politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ex-UKIP leader chosen by Tories to fight the seat’s where Farage is said to be interested
CON choose ex-UKIP leader to fight Thanet S
Against Farage?
My money's now going on LAB in this tight 3-way marginal pic.twitter.com/eG2CKD2MGQ
Read the full story here
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A chartered accountant who was leader of UKIP in 1997 and deputy leader from 1997-2000 is someone with too many weapons in his armoury.
Unlike Geoffrey Dickens, he would have understood the power of a photocopier.
Con having a very UKIP-ish candidate may help Lab squeeze those LibDems a bit harder (at least the liberal-left ones, don't know how many of those are in Thanet), but Lab need more than a LibDem squeeze, they need a big LibDem squeeze plus a decent-sized Con->UKIP movement that isn't matched by Lab->UKIP. This is looking less likely now than it was at the beginning of the year.
Looks like a Con hold to me.
Nearly as messy as the situation which is developing.
Con having a very UKIP-ish candidate may help Lab squeeze those LibDems a bit harder, but Lab need more than a LibDem squeeze, they need a big LibDem squeeze plus a decent-sized Con->UKIP movement that isn't matched by Lab->UKIP.
Looks like a Con hold to me.
Good point about the media's likely portrayal of the battle.
Labour's cause isn't helped by the choice of a 24 year old PPC who looks at least ten years younger than his age.
I absolutely agree that the Russians had a terrible experience through communist rule. Ever since the Mongol invasion, Russia has been beset with illiberal autocratic dictators, from the Tsars to the communists to the KGB kleptocrats currently in power. The constitutional, progressive rule from Kiev was replaced by the tyrannical rule of Moscow. But the suffering of the Russians does not justify being rewarded for ethnic cleansing, nor does it justify the invasion and annexation of foreign territory.
The iPad generation never knew the trials and tribulations we had to undergo.
/analysis
The idea that a someone would hand over a dossier of important information without keeping a copy of it, is insane.
The state banks in Soviet capitals always used at present them at meetings with the suggestion that you were being treated as a VIP. There was no option but to praise them effusively.
I preferred the approach of the new private sector banks which operated out of derelict industrial premises but served the most expensive chocolates imported from Maison du Chocolat in Paris.
As you will know I am not a natural Francophile and only a very limited snob, but I do believe that the French outran the Ukrainians in the Prix du Chocolat Stakes.
Depends on the resources of those who wanted the documents "lost"?
It does rather diminish the contention that pro-kippers are allowed no votes or winnable seats in the Tory party.
2010 General Election
Con 50%
Lab 27%
LD 17%
UKIP 5%
2011 Local Authority Elections (2007 results in brackets)
Con 47% (50)
Lab 38% (33)
LD 3% (1)
UKIP 2% (3)
2013 County Council Elections (2009 result in brackets)
Con 26% (44)
Lab 28% (26)
LD 3% (15)
UKIP 39% (9)
2014 Euro Elections (2009 figures in brackets)
Con 22% (30)
Lab 17% (13)
LD 3% (8)
UKIP 46% (22)
Of course the other question is whether Labour or Tories will divert funds from Con/Lab marginals to fight the 10 to 20 seats where UKIP potentially could threaten? From a Labour perspective it would seem a waste of money. If UKIP win a seat from the Tories that's another step toward Downing Street for Miliband so I doubt they would bother and that being the case can the Tories afford to?
Mackinlay was compensated with the post of Deputy Chairman and Treasurer by Holmes, but the latter too fell out with his colleagues due to his support for the primacy of the European Parliament over the Commission in 1999.
In a night of the long apostrophes, the UKIP NEC removed the entire leadership and voted Jeremy Titford as Leader, who in turn was replaced by Roger Knapman, before he too fell on his apostrophe, ceding centre stage to College, a joint founder of UKIP with Alan Sked in 1993..
Far too many apostrophes in the wrong place here, Sam.
I remember seeing a fax machine on Tomorrow's World! All that curly paper that went blank/black in the sunlight. Those were the days.
The skies are blue and the horizons promising.
PB is but a rose garden these days, with the threat from lefty aphids mostly under control.
Beware that Smarmeron though. He leaves a black spot on all petals.
I was at a comp, so too low budget for the more exotic nasal stimulants of the posh boys up the road!
"Spain is blocking Britain’s efforts to opt back in to the European Arrest Warrant, which controls the extradition of criminal suspects between EU member states.
For Britain to opt back in, all other states have to agree."
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2681940/James-Forsyth-Desperate-Nick-sends-MPs-survival-courses.html
http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2014/07/spain-gives-cameron-another-eu-headache.html
I used to use fungal killer on my Peach Weed - do you think that'd work? I had a devil of a problem with it all over my willows and honeysuckle one summer.
Is that the purple rot that destroys everything non indigenous?
Welcome back Plato!
I used to use fungal killer on my Peach Weed - do you think that'd work? I had a devil of a problem with it all over my willows and honeysuckle one summer.
I fear there is very little known to man which will keep Smarmeron down, Plato.
Although I have heard that Cameron is urging investment in pesticidinal research to combat newly developed immunities.
He does have the Miliband look about him, but Miliband snr. rather than jnr.
Thanx Dr Sunil. I was talking about your E Coli expertise on another board just a week ago!
Killer Cucumbers - what a story that was. How long ago did that happen?
Is that the purple rot that destroys everything non indigenous?
Welcome back Plato!
Ha! LOL
The right to self determination must be a cornerstone of British and European policy.
It's like stepping back in time! All the old faces are here, bar one *wink*
urbanherbology.org/2011/03/25/cleavers-nlkleefkruid-galium-aparine/
Welcome back, Miss Plato.
Just writing up the post-race piece. Mostly done, looking at the title races.
And nice to see Plato has returned
For the Conservatives, they will be making the 'Referendum Lock' (the Eu Bill) a feature of their campaign, passing new powers to the EU without a referendum shows that Bill to be worthless.
Narrow Tory hold.
And welcome back cat girl.
It will affect only the anti UKIP narrative in S.Thanet thus dooming the Tories if Farage stands, by making it a straight UKIP-Labour fight, but the Tories might not be in it to win it, just to prevent Farage from winning.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2014/07/uk-post-race-analysis.html
Lets see if he is all mouth and makes his overdue announcement of where he is going to stand.
Let us be honest here. You support Russian aggressiveness because you dislike the liberal democratic West, and prefer a society that violently attacks gays and is conspiratorial against Jews.
Http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2681949/Call-public-inquiry-historic-child-abuse-Forget-expenses-scandal-If-MPs-harboured-paedophiles-damage-British-democracy-fatal-says-MP-SIMON-DANCZUK.html
A natural conservative.
Then demanding a 'credible source'. As we've found, there's no objective measure of what you would describe as a credible source, except that they don't subscribe to certain views -an entirely subjective measure. A credible source is one that you agree with -so obviously there will be no 'credible' source for what he is alleging.
Your justification of mass shelling of civilian areas is especially pitiful considering this is precisely what you have described in Syria as 'Assad butchering/slaughtering/murdering (insert emotive verb here) his own people'.
As for your last flourish -it's kinder not to comment.
I apostrophise most sincerely, Neil.