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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : June 12th 2014

SystemSystem Posts: 12,213
edited June 2014 in General

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : June 12th 2014

Now, I know there is the small matter of a massive football competition happening in Brazil over the next few weeks which will (according to Bloomberg television) attract some $5 billion worth of bets during the competition, but let’s not forget that with the Liberal Democrats on 6% of the vote in some polls and UKIP’s leader declaring over £200,000 worth of gifts in the last ten …

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Comments

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    I think we missed Baghdad north which on preliminary results seems to be an ISIS gain on a remarkable swing.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    DavidL said:

    I think we missed Baghdad north which on preliminary results seems to be an ISIS gain on a remarkable swing.

    Would that be the result of them "going postal" ?
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Latest
    20.05 The Associated Press reports that a small group of US military personnel and several hundred contractors, who were training the Iraqi military to use drones and fighter jets, are being evacuated from an Iraqi airbase.
    QuoteOfficials say three planeloads of Americans are being evacuated from a major Iraqi air base in Sunni territory north of Baghdad to escape potential threats from a fast-moving insurgency.
    A current US official and a former senior Obama administration official say that means the American training mission at the air field in Balad has been grounded indefinitely.
    Twelve US personnel who were stationed at Balad were the first to be evacuated. Several hundred American contractors are still waiting to leave.
    They have been training Iraqi forces to use fighter jets and surveillance drones.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iraq/10892299/Iraq-crisis-al-Qaeda-militants-push-towards-Baghdad-live.html
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    MarkHopkins said:

    DavidL said:

    I think we missed Baghdad north which on preliminary results seems to be an ISIS gain on a remarkable swing.

    Would that be the result of them "going postal" ?
    It's what people are always telling me on here. It is the ground game that counts.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    RodCrosby said:

    Latest
    20.05 The Associated Press reports that a small group of US military personnel and several hundred contractors, who were training the Iraqi military to use drones and fighter jets, are being evacuated from an Iraqi airbase.
    QuoteOfficials say three planeloads of Americans are being evacuated from a major Iraqi air base in Sunni territory north of Baghdad to escape potential threats from a fast-moving insurgency.
    A current US official and a former senior Obama administration official say that means the American training mission at the air field in Balad has been grounded indefinitely.
    Twelve US personnel who were stationed at Balad were the first to be evacuated. Several hundred American contractors are still waiting to leave.
    They have been training Iraqi forces to use fighter jets and surveillance drones.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iraq/10892299/Iraq-crisis-al-Qaeda-militants-push-towards-Baghdad-live.html

    It's sounding like Saigon all over again. Remarkable.

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Good evening, everyone.

    Cheers to Mr. Hayfield for this piece.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    DavidL said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Latest
    20.05 The Associated Press reports that a small group of US military personnel and several hundred contractors, who were training the Iraqi military to use drones and fighter jets, are being evacuated from an Iraqi airbase.
    QuoteOfficials say three planeloads of Americans are being evacuated from a major Iraqi air base in Sunni territory north of Baghdad to escape potential threats from a fast-moving insurgency.
    A current US official and a former senior Obama administration official say that means the American training mission at the air field in Balad has been grounded indefinitely.
    Twelve US personnel who were stationed at Balad were the first to be evacuated. Several hundred American contractors are still waiting to leave.
    They have been training Iraqi forces to use fighter jets and surveillance drones.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iraq/10892299/Iraq-crisis-al-Qaeda-militants-push-towards-Baghdad-live.html

    It's sounding like Saigon all over again. Remarkable.

    Indeed, Balad was one of, if not the most important airbase in Iraq...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Base_Balad
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    While Iraq goes up in flames -

    Alec Luhn @ASLuhn

    Just saw through 3 tanks flying Russian flag outside #Donetsk, heading toward #Slavyansk. Same T-72s reported by the Russian border today?

  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Marc Waddington @WaddingtonPost

    A Liverpool Labour councillor who was at Hillsborough tells me he is considering resigning from party over Miliband holding copy of the Sun

  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    This is odd from Salmond, of course they were going to release the email no story if they didn't/couldn't

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/10896396/Alex-Salmond-attacks-Telegraph-for-publishing-smear-email.html
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Tykejohnno said:


    Marc Waddington @WaddingtonPost

    A Liverpool Labour councillor who was at Hillsborough tells me he is considering resigning from party over Miliband holding copy of the Sun

    How things change! - only three years ago Ed was demanding Rupert Murdoch's empire must be dismantled, now he's promoting it. - Oh well, 30 pieces of silver for Labour's coffers?
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Good old Harry; you put those world cup fanatics to shame. Local by-elections carry on regardless.
    Bets that ISIS don't take Bagdad tomorrow. ;)
  • MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    DavidL said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Latest
    20.05 The Associated Press reports that a small group of US military personnel and several hundred contractors, who were training the Iraqi military to use drones and fighter jets, are being evacuated from an Iraqi airbase.
    QuoteOfficials say three planeloads of Americans are being evacuated from a major Iraqi air base in Sunni territory north of Baghdad to escape potential threats from a fast-moving insurgency.
    A current US official and a former senior Obama administration official say that means the American training mission at the air field in Balad has been grounded indefinitely.
    Twelve US personnel who were stationed at Balad were the first to be evacuated. Several hundred American contractors are still waiting to leave.
    They have been training Iraqi forces to use fighter jets and surveillance drones.
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iraq/10892299/Iraq-crisis-al-Qaeda-militants-push-towards-Baghdad-live.html

    It's sounding like Saigon all over again. Remarkable.

    If Al Maliki doesn't want the Gadaffi treatment he might need to be getting those Iranians into Baghdad sharpish.
  • FluffyThoughtsFluffyThoughts Posts: 2,420
    Off-topic:

    And sorry to be so. That said we appear to have a new troll (and not the Tromso type)!

    So, in their honour, I would like to dedicate a song to them.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3nqEwJGL3pI

    Happy posting Speedy! ;)
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Reuters: actor Harrison Ford has been injured on the Pinewood Studios set of 'Star Wars: Episode VII' in London and was taken to hospital
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    @electionista: #Italy - Beppe Grillo’s M5S votes to join EFD with UKIP - 29,584 people voted, result:

    EFD 78.1%
    NI 11.9%
    ECR 10%

    http://t.co/HGCll87BNG
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Tykejohnno said:

    Reuters: actor Harrison Ford has been injured on the Pinewood Studios set of 'Star Wars: Episode VII' in London and was taken to hospital

    How can you get injured on a set that's basically a green screen?

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    ToryJim said:

    @electionista: #Italy - Beppe Grillo’s M5S votes to join EFD with UKIP - 29,584 people voted, result:

    EFD 78.1%
    NI 11.9%
    ECR 10%

    http://t.co/HGCll87BNG

    I am truly astonished that 29,584 people had a view on this. I wouldn't have thought you would find such a level of interest in the whole of the EU.

  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    DavidL said:

    ToryJim said:

    @electionista: #Italy - Beppe Grillo’s M5S votes to join EFD with UKIP - 29,584 people voted, result:

    EFD 78.1%
    NI 11.9%
    ECR 10%

    http://t.co/HGCll87BNG

    I am truly astonished that 29,584 people had a view on this. I wouldn't have thought you would find such a level of interest in the whole of the EU.

    Unless it was like Dunny-on-the-Wold and one person had a view 29,584 times ;)
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    ToryJim said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    Reuters: actor Harrison Ford has been injured on the Pinewood Studios set of 'Star Wars: Episode VII' in London and was taken to hospital

    How can you get injured on a set that's basically a green screen?

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/3am/celebrity-news/harrison-ford-crushed-star-wars-3682600
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Tykejohnno said:

    ToryJim said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    Reuters: actor Harrison Ford has been injured on the Pinewood Studios set of 'Star Wars: Episode VII' in London and was taken to hospital

    How can you get injured on a set that's basically a green screen?

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/3am/celebrity-news/harrison-ford-crushed-star-wars-3682600
    Hmm, not good
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited June 2014
    Farage and UKIP face fines and Farage a possible prison sentence

    Daily Telegraph article on Electoral Commission investigation into allegations that UKIP failed to declare more than £200,000 of donations to the party and that allowances paid by the EP were misappropriated.

    A spokesman for the Electoral Commission said: “The donations in kind have been reported late. The party election finance team is now reviewing all of the information.

    “Once that process is complete we will decide whether any action needs to be taken.

    Full article: http://bit.ly/1nz7Uf9

    Kipper watchers should take careful note that Stuart Wheeler resigned as Treasurer of the Party with effect from July 1. Wheeler's three year stint as Treasurer did not co-incide with the period under investigation by the Electoral Commission and it is not known whether his resignation is connected to the allegations.

    See: http://bit.ly/1xPKfg1
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    ToryJim said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    ToryJim said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    Reuters: actor Harrison Ford has been injured on the Pinewood Studios set of 'Star Wars: Episode VII' in London and was taken to hospital

    How can you get injured on a set that's basically a green screen?

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/3am/celebrity-news/harrison-ford-crushed-star-wars-3682600
    Hmm, not good
    But then we get this -

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2656549/Harrison-Ford-injures-ankle-set-Star-Wars.html

  • MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    lawfare was always next on the cards
  • Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476
    Evening all, Sorry that I have not been able to follow the thread this evening.
    A number of my FB friends have been arguing to boycott Uber because of their tax planning.
    I have tried pointing out that pretty well every big company does the same thing and all entirely legally.
    Has anyone got a good link that points to all the stuff that Facebook, Apple and Amazon et al do to avoid tax?
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    AveryLP said:

    Farage and UKIP face fines and Farage a possible prison sentence

    Daily Telegraph article on Electoral Commission investigation into allegations that UKIP failed to declare more than £200,000 of donations to the party and that allowances paid by the EP were misappropriated.

    A spokesman for the Electoral Commission said: “The donations in kind have been reported late. The party election finance team is now reviewing all of the information.

    “Once that process is complete we will decide whether any action needs to be taken.

    Full article: http://bit.ly/1nz7Uf9

    Kipper watchers should take careful note that Stuart Wheeler resigned as Treasurer of the Party with effect from July 1. Wheeler's three year stint as Treasurer did not co-incide with the period under investigation by the Electoral Commission and it is not known whether his resignation is connected to the allegations.

    See: http://bit.ly/1xPKfg1

    Farage doesn't face a jail sentence @AveryLP, so stop bigging it up. He may have to pay a fine and that depends how the law is interpreted.

  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682
    MikeK said:

    AveryLP said:

    Farage and UKIP face fines and Farage a possible prison sentence

    Daily Telegraph article on Electoral Commission investigation into allegations that UKIP failed to declare more than £200,000 of donations to the party and that allowances paid by the EP were misappropriated.

    A spokesman for the Electoral Commission said: “The donations in kind have been reported late. The party election finance team is now reviewing all of the information.

    “Once that process is complete we will decide whether any action needs to be taken.

    Full article: http://bit.ly/1nz7Uf9

    Kipper watchers should take careful note that Stuart Wheeler resigned as Treasurer of the Party with effect from July 1. Wheeler's three year stint as Treasurer did not co-incide with the period under investigation by the Electoral Commission and it is not known whether his resignation is connected to the allegations.

    See: http://bit.ly/1xPKfg1

    Farage doesn't face a jail sentence @AveryLP, so stop bigging it up. He may have to pay a fine and that depends how the law is interpreted.

    I see Avery also failed to mention this bit:

    "“Every year since 2001, Mr Farage has declared in his European Parliament Register of Interests the use of a rent-free office from J Longhurst Ltd. The premises has been used as his MEP office so the European Parliamentary register was the logical place for it to be declared."
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    BBC Breaking News ✔ @BBCBreaking

    Interest rate rise could happen this year, Bank of England governor Mark Carney signals http://bbc.in/1xPOyYx & follow @bbckamal

  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682
    DavidL said:

    ToryJim said:

    @electionista: #Italy - Beppe Grillo’s M5S votes to join EFD with UKIP - 29,584 people voted, result:

    EFD 78.1%
    NI 11.9%
    ECR 10%

    http://t.co/HGCll87BNG

    I am truly astonished that 29,584 people had a view on this. I wouldn't have thought you would find such a level of interest in the whole of the EU.

    Not really. Grillo's party has a huge following in Italy and the membership were asked to choose. The English version of the consultation is here

    http://www.beppegrillo.it/en/

    The signed up membership for M5S is apparently around 250,000 so you are only looking at around 12% having voted.
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    MikeK said:

    AveryLP said:

    Farage and UKIP face fines and Farage a possible prison sentence

    Daily Telegraph article on Electoral Commission investigation into allegations that UKIP failed to declare more than £200,000 of donations to the party and that allowances paid by the EP were misappropriated.

    A spokesman for the Electoral Commission said: “The donations in kind have been reported late. The party election finance team is now reviewing all of the information.

    “Once that process is complete we will decide whether any action needs to be taken.

    Full article: http://bit.ly/1nz7Uf9

    Kipper watchers should take careful note that Stuart Wheeler resigned as Treasurer of the Party with effect from July 1. Wheeler's three year stint as Treasurer did not co-incide with the period under investigation by the Electoral Commission and it is not known whether his resignation is connected to the allegations.

    See: http://bit.ly/1xPKfg1

    Farage doesn't face a jail sentence @AveryLP, so stop bigging it up. He may have to pay a fine and that depends how the law is interpreted.

    As the Telegraph article states:

    According to Electoral Commission rules, Mr Farage could theoretically face a 12-month jail sentence if he is found to have committed an offence, though this is thought unlikely.

  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Dear Blair,
    Thanks for everything.
    Love
    Iraq

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/open-letter-tony-blair-people-3680549
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    MikeK said:

    AveryLP said:

    Farage and UKIP face fines and Farage a possible prison sentence

    Daily Telegraph article on Electoral Commission investigation into allegations that UKIP failed to declare more than £200,000 of donations to the party and that allowances paid by the EP were misappropriated.

    A spokesman for the Electoral Commission said: “The donations in kind have been reported late. The party election finance team is now reviewing all of the information.

    “Once that process is complete we will decide whether any action needs to be taken.

    Full article: http://bit.ly/1nz7Uf9

    Kipper watchers should take careful note that Stuart Wheeler resigned as Treasurer of the Party with effect from July 1. Wheeler's three year stint as Treasurer did not co-incide with the period under investigation by the Electoral Commission and it is not known whether his resignation is connected to the allegations.

    See: http://bit.ly/1xPKfg1

    Farage doesn't face a jail sentence @AveryLP, so stop bigging it up. He may have to pay a fine and that depends how the law is interpreted.

    I see Avery also failed to mention this bit:

    "“Every year since 2001, Mr Farage has declared in his European Parliament Register of Interests the use of a rent-free office from J Longhurst Ltd. The premises has been used as his MEP office so the European Parliamentary register was the logical place for it to be declared."
    I did link to it though and was very self-disciplined in not linking to the more detailed allegations of how Farage and UKIP may have misspent EP allowance money which have been widely published on the internet.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Brazil 4/11
    Croatia 17/5
    Draw 9/1

    https://www.betfair.com/sport/event/in_en?id=27113539
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Oh dear an own goal. Oops.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    POBWAOG.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Buffs Nails

    I did tip Croatia at 14/1
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    As Captain Kirk would put it:
    TSEEEEE!!!!
    ToryJim said:

    Oh dear an own goal. Oops.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    If Brazil loses it could be the trigger for some nasty street action later tonight.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Do I cash out now or not?
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Do I cash out now or not?

    Tough one.
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    The same Farage/UKIP Electoral Commission investigation story, this time from our national broadcaster, the revered BBC:

    http://bbc.in/1ljvdcZ

    Kippers will be relieved to know that Auntie hasn't mentioned the possibility of a jail sentence.
  • Me_Me_ Posts: 66
    Andy

    There will be no nasty street action today. No climate for this here at this moment.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited June 2014
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Do I cash out now or not?

    Now.
    Brazil will be forced to go on the attack.

  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    ToryJim said:

    Oh dear an own goal. Oops.

    College or Brazil?

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Welcome to pb.com, Mr. Me_.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    How about our middle east peace envoy goes in person to sort out the mess?

    Seems fair to me...
    MonikerDiCanio said:

    Dear Blair,
    Thanks for everything.
    Love
    Iraq

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/open-letter-tony-blair-people-3680549

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    edited June 2014
    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.

    I can cash out at £30 quid now, or £140 quid later if Croatia do win.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Is it me or are Brazil not as pretty as usual?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    edited June 2014
    Mr. Eagles, personally, I'd cash out now.

    Edited extra bit: worth mentioning I'm generally a cautious better (bettor?), though.
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited June 2014
    Morris_Dancer said:

    Welcome to pb.com, Mr. Me_.

    Welcome back, MD!

    As stjohn posted on Me_'s last short visit:

    "Hello, Me_

    Is it you_?"

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Well, it'll be a much better game to watch if Brazil are a goal down for most of the time.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Mr. LP, I've only been gone a few hours!

    Still, I suppose even a few hours without the site's foremost differential front end grip enthusiast must seem a terribly long time.

    Got an early bet in mind for Austria. Odds nowhere near good enough, yet.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    Ooops Brazil not having a good start... Like TSE ive got a bet on Croatia but ive already cashed out now!
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    Any team with Luiz at centre half is going to vulnerable . That is why Mourinho has moved him on.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Brazil seem to be slowly waking up a bit.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited June 2014
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.

    I can cash out at £30 quid now, or £140 quid later if Croatia do win.
    Its like the weakest link, play it safe or go for more?
    Look if I were in the Brazillian mafia or something I would have bet on Croatia for the money.
    But will they keep Croatia winning, or put a goal in the last minute after they cashed in?
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    Getting a little tasty!
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Slackbladder said:

    Getting a little tasty!

    Brazil certainly look likely to get one back,
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    Did we need goalline technology for that?
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Billy Bragg ✔ @billybragg

    Could the embarrassing own goal scored by #Brazil be a tribute to Ed Miliband's Sun-loving photo-shoot?

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Mr. LP, oh, I see. At least, I think I do.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Tykejohnno said:


    Billy Bragg ✔ @billybragg

    Could the embarrassing own goal scored by #Brazil be a tribute to Ed Miliband's Sun-loving photo-shoot?

    #QTWAIN
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    This is getting a little ill tempered
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    If Ed doesnt read the papers, whats he doing with the Sun?
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Now that's more like it.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Glad I cashed out.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    YES YES YES!!!!
    My bet is alive, ITS ALIVE.
  • Me_Me_ Posts: 66
    People are simply getting crazy here.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Cheats equalise. - Neymar should have been sent off.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Slackbladder said:

    If Ed doesnt read the papers, whats he doing with the Sun?

    Page 3?
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    Well thank f*** i cashed out
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Congrats on the profits, Mr. Slackbladder, Mr. Eagles.

    One of the nicest things about betting is when you're ahead whatever happens.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    edited June 2014
    ToryJim said:

    Slackbladder said:

    If Ed doesnt read the papers, whats he doing with the Sun?

    Page 3?
    ToryJim said:

    Slackbladder said:

    If Ed doesnt read the papers, whats he doing with the Sun?

    Page 3?
    Ed's reply to that is -


    http://order-order.com/2014/06/12/ed-spilliband/

    ;-)
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    edited June 2014
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.

    I can cash out at £30 quid now, or £140 quid later if Croatia do win.
    So staying in = backing Croatia at 4.66/1, yes? How does that compare with the odds you could get from a bookie right now?

    Edited: question now academic, I see.

  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    Morris_Dancer said:

    Congrats on the profits, Mr. Slackbladder, Mr. Eagles.

    One of the nicest things about betting is when you're ahead whatever happens.

    Im always rather cautious... If i can get out ahead, i try to make sure i do.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,779
    This brazil team isnt a patch on recent ones though
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    As I said days ago Jordan is nervous about the Syrian rebels and ISIS:

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/sheerafrenkel/jordan-worries-that-after-iraq-and-syria-it-will-be-the-next

    “They keep wanting to talk about toys and we want to talk about real threats,” Hamid Hamzawy, a Jordanian tank commander, said as he left the meeting. “The Americans have no idea what to do, and they don’t want to come up with a plan. They are telling us to wait and be patient, but we all know where that will get us.”
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Ishmael_X said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.

    I can cash out at £30 quid now, or £140 quid later if Croatia do win.
    So staying in = backing Croatia at 4.66/1, yes? How does that compare with the odds you could get from a bookie right now?

    Edited: question now academic, I see.

    You can back them at 11/1
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    edited June 2014
    Slackbladder said:

    This brazil team isnt a patch on recent ones though

    Definitely not, but as long as their better than the other 31 in the competition ;)

    Edit -they're (oops)
  • MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    AveryLP said:

    The same Farage/UKIP Electoral Commission investigation story, this time from our national broadcaster, the revered BBC:

    http://bbc.in/1ljvdcZ

    Kippers will be relieved to know that Auntie hasn't mentioned the possibility of a jail sentence.

    A jail sentence so soon after the media's gang attack at the euros would probably be worth an extra 3%.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    I have decided to lay Brazil for the world cup.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I have decided to lay Brazil for the world cup.

    Hmm, wise on the evidence so far but they could improve
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Mr. Slackbladder, I tend to prefer hedging bets with F1, but often this season I've either bet with Ladbrokes or only at short odds (where hedging doesn't really make sense), so there's little divergence between my hedged and bet-and-forget columns so far.

    Of course, I backed Hamilton recently at 1.9 to offset the longer odds bet I made pre-season on Rosberg.
  • MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    oil price going up will be good for the russkis
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.

    I can cash out at £30 quid now, or £140 quid later if Croatia do win.
    So staying in = backing Croatia at 4.66/1, yes? How does that compare with the odds you could get from a bookie right now?

    Edited: question now academic, I see.

    You can back them at 11/1
    So if you fancy their chances the rational move would be to cash out and then stick a tenner on at 11/1, surely?

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    MrJones said:

    AveryLP said:

    The same Farage/UKIP Electoral Commission investigation story, this time from our national broadcaster, the revered BBC:

    http://bbc.in/1ljvdcZ

    Kippers will be relieved to know that Auntie hasn't mentioned the possibility of a jail sentence.

    A jail sentence so soon after the media's gang attack at the euros would probably be worth an extra 3%.
    It did wonders for Gerry Adams.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Harrison Ford has been injured on the set of Star Wars VII.
    That might delay the film.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Ishmael_X said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, depends on the odds. I'd be tempted at low single figures.

    I can cash out at £30 quid now, or £140 quid later if Croatia do win.
    So staying in = backing Croatia at 4.66/1, yes? How does that compare with the odds you could get from a bookie right now?

    Edited: question now academic, I see.

    You can back them at 11/1
    So if you fancy their chances the rational move would be to cash out and then stick a tenner on at 11/1, surely?

    Yeah, sometimes in play markets take all the fun out of watching the event
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Main story in the Liverpool echo.

    Liverpool Mayor Joe Anderson condemns Labour leader Ed Miliband for supporting The Sun newspaper

    http://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/liverpool-mayor-joe-anderson-condemns-7261657
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Mr. Eagles, I used to bet on tennis/F1 in-play. Now I don't. Always watch/listen to F1 on the TV and just check tennis for the numbers. Find I enjoy F1 much more, and take more in.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Now the only thing I need is Brazil to win at full time.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Morris_Dancer said:

    Mr. Eagles, I used to bet on tennis/F1 in-play. Now I don't. Always watch/listen to F1 on the TV and just check tennis for the numbers. Find I enjoy F1 much more, and take more in.

    The worst thing is, when you're own team is involved.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Oh Crude Oil is close to a 6 year high.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    This is a definite WTF story

    http://news.sky.com/story/775948/granny-72-having-a-baby-with-her-grandson
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    Mr. Eagles, another F1 advantage. I deliberately avoided supporting any team or driver (and try not to be against anyone, though Maldonado makes that hard) when I started betting. Hasn't affected my enjoyment of things a jot.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    ToryJim said:

    This is a definite WTF story

    http://news.sky.com/story/775948/granny-72-having-a-baby-with-her-grandson

    Front page on the Sun and Mirror tommorow I predict.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    Sun Politics @Sun_Politics · 16s

    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead increases to six points: CON 32%, LAB 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Sun Politics @Sun_Politics

    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead increases to six points: CON 32%, LAB 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%

  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Sun Politics @Sun_Politics · 16s

    YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour lead increases to six points: CON 32%, LAB 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%

    Hmm
This discussion has been closed.