Peter from Putney posted this on the last thread, after I posted I was backing Germany tonight, and laying Brazil for the World Cup, and that I had backed Muller as FGS.
Nate Silver of 538.com gives Brazil a 73% chance of winning tonight and therefore Germany only a 27% chance. He also gives Brazil a 54% chance of lifting the World Cup trophy.
So, TSE, either you or he is going to be very wrong this evening.
Astonishing opening 30 minutes in 1st world cup semi final, Germany 5-Brazil 0! Brazil being slaughtered. Angela will clearly reign supreme tonight, not only does Germany dominate Europe economically and politically, looks like the soccer team now dominates world football
Evening all. So it's commiseratory Caipirinhas all round then? Also for all his many fans tomorrow is the 217th anniversary of the death of Edmund Burke.
Mr. L, what did Brazil do, and was it before or after Neymar had his back broken?
The kicked the Columbians (who were the better football team) off the park and the referee did nothing about it which led, ultimately, to the Naymar injury as the Columbians responded in kind.
5.I can see where Opperman is coming from. It's the easy approach of many in his party, much like Labour making attacks on Toffs, or implying that all Tories are toffs, but it offends a lot more people, especially as people in general seem willing to think negative things of the Tories more readily than Labour.
Re the Enoch comment, I think he only meant it in the same way that it would seem, at the moment, very strange to think of a white man as Pakistani.. maybe in 50 years time if there is mass immigration to Pakistan from Northern Europe it will seem racist in hindsight, but at the moment, if a Pakistani said it, I wouldn't feel like he was having a go at me
Re the Enoch comment, I think he only meant it in the same way that it would seem, at the moment, very strange to think of a white man as Pakistani.. maybe in 50 years time if there is mass immigration to Pakistan from Northern Europe it will seem racist in hindsight, but at the moment, if a Pakistani said it, I wouldn't feel like he was having a go at me
I'll dig out the full quote, but Enoch was a racist, and wrong on that, and many other things.
He was talking about the principle, which is what is currently espoused by Nick Griffin "If I were born in a barn, that doesn't make me a horse"
Re the Enoch comment, I think he only meant it in the same way that it would seem, at the moment, very strange to think of a white man as Pakistani.. maybe in 50 years time if there is mass immigration to Pakistan from Northern Europe it will seem racist in hindsight, but at the moment, if a Pakistani said it, I wouldn't feel like he was having a go at me
I'll dig out the full quote, but Enoch was a racist, and wrong on that, and many other things.
He was talking about the principle, which is what is currently espoused by Nick Griffin "If I were born in a barn, that doesn't make me a horse"
Indeed. It's not like there weren't non-whites who already had British passports and identified with this country in the 1960s.
On the polls they are jumping around all over the place at the moment, the Tories have probably been hit more than Labour by the sex abuse cover up allegations and by Coulson's jailing, but the fundamentals remain, the Tories need to squeeze the UKIP vote back well below 10% towards 5% or they will lose, until that happens everything else is irrelevant. Cameron got a small boost from Juncker towards that goal, which has now receded, he has to keep focus on that aim
Extraordinary surge by Labour, almost Teutonic. I find it really hard to understand what is causing this, unless there has been some delayed reaction to Coulson etc.
Or as the government of the day are the tories picking up the grief for the alleged cover ups of child abuse? That would seem a bit unfair but the subject stirs stronger emotions than almost anything we discuss regularly on here.
Re the Enoch comment, I think he only meant it in the same way that it would seem, at the moment, very strange to think of a white man as Pakistani.. maybe in 50 years time if there is mass immigration to Pakistan from Northern Europe it will seem racist in hindsight, but at the moment, if a Pakistani said it, I wouldn't feel like he was having a go at me
I'll dig out the full quote, but Enoch was a racist, and wrong on that, and many other things.
He was talking about the principle, which is what is currently espoused by Nick Griffin "If I were born in a barn, that doesn't make me a horse"
Indeed. It's not like there weren't non-whites who already had British passports and identified with this country in the 1960s.
There was a piece by Peter Oborne a few years ago, to tie in with his book on the D'Oliveria affair, said that it was the timing of the D'Oliveria affair is what damaged Enoch more than anything else.
Who would have thought that a Cape Coloured help changed the world, and this country, so much.
On the polls they are jumping around all over the place at the moment, the Tories have probably been hit more than Labour by the sex abuse cover up allegations and by Coulson's jailing, but the fundamentals remain, the Tories need to squeeze the UKIP vote back well below 10% towards 5% or they will lose, until that happens everything else is irrelevant. Cameron got a small boost from Juncker towards that goal, which has now receded, he has to keep focus on that aim
Cameron has got huge boosts every time he's stood up for the UK against the EU centralising power. UKIP do better whenever the EU is in the news. The Lb Dem vote collapsed when they tried to be "the party of in". Huge shares of the country want major powers, including control of immigration, back in national hands. When are the political establishment going to realise that euroscepticism is politically popular?
If the Conservatives came out and said, "We want A, B and C back from the EU or else we'll leave" they would win the next election. If they refuse to do that in order to stick up for a corrupt, undemocratic institution that has nothing but contempt for us, and let Ed Miliband in as a result, it will be sheer political malpractice.
Extraordinary surge by Labour, almost Teutonic. I find it really hard to understand what is causing this,
As the days go by, and even as it seems the Tories should be getting more support (rather than merely Labour support declining,as very slightly had appeared the case),it is getting harder and harder to see when the Tories will have a chance to turn things around,even as there appears not much that should impact them negatively in a significant way. If they haven't turned it around already, is the Ed M affect really enough on its own to stop it? It seems doubtful.
Comments
11 - is Harman sure she wasn't marginalised for being a batshit insane feminist zealot?
10 - Bercow's a precious little fellow, isn't he?
Could easily be 3-0 or 4-1 to them.
IN YOUR FACE NATE SILVER
Plus, I also tipped Muller as FGS.
Kerching.
Nate Silver of 538.com gives Brazil a 73% chance of winning tonight and therefore Germany only a 27% chance. He also gives Brazil a 54% chance of lifting the World Cup trophy.
So, TSE, either you or he is going to be very wrong this evening.
FWIW, I'm going with Nate!
Someone should write a science fiction story where wales save the world? ;-)
I'm so glad I backed Germany and Muller as FGS!
"Thavisha Peiris murder: Pizza delivery driver 'killed for phone'"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-28215567
"It's just like watching England"
I was gonna back over 2.5 goals and forgot!
Every player's going to get a goal.
As long as Germany don't go into double figures, Brazil will, at least, avoid total humiliation. #GER #BRA hahahahahahah
I guess this is one thing you can't make a Downfall parody clip out of
The Brazilians have certainly made me look a fool- after a couple of abject games, I thought they had picked up somewhat.
The First World War, was down to some truly bizarre treaties and alliances being invoked.
Things being slightly different, we could have been on the same side as Germany.
The Second World War, was the fault of the Frogs, with their vile Treaty of Versailles, it wasn't surprising Germany responded the way they did.
"What the hell is going on? Email alan.tyers@telegraph.co.uk or tweet me @alantyers if you prefer"
LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
Anyone know off-hand what the highest scoring world cup game was?
They were great friends at school (used to hang out together with Fiona Fowler).
Then one day Harriet turned to Mum and said "My uncle [Longford] says that your Dad married a bitch."
So my mother, not unreasonably, flattened her.
Unfortunately, what she hadn't realised is that Longford was referring to her father's first wife, of whose existence she was completely unaware...
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead jumps four points to seven: CON 31%, LAB 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%
But what?
Re the Enoch comment, I think he only meant it in the same way that it would seem, at the moment, very strange to think of a white man as Pakistani.. maybe in 50 years time if there is mass immigration to Pakistan from Northern Europe it will seem racist in hindsight, but at the moment, if a Pakistani said it, I wouldn't feel like he was having a go at me
Os Tories são brasileiros.
He was talking about the principle, which is what is currently espoused by Nick Griffin "If I were born in a barn, that doesn't make me a horse"
Ed is crap is landslide PM as YG joins the outlier trend.
300 days to go
Or as the government of the day are the tories picking up the grief for the alleged cover ups of child abuse? That would seem a bit unfair but the subject stirs stronger emotions than almost anything we discuss regularly on here.
Who would have thought that a Cape Coloured help changed the world, and this country, so much.
If the Conservatives came out and said, "We want A, B and C back from the EU or else we'll leave" they would win the next election. If they refuse to do that in order to stick up for a corrupt, undemocratic institution that has nothing but contempt for us, and let Ed Miliband in as a result, it will be sheer political malpractice.