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How important was each of the following as a possible reason for your decision to vote UKIP at the European elections on Thursday? (Only those that replied 10/10 are shown – 10 being very important)
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is a subset of
Why people didn't vote Conservative.
Because they are inane. They want to step closer to the chasm of purple darkness which will engulf us all as we crawl on our knees towards our doom.
3 hours.
VI: UKIP (Con)
Not have enough money to live comfortably: 61 (41)
Be victim of burglary, robbery or mugging: 49 (24)
Suffer directly from public service spending cuts: 71 (38)
Lose out to foreign factories/workers: 68 (37)
Lose job: 61 (40)
Lose home: 50 (21)
Suffer discrimination from local councils/employers: 50 (19)
Suffer ill-health: 58 (38)
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ind922q389/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-020614.pdf
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/iainmartin1/100274383/the-scottish-nationalists-are-losing-it/
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/jun/02/five-myths-ukip-conservatives-farage-newark
And that probably is the most fearful part of the electorate - if only because survival in the 21st century demands an education (and indeed a level of self-esteem) they haven't got.
And yet the Nats on here are unfailingly polite and models of charm and decorum.....
I see the handful of posters on thewebsitethatcannotbenamed are impotently lurking here then venting their frustration......bless.....
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/fh13w2r2ie/FULL_April_May_Eurotrack_Results_Website.pdf
Three weeks before they had UKIP on 38% with CON on 18%. On the day the gap between the two parties was 3.6%.
The ComRes final poll came bottom in terms of accuracy.
@Sun_Politics: 'Labour will never return to Downing Street as long as Ed is their leader' http://t.co/qW4AX878Kw
UK/France/Germany - net agree:
Most crimes committed by immigrants: -26 / -4 / -7
Govt should persuade immigrants to go home: -17 / -3 / -7
Politicians personally corrupt: +10 / +43 / +11
90 minutes 90 seconds
Immigration, EU, and a sense of being left behind/ignore/alienated by society/the main parties.
I'm not sure how many of these voters it will be easy to win back on policy grounds
http://ronaldmacdonaldblog.tumblr.com/post/87595725921/currency-crisis-costs-for-an-independent-scotland
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-27675343
More like the country's most self seeking arse licking greedy cretins whined today,
posted by the sites biggest whiner.
Oh, wait...
The YeSNP were tweeting about it madly last night. Was it not good news still being, um, not in the lead?
You're obviously not a Kipper, but using your method of stereotyping .... and assuming you're a voter, you're either a baby-eater, a communist traitor, or a sandal-wearing hippy who disapproves of other people stereotyping.
He has now left it too late running in to the GE to offer anything credible.
1 - Does anyone offer spread betting on politics these days?
2 - Is there an up to date starting guide anywhere? Obviously I have the book.
Thanks
The biggest reason is the sense that nobody represents them any more---they feel either ignored, or taken for granted. They'll give specifics, like immigration, if pushed, but that is not their starting point.
Our voters hear their favourite football manager 'take poisitives' when they have just lost 5-1. They expect he will 'learn lessons from the experience'. When they hear politicians parrotting this drivel, they recogonise it for the bullshit it actually is.
I respect our supporters sense of frustration with, and alienation from, the other parties. They have little interest in any of UKIP's policies on our main concerns, let alone on other issues.
How far can being on the right side of the zeitgeist take us? None of us has a clue. But, and for the first time ever, we are enjoying the trip.
But yes the ebb and flow of the Indyref has fizzled of late and the debates have become too one-sided. If it keeps on like this I'll jump to your side of the fence until the 18th. :-)
Carnyx and TUD do engage in argument - most of the other Nats labour under the delusion that abusing other posters make their targets' and not themselves, look bad.......but we can observe their self pity from a safe distance in other places....
The Conservative 2010 split showed the lowest Cons retention for 2014 at 69% and the highest UKIP desertion at 23%.
Also the LD split showed the highest desertion to UKIP at 15%.
I'm having a bad week and barely slept last night because things are so bad at work.
Thanks for cheering up a stressed, tired man Alan.
It's tough to make a philosophical ansŵer why brexit without a referendum is better than an in-out vote. Referendum now vs 2017 isn't that fundamental a point - more one of tactics. If you don't think Cameron will keep his promise the your beef isn't with the EU really. - it's with Cameron.
on immigration - yes things. Should be tightened, but without leaving the EU it's tough to take tha strong a positîon.
If Scotland votes No it'll be interesting to see how the most ardent Yes supporters respond.
I also see that an unelected foreign bureaucrat has called on us to raise taxes. Given our recovery is much better than most of Europe's (all of Europe's?) perhaps he should be offering advice to France instead.
"Their leader is someone like me."
"The other parties are all the same."
"We need a new kind of politics."
In 2015, UKIP will sweep up a lot of these votes. (Just as Bepe Grillo's 5 Stars has picked up a lot of these votes in Italy.)
100 years of misgovernment by the Lab/Lib/Con.
75 years of mismanaging Britain's decline by the Lab/Lib/Con.
40 years of surrender to the EU by the Lab/Lib/Con.
New Thread please!
There'll be the Grumpy Index, whether the No is taken in good heart or with lots of grumbling, and whether Salmond copies the EU vileness of trying to ask the question again as soon as possible, ignoring the will of the people.
Unlike the EU, however, Salmond's party could win a majority again, which could be considered the nod from the people for Poll 2: Poll Harder. However, if he doesn't rule out a second referendum that could put off voters who quite like the SNP as a party of government but don't want years more of referendum and debate about separation.
The really interesting one is "UKIP say what they think". I'd have thought that's a pretty obvious avenue of attack for other parties. It's hardly as if there aren't examples of UKIP being all things to all men (women, not so much).
20 minutes
Talk about double speak, expunge all record of the Labour mismanagement and perhaps the electorate will forget. Orwellianism at its worst.
http://news.sky.com/story/1274139/muslim-school-plot-fears-were-raised-in-1994
Mr. L, Uruguay's undoubted victory will probably not make a difference. I suspect England not winning the World Cup has been anticipated by everyone.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/benedictbrogan/100274424/the-end-of-the-united-kingdom-as-we-know-it/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to JNN the launch of the ARSE 2015 General Election "JackW Dozen" - 13 seats that will determine the nature of the contest.
The 13 seats are a geographically and political spread of various target and marginal seats - 3 seats from the joint London and the South region, 3 from the East including a Ukip target, 2 each from the North and Midlands and 1 seat each from the West country, Wales and Scotland.
From Tuesday 10th June the regular ARSE 2015 national projection will be joined by the "JackW Dozen" and will be called as follows :
TCTC - Too Close To Call - Under 500 votes.
LIKELY HOLD/GAIN - 500 - 2500 votes.
HOLD/GAIN - Over 2500 votes.
The "JackW Dozen" with the 2010 winner, majority and second placed party are :
Bury North - Con - 2,243 - Lab
Pudsey - Con - 1,659 - Lab
Broxtowe - Con - 389 - Lab
Warwickshire North - Con - 54 - Lab
Cambridge - LibDem - 6792 - Con - 3 way marginal.
Ipswich - Con - 2,079 - Lab
Watford - Con - 1,425 - LibDem - 3 way marginal.
Croydon Central - Con - 2,879 - Lab
Enfield North - Con - 1,692 - Lab
Cornwall North - LibDem - 2,981- Con
Vale of Glamorgan - Con - 4,276 - Lab
Ochil & South Perthshire - Lab - 5,187 - SNP
Great Yarmouth - Con - 4,276 - Lab - Ukip target
......................................................................................
WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
JNN - Jacobite News Network
ARSE - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors
Nats: 'Free Unicorns for Everyone!'
Unionists: 'Where from?'
Nats: 'We've heard it all before, no true Scot, too wee, too poor, too thick, what you don't understand is, the campaign hasn't started yet, its all about GOTV'
Did I miss anything?
How flexible is your ARSE? That is, if Labour remain ~4pts ahead in, say, September, will its outpourings change?
Interested to see your seat forecasts.
I wonder if Fett's Four will feature - Dewsbury, Northampton N, Hove, Stroud.
yoyoegg
Wee Eck has taken advice from constitutional expert Professor Yaffle.
Your four seats all made my long list but failed to make the final cut.
I’m sure the good folk of Scotlandshire will take a NO vote in good spirit. – Although personally, I will not be venturing forth beyond Berwick-on-tweed, just in case they don’t.
http://joesaward.wordpress.com/2014/06/03/forza-rossa-gets-an-entry/
That's good news, with Caterham up for sale and potentially out of the sport it's good the field won't (probably) be down to 20 or even fewer cars.
I look forward to your predictions.
Should they have just done the referendum on devo-max?
It seems Scotland's destined for devo-max, as it's called, whether they want it or not. Unless England finally gets some sort of equality in the realm of devolution they might as well divide the union now.
The Nats have been whining about that on Twitter too.
It's essential that the referendum delivers a definitive Yes or No to separation.
If it's No to separation, the state of devolution is open for debate.
If it's Yes to separation, devolution is extinct.
" Romanian Forza Rossa team could join in 2016"
Will their neighbours in the next garage be comfortable with a bunch of Romanians moving next door, or would they prefer Germans?
Salmond did not win a mandate for DevoMax - he won a mandate for Independence - can you imagine the shrieking (to use their favourite word) from the Nats if it was a Devomax and not independence referendum?
The pool of seats available for the UK "JackW Dozen" was of course much larger and indeed took much longer than I had expected, compared to my US Presidential "JackW Dozen" where the 13 swing states were largely self selecting.
Hopefully I'll edge a little better that the US election where I called 12 correct to within a point or so and only miscalled one - Florida for Romney by 0.5 point against the actual Obama by 0.5 point. It comes to something when you can't rely on the GOP to swing a close election for their man - hanging chads, my arse !!
@Susie_Wolff: Hi liebe deutschen Follower, meine neuste Kolumne bei @focusonline:
http://t.co/iK4xiTu1Iq http://t.co/okRV5JXZfp
Which segment is more likely to drift back to other parties? The second, I suppose; if they don't vote UKIP they generally won't vote, but some will say "oh, all right then" to their former parties. Any of us who see the UKIP vote as a great reservoir of potential support are kidding themselves, though.
(Please imagine some kind of "lighthearted" font here- I'm not being entirely serious)
This Strathclyde business does look like replaciong the West Lothian questions with a few hundred other questions tho...
It was one of the reasons that it made the cut together with the fact that I wanted a far spread of marginal target seats from the most marginal out to around 4.5k
This is the key bit of the Strathclyde model, and what makes it so interesting and potentially transformative. He proposes convening a committee of all the parliaments and assembles of the UK to discuss how the UK is run and how power and responsibilities are allocated. The implication is obvious: it needs to change. Lord Strathclyde knows his constitutional politics. He also knows, after watching the mess the current devolution model has made and the wider state of British politics in an age of popular frustration with its practitioners, that the status quo cannot hold.