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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » EdM might not be polling well at the moment but the idea t
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » EdM might not be polling well at the moment but the idea that David M would have done better is fanciful rubbish.
I was very taken by this comment from Edmund in Tokyo on the previous thread on why David Miliband would not have been the winner that his protagonists say he would:-
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First!
"David is BANANAMAN, ever alert for the call to action!"
Well, I've been looking ahead to Friday May 8th 2015 and I have some statements from the various Party leaders:
"We have won no seats but a great victory" - N.Farage
"Given the number of eggs thrown at me in the campaign, I had assumed "Alarm Clock Britain" had chosen me as the man they wanted most to have breakfast with. I was clearly mistaken. We have won a few seats and a great victory" - N.Clegg
"The British people have spoken and have sent me an unequivocal message which I intend to act on at once. Sam, time to go back to work while I mind the kids" - D.Cameron
"I received a concession call from David at 3am. My brother conceded he wished he'd won the leadership election in 2010. Apparently David Cameron also called and left a message." - E.Miliband
Argentina 0-0 Iran
Which was nice,
F1: watched the BBC highlights. If Bottas gets on the podium, he's got a bet that he'll wear the lederhosen the organisers gave every driver.
Miliband is a smart guy but completely lost the ability to be critical of himself and his views - primarily because he was used to so many people telling him how great he was.
I was too hungover for the morning Scottish thread (Go Stereotypes!) - and besides, Malcolm scares me.
However, since it's the world cup - I am allowing myself an early evening drunken britnat rant-
I'm just going to pick out one example, Race, but I'm sure this kind of logic overwhelms the campaign on both sides.
Yesssnp: Scotland has no problem with racism; therefore us, as clearly non-racist, people should vote to be independent.
I can't be bothered typing more - I shall just leave that as it stand for others to read into.
We will see. But many people are often passsive and can't inspire/motivate themselves somewhat sometimes.
Ed M rating -25, PM's -10
@tobyhelm: Voters would take UK out of EU in in/out ref now - 48 out to 37 stay in - but DC can turn it round if he renegotiates well says Op/Obs poll.
However, JB's mention has reminded me of something else: my recollection of the Rugby World Cup home crowd at Murrayfield some years back very vigorously cheering one of the visiting teams during the England versus Japan match. Now that was stated to be nothing more than being particularly hospitable to a tea coming from far away and with far less support than their opponents, but was it seen that way? And the interesting thing about that is that the demographic which reputedly plays rugby is not (also reputedly), let's say, very SNP-friendly. So if we were doing that, and also busily voting Labour and Tory while digging up Wembley to improve our backyairds, what does that say about the relation of supporting England (of whom Mr Salmond is the best known Scottish supporter, BTW) or otherwise?
[(of whom Mr Salmond is the best known Scottish supporter, BTW)]
Where do you get this crap from???
However, from one Pinot Grigio fan to another, Cheers/Sante/(insert from another language of your choice)
On the other hand, Bahrain's rubbish for overtaking, usually, yet was very exciting this year.
Very unsure how to bet. Trying to work out how easy/hard overtaking is. Both Mercedes are set up for it, but that could be indicative of fearing the genuine pace of Williams and the nature of the circuit. Hmmm.
Edited extra bit: watched Massa's pole lap. Feel overtaking may be tricky.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/27953598
http://news.sky.com/story/1286417/captured-honeymoon-killer-dies-from-wounds
David Miliband is crap with knobs on.
Ed Miliband is also crap, though not as crap as David, according to OGH.
My own thoughts are that ED, who is now the elected leader of Labour, should be anointed with the Grand Order of Crapola with Bar and take all the brickbats, complaints and rude tweets with a stiff upper lip as is expected from the leader of the British working class.
Wasn't it, like, a decade ago? No. Should be okay with all this DRS malarkey.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/27957803
This far out from the 2005 election (June 2004), opposition was 3% behind, they finished 3% behind
This far out from the 2001 election (Jul 2000), opposition was 7% behind, they finished 9% behind
This far out from the 1997 election (Jun 1996), opposition was 16% ahead, they finished 12.5% ahead.
This far out from the 1992 election (May 1991) opposition was 6% ahead, they finished 7.5% behind.
This far out from the 1987 election (May 1986) opposition was 7% ahead, they finished 11.5% behind
In all the elections except 2005 the opposition lost ground between this point and the election.
In all the elections that labour were the opposition (1997, 1992, 1987) they lost an average of 11.8% between this point and the election. Current opinion polls put Labour 1-4% ahead. I don't agree with much of what Dan Hodges says but I agree with him that labour have had it in the 2015 election - unless there is a spectacular economic bust between now and the election.
However I expect the can to continue be successfully be kicked along the road until the next election (as it has since 2010 rather than make any real reforms), so Gideon and co will have to deal with the now inevitable spectacular economic bust on their own after 2015.
(source http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2009/oct/21/icm-poll-data-labour-conservatives)
Last night I posted that Costa Rica were nearly 4/1 to defeat England and advised PBers to fill their boots, as I found this price astonishingly generous.
That said, I have heard and read Costa Rica do plan to rest some players against England (the shame, the shame for us English, Costa Rica FFS!), even taking that into account, I would still back Costa Rica, not only because of the "cash out" strategy that has proven so successful and profitable this World Cup.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/austria-pre-race.html
Go on then - What did I get wrong??
Small problem though. They don't have a majority. This sort of approach would have worked for Blair, Thatcher or even Brown.
But this is nowhere near enough if you don't have a majority to start with.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/21/eu-referendum-majority-leave-opinium-observer-poll?CMP=twt_fd
'Meow. Labour PPC tries to undermine and deride a visit to his constituency from the Conservative Prime Minister,'
What else do you expect from a Blair patsy?
He should play the youngsters and leave all the older ones out. Rooney, Gerrard and co might as well make a start on their holidays
How are you playing it Mr Union?
One that involves Ed (is crap) as an option. But apparently not - as previously stated we're getting 2 for 1 today - Team OGH is Genius!!!
I'm not a member of the "Ed is crap" club. Part of me suspects that any Labour leader would be subject to the jibes, waspish comments and the like from the Conservative-inclined. Even Tony Blair was a victim (demon eyes and the persistent attacks on Cherie). It's all part of the political game so to speak...
Ed has made mistakes as LOTO as did Cameron before him - that's part of the process and like Cameron, he's had or will have five years to get his act together before he presents himself as a credible alternative Prime Minister.
A Prime Minister is for me not defined in terms of crisis - they are actually quite easy - but in terms of the smaller things. How would Ed M handle a Ministerial scandal or a clear case of negligence or incompetence ? He is or would be primus inter pares but that means convincing the electorate as much as his own party he can command as well as lead.
In politics as in life, some times you're the pigeon and some days you're the statue and it's how you handle the statue days or weeks that speaks volumes about personal character and suitability to lead.
Much better for some stir fry washed down with Pinot Grigio and Australian Durif Shiraz ...
Actress Patsy Byrne – aka Blackadder’s Nursie – dies aged 80
http://metro.co.uk/2014/06/21/actress-patsy-byrne-aka-blackadders-nursie-dies-aged-80-4770979/
Anyway, life's too short to worry too much about footy. A decent Australian shiraz always makes me remember a day out to which we treated ourselves in Oz - one of those upmarket tours with a guide. We'd been decanted from the 4x4 and told to wander along while the guide cooked lunch, and I managed to spot the koalas getting their z's in the tree forks before a very nice steak or two and some Shiraz just a little warm from the sun. And I saw an echidna. Definitely a red-letter day. Monotremes are far more important than footy.
It's true!!! But I like footy and it's on the telly on a Saturday night - Ms Briskin supports Ghana as being from the continent of her birth (probably) - I support Germany on the basis of their sexy accents (opinion) - Who will win???
And on the same trip we also saw a platypus swimming in the twilight - so I am also happy. (As well as having a few more glasses than I perhaps should have.)
Hope all are well.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/21/neil-kinnock-ed-miliband-2015
Ed is crap is PM Less than 11 months to go.
In fact every June Poll results in Ed is crap is PM
Schoolyard stuff at it's worst. Every last one of us would look "weird" eating a sarnie if selected from 1,000 stills. If you watch the tape, he looks perfectly normal.
He really didn't.
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/england-world-cup-tormentor-luis-suarez-set-leave-liverpool-barcelona-talks-progress-1453462
More often than not leaders / visits are a waste of everyone's time and don't help win you votes. Amazed that you manage to find such a positive.