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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The chances of a LAB majority have dropped by 10% since the

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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795
    Financier said:

    An EDM led Labour government would be soft on:

    Europe: just take what it imposes
    Immigration : let it flow and let all who come claim benefits even if their family is not in the UK.
    ECHR: Just follow its rulings.

    Can you point to where "tough" old Dave has halted any of those things?

    No? Nor can I.

    But the real point is this:

    Europe: We are members - we make the law
    Immigration: We're in Europe and Dave's pledge like his whole premiership was idiotic
    ECHR: We make the law

    They are not "the Other".
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Thanks, Mr. Llama.

    I think Austria would be worse than Italy. Austria's role in the game largely seems to be a warm up blooding before the real conflicts start.

    It looks that way but it depends on the players and the diplomacy. Austria is not intrinsically weaker than any other country and has as many strategic options at the opening. Uncle Monty in the first PB 2014 game played Austria to my Turkey and, if Andy Cooke had not stepped in as a substitute France, in the late game would probably have got a solo.

    Italy however has very few strategic options and consequently very little it can offer in early negotiations and it can never prosper if Turkey stays in the game - Turkey has to get sufficient forces to the West and Italy stands in the way. Italy is I think the one flaw in the balance of the game. One of Italy's major problems is that it starts with two armies and one fleet but there is little it can do with two armies (especially if Germany has a good player). If that were changed to two fleets and one army then Italy would become a much more viable country to play.

    If anyone is up for another game I'll set one up.

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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912
    Scott_P said:

    @grantshapps: #SameOldLabour – They just love more taxes... hitting families across the country in the pocket. http://t.co/DA1ellvcyi

    Whereas Tories just love cutting the top rate of tax and expanding food bank visits?
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Thanks, Mr. Llama.

    I think Austria would be worse than Italy. Austria's role in the game largely seems to be a warm up blooding before the real conflicts start.

    It looks that way but it depends on the players and the diplomacy. Austria is not intrinsically weaker than any other country and has as many strategic options at the opening. Uncle Monty in the first PB 2014 game played Austria to my Turkey and, if Andy Cooke had not stepped in as a substitute France, in the late game would probably have got a solo.

    Italy however has very few strategic options and consequently very little it can offer in early negotiations and it can never prosper if Turkey stays in the game - Turkey has to get sufficient forces to the West and Italy stands in the way. Italy is I think the one flaw in the balance of the game. One of Italy's major problems is that it starts with two armies and one fleet but there is little it can do with two armies (especially if Germany has a good player). If that were changed to two fleets and one army then Italy would become a much more viable country to play.

    If anyone is up for another game I'll set one up.

    I like the variation where get to choose the armies and fleets, and agree about Italy. Statistically it is the worst to play.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028

    Thanks, Mr. Llama.

    I think Austria would be worse than Italy. Austria's role in the game largely seems to be a warm up blooding before the real conflicts start.

    It looks that way but it depends on the players and the diplomacy. Austria is not intrinsically weaker than any other country and has as many strategic options at the opening. Uncle Monty in the first PB 2014 game played Austria to my Turkey and, if Andy Cooke had not stepped in as a substitute France, in the late game would probably have got a solo.

    Italy however has very few strategic options and consequently very little it can offer in early negotiations and it can never prosper if Turkey stays in the game - Turkey has to get sufficient forces to the West and Italy stands in the way. Italy is I think the one flaw in the balance of the game. One of Italy's major problems is that it starts with two armies and one fleet but there is little it can do with two armies (especially if Germany has a good player). If that were changed to two fleets and one army then Italy would become a much more viable country to play.

    If anyone is up for another game I'll set one up.

    One note on the setup - Can we have it so that when all moves are finalised the turn moves on :) ?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    edited August 2014


    I perhaps got a bit fancy dandy with Turkey this time, convoying to Spain before conquering Italy was quite amusing though :)
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    DavidL said:

    I think EICIPM will implement Leveson in full.

    No reason not to.

    I am sure he will. Curtailment of freedom is a signature card of Labour as is increasing the power of an over mighty state.

    And the way that hundreds of celebs with trouser and skirt incontinence hid and continue to hide behind one tragic little girl is disgusting. No doubt they will have all donated their damages to a suitable cause in her memory. Or not.
    Please list the freedoms which we lost during the years 1997-2010 and which have been restored by the Coalition.
    Shocked nobody has attempted to answer this.

    Surely must be easy for PB Tories to list the freedoms given back.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. Owls, food bank use has risen every single year since they first seem to have come about in the mid-2000s.

    In short, supply has always been exceeded by demand, and they began during the boom years under Blair. It's not a party political issue and we don't know what the ceiling is because it's never yet been reached.

    As for cutting the top rate of tax: it's better to have a marginally smaller slice of a larger pie than the reverse. Taxation is there to provide funds for the state, not as a weapon to punish people for having money.
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    DavidL said:

    I think EICIPM will implement Leveson in full.

    No reason not to.

    I am sure he will. Curtailment of freedom is a signature card of Labour as is increasing the power of an over mighty state.

    And the way that hundreds of celebs with trouser and skirt incontinence hid and continue to hide behind one tragic little girl is disgusting. No doubt they will have all donated their damages to a suitable cause in her memory. Or not.
    Please list the freedoms which we lost during the years 1997-2010 and which have been restored by the Coalition.
    Shocked nobody has attempted to answer this.

    Surely must be easy for PB Tories to list the freedoms given back.
    Stopping ID cards, everything else is insignificant after that.
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    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983


    As for cutting the top rate of tax: it's better to have a marginally smaller slice of a larger pie than the reverse.

    Doesnt that depend on what you would have done with the money instead? Given the high levels of borrowing I would have thought it would have been better to keep the 50p rate until the Chancellor achieved at least one of his fiscal targets.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. Eagles, that was a significantly good thing the Coalition did.

    Mr. Neil, if a lower rate provides more income then that's good for the deficit.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    Germany 3 way draw
    Russia Loss; 7 way draw
    Italy 4 way draw; Loss
    Turkey Solo win; Loss
    Italy - Loss
    France - Loss

    France 1900 - Annihilated, fast
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    Life_ina_market_townLife_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    edited August 2014
    BenM said:

    ECHR: We make the law

    They are not "the Other".

    An interesting if mistaken claim. The Strasbourg Court has the final say on the interpretation of the European Convention on Human Rights. Its judgments are binding on Her Majesty's Government in international law, and cannot be overturned, save by the Strasbourg Court. In no sense do '[w]e make the law'.
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    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983


    Mr. Neil, if a lower rate provides more income then that's good for the deficit.

    The point is that it was projected by the Chancellor's own OBR to provide less income.
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Mr. Foxinsox, I always feel a bit bad (well, both times) about immediately attacking Austria, but if you're playing as Russia it seems almost inevitable.

    Then in a later post you say difficult it was to attack Turkey as Russia. I think the lesson there is if as Russia you want to attack Turkey then don't start by attacking Austria, because that will just allow Turkey time and space to grown stronger.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912
    Mr Dancer again I think we will have to agree to disagree.

    I never really understand why working class Tories defend the super rich rights to keep more of their money and to pay lower marginal rates of tax than their cleaners and don't appear to care that more people than ever do not have sufficient food for their kids.

    What size of cake could we get if Letwin gets his way
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912
    Can we feed some of the super size cake created by Letwins proposal to the poor. I suspect for some on here that would still be classed as Socialism
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    Life_ina_market_townLife_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    edited August 2014

    Stopping ID cards, everything else is insignificant after that.

    The repeal of the Identity Cards Act 2006 was undoubtedly a good thing. It pales into insignificance, however, given the authoritarian measures passed by the last Labour government which remain on the statute book, some of which have been expanded by the coalition. Furthermore, the 2006 Act was not even fully in force when it was repealed by the Identity Documents Act 2010.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    DavidL said:

    I think EICIPM will implement Leveson in full.

    No reason not to.

    I am sure he will. Curtailment of freedom is a signature card of Labour as is increasing the power of an over mighty state.

    And the way that hundreds of celebs with trouser and skirt incontinence hid and continue to hide behind one tragic little girl is disgusting. No doubt they will have all donated their damages to a suitable cause in her memory. Or not.
    Please list the freedoms which we lost during the years 1997-2010 and which have been restored by the Coalition.
    Shocked nobody has attempted to answer this.

    Surely must be easy for PB Tories to list the freedoms given back.
    Stopping ID cards, everything else is insignificant after that.
    I don't remember needing one. Was my Cineworld Unlimited Card sufficient.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. Owls, well, personally I'd say I'm poor but middle class. I'm looking ahead to when I'm obscenely successful and wealthy ;)
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    edited August 2014
    What you really want as Turkey is a strong German-English resistance as you push through the juggernaught with Russia. Strong enough to cause considerable trouble for your Russian friend up north and make for slow, bogged down progress. A strong Germany is good news for Turkey.

    Unfortunately in our last game, Germany was completely AWOL.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    In not very surprising news, the ceasefire has ended and Israel's resuming operations:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-28603599
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Pulpstar said:

    Thanks, Mr. Llama.

    I think Austria would be worse than Italy. Austria's role in the game largely seems to be a warm up blooding before the real conflicts start.

    It looks that way but it depends on the players and the diplomacy. Austria is not intrinsically weaker than any other country and has as many strategic options at the opening. Uncle Monty in the first PB 2014 game played Austria to my Turkey and, if Andy Cooke had not stepped in as a substitute France, in the late game would probably have got a solo.

    Italy however has very few strategic options and consequently very little it can offer in early negotiations and it can never prosper if Turkey stays in the game - Turkey has to get sufficient forces to the West and Italy stands in the way. Italy is I think the one flaw in the balance of the game. One of Italy's major problems is that it starts with two armies and one fleet but there is little it can do with two armies (especially if Germany has a good player). If that were changed to two fleets and one army then Italy would become a much more viable country to play.

    If anyone is up for another game I'll set one up.

    One note on the setup - Can we have it so that when all moves are finalised the turn moves on :) ?
    I deliberately chose the fixed deadline option because I thought it would make NMRs less likely and give more time for, and thus encourage, diplomacy. My reasoning was, I think, sound. The effect less than I might have hoped. Point taken.

    @FoxInSox

    "I like the variation where get to choose the armies and fleets ..."

    I am not sure that variant is available on PlayDiplomacy.com. Even if it is I would hesitate because I think it could give too big an advantage to experienced players.
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    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    DavidL said:

    I think EICIPM will implement Leveson in full.

    No reason not to.

    I am sure he will. Curtailment of freedom is a signature card of Labour as is increasing the power of an over mighty state.

    And the way that hundreds of celebs with trouser and skirt incontinence hid and continue to hide behind one tragic little girl is disgusting. No doubt they will have all donated their damages to a suitable cause in her memory. Or not.
    Please list the freedoms which we lost during the years 1997-2010 and which have been restored by the Coalition.
    Shocked nobody has attempted to answer this.

    Surely must be easy for PB Tories to list the freedoms given back.
    Stopping ID cards, everything else is insignificant after that.
    I don't remember needing one. Was my Cineworld Unlimited Card sufficient.
    Thankfully the Labour government's determination to fine you for failing to tell them every time you change address was foiled.

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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    Mr. Owls, well, personally I'd say I'm poor but middle class. I'm looking ahead to when I'm obscenely successful and wealthy ;)

    I am retired class as you know but have never aspired to be obscenely wealthy in case i got infected with becoming right wing.

    I have heard its nastier than Ebola but the chances of me catching it are about the same. Unless I holiday in Tunisia of course
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949
    edited August 2014
    Is The Guardian starting to work with TNS because ICM isn't showing what they would like to happen?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

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    Happy Yorkshire Day everyone!

    It'll soon be a national holiday
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,698
    edited August 2014
    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    There's no requirement for you to

    1) have a passport

    2) have it on your person at all times
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    GIN1138 said:

    Is The Guardian starting to work with TNS because ICM isn't showing what they would like to happen?

    No, they are just reporting a poll.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912
    GIN1138 said:

    Is The Guardian starting to work with TNS because ICM isn't showing what they would like to happen?

    Thought the Guardian supported the LDs

    Certainly as critical of Ed lately as DH
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    2) have it on your person at all times
    Bloody Hell - Was that really in the legislation ?!
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Pulpstar said:

    What you really want as Turkey is a strong German-English resistance as you push through the juggernaught with Russia. Strong enough to cause considerable trouble for your Russian friend up north and make for slow, bogged down progress. A strong Germany is good news for Turkey.

    Unfortunately in our last game, Germany was completely AWOL.

    Mr. Star, Germany AWOL, not from my perspective he wasn't. At the crucial juncture, which was early in the game, he was aiding and abetting Russia, actually working in cooperation (how he thought he would benefit from that God only knows).

    The Juggernaut has to be met early by a united response, when Germany and Italy actually join it the result is inevitable.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. Owls, infected? You bounder, you cad, you rogue and rapscallion!

    Mr. Pulpstar, the ID card would be mandatory, it would have a very secure (ahem) massive database full of personal information, and it would allow the police to ask wo sind deine Papieren, bitte?
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    Interesting Paddy Power market

    WILL CONSERVATIVES APPLY ALL-WOMEN SHORTLISTS FOR A GENERAL ELECTION BY THE END OF 2022?

    Yes 7/4

    No 2/5

    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/uk-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=1835901
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    Happy Yorkshire Day everyone!

    It'll soon be a national holiday

    Celebrating with a pudding in next hour.

    I can make a mean YP even from Derbyshire whereas my only attempt to make a Bakewell Pudding ended in disaster.

    Still ate it though!!
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    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    2) have it on your person at all times
    Bloody Hell - Was that really in the legislation ?!
    Not quite but eventually.

    There were plans for fines of 1k for not immediately informing of any changes or losing your card.
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    There's no requirement for you to

    1) have a passport

    2) have it on your person at all times

    Neither of those requirements were imposed by the Act of 2006.
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    There's no requirement for you to

    1) have a passport

    2) have it on your person at all times

    Neither of those requirements were imposed by the Act of 2006.
    Point 1 was you don't have to have a passport, with an ID card it would have eventually become mandatory

    Point 2, that's what would have happened.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited August 2014
    Guardian - 18% of MPs should be from ethnic minority to reflect UK population.

    I think they've got their figures wrong. The 2011 census showed the population was 87% white.

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/datablog/2014/jul/31/parliament-failing-represent-uk-diversity
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    AndyJS said:

    Guardian - 18% of MPs should be from ethnic minority to reflect UK population.

    I think they've got their figures wrong. The 2011 census showed the population was 87% white.

    Do the Irish, Poles etc count as white or ethnic?

    We know the Duke of Wellington's reputed view on the former...
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,252

    DavidL said:

    I think EICIPM will implement Leveson in full.

    No reason not to.

    I am sure he will. Curtailment of freedom is a signature card of Labour as is increasing the power of an over mighty state.

    And the way that hundreds of celebs with trouser and skirt incontinence hid and continue to hide behind one tragic little girl is disgusting. No doubt they will have all donated their damages to a suitable cause in her memory. Or not.
    Please list the freedoms which we lost during the years 1997-2010 and which have been restored by the Coalition.
    Shocked nobody has attempted to answer this.

    Surely must be easy for PB Tories to list the freedoms given back.
    ID cards. Labour's authoritarian instincts remain and nothing that EdM has said or done persuades me that he wouldn't be as authoritarian as New Labour turned out to be.

    I also think they would seek to curtail freedom of speech by implementing Leveson and the loss will be ours.

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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    2) have it on your person at all times
    Bloody Hell - Was that really in the legislation ?!
    Not quite but eventually.

    There were plans for fines of 1k for not immediately informing of any changes or losing your card.
    Sounds like a seriously bad idea I lose my Cineworld card everytime i attend. Usually find it under me large Nachos !!
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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    2) have it on your person at all times
    Bloody Hell - Was that really in the legislation ?!
    No, I don't remember it was. However, once universally introduced that would have been the effect. Want to by an age related product? ID card please. Stopped by the plod? ID card please, no ID card well off to chokey you go while we establish who you are. I am sure you can think of many more examples for your self. The ID cards scheme was a foul and fundamentally unEnglish imposition. I expect it to be re-introduced in the next ten years because it answers so many bureaucrats' problems.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    Guardian - 18% of MPs should be from ethnic minority to reflect UK population.

    I think they've got their figures wrong. The 2011 census showed the population was 87% white.

    Do the Irish, Poles etc count as white or ethnic?

    We know the Duke of Wellington's reputed view on the former...
    There are plenty of MPs with Eastern European heritage, such as the MPs for Rochdale and Shrewsbury.
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    Happy Yorkshire Day everyone!

    It'll soon be a national holiday

    Celebrating with a pudding in next hour.

    I can make a mean YP even from Derbyshire whereas my only attempt to make a Bakewell Pudding ended in disaster.

    Still ate it though!!
    I shall be spending Yorkshire day, at Old Trafford, using my Lancashire membership to watch Lancs take on Glamorgan in the t20 quarter final.
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    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Guardian - 18% of MPs should be from ethnic minority to reflect UK population.

    I think they've got their figures wrong. The 2011 census showed the population was 87% white.

    Do the Irish, Poles etc count as white or ethnic?

    We know the Duke of Wellington's reputed view on the former...
    There are plenty of MPs with Eastern European heritage, such as the MPs for Rochdale and Shrewsbury.
    And indeed Denis Macshane, comin' over 'ere, etc....
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028

    Interesting Paddy Power market

    WILL CONSERVATIVES APPLY ALL-WOMEN SHORTLISTS FOR A GENERAL ELECTION BY THE END OF 2022?

    Yes 7/4

    No 2/5

    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/uk-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=1835901

    That is a 4.9% yield if "No", and a 15.5% yield for "Yes". 8% over-round on a 7 year market - you'd have to be a mug to back either side.

    Paddy should be something like 9-4 and 4-6 on this market given the time-frame.
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    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    That too, I mean lets trust the government with a big database with all our personal details on them

    Personal data on every child in the country and national insurance numbers and bank account details of parents and carers claiming child benefit have gone missing after the government sent two password-protected CDs through the post.

    http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240084015/UK-government-loses-data-on-25-million-Britons

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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533

    Mr. Foxinsox, I always feel a bit bad (well, both times) about immediately attacking Austria, but if you're playing as Russia it seems almost inevitable.

    Then in a later post you say difficult it was to attack Turkey as Russia. I think the lesson there is if as Russia you want to attack Turkey then don't start by attacking Austria, because that will just allow Turkey time and space to grown stronger.
    Sorry to butt in but how does it work? Do you get to make your countries strong or do you have them as they are/were. eg. for Turkey would you be in charge of the Ottoman Third Army, amongst others, and somehow have to make it less insanely incompetent?
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    Mr. Barber, without the database the ID card is useless. With the database it could be an instrument of state oppression and surveillance greater then anything seen in history. That is why it had to go.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    Happy Yorkshire Day everyone!

    It'll soon be a national holiday

    Celebrating with a pudding in next hour.

    I can make a mean YP even from Derbyshire whereas my only attempt to make a Bakewell Pudding ended in disaster.

    Still ate it though!!
    I shall be spending Yorkshire day, at Old Trafford, using my Lancashire membership to watch Lancs take on Glamorgan in the t20 quarter final.
    Really Lancs Season Ticket you are full of surprises TSE.

    What attracted you the Red Rose I presume?
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,912

    Happy Yorkshire Day everyone!

    It'll soon be a national holiday

    Celebrating with a pudding in next hour.

    I can make a mean YP even from Derbyshire whereas my only attempt to make a Bakewell Pudding ended in disaster.

    Still ate it though!!
    I shall be spending Yorkshire day, at Old Trafford, using my Lancashire membership to watch Lancs take on Glamorgan in the t20 quarter final.
    Really Lancs Season Ticket you are full of surprises TSE.

    What attracted you the Red Rose I presume?
    Says me who supports a side playing in Blue
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    Happy Yorkshire Day everyone!

    It'll soon be a national holiday

    Celebrating with a pudding in next hour.

    I can make a mean YP even from Derbyshire whereas my only attempt to make a Bakewell Pudding ended in disaster.

    Still ate it though!!
    I shall be spending Yorkshire day, at Old Trafford, using my Lancashire membership to watch Lancs take on Glamorgan in the t20 quarter final.
    Really Lancs Season Ticket you are full of surprises TSE.

    What attracted you the Red Rose I presume?
    I live and work in Manchester. Well mostly work there now.

    Was a way of getting priority tickets to the tests.

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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    Mr. Barber, without the database the ID card is useless. With the database it could be an instrument of state oppression and surveillance greater then anything seen in history. That is why it had to go.
    Not useless... Plenty of uses for a government approved ID card, from a personal POV that is... Just not the same uses that the State would want.
    Agree about the DB though
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    It is often forgotten that compulsory identity cards were introduced under the National Registration Act 1939, which continued to have effect after the end of the Second World War. Unlike the 2006 Act, subsection (4) of section 6 of the 1939 Act provided that:
    A constable in uniform, or any person authorised for the purpose under the said regulations, may require a person who under the regulations is for the time being responsible for the custody of an identity card, to produce the card to him or, if the person so required fails to produce it when the requirement is made, to produce it within such time, to such person and at such place as may be prescribed.
    The 2006 Act was a regrettable measure, but its authoritarian character should not be exaggerated.
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    MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523

    Mr Dancer again I think we will have to agree to disagree.

    I never really understand why working class Tories defend the super rich rights to keep more of their money and to pay lower marginal rates of tax than their cleaners and don't appear to care that more people than ever do not have sufficient food for their kids.

    What size of cake could we get if Letwin gets his way

    Labour represent the public sector rich exemplified by the BBC. Tories represent the private sector rich.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    I think the ID card scheme would have been fine actually, provided the Gov't only used it say when national security, or potential terrorism is at hand.

    I say this because Gov't and Police never abuse anti-terrorism laws. Since they understand that powers so important should be rarely and critically used.
  • Options

    It is often forgotten that compulsory identity cards were introduced under the National Registration Act 1939, which continued to have effect after the end of the Second World War. Unlike the 2006 Act, subsection (4) of section 6 of the 1939 Act provided that:

    A constable in uniform, or any person authorised for the purpose under the said regulations, may require a person who under the regulations is for the time being responsible for the custody of an identity card, to produce the card to him or, if the person so required fails to produce it when the requirement is made, to produce it within such time, to such person and at such place as may be prescribed.
    The 2006 Act was a regrettable measure, but its authoritarian character should not be exaggerated.

    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028

    It is often forgotten that compulsory identity cards were introduced under the National Registration Act 1939, which continued to have effect after the end of the Second World War. Unlike the 2006 Act, subsection (4) of section 6 of the 1939 Act provided that:

    A constable in uniform, or any person authorised for the purpose under the said regulations, may require a person who under the regulations is for the time being responsible for the custody of an identity card, to produce the card to him or, if the person so required fails to produce it when the requirement is made, to produce it within such time, to such person and at such place as may be prescribed.
    The 2006 Act was a regrettable measure, but its authoritarian character should not be exaggerated.
    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.



    We are fighting a war right now, Mr TSE - the war on Terror.

    Are you with us, or against us ?
  • Options

    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.

    True, but it remained in force long after the Axis powers were defeated.
  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    It is often forgotten that compulsory identity cards were introduced under the National Registration Act 1939, which continued to have effect after the end of the Second World War. Unlike the 2006 Act, subsection (4) of section 6 of the 1939 Act provided that:

    A constable in uniform, or any person authorised for the purpose under the said regulations, may require a person who under the regulations is for the time being responsible for the custody of an identity card, to produce the card to him or, if the person so required fails to produce it when the requirement is made, to produce it within such time, to such person and at such place as may be prescribed.
    The 2006 Act was a regrettable measure, but its authoritarian character should not be exaggerated.
    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.

    We are fighting a war right now, Mr TSE - the war on Terror.

    Are you with us, or against us ?

    Both.

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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949
    Populus keeping is waiting today...

    #crossoverfriday
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    TOPPING said:

    Mr. Foxinsox, I always feel a bit bad (well, both times) about immediately attacking Austria, but if you're playing as Russia it seems almost inevitable.

    Then in a later post you say difficult it was to attack Turkey as Russia. I think the lesson there is if as Russia you want to attack Turkey then don't start by attacking Austria, because that will just allow Turkey time and space to grown stronger.
    Sorry to butt in but how does it work? Do you get to make your countries strong or do you have them as they are/were. eg. for Turkey would you be in charge of the Ottoman Third Army, amongst others, and somehow have to make it less insanely incompetent?
    Mr. Topping, the game is really very simple. An army is and army with equal combat value no matter who it belongs to. The Map is a stylised version of Europe in 1900. The rules take about half an hour to learn, you can find them here:

    http://www.playdiplomacy.com/help.php

    The key to the game is its essential paradox. There are seven players each wants to win. However, the structure of the game is that it is impossible to win on your own, you need the help of other players. Why should other players help you to win when they want to win themselves?

    Enter diplomacy, the communication between players to persuade, bribe, blackmail, whatever, to get them to do what you want. There are no rules and no restrictions in this part of the game. Normally these days the communication is done by email, but it doesn't have to be. Face to face meetings are quite common (and I have a had a few in some unlikely places), letters, fax, telephone calls can all be and are used. Impersonation and forgery are not unknown either. Generally speaking the more communication that is going on the higher quality the game.

    Hope that helps.
  • Options
    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Mr Dancer again I think we will have to agree to disagree.

    I never really understand why working class Tories defend the super rich rights to keep more of their money and to pay lower marginal rates of tax than their cleaners and don't appear to care that more people than ever do not have sufficient food for their kids.

    What size of cake could we get if Letwin gets his way

    I've never understood inverted snobbery.
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,883
    Narrow Friday Populus yet again...
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    @PopulusPolls: Today’s Populus Voting Intention: Lab 36 (-1), Con 35 (+2), LD 8 (-1), UKIP 13 (+1) Oth 8 (-1). Tables to follow
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    @TSE

    I agree that stopping ID cards was very important, but I hardly see how the government accessing the communications between husband and wives as being "insignificant". In many ways, being able to observe our written thoughts to love ones and our private web browsing is a far greater infringement on our privacy.
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Bloomberg has an interesting chart on falling wages in Spain, Portugal:

    http://www.bloomberg.com/infographics/2014-07-31/falling-euro-wages.html

    No wonder so many of them are heading to the UK. The EU is broken.
  • Options
    Sleazy broken etc.

    But that Friday boost for the Tories still is happening.
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    Pulpstar said:

    It is often forgotten that compulsory identity cards were introduced under the National Registration Act 1939, which continued to have effect after the end of the Second World War. Unlike the 2006 Act, subsection (4) of section 6 of the 1939 Act provided that:

    A constable in uniform, or any person authorised for the purpose under the said regulations, may require a person who under the regulations is for the time being responsible for the custody of an identity card, to produce the card to him or, if the person so required fails to produce it when the requirement is made, to produce it within such time, to such person and at such place as may be prescribed.
    The 2006 Act was a regrettable measure, but its authoritarian character should not be exaggerated.
    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.

    We are fighting a war right now, Mr TSE - the war on Terror.

    Are you with us, or against us ?

    I think the people of the world are generally fighting a war against their own governments for proper freedom. The state is not your friend and every sensible person's default setting should be towards limiting the powers of the state to interfere in and regulate their lives. Unfortunately this is a war we have been losing.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    You believe that driving licences aren't on a database?

    As the MP who first proposed ID cards (in a private member's bill, with substantial support from Tories and LibDems, including the later LibDem spokesman), I always felt that the main reason was simply to have a universal form of ID that people could use, instead of the ridiculous faffing about with two utility bills etc. It wasn't proposed to make it compulsory to carry them - as with a passport, it'd simply be something you could produce if you wanted to show you were who you said you were.

    The arguments against were generally of the "slippery slope" type - once we all have cards, the database could be linked up to this and that and suddenly The Authorities would know All About Us, whereas now they have no idea about us and are incapable of linking up their records (ahem). Much of the public was in two minds about that - they were uneasy about some monstrous all-encompassing data base developing, but also felt cheesed off that they had to enter the same personal details all over again for two different public services.

    We eventually decided it was just too controversial to be worth pursuing for the modest benefits that it would bring. I never felt particularly passionately in favour myself, just thought they'd be useful and it was interesting to discuss the pros and cons. As a curiosity, the original PMB debate was deliberately rigged - it looked as though it would sail through to committee and die there, like most PMBs, so I got a friend, Roger Casale, who actually had no strong views on it either way, to oppose it so we could have a debate and a vote. He made a jolly good speech and won!
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533

    TOPPING said:

    Mr. Foxinsox, I always feel a bit bad (well, both times) about immediately attacking Austria, but if you're playing as Russia it seems almost inevitable.

    Then in a later post you say difficult it was to attack Turkey as Russia. I think the lesson there is if as Russia you want to attack Turkey then don't start by attacking Austria, because that will just allow Turkey time and space to grown stronger.
    Sorry to butt in but how does it work? Do you get to make your countries strong or do you have them as they are/were. eg. for Turkey would you be in charge of the Ottoman Third Army, amongst others, and somehow have to make it less insanely incompetent?
    Mr. Topping, the game is really very simple. An army is and army with equal combat value no matter who it belongs to. The Map is a stylised version of Europe in 1900. The rules take about half an hour to learn, you can find them here:

    http://www.playdiplomacy.com/help.php

    The key to the game is its essential paradox. There are seven players each wants to win. However, the structure of the game is that it is impossible to win on your own, you need the help of other players. Why should other players help you to win when they want to win themselves?

    Enter diplomacy, the communication between players to persuade, bribe, blackmail, whatever, to get them to do what you want. There are no rules and no restrictions in this part of the game. Normally these days the communication is done by email, but it doesn't have to be. Face to face meetings are quite common (and I have a had a few in some unlikely places), letters, fax, telephone calls can all be and are used. Impersonation and forgery are not unknown either. Generally speaking the more communication that is going on the higher quality the game.

    Hope that helps.
    y thanks sounds intriguing I will have a look for interest's sake.
  • Options
    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.

    True, but it remained in force long after the Axis powers were defeated.
    Yet it never had the electronic database behind it - a database more intrusive than that of the People's Republic of China.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    Populus is a bit like a game of tennis tbh - Labour has the serve Monday, Conservative Friday.

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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Poor analogy.

    One was introduced at the beginning of a war.

    True, but it remained in force long after the Axis powers were defeated.
    It did to our shame. Until at last the courts struck it down! I can't remember the name of the case off the top of my head by the essence of it was that a copper demanded to see the identity card of a member of the public going about his lawful business. Said member of public told the copper to bugger off. The case came before the courts and it was held that, absent a national emergency, such as a fight for a our very survival, HMG has no right to run such a scheme and the member of the public was quite within his rights to tell the copper to bugger off. End of the national identity card scheme shortly afterwards.
  • Options
    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    You believe that driving licences aren't on a database?


    Don't be daft.
    Of course the DVLA keeps a DB of us all.
    The proposed one was not even close in scale, scope or intended purpose.

    Sheesh!
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533

    Mr Dancer again I think we will have to agree to disagree.

    I never really understand why working class Tories defend the super rich rights to keep more of their money and to pay lower marginal rates of tax than their cleaners and don't appear to care that more people than ever do not have sufficient food for their kids.

    What size of cake could we get if Letwin gets his way

    And there is the left wing in a nutshell.

    You don't understand how people are aspirational and want to achieve for themselves and their family. Such people don't want to think that the ladder will be pulled away from beneath them if and when they get to the top.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,949
    Populus = Thank Crunchie It's Friday! :D
  • Options

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    You believe that driving licences aren't on a database?


    Don't be daft.
    Of course the DVLA keeps a DB of us all.
    The proposed one was not even close in scale, scope or intended purpose.

    Sheesh!
    Not like the last government allowed companies access to the DVLA database was it.

    You can see why we're wary.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    edited August 2014
    UKIP on 13 is very good news for them with Populus - will have to check the tables to see if its an actual movement though.

    *Wonders if it means over 300 respondents... *

    Also wondering if 8% for the Lib Dems means sub 100.
  • Options
    With UKPR's average polling numbers unchanged over the past week (Lab 36 - Con 32 - LD 8), it's hardly surprising that Stephen Fisher's GE Seats projection this morning is similarly unchanged.
    That said, under their table of poll results, updated to 30 July, I don't see the most recent figures from ICM which indicated a Tory lead of 1%. If these have been omitted, then clearly that would impact on the overall average, albeit modestly.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Mr. Foxinsox, I always feel a bit bad (well, both times) about immediately attacking Austria, but if you're playing as Russia it seems almost inevitable.

    Then in a later post you say difficult it was to attack Turkey as Russia. I think the lesson there is if as Russia you want to attack Turkey then don't start by attacking Austria, because that will just allow Turkey time and space to grown stronger.
    Sorry to butt in but how does it work? Do you get to make your countries strong or do you have them as they are/were. eg. for Turkey would you be in charge of the Ottoman Third Army, amongst others, and somehow have to make it less insanely incompetent?
    Mr. Topping, the game is really very simple. An army is and army with equal combat value no matter who it belongs to. The Map is a stylised version of Europe in 1900. The rules take about half an hour to learn, you can find them here:

    http://www.playdiplomacy.com/help.php

    The key to the game is its essential paradox. There are seven players each wants to win. However, the structure of the game is that it is impossible to win on your own, you need the help of other players. Why should other players help you to win when they want to win themselves?

    Enter diplomacy, the communication between players to persuade, bribe, blackmail, whatever, to get them to do what you want. There are no rules and no restrictions in this part of the game. Normally these days the communication is done by email, but it doesn't have to be. Face to face meetings are quite common (and I have a had a few in some unlikely places), letters, fax, telephone calls can all be and are used. Impersonation and forgery are not unknown either. Generally speaking the more communication that is going on the higher quality the game.

    Hope that helps.
    y thanks sounds intriguing I will have a look for interest's sake.
    I quite recommend Diplomacy. Like politics, the fun and interest is in the backroom deals and plotting, what is visible on the surface is only a very superficial experience.
  • Options
    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    You believe that driving licences aren't on a database?


    Don't be daft.
    Of course the DVLA keeps a DB of us all.
    The proposed one was not even close in scale, scope or intended purpose.

    Sheesh!
    Not like the last government allowed companies access to the DVLA database was it.

    You can see why we're wary.
    Oh and the last Gov had such a good record at delivering Huge IT Systems...
    (this one doesn't seem to be much better at that either, but not on the same scale a the NHS NPfIT Clusterf*ck)
  • Options

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Guardian - 18% of MPs should be from ethnic minority to reflect UK population.

    I think they've got their figures wrong. The 2011 census showed the population was 87% white.

    Do the Irish, Poles etc count as white or ethnic?
    We know the Duke of Wellington's reputed view on the former...
    There are plenty of MPs with Eastern European heritage, such as the MPs for Rochdale and Shrewsbury.
    And indeed Denis Macshane, comin' over 'ere, etc....
    comin' over 'ere, stealing our prison places.
  • Options

    It did to our shame. Until at last the courts struck it down! I can't remember the name of the case off the top of my head by the essence of it was that a copper demanded to see the identity card of a member of the public going about his lawful business. Said member of public told the copper to bugger off. The case came before the courts and it was held that, absent a national emergency, such as a fight for a our very survival, HMG has no right to run such a scheme and the member of the public was quite within his rights to tell the copper to bugger off. End of the national identity card scheme shortly afterwards.

    A seven judge Divisional Court of the Queen's Bench Division, including the Lord Chief Justice and Master of the Rolls, held that the emergency remained extant, and that the conviction was valid, but expressed grave disquiet about the scheme. The National Registration Act 1939 was doomed from then on.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453


    Oh and the last Gov had such a good record at delivering Huge IT Systems...
    (this one doesn't seem to be much better at that either, but not on the same scale a the NHS NPfIT Clusterf*ck)

    Industry sources say that Fujitsu is likely to be awarded about £400 million in compensation in addition to £250 million already paid when the scheme, called the NHS National Programme for IT, began to falter.

    The government will also have to foot Fujitsu’s legal bill of nearly £50 million, in addition to its own legal costs of £31.5 million.
    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/article4163503.ece
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322



    We eventually decided it was just too controversial to be worth pursuing for the modest benefits that it would bring. I never felt particularly passionately in favour myself, just thought they'd be useful and it was interesting to discuss the pros and cons. As a curiosity, the original PMB debate was deliberately rigged - it looked as though it would sail through to committee and die there, like most PMBs, so I got a friend, Roger Casale, who actually had no strong views on it either way, to oppose it so we could have a debate and a vote. He made a jolly good speech and won!

    The ID cards proposal was a classic case of trying to push through authoritarianism under the scream of "terrorism". The push through was attempted just after 9/11 even though it clearly wouldn't have done anything to stop similar attacks. They then tried a clear "salami slice" strategy targeting foreigners, then airport workers, then young people opening bank accounts, then new passport applications, to weaken opposition. The whole thing was highly cynical and a clear example of how New Labour's leadership believed in manipulating things as necessary to get what they wanted done (similar to opening the floodgates in immigration on the quiet). The idea of fining British citizens for not giving information on where they moved to the government was completely against traditional British liberties, and more like something out of continental statism. And the keeping on file of every time your ID was checked against the database built up detailed information about innocent people's livelihoods. It was truly an appalling bill.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited August 2014

    With UKPR's average polling numbers unchanged over the past week (Lab 36 - Con 32 - LD 8), it's hardly surprising that Stephen Fisher's GE Seats projection this morning is similarly unchanged.
    That said, under their table of poll results, updated to 30 July, I don't see the most recent figures from ICM which indicated a Tory lead of 1%. If these have been omitted, then clearly that would impact on the overall average, albeit modestly.

    Click on the ...MORE under the headline average to see the polls used and their weighting. The ICM +1 Con is there but it's so old now that it's very lightly weighted.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    You believe that driving licences aren't on a database?

    As the MP who first proposed ID cards (in a private member's bill, with substantial support from Tories and LibDems, including the later LibDem spokesman), I always felt that the main reason was simply to have a universal form of ID that people could use, instead of the ridiculous faffing about with two utility bills etc. It wasn't proposed to make it compulsory to carry them - as with a passport, it'd simply be something you could produce if you wanted to show you were who you said you were.

    The arguments against were generally of the "slippery slope" type - once we all have cards, the database could be linked up to this and that and suddenly The Authorities would know All About Us, whereas now they have no idea about us and are incapable of linking up their records (ahem). Much of the public was in two minds about that - they were uneasy about some monstrous all-encompassing data base developing, but also felt cheesed off that they had to enter the same personal details all over again for two different public services.

    We eventually decided it was just too controversial to be worth pursuing for the modest benefits that it would bring. I never felt particularly passionately in favour myself, just thought they'd be useful and it was interesting to discuss the pros and cons. As a curiosity, the original PMB debate was deliberately rigged - it looked as though it would sail through to committee and die there, like most PMBs, so I got a friend, Roger Casale, who actually had no strong views on it either way, to oppose it so we could have a debate and a vote. He made a jolly good speech and won!
    No doubt you had good intentions for the scheme, but others would have seen a ball and ran into the distance with it.
  • Options
    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    @Socrates - where is the "Like" button when you need it? Have 2 Props.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,028
    "Are we human, or are we dancer?" voted weirdest song lyric.

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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited August 2014
    With a bit of Excel work, you can also see that the headline 36-32 conceals an actual lead of only 3.3 (35.6 v 32.3). Then again, that's with rounded inputs (i.e. each individual poll is only reported in integer form).

    I think today's Populus (and last night's YouGov) will have moved the headline needle back to 36-33.
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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    @TSE - have you seen the interview with Karen Gillan in The Times today?
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Thousands of people complain at works that reportedly call on Muslims to open bomb factories and advertise methods to kill 'sodomists'

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/france/10998437/Jihadist-books-on-sale-in-French-supermarkets.html
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    @TSE - have you seen the interview with Karen Gillan in The Times today?

    I have, she was great in The Guardians of the Galaxy.
  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I do remember being very against ID cards - but what may I ask would the difference have been between an ID card and a passport ?

    It wasn't the ID Card that I objected to, it was the database behind it.
    I already carry an ID card, my driver's licence. And indeed if the national ID card were a similar/replacement for that then I would have no objections.
    You believe that driving licences aren't on a database?

    As the MP who first proposed ID cards (in a private member's bill, with substantial support from Tories and LibDems, including the later LibDem spokesman), I always felt that the main reason was simply to have a universal form of ID that people could use, instead of the ridiculous faffing about with two utility bills etc. It wasn't proposed to make it compulsory to carry them - as with a passport, it'd simply be something you could produce if you wanted to show you were who you said you were.

    The arguments against were generally of the "slippery slope" type - once we all have cards, the database could be linked up to this and that and suddenly The Authorities would know All About Us, whereas now they have no idea about us and are incapable of linking up their records (ahem). Much of the public was in two minds about that - they were uneasy about some monstrous all-encompassing data base developing, but also felt cheesed off that they had to enter the same personal details all over again for two different public services.

    We eventually decided it was just too controversial to be worth pursuing for the modest benefits that it would bring. I never felt particularly passionately in favour myself, just thought they'd be useful and it was interesting to discuss the pros and cons. As a curiosity, the original PMB debate was deliberately rigged - it looked as though it would sail through to committee and die there, like most PMBs, so I got a friend, Roger Casale, who actually had no strong views on it either way, to oppose it so we could have a debate and a vote. He made a jolly good speech and won!
    No doubt you had good intentions for the scheme, but others would have seen a ball and ran into the distance with it.
    Take RIPA as an example. It was originally spun about tackling serious crime and ended up to do with dog fouling and school catchment areas.
    The extreme porn bill is another good case.

  • Options

    With a bit of Excel work, you can also see that the headline 36-32 conceals an actual lead of only 3.3 (35.6 v 32.3). Then again, that's with rounded inputs (i.e. each individual poll is only reported in integer form).

    I think today's Populus (and last night's YouGov) will have moved the headline needle back to 36-33.

    Thanks for that, obviouslymy mistake, I had thought we had seen an ICM poll much more recently than is evidently the case.
This discussion has been closed.