election isn't until next May ....
Increased the jsa benefits higher than inflation at the start of the parliament.
Appointed for the first Asian/Muslim cabinet minister.
I suspect Gay Marriage will be lauded as a totemic "liberal and socially concerned" policy on the same basis. Doesn't outweigh the bedroom tax or a whole load of other "nasty" policies directed at the unfortunate!
Compare and contrast with the last government that used BNP slogans and had an immigration minister who won an election by making the whites angry in a seat blighted by race riots.
If the LDs are to revive, then at most they must be involved in confidence and supply.
They need to be in opposition to regenerate. and faced by an imploding Tory party and a hapless Milliband government, have their best chance to do so.
I think that if the Tories had a majority in 2010, then the LDs would be doing very well at present, with both Cameron and Miliband trailing in a second Cleggasm. But history is full of might have beens..
It's amazing how flexible certain trite phrases can be.
Opinium have historically had the lowest scores for the Lib Dems so that's not news.
But them showing UKIP on the slide is news.
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-26081797
I suspect a continuation of the Coalition or a diminished UKIP threat with a Tory majority would be your best bet
I'll probably be proved wrong but it would seem absurd to have the same format as last time given the LD's pathetic EU election performance.
That's an inconvenient truth for some.
And their views on the EU!
He got out of the ambulance and walked into the hospital unaided.
The specially equipped Gulfstream has now started back to Liberia to get the second patient, who will also be coming to Emory.
CNN going with it big time as they are a) based in Atlanta, and b) their medical correspondent Sanjay Gupta is on the Emory faculty.
'They need to be in opposition to regenerate. and faced by an imploding Tory party and a hapless Milliband government, have their best chance to do so.'
Yes quite reasonable - but for what purpose?
What is the purpose of 40 libdem MPs? What can they achieve? Perhaps they should merge with Labour? Do they like Labour? Are they left wing?
Perhaps they should continue with the Tories? Do they like the Tories? Are they right wing?
What are they ? Why are they? What is the point of them to regenerate if they then fall apart the next time they have to make a choice about something?
Miliband's rating has fallen by four points to -24, with 24% approving and 48% disapproving.
Clegg is on -44% (16% vs 60%) and Nigel Farage is on -6% (32% vs 38%).
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/aug/02/observer-opinium-poll-labour-lead-narrows
The fact is that wings of parties (and whole parties) come and go. No party has a right to exist.
Survation/Mail On Sunday. New #indyref poll:
(vs July 11th)
Yes - 40% (-1)
No - 46% (nc)
Undec - 14% (+1)
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Scottish-Poll-Aug-3rd-MOS-Without-Demographics.pdf
The world has turned again, the LibDems seem stuck in a time that has passed; afraid to acknowledge where we now are because that would mean confronting their own internal contradictions. If the Party were a beloved family pet it would be on the way to a final visit to the vet, best not to prolong suffering.
Seems Miliband has attacked Cameron for failure of leadership and silence.
Emory Healthcare is a well respected provider of health care services in the metro Atlanta area, with several satellite facilities around.
Has Scotland’s organisation of and performance in the Commonwealth Games... made you:
More likely to vote 'Yes' 12%
'No' 7% No diff' - 82%
(Darling vs Salmond)
Who do you think is most likely to win this debate?
Darling - 11%
Salmond - 37%
Neither - 23%
DK - 29%
www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkNP2LJLdGc
Hey, hey, Mike Kay
how many Gazan kids did you kill today?
how many Gazan kids did you kill today?
I think we have had enough of that for one day. Nobody wants to see kids killed, we just vary in how to stop the slaughter, and whether the ability to stop it lies primarily with the Israelis or Hamas.
how many Gazan kids did you kill today?
I killed none. How many heads have you got in your cupboard and where do you hide your machete?
What she doesn't mention in her article is how many of the brilliant athletes representing Scotland, who have without doubt had a brilliant games, train in England, with English coaches and UK Lottery funding...
Err...
Might they have been Better Together even?
The problem is that if Ed was PM, he would probably be just as quiet. For a small country, Israel has a lot of influence in the UK and US, through the Jewish community. Israel can pretty much do what they want and they will get away with it. Could you imagine if it were over 300 Israeli children who had been killed by Palestinians.
Mike! What makes you think I'm a Muslim? I still have a foreskin, where did yours get to?
The fact is we're borrowing money to spend on charity.
Israel's true sin is this. They remind Westerners how the sausage is made. Nation-building is not nice, and people get killed along the way. Our killings are safely in the past.
Same goes for linking the state pension to earnings.
1. Why SNP will rule rue the day (18 Sep 2014).
2. Gaza vs Israel.
3. Why UKIP is doing better worse than the LibDems.
Hmm. Spoilt for choice.
Another Kipper defends the child-killer Netanyahu...
I suspect that Sunil has no heads in his cupboard, I think he is a Hindu. Historically Islamists have not been very keen on Hindus, treating them far worse than people of the book such as Christians and Jews.
I suspect that Sunils concern for the people of Gaza is non-religious compassion.
I suspect that Sunils concern for the people of Gaza is non-religious compassion.
Fox, I was "born" a Hindu (assuming a newborn has deep knowledge of Vedic teachings!), but I am an atheist with more than a passing interest in the neurochemical model of the evolution of human religiosity (Sean T probably has more, ah, "experience" of that I guess!).
(yes I know it's a golf acronym LOL)
Here is the "sausage being made".
http://tinyurl.com/o9va7eb
http://tinyurl.com/oapnon9
http://tinyurl.com/omdf2ge
Despicable, heartless, repulsive.
Shame. Shame. Shame.
SeanT. We all agree it's terrible.
Now tell us how Israel stops Hamas firing rockets at their civilians. How they stop an organisation determined to exterminate the Jews, and that doesn't want peace. Please tell us - we all await your amazing skills at solving this seemingly intractable problem.
Scotland is entitle to revel in the success of Scottish athletes, but to pretend that is relevant to the indyref debate (given the UK contribution to the Scots' success) is just asinine
I travelled the other way, born to an anti-clerical atheist, and now a Christian.
Neuro-chemistry may reveal some insights into religion, but only to the same degree that chemical analysis of paint can tell you about art.
Now tell us how Israel stops Hamas firing rockets at their civilians. How they stop an organisation determined to exterminate the Jews, and that doesn't want peace. Please tell us - we all await your amazing skills at solving this seemingly intractable problem.
Hamas have only killed a handful of Israeli civilians - thankfully I will add.
But your problem as a supporter of Likud's current policy is this: how many Palestinian civilians has Netanyahu killed?
@blairmcdougall: Nicola Sturgeon's claims in Observer tomorrow look a bit silly now. #indyref
@blairmcdougall: Panelbase & Survation are usually best polls for Salmond's campaign. That both now show movement to NO will only increase his panic #indyref
Presuming that is part of the problem. Are you a supporter of the terrorist group Hamas?
And when Hamas fires a rocket that scares, but kills no one, respond proportionately. i.e. Send a rocket which scares but kills no one. At the same time lift the non-military blockade. e.g. Stop the present policy of keeping Gaza on the "brink of collapse" through calorific restrictions etc
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/17/israel-gaza-blockade_n_1973015.html
You think firing a "scary" rocket at Gaza will stop Hamas and change their attitude.
Seriously?
Neuro-chemistry may reveal some insights into religion, but only to the same degree that chemical analysis of paint can tell you about art.
Clue: you need to enter an altered state of conciousness to really experience the supernatural.
Our ancestors came across various fungi and plants containing psycho-active compounds that triggered our first wave of religiosity, namely the cave paintings during the Ice Age (say 30,000 years back) found all over the world (eg. France, Oz and S. Africa).
Paintings that depict humans flying, being pierced with sharp devices and transforming into animals, as well as more abstract "entoptic" patterns that look like zigzags and stripes - ALL of which are experienced by those who, er, "sample" compounds like but not limited to DMT and psilocin.
Seriously?
You think killing hundreds of innocent Kids will help with the rocket thing and not create thousands of more people willing to fire them.
Seriously?
I believe that the majority of the British people want a stable growing economy, combined with a stable welfare state that can care for them if they are old or ill. I think that the Tories are sound on the finances, but will trash the welfare state, while Labour will be profligate and imperil the welfare state by crashing the economy.
I recognise that the LibDems will need to retrench and rebuild, but they have done so in the past. The LD polling in 1990 was worse than it is now. I think this is best done on the opposition benches, providing confidence and supply as required. Perhaps the electorate needs to see what the alternative of an unstable minority government is like, in order to see the wisdom of a coalition. The coalition will be far better viewed by the public in 5 years time than it is now.
But what is your solution for Israel? If (as you say) this won't work - what will?
Mark! I've already told UKIP's Mike Kay I'm not a Muslim upthread (check). Like most Brits (hopefully), I like to support the underdog.
Now do you really support the current "We Have To Destroy Gaza To Save It" policy? Really?
LABOUR MPs are demanding that Ed Balls be sacked as shadow chancellor to give their party a better chance of winning the next election.
Left-wingers have privately called for Ed Miliband to replace his economics spokesman with Andy Burnham, the shadow health secretary, because he looks more “human” than Balls.
Critics of Balls have taken to calling him Gromit in private, the canine sidekick to Wallace, the animated character whom the Labour leader has admitted that he resembles.
http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/news/article1442371.ece?CMP=OTH-gnws-standard-2014_08_02