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To all you lurkers, if you’re thinking Better the Devil You Know, nighthawks is Especially for You, it gives you a chance to delurk. I Should Be So Lucky if a few of you delurked.
Shifting the odds on a YES vote this coming September?
"David Cameron considers basing himself in Scotland before referendum Lib Dems oppose idea of prime minister spending up to two weeks in Scotland, claiming he could damage the no campaign"
Adam West's my favourite Batman. Only seen the first of the recent trilogy but they were so scared of repeating the Joel Schumacher mistake(s) they went far too far the other way. No levity, humour, lightness. All must be dark. Bah.
It seems that Mike has seriously edited the number of links displayed on the right hand side of these posts, including one or two surprising deletions.
I find it hard to believe Emily Benn, whatever reasons she might actually believe, is running for any other primary reason than that it is the family business, and that she was selected in part for the same reason. The sorts of charismatic, genius and mature figures who get chosen to wield power at the age of 20 (when she first stood for parliament) without the strength of family names, is probably quite rare in the history of the world, and her pitch seems to be that despite family background she is just a normal person, if one from a very fortunate background, who has a lot to offer the people. I shall remember that one the next time someone infers rich Tories cannot possibly know anything about how to help people. But it is not much of an argument for or against her either way.
I also fail to find any explanation by what she means about how we must start 'doing politics in a different way'. What does 'With the technology we have available now, why not let individuals and communities have more control and real power over their own lives' mean? I wouldn't expect anyone to lay out a detailed proposal in a short newspaper piece, but her words on it sound as cliche as any other politician, hardly an intent to do things differently. Hell, you get 30year veterans of politics claiming they are the right person to change the culture and nature of politics too.
Wisdom does not automatically come from age and experience. It is possible for someone as young as Emily Benn or even younger to be the perfect sort to be an MP even at that age. But that piece at 11 does nothing to dispel the worries that I have at the sort of person who stands for Parliament at the age of 20 (selected at 17 apparently) and has the connections to make that happen, that they are not some politics obsessed wonk. Yeah, she works in the private sector and uses the train like everyone else. She also has spent 7 years out of 24 working to become an MP, and if she loses in 2015, no doubt will spend another five years preparing for another run, which makes her pointing out how she does not currently work in politics pretty hollow. It has clearly been her driving motivation her entire adult life. Commendable dedication from such a young age, but also has the potential that she sees being an MP as just the normal thing to do, what she is expected to do for the name.
I don't even care about MPs being ordinary people, or reflective of a community, or any such thing. If people wanted to elected a 19 year old or 119 year old, then so long as they make that choice freely, that's up to them and maybe that person would do a great job. But I cannot make myself think that the claims that her selection have nothing to with her lineage are very credible, given the shallowness of her pitch (granted, to the Telegraph, hardly her key demographic).
Also I'm jealous of her intelligence and drive at such a young age
No.7 is a no win situation for Cameron. I am reliably informed that everything he does or doesn't do harms the No campaign. At least if he bases himself there for a few weeks he cannot be accused of shirking his responsibility as PM to try to keep the Union together, even if it ends up being counter-productive I guess.
No.7 is a no win situation for Cameron. I am reliably informed that everything he does or doesn't do harms the No campaign. At least if he bases himself there for a few weeks he cannot be accused of shirking his responsibility as PM to try to keep the Union together, even if it ends up being counter-productive I guess.
Oh it's a win win for Dave.
If No wins, he's the PM that saved the Union.
If Yes wins, he's the Tory PM that got rid of 58 non Tory MPs.
Will background be more important in 2015 than before? Is it possible people might vote tactically against professional politicians and family business types, whatever their party stripe?
UKIP appoint mixed race Migration spokesman, Steven Woolfe... How will this affect "racist" campaigns from other parties/partisan media?
"Mr Woolfe said: "This is a very exciting challenge going into a general election. UKIP won the migration debate in the European elections, but I know we can win even bigger if we make some space for a positive message on migration which answers the concerns of the public while also recognising the contribution that many migrants have made to our society."
No. 10 A new kind of right-wing politics is sprouting throughout the world.
Oh what a terrifying thought. I can see the thinking that the right wing is changing and adapting and could be a genuine challenge to the left wing globally, and the bit on obsession with being left behind in some global race strikes a chord, although the evidence of such nationalism as described in pointless aircraft carriers, IT projects and other wasteful messes must also result from whatever the latest trend in left wing politics is, given they seem to happen regardless of who is in power. I've seen people try to explain why IT projects are near as bad or even as bad as defence procurement for absurd waste and failure, but even that task is pretty daunting.
With the intent to drive away the existing problem of "institutions of government which aren’t close enough to where people live and work, which don’t give cities in particular the chance to shape their own destiny", I do wonder if Labour might try to reverse the trend of authorities becoming unitary and the like. Sure it is done to save money, but it moves yet more institutions of (local) government further away from where people live.
The wargame that Cummings participated in back in 2010 and the scorecards that will be drawn up of it reflected a wider truth, namely that human forecasting skills, even those of experts, are not brilliant; we love our hunches and our theories and hate to be wrong. Perhaps this is an obvious truth but it is that appears to be forgotten at times in the practice of politics.
Nonsense. I see no connection with my or others' predictions in politics there.
Where “Five Snubs” Gordon Brown had to settle for an encounter in a UN kitchen, his successor got 25 minutes to discuss what a spokesperson called “issues including the situation in Ukraine, Gaza and the future of the EU… the economy, climate change and the approaching referendum in Scotland”.
With that facility for speed statesmanship, it would hardly have seemed surprising if the two leaders had also ruminated on Rory McIlroy’s win in the Open and whether Nick Clegg was wise to cook an avocado cake for daytime television
An actually pretty good line from a political story. Bravo. I do disagree that Miliband must rouse himself from what his caution causes, I think when he goes bold it often works for him, but I think he can without going bold. He should go bolder, it does seem he's left open to people constructing a narrative around him while he is so cautious, but will he? I'd guess no, but he seems able to pick his moments.
TSE - I'm surprised that "Energizer" hasn't featured in your list of Nighthawks topics (unless I've missed it). Does anyone think that this story, if true, is likely to impact positively or negatively on Hillary's political ambitions?
TSE - I'm surprised that "Energizer" hasn't featured in your list of Nighthawks topics (unless I've missed it). Does anyone think that this story, if true, is likely to impact positively or negatively on Hillary's political ambitions?
Would the mainstream media now like to apologise to us for their stories about the rebels in eastern Ukraine hiding the black boxes from MH17 which are now back at Farnborough for investigation? Yet another incidence where the Ukranian government has been caught lying with its pants down. Arguably the black box should have gone to a neutral country in this increasingly ridiculous international spat. The following article sums up things quite well:
very contrived this Commonwealth Games thing. Not at all interested I hope the expenditure comes out of a future independent Scotland's budget.
What on earth meanwhile is the Queen's car doing? Does it have oval wheels?
Me too. But I hope the Scottish team do really well to fire up the Scottish appetite for independence and give Better Off Together something to worry about. Its strange to think that the Edinburgh 1986 games had about 1,500 athletes but seemed a far bigger event at the time. However the BBC fell flat on their face at that one as for months in advance they were hyping up the 1500m Coe Cram contest, only for Coe to have to pull out feeling unwell IIRC. Glasgow has about 7,100 athletes but who cares about the Commonwealth these days. And to think it still had 'Empire' in the title as late as 1966!
Spent quite a bit of time in Thurrock at Arena Essex raceway very close to J31 on the M25 - at least its in a favourable UKIP area by the looks of it!
If I am reading the key to that map correctly, UKIP go down badly in the River Thames part of Thurrock, and are neutral on the M25 and A13. Everywhere else pretty good
Would the mainstream media now like to apologise to us for their stories about the rebels in eastern Ukraine hiding the black boxes from MH17 which are now back at Farnborough for investigation? Yet another incidence where the Ukranian government has been caught lying with its pants down. Arguably the black box should have gone to a neutral country in this increasingly ridiculous international spat. The following article sums up things quite well:
Who it turns out, held up the toy, said “We want those bastards to see whom they shot down, Do you see?”
'Then he carefully put the toy back to a heap of other items that used to belong to the passengers. After that he took off his cap and marked himself with a sign of the cross paying the tribute to the memory of the victims of the catastrophe.'
Something a lot of people have missed. Salmond has suggested agreement that Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles can have their own referendum to stay or not under Holyrood Government, go under Norway or stay under Westminster.
There is another option. Go Independent!
This will of course, cause severe anal discomfort to the financial plans of Salmond, Swinney and Sturgeon.
If, and as it stands it is only remote, Scotland votes Yes, then others may wish to hold their own referendum. Could the cities of Edinburgh, Glasgow, Aberdeen, Inverness, Perth and Dundee decide that they would like to become free trade cities?
Edinburgh has long regarded itself as the cash cow to maintain the Weegies in the style to which it has become accustomed to. And Glasgow has long become the vampire sucking the finances of many areas of Scotland.
Funny as it may seem, I can look forward to Glasgow actually standing up to be counted. It is a vibrant city full of people who hope for a future but held back by limitless funds to help the so called impoverished. Give Glasgow, and the other cities, towns and villages back their Provosts (Mayors, to all those disadvantaged south of the border) and councils to actually control the finances of their areas.
Can I see this happening? Unfortunately, No. The centralising of power into Holyrood under the SNP is beginning to become scary. A prime example, although not the only one, is allowing armed Police Officers to patrol and respond to normal incidents.
True, the number of armed officers (430) is, at the moment, minimal. But the precedent has been set, and allowed, without oversight of Holyrood. The excuse of Sir Stephen House is that this is an operational decision. No matter that crimes of violence, let alone fire arm offences is decreasing year on year from 2000.
And what an incredibly sight, the Red Arrows doing a flypast over Celtic Park displaying the colours of the Union Jack as the Queen arrives and the National Anthem is sung inside the Stadium.
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
Good on you.
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
Would the mainstream media now like to apologise to us for their stories about the rebels in eastern Ukraine hiding the black boxes from MH17 which are now back at Farnborough for investigation? Yet another incidence where the Ukranian government has been caught lying with its pants down. Arguably the black box should have gone to a neutral country in this increasingly ridiculous international spat. The following article sums up things quite well:
Who it turns out, held up the toy, said “We want those bastards to see whom they shot down, Do you see?”
'Then he carefully put the toy back to a heap of other items that used to belong to the passengers. After that he took off his cap and marked himself with a sign of the cross paying the tribute to the memory of the victims of the catastrophe.'
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
Good on you.
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
Good on you.
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
Wrong.
I know I was! That's why I said good on you, as some of your fellow Tories hated the Olympics opening.
Interesting that your Top 3 links concern Ed Miliband by the way.
I only (barely) noticed the lefty-righty yougov one personally, so thanks for the others.
Hope the Lille players were alright as well including Vincent Enyeama - he really impressed me at the world cup apart from his mistake for the French goal in the last 16:
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead up one to four points: CON 34%, LAB 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%
For as long as the Tories poll at or close to the mid-thirties at this stage of the cycle, they're well and truly in the contest.
k The big difference being that the most the Tories can hope for is another hung parliament while LAB can win a majority
True no doubt.
But the Coalition, rise of UKIP (and Greens!) and collapse of the Lib Dems means a new dynamic that could make 2015 a big shock to someone (not least pollsters and gamblers).
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
Good on you.
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
Wrong.
I know I was! That's why I said good on you, as some of your fellow Tories hated the Olympics opening.
Interesting that your Top 3 links concern Ed Miliband by the way.
I only (barely) noticed the lefty-righty yougov one personally, so thanks for the others.
What this needs is for Salmond to storm onto the stage clad as Wallace shouting 'freedom' and the Queen to simply exclaim 'no thanks' releasing a trapdoor into which Alex falls into the lap of Sir Sean Connery!
Shifting the odds on a YES vote this coming September?
"David Cameron considers basing himself in Scotland before referendum Lib Dems oppose idea of prime minister spending up to two weeks in Scotland, claiming he could damage the no campaign"
Nah - I think he is just testing the waters and showing why he can't go up to his own party. And I would also suggest his negative influence is exaggerated greatly.
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
Good on you.
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
Wrong.
I know I was! That's why I said good on you, as some of your fellow Tories hated the Olympics opening.
Interesting that your Top 3 links concern Ed Miliband by the way.
I only (barely) noticed the lefty-righty yougov one personally, so thanks for the others.
Have we got any bets on the GE?
I THINK we've got a very very small charity bet on something, and if you remind me I'll obviously honour it. Was it a Clegg / Farage thing?
Iraq: There is a lot of action on the outskirts of Baghdad, alot.
There is no doubt the Sunnis are testing things out. both my harassment attacks inside the city and attacks in force in the Bagdhad environs, particularly to the north of Baghdad.
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
Good on you.
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
Wrong.
I know I was! That's why I said good on you, as some of your fellow Tories hated the Olympics opening.
Interesting that your Top 3 links concern Ed Miliband by the way.
I only (barely) noticed the lefty-righty yougov one personally, so thanks for the others.
Have we got any bets on the GE?
I THINK we've got a very very small charity bet on something, and if you remind me I'll obviously honour it. Was it a Clegg / Farage thing?
NP/OGH Of course if you add the UKIP and Tory votes together the Tories probably would have a majority, but the chances of that happening next year are vanishingly small, hence as you suggest the best the Tories can likely hope for is a hung parliament
NP/OGH Of course if you add the UKIP and Tory votes together the Tories probably would have a majority, but the chances of that happening next year are vanishingly small, hence as you suggest the best the Tories can likely hope for is a hung parliament
Yes and if you add the Labour, Lib Dem and Green vote together than the Labour-Lib-Grn Party would have a whopping majority.
I've done a profile of Thanet South seat for The Spectator a while back. I can assure people Labour like their chances here. But it's a bit of lift imo. An interesting demographic story is the influx of new residents since HS1. Many if the newer residents are younger professionals and Labour. Nobody has tracked it because it's relatively recent.
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Mark Chapman @markchapman 43s
John Murray has just said on @bbc5live that Supergran features in @Glasgow2014 opening ceremony. pic.twitter.com/z1xpVLIp97
"David Cameron considers basing himself in Scotland before referendum
Lib Dems oppose idea of prime minister spending up to two weeks in Scotland, claiming he could damage the no campaign"
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jul/23/david-cameron-basing-himself-scotland-ahead-referendum
Hopefully not replaced by Susan Boyle
Adam West's my favourite Batman. Only seen the first of the recent trilogy but they were so scared of repeating the Joel Schumacher mistake(s) they went far too far the other way. No levity, humour, lightness. All must be dark. Bah.
It seems that Mike has seriously edited the number of links displayed on the right hand side of these posts, including one or two surprising deletions.
I also fail to find any explanation by what she means about how we must start 'doing politics in a different way'. What does 'With the technology we have available now, why not let individuals and communities have more control and real power over their own lives' mean? I wouldn't expect anyone to lay out a detailed proposal in a short newspaper piece, but her words on it sound as cliche as any other politician, hardly an intent to do things differently. Hell, you get 30year veterans of politics claiming they are the right person to change the culture and nature of politics too.
Wisdom does not automatically come from age and experience. It is possible for someone as young as Emily Benn or even younger to be the perfect sort to be an MP even at that age. But that piece at 11 does nothing to dispel the worries that I have at the sort of person who stands for Parliament at the age of 20 (selected at 17 apparently) and has the connections to make that happen, that they are not some politics obsessed wonk. Yeah, she works in the private sector and uses the train like everyone else. She also has spent 7 years out of 24 working to become an MP, and if she loses in 2015, no doubt will spend another five years preparing for another run, which makes her pointing out how she does not currently work in politics pretty hollow. It has clearly been her driving motivation her entire adult life. Commendable dedication from such a young age, but also has the potential that she sees being an MP as just the normal thing to do, what she is expected to do for the name.
I don't even care about MPs being ordinary people, or reflective of a community, or any such thing. If people wanted to elected a 19 year old or 119 year old, then so long as they make that choice freely, that's up to them and maybe that person would do a great job. But I cannot make myself think that the claims that her selection have nothing to with her lineage are very credible, given the shallowness of her pitch (granted, to the Telegraph, hardly her key demographic).
Also I'm jealous of her intelligence and drive at such a young age
No enormo-haddock inclusion, alas.
http://election-data.blogspot.co.uk/2014/07/thurrock.html
If No wins, he's the PM that saved the Union.
If Yes wins, he's the Tory PM that got rid of 58 non Tory MPs.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-28454800
Will background be more important in 2015 than before? Is it possible people might vote tactically against professional politicians and family business types, whatever their party stripe?
UKIP appoint mixed race Migration spokesman, Steven Woolfe... How will this affect "racist" campaigns from other parties/partisan media?
"Mr Woolfe said: "This is a very exciting challenge going into a general election. UKIP won the migration debate in the European elections, but I know we can win even bigger if we make some space for a positive message on migration which answers the concerns of the public while also recognising the contribution that many migrants have made to our society."
http://www.ukip.org/ukip_leader_nigel_farage_announces_two_key_frontbench_spokesmen_roles_with_more_to_follow
Oh what a terrifying thought. I can see the thinking that the right wing is changing and adapting and could be a genuine challenge to the left wing globally, and the bit on obsession with being left behind in some global race strikes a chord, although the evidence of such nationalism as described in pointless aircraft carriers, IT projects and other wasteful messes must also result from whatever the latest trend in left wing politics is, given they seem to happen regardless of who is in power. I've seen people try to explain why IT projects are near as bad or even as bad as defence procurement for absurd waste and failure, but even that task is pretty daunting.
With the intent to drive away the existing problem of "institutions of government which aren’t close enough to where people live and work, which don’t give cities in particular the chance to shape their own destiny", I do wonder if Labour might try to reverse the trend of authorities becoming unitary and the like. Sure it is done to save money, but it moves yet more institutions of (local) government further away from where people live.
That's a bit of a get-out clause... it could be off by £1 and that statement would still be accurate. Ugh.
The wargame that Cummings participated in back in 2010 and the scorecards that will be drawn up of it reflected a wider truth, namely that human forecasting skills, even those of experts, are not brilliant; we love our hunches and our theories and hate to be wrong. Perhaps this is an obvious truth but it is that appears to be forgotten at times in the practice of politics.
Nonsense. I see no connection with my or others' predictions in politics there.
Where “Five Snubs” Gordon Brown had to settle for an encounter in a UN kitchen, his successor got 25 minutes to discuss what a spokesperson called “issues including the situation in Ukraine, Gaza and the future of the EU… the economy, climate change and the approaching referendum in Scotland”.
With that facility for speed statesmanship, it would hardly have seemed surprising if the two leaders had also ruminated on Rory McIlroy’s win in the Open and whether Nick Clegg was wise to cook an avocado cake for daytime television
An actually pretty good line from a political story. Bravo. I do disagree that Miliband must rouse himself from what his caution causes, I think when he goes bold it often works for him, but I think he can without going bold. He should go bolder, it does seem he's left open to people constructing a narrative around him while he is so cautious, but will he? I'd guess no, but he seems able to pick his moments.
What on earth meanwhile is the Queen's car doing? Does it have oval wheels?
I think even the dimmer left wingers have worked out that calling UKIP a bunch of racists is counterproductive.
Time's are a changing ;-)
Does anyone think that this story, if true, is likely to impact positively or negatively on Hillary's political ambitions?
http://www.acting-man.com/?p=31942
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commonwealth_Games
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunku_Muda_Serting_Imran
Who it turns out, held up the toy, said “We want those bastards to see whom they shot down, Do you see?”
'Then he carefully put the toy back to a heap of other items that used to belong to the passengers. After that he took off his cap and marked himself with a sign of the cross paying the tribute to the memory of the victims of the catastrophe.'
All on video here, on 'that Russian propaganda site' RT:
http://rt.com/news/174332-ukraine-plane-photo-perverted/
There is another option. Go Independent!
This will of course, cause severe anal discomfort to the financial plans of Salmond, Swinney and Sturgeon.
If, and as it stands it is only remote, Scotland votes Yes, then others may wish to hold their own referendum. Could the cities of Edinburgh, Glasgow, Aberdeen, Inverness, Perth and Dundee decide that they would like to become free trade cities?
Edinburgh has long regarded itself as the cash cow to maintain the Weegies in the style to which it has become accustomed to. And Glasgow has long become the vampire sucking the finances of many areas of Scotland.
Funny as it may seem, I can look forward to Glasgow actually standing up to be counted. It is a vibrant city full of people who hope for a future but held back by limitless funds to help the so called impoverished. Give Glasgow, and the other cities, towns and villages back their Provosts (Mayors, to all those disadvantaged south of the border) and councils to actually control the finances of their areas.
Can I see this happening? Unfortunately, No. The centralising of power into Holyrood under the SNP is beginning to become scary. A prime example, although not the only one, is allowing armed Police Officers to patrol and respond to normal incidents.
True, the number of armed officers (430) is, at the moment, minimal. But the precedent has been set, and allowed, without oversight of Holyrood. The excuse of Sir Stephen House is that this is an operational decision. No matter that crimes of violence, let alone fire arm offences is decreasing year on year from 2000.
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead up one to four points: CON 34%, LAB 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%
As you are a devoted Tory I would've assumed you didn't like the Olympics opening, with its celebration of our NHS and assorted "lefty multicultural crap".
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/07/23/preparing-for-war/
Can't wait for Yorkshire to come out ... #CommonwealthGames
Ed is crap is PM
Maccabi Haifa players were assaulted tonight by an anti-Israel mob during a "friendly" match against Lille. Sickening
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BtQdpA3CUAA1Bvl.jpg
The big difference being that the most the Tories can hope for is another hung parliament while LAB can win a majority
Interesting that your Top 3 links concern Ed Miliband by the way.
I only (barely) noticed the lefty-righty yougov one personally, so thanks for the others.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vincent_Enyeama
As a former Hapoel player, it must have been rather interesting to say the least.
But the Coalition, rise of UKIP (and Greens!) and collapse of the Lib Dems means a new dynamic that could make 2015 a big shock to someone (not least pollsters and gamblers).
16 sodium atoms walk into a bar followed by Batman.
There is no doubt the Sunnis are testing things out. both my harassment attacks inside the city and attacks in force in the Bagdhad environs, particularly to the north of Baghdad.
It's like weighing oneself every day during an ineffective diet and trying to believe that something is happening.
http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=679&c=5
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No31.pdf
Just one of the many costs of the AGW forecasting madness that masquerades as science. Pull the other one!
Tax Haven Games
Where is Gary Barlow
They're all in it together.
How dare they keep their own money - it belongs to the state !
If so it would be fantastic to see you posting more on PB.