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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories drop to their lowest point ever in a ComRes phone poll in tonight’s survey for the Indy
For whatever reason see section the regular phone polls are tending to produce more extreme figures than online firms and so it is with tonight’s ComRes phone poll for the Independent. The Tory share is down to 27% with Ukip dropping only a point to 17%.
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Again ....
Now which is the outlier in terms of Tory share of the vote from the four polls today?
27, 33, 32, 33
Ed is crap is landslide PM
Populus: Ed Miliband Prime Minister, Majority 46
YouGov: Ed Miliband Prime Minister, Majority 78
ComRed: Ed Miliband Prime Minister, Majority 74
282 days to General Election.
Ed is crap is landslide PM
But what about JackW's ARSE tomorrow?
For the US Senate seat, Perdue (related to former gov) beating Nunn (related to former US Senator) 46% - 40%
For governor Carter, (related to former GA gov and Potus) over Deal (related to ga gov) 45%-44%.
I don't miss nepotism at all.
(both polls Rasmussen)
This is dire Tory and LibDem and no more than moderate Lab, reasonable to good UKIP and Green.
Blimey. Who gives you access to this embargoed data, Mike or the data owners?
Chortle .....
But not worried by the Ed figures. The Ed vs Dave presentation effectively lumps all the "both" or "neither" into the Dave camp, and 41% not deterred by the media savaging is actually quite a decent figure. I wonder if the Tories and their press friends aren't putting too much money on that strategy.
Alone today, we've had 4!
I still think when it comes to it, there will be reduced Con to UKIP, Labour to UKIP swing in the 80-100 marginals where the election will be fought, but some random Redcar results outside the 80-100 ground war battle. I also expect that the Labour doing better in urban seats, Tories doing better in rural seats meme from 2010 to continue as well.
I would like to see some polls that have a stab at the predicted turnout, as this will be a critical thing to watch with regard to the segment of the electorate that hasn't voted for years and now finds an outlet with UKIP, to get a handle on their potential support.
The ARSE is normally every Tuesday fortnight. So a week tomorrow.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2708868/Ed-Miliband-extraordinary-attack-Gordon-Brown-s-key-aide-warns-Labour-election-plan-totally-dysfunctional.html
'No clear idea' and a 'steaming pile of fudge': Ed Miliband under extraordinary attack from Gordon Brown's key aide who warns Labour election plan is 'totally dysfunctional'
Labour leader failing to communicate with voters, Damian McBride claims
Former spin doctor says Mr Miliband has no persuasive policies
Also attacked Labour's refusal to apologise for its record in office
Today's attack comes in updated version of McBride's tell-all memoirs
He was spin doctor for Gordon Brown but quit over a plot to smear Tories
C 298, L 295, LD 29, UKIP 0
Paul Flowers, ahhhh wasn't he hard done by, by the nasty Mail. Now we have arhhh poor Tulisa, hard done by, by the nasty Sun.
Don't mention she has just been done for assault or the strange tale involved her friend admitting to supply.
See how Herman Talmadge got elected! It makes hanging chads seem positively democratic.
Anybody think of a plausible excuse for the about-turn?
Anybody believe him?
Mr McBride concludes: ‘Labour currently has no clear idea who its target audience is, no positive messages to communicate to anyone about why they should vote for the party, no policies which will persuade them, and is being run in a totally dysfunctional way.’
Spot the correlation, it's not too difficult!
When did you become a McBride fan? I thought you had a very low opinion of him?
http://www.acting-man.com/?p=32035
A few jibes at the messenger but not one reply saying he is wrong - "got a book to sell - polls polls polls"
How is his last "crackdown" going?
Someone posited he had missed his target by......Well, a lot to be honest.
The antidote is another period of Coalition government with the fever breaking as Ed resigns as LotO to spend more time with his bacon sarnies.
So, what are UKIP's chances here ?
We need to quarantine Japan ....
Really? *chortle* *titter* and "LOL"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-28528824
Even his new-found PBTory fans wouldn't say the same about McBride.
Why didn't he? I'm baffled, it seems so obvious.
http://election-data.blogspot.co.uk/2014/07/labour-and-ukip.html
A long shot.
Don't worry, at least there will be plenty more opportunities to laugh at his geeky grin, on the steps of Number Ten and from the Despatch Box.
You can tweet about it while he abolishes the bedroom tax with help from his Chancellor Vince Cable
No guarantees, of course. I don't entirely share Jack W's faith that voters are rational.. Sometimes they are bonkers.
But it's a democracy. If people want to vote for a PM who will undoubtedly be worse even than Brown (and that is saying something), fair enough. They'll regret it of course, and very quickly.
At least Brown had some sane minders who could rein him in. Who will play the Peter Mandelson and Alastair Darling role in a putative Miliband government? Lord Adonis is sensible enough, to be sure, but I don't think will have the clout. Ed Balls is, well, Ed Balls.
Doncaster North won't matter, leaders always poll above their pure party rating as the electorate like voting for leaders, its Doncaster Central and all the similar demographic seats eg Wakefield, Penistone and Stocksbridge etc where it could potentially matter. Those types of seats were where the Tories did best in 2010, and it wasn't as though the Tories put in above extra effort there. After all Cameron's whole strategy was on appeasing / neutralising the Polly Toynbee's of this world and the Islington set, such was his lack of understanding of reality on the ground.
Don't worry, Ed won't be a worse PM than liar Cameron, it's not possible. "No more top down reorganisations".
"Mr Willetts presented this plan to leading universities but, officials said, he later became more interested in getting newer and less-renowned institutions involved. "
Did the Russel group tell him where to put his ideas?
However as bonkers as many are the nation still retains a suitable number of spanners in their collective tool box not to place Ed in Downing Street.
Isn't there a way we could get the government to account for things properly so we don't incentivize politicians to play all these silly games? (See also PFI etc.)
Tories most seats now out to 2.16.
Twas only a month ago when some were expecting crossover on this market.
I am in four figures deep at longer odds on LAB most seats and am currently inclined not to lay
Sadly no,It would mean them having to be honest with the voters.
We have the great British traditions to uphold!
And I'm now going to bed with them ....
But I think this sympathy is being tested by the actions of Israel, which may cause Jewish communities problems. There are already reports of attacks around the UK and I think this will get worse, if Israel continues to kill innocents. Over 230 children now killed.