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I did not have truthful relations with those answers – politicalbetting.com

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  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,848
    Barnesian said:

    I haven't watched the debate, but given the hype, was this Kemi's Kinnock Westland moment?

    Not really. She did OK. She had six prepared questions that she had provided to Starmer in advance, which was novel.

    Malmesbury at 7pm has the best explanation of why Robbins didn't tell Starmer.
    What was the rationale for providing the questions to Starmer in advance? An attempt to actually get him to answer the question, as opposed to pivoting to a different question he wants to answer?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 17,434

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    That's not entirely fair or relevant. A PB poster doesn't get paid by the taxpayer to be across every contentious political issue in real time. The PMs job is, among other things, to have reliable political nous, and to listen to advice from people who know stuff. As the PM now says it got it wrong at the time of appointment, it is reasonable to draw attention to the fact that he could have done better.

    The mystery arising from his admission is this: it, the original appointment, is plainly a much more egregious and consequential error that the alleged errors of Robbins who has been sacked for them. The PM is far too keen on sacking people for errors less significant than his own. He should have offered his resignation already.

    A proper target is all the journalists who said how marvellous peterM's appointment it was at the time and have now changed their minds.

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,828

    I haven't watched the debate, but given the hype, was this Kemi's Kinnock Westland moment?

    I made that parallel too. She did better than Kinnock, but he set the bar very low indeed.

    Starmer was uncharacteristically slippery. He was very, very unconvincing.

    Starmer needs to plan his exit. He was harangued from all sides. Badenoch was OK but not as on point as Davey and McDonnell.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 2,028
    Feels like this story needs something new and headline grabbing or else it will wither away.

    Starmer staggers on to lose a new fight another day.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 6,305
    algarkirk said:

    Have we noted that Matt is back and on form?

    https://x.com/MattCartoonist/status/2046266838837821871

    I'm following X links and just ending up on random comments. A new enshittification.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 26,274
    Foxy said:

    Cookie said:

    Cyclefree said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    This doesn't make sense to me. The previous ambassador, Karen Pierce, was by all accounts doing a good job and the White House liked her. What's the basis for saying that Mandelson would manage Trump or those around him better? It seems to be taken as a given. But should it? So is there some other reason for the appointment? That's one question which should be asked.

    And the other is whether Mandelson was sharing confidential information obtained while Ambassador with his mates and, if so, who? I'd be looking at China and some of the other oddly pro-China decisions Starmer has been taking and doing a bit of digging.
    Chagos, for one.
    That was a deal worked up by the previous administration. You may not like it, but it isn't down to Mandelson, or even Starmer.
    As US Ambassador Mandelson would have had confidential information about it and the US view on it. If he was unnecessarily close to the Chinese as is alleged, his presence in the US as Ambassador would have been helpful. We already know that he passed sensitive confidential information to Epstein. How can we be reassured that he was not doing something similar to his latest buddies?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 17,434

    I haven't watched the debate, but given the hype, was this Kemi's Kinnock Westland moment?

    I made that parallel too. She did better than Kinnock, but he set the bar very low indeed.

    Starmer was uncharacteristically slippery. He was very, very unconvincing.

    Starmer needs to plan his exit. He was harangued from all sides. Badenoch was OK but not as on point as Davey and McDonnell.
    Unconvincing indeed. There is a smoking gun, unrelated directly to the confected fracas, which is making the appointment in the first place. The other metaphorical smoking gun is that he expects others to resign/be sacked for making lesser mistakes but not himself. But the overall depressant is that no-one believes for a moment the high minded moral stuff about 'I would not have appointed him if I had known'. It's not a smoking gun, but when a defendant is in the witness box a jury is entitled to say 'I don't believe him; the story is not capable of being believed as a complete and truthful account, even if I don't know where the truth lies, it isn't in what he is saying.'

    Which is where I find myself.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,618
    I wish SKS fans would explain this.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,828
    Cyclefree said:

    Foxy said:

    Cookie said:

    Cyclefree said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    This doesn't make sense to me. The previous ambassador, Karen Pierce, was by all accounts doing a good job and the White House liked her. What's the basis for saying that Mandelson would manage Trump or those around him better? It seems to be taken as a given. But should it? So is there some other reason for the appointment? That's one question which should be asked.

    And the other is whether Mandelson was sharing confidential information obtained while Ambassador with his mates and, if so, who? I'd be looking at China and some of the other oddly pro-China decisions Starmer has been taking and doing a bit of digging.
    Chagos, for one.
    That was a deal worked up by the previous administration. You may not like it, but it isn't down to Mandelson, or even Starmer.
    As US Ambassador Mandelson would have had confidential information about it and the US view on it. If he was unnecessarily close to the Chinese as is alleged, his presence in the US as Ambassador would have been helpful. We already know that he passed sensitive confidential information to Epstein. How can we be reassured that he was not doing something similar to his latest buddies?
    You might be making the same error I made when Foreign Secretary Johnson rocked up without his minders to a KGB party in Italy. In the intervening years I was told by many on here that there was nothing to see. If that was true of the Foreign Secretary it might be true of the Ambassador.

    Personally I'd charge them both with treason and see what a jury made of it.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,191
    Cyclefree said:

    Foxy said:

    Cookie said:

    Cyclefree said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    This doesn't make sense to me. The previous ambassador, Karen Pierce, was by all accounts doing a good job and the White House liked her. What's the basis for saying that Mandelson would manage Trump or those around him better? It seems to be taken as a given. But should it? So is there some other reason for the appointment? That's one question which should be asked.

    And the other is whether Mandelson was sharing confidential information obtained while Ambassador with his mates and, if so, who? I'd be looking at China and some of the other oddly pro-China decisions Starmer has been taking and doing a bit of digging.
    Chagos, for one.
    That was a deal worked up by the previous administration. You may not like it, but it isn't down to Mandelson, or even Starmer.
    As US Ambassador Mandelson would have had confidential information about it and the US view on it. If he was unnecessarily close to the Chinese as is alleged, his presence in the US as Ambassador would have been helpful. We already know that he passed sensitive confidential information to Epstein. How can we be reassured that he was not doing something similar to his latest buddies?
    Starmer said a full investigation is in progress on this very point
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,593
    edited April 20

    I wish SKS fans would explain this.

    For a lawyer he is far too pure and innocent to be Prime Minister.

    Imagine thinking Peter Mandelson wasn't a wrong 'un.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,886

    I wish SKS fans would explain this.

    for a lawyer he is far too pure and innocent to be Prime Minister.

    Imagine thinking Peter Mandelson wasn't a wrong 'un.
    Starmer thought that Mandelson may be a wrong 'un, but he's our wrong 'un. It turned out that this was naive.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,388

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    Revenge by Speaker for Starmer's behaviour the other day about not answering any questions?
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 3,146

    I wish SKS fans would explain this.

    It's easy, Starmer made the mistake of employing McSweeney as his chief of staff, McSweeney was Mandelson's acolyte, Mandelson wanted the gig as ambassador, so all Starmer's advisors were telling him what a great idea it would be to appoint Mandelson.
    After Brexit, Johnson etc most of the competent civil servants were gone and the remainder were used to twisting the process to suit the boss.
    So they overruled the vetting and hid it behind confidentiality. Once the shit hit the fan they've just been covering their arses.
    Doesn't excuse Starmer from not having the sense to not appoint Mandelson.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,325

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    I never could stand Mandelson but I think most realize including myself why Starmer took the gamble . And at the time we hadn’t seen the further Epstein fallout .

    The general consensus was it was very risky given his past but I don’t think people thought it would end up being such a total catastrophe .
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,886

    Question is whether Starmer's premiership dies of the Mandelson scandal or with it.
    And whether the Labour Party goes on to suffer from Long Mandelson.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 22,100

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    A mistake, in my opinion. Journalists will feel they've heard it all today, and nobody else will pay attention.

    Starmer obviously (IMO) won't resign two weeks before the local elections. Potentially afterwards, depending how bad they are.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,191

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    A mistake, in my opinion. Journalists will feel they've heard it all today, and nobody else will pay attention.

    Starmer obviously (IMO) won't resign two weeks before the local elections. Potentially afterwards, depending how bad they are.
    Olly Robbins evidence in the morning will be a big moment and means the emergency debate will be able to look at the whole picture
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,692

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    Revenge by Speaker for Starmer's behaviour the other day about not answering any questions?
    Either that, of it's a plan to bore the nation rigid, so that we all just give up ?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,204
    We find out from Robbins if he's been bribed or not. If he backs up Starmers story he's accepted the promise of jam tomorrow. If he sticks the knife in, then he hadn't.
  • Cookie said:

    Cyclefree said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    This doesn't make sense to me. The previous ambassador, Karen Pierce, was by all accounts doing a good job and the White House liked her. What's the basis for saying that Mandelson would manage Trump or those around him better? It seems to be taken as a given. But should it? So is there some other reason for the appointment? That's one question which should be asked.

    And the other is whether Mandelson was sharing confidential information obtained while Ambassador with his mates and, if so, who? I'd be looking at China and some of the other oddly pro-China decisions Starmer has been taking and doing a bit of digging.
    Chagos, for one.
    Yes. What looks like an act of outright treason, and no one can seriously explain it
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    edited April 20
    Tres said:

    so this is all a big nothing burger then?

    It's a burger. It's Starmer's Partygate basically.

    Is it a Mandelgate?
  • MelonBMelonB Posts: 17,363
    edited April 20

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    A mistake, in my opinion. Journalists will feel they've heard it all today, and nobody else will pay attention.

    Starmer obviously (IMO) won't resign two weeks before the local elections. Potentially afterwards, depending how bad they are.
    I think he’s in the departure lounge now. I’m not sure the final trigger will be the locals because they’re already priced in, but my feeling is that, as with Boris, the next new scandal that comes along ends it. Because then the PLP will reason that there’s more to come.

    The lack of an obvious successor really creates a problem for Labour. The idea that, say, Rayner could take over when she is also known for a scandal just stretches credibility.
  • MelonBMelonB Posts: 17,363
    Have we seen this?

    If you think the nuclear-powered supercarrier USS Gerald R. Ford is the most powerful ship in the world, you are wrong. It's actually the German cruise ship Mein Schiff 4 (pictured), which successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend

    https://bsky.app/profile/marceldirsus.com/post/3mjwd7pzer224
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 17,434
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    I never could stand Mandelson but I think most realize including myself why Starmer took the gamble . And at the time we hadn’t seen the further Epstein fallout .

    The general consensus was it was very risky given his past but I don’t think people thought it would end up being such a total catastrophe .
    What however doesn't work is for Starmer to take the gamble, lose the bet, others like Robbins lose their stake and Starmer remains PM.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,886
    https://x.com/shashj/status/2046245393336283561

    "According to another person familiar with the situation, the solution [i.e. mitigation] for Mandelson was to restrict access to certain classified documents on China specifically" https://ft.com/content/9f8d01dd-4ef8-475e-8b76-9cb0e325fb60?syn-25a6b1a6=1

    Not an uncommon mitigation for DV'd people with country-specific issues.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,828

    Question is whether Starmer's premiership dies of the Mandelson scandal or with it.
    It isn't just Mandelson. The two years of missteps and inertia have been nails in the coffin. Starmer has presided over the most disappointing premiership since Anthony Eden's.

    Over to you Ange*.
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922
    MelonB said:

    Have we seen this?

    If you think the nuclear-powered supercarrier USS Gerald R. Ford is the most powerful ship in the world, you are wrong. It's actually the German cruise ship Mein Schiff 4 (pictured), which successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend

    https://bsky.app/profile/marceldirsus.com/post/3mjwd7pzer224

    I bet the food onboard is better as well (although given the photos of what is being served on board the USS Gerald R. Ford that wouldn't be difficult.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,388
    Beware the ides of May...




    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham

    Mandelson: where we are tonight

    Keir Starmer got through his showdown in parliament today and lives to fight another day - but it’s only half-time and his fate now rests with Olly Robbins tomorrow.

    On the big question on the process, as of right now Starmer does seem to have a defence.

    From what we know it appears Robbins did not tell anyone in No10. Not Starmer, not his political aides, not Jonathan Powell. Even cabinet secretary Chris Wormald wasn’t told.

    It’s pretty extraordinary, but allies of Robbins are indicating that’s right and he was bound by how he saw the rules.

    If that holds during tomorrow’s appearance, Starmer will be able to say, as an ally argues tonight, that he couldn’t have done anything about the vetting fail because he and no one around him knew.

    The danger from Robbins therefore could instead come from what he says about how No10 rushed the appointment.

    He could say Starmer / No10 led him to believe the appointment was a fait accompli and had already disregarded the PET due diligence on China/Russia. That would be highly damaging.

    Labour MPs who spoke to us tonight are saying it’s incredibly grim but they don’t think there’ll be a move against Starmer this week. That said, it’ll factor into their considerations in May.


    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2046303960911274062
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,828
    Tres said:

    so this is all a big nothing burger then?

    I don't think it is. If it isn't the end it is close to the end. The May elections should do the trick.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,961

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    A mistake, in my opinion. Journalists will feel they've heard it all today, and nobody else will pay attention.

    Starmer obviously (IMO) won't resign two weeks before the local elections. Potentially afterwards, depending how bad they are.
    It keeps the Madelson affair in the news and covers Starmer and Labour in even more shit and keeps it in the news till the Local Elections. Anything.that sees Labour in a bad light has to be positive for the Tories
  • Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    edited April 20
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    I never could stand Mandelson but I think most realize including myself why Starmer took the gamble . And at the time we hadn’t seen the further Epstein fallout .

    The general consensus was it was very risky given his past but I don’t think people thought it would end up being such a total catastrophe .
    This is true, but it doesn't change anything. Starmer presumably tried a "It seemed like a good idea at the time" argument for size and rejected it as impossible for someone associated with the world's most prominent paedophile. So he resorted to made up excuses.

    Normally reliable commentators claim both Badenoch and Farage supported the Mandelson appointment at the time, although I can't find any references to this. This also doesn't change anything. They didn't appoint the guy.
  • Tres said:

    so this is all a big nothing burger then?

    I don't think it is. If it isn't the end it is close to the end. The May elections should do the trick.
    Why? May is already priced in.

    He should have gone when Mandelson went. But I am struggling to see what developments now have really changed anything.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,920

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Spoilers.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,418

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
  • Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 25,472

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    A mistake, in my opinion. Journalists will feel they've heard it all today, and nobody else will pay attention.

    Starmer obviously (IMO) won't resign two weeks before the local elections. Potentially afterwards, depending how bad they are.
    It keeps the Madelson affair in the news and covers Starmer and Labour in even more shit and keeps it in the news till the Local Elections. Anything.that sees Labour in a bad light has to be positive for the Tories
    And even better for Reform and the Greens.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,446
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    I never could stand Mandelson but I think most realize including myself why Starmer took the gamble . And at the time we hadn’t seen the further Epstein fallout .

    The general consensus was it was very risky given his past but I don’t think people thought it would end up being such a total catastrophe .
    Yes; my own impression was that all the 'dirty linen' had already been disclosed.
  • If you think the whole thing was a mistake as I do, what exactly has changed?

    It’s like with Partygate, we all knew our views as soon as it came out.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,446
    MelonB said:

    Have we seen this?

    If you think the nuclear-powered supercarrier USS Gerald R. Ford is the most powerful ship in the world, you are wrong. It's actually the German cruise ship Mein Schiff 4 (pictured), which successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend

    https://bsky.app/profile/marceldirsus.com/post/3mjwd7pzer224

    A different kind of cruiser!
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,246

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
  • Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go
  • The anonymous briefing continues.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,418

    https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/2046292906785243614

    Scoop from Sky’s @joncraig confirmed - the Speaker has accepted Kemi Badenoch application for an emergency debate on Peter Mandelson under Standing Order 24.

    Badenoch said: “There remain serious inconsistencies in the government's position.”

    Will take place after Olly Robbins has given evidence to the Foreign Affairs Committee.

    Depending on any Urgent Questions and Ministerial Statements, it could start anytime from 12.30pm…

    A mistake, in my opinion. Journalists will feel they've heard it all today, and nobody else will pay attention.

    Starmer obviously (IMO) won't resign two weeks before the local elections. Potentially afterwards, depending how bad they are.
    Nobody in the real world is paying attention already. They are scared shitless that Trump's madness is going to lose them their job, or make their gas bill 3x what it was last winter, or shutter their local pub, or blow up their chances of buying a starter home etc etc.

    Meanwhile this carnival lurches its way through Westminster. A blizzard of he said that, she wrote that, this email said this, the process says this, the precedent says this, a cabinet secretary in the 19th century once said that etc etc.

    I doubt the public have a bloody clue.

    I'm not saying that it is not important - frankly this is a massive national security issue - but down in main street people have other worries.

    Labour has no message to sell. It is a vacuum, into which their opponents will insert the message "Labour have no reason to be worthy of your vote."

    That resonates.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,191

    The anonymous briefing continues.

    Link
  • carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,593
    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,193
    Tonight the whole case rests on the idea that having been told repeatedly that Mandleson had passed, he should have not believed them. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.

    What a shit show.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,418
    AnneJGP said:

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    I never could stand Mandelson but I think most realize including myself why Starmer took the gamble . And at the time we hadn’t seen the further Epstein fallout .

    The general consensus was it was very risky given his past but I don’t think people thought it would end up being such a total catastrophe .
    Yes; my own impression was that all the 'dirty linen' had already been disclosed.
    I really doubt that. I have never seen it referenced in the press here, but I have heard fascinating stuff that comes through South African intelligence. Can't believe that doesn't circulate as needing checking out. If there's anything in it, he should be nowhere need a diplomatic role.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 581
    edited April 20
    The problem for Starmer and indeed the government is they thought they had a huge majority and from day one, ministers , including him got their messy paws in the trough. However, there's no big majority because the party is riven by splits and division. There was never any popular support for the programme or for Starmer - the USP was and remains that they're not Tories. The economy is down the pan, prices through the roof, Trump hates us, the E U don't trust us and the boats are still coming. Meanwhile half the Labour MPs and ministers have no clue what a woman is! What was that song again after 97? 😆😆😆😆😂😂😂
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,886

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 22,876

    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
    And Starmer followed the advice of Michael Blooming Gove??!?!

    That's it. Starmer has to go, ideally before Compline.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,817

    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
    Tainted Gove!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,510
    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    I think Starmer's mistake is not leaning into this. Yes, he's a disgraced ex-minister and friend of noted paedophile, Jeffrey Epstein. But that's why we hired him!
  • carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    edited April 20

    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
    Yes, a cretinous opinion, in retrospect. In fact I bet I myself made some pro-Mandelson remarks at the time. Feel free to call me a cretin, too

    But Gove is not in government, and nor am I. Starmer is not only in government, he is the PM, and he made the decision, unprompted. No one expected it, no one asked for it

    What's more, Starmer had more info than any of us about Mandy's ongoing friendship with Epstein, post-conviction. It's all utterly indefensible and Starmer has to resign - quite apart from the lies and cover-up
  • Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
    Starmer should have resigned for picking Mandelson. But I am not convinced anything that has come out since is really a resigning matter.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,446

    AnneJGP said:

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    It’s truly a mystery that Starmer with his ming vase pre-election decided to start juggling with it after one too many after being elected .

    Sadly no one was there to talk him back from the ledge . We know why a slimy corrupt individual was thought a good fit for Trump but still why on earth even take the chance .
    You've been posting on here for quite a time. Did you (and others here of similar view) write a post on here to that effect and in such strong terms back in December 2024, or were you silent then and are just drawing on hindsight now?
    I never could stand Mandelson but I think most realize including myself why Starmer took the gamble . And at the time we hadn’t seen the further Epstein fallout .

    The general consensus was it was very risky given his past but I don’t think people thought it would end up being such a total catastrophe .
    Yes; my own impression was that all the 'dirty linen' had already been disclosed.
    I really doubt that. I have never seen it referenced in the press here, but I have heard fascinating stuff that comes through South African intelligence. Can't believe that doesn't circulate as needing checking out. If there's anything in it, he should be nowhere need a diplomatic role.
    I have no such sources. I believed that they wouldn't have appointed him unless everything was already 'on the table'.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,204

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There are going to be an awful lot of pissed of ex labour councillors. The backbone of local political parties. The ones who help the MPs get elected. The pressure will be there. And yet in his stupid twisted lawyerly ming Starmer probably believes his version of events and that he is the only possible leader for the party. After all, he did deliver a 500 seat majority.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,418
    I hadn't clocked that Spurs penultimate game of the season is Chelsea. How much would they enjoy chucking Spurs out of the Premierhip?
  • carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There are going to be an awful lot of pissed of ex labour councillors. The backbone of local political parties. The ones who help the MPs get elected. The pressure will be there. And yet in his stupid twisted lawyerly ming Starmer probably believes his version of events and that he is the only possible leader for the party. After all, he did deliver a 500 seat majority.
    And all that may result in him quitting. But I don’t buy a challenge.
  • Nigelb said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
    That should have been a clue just how shit an idea it was.
    The honest question is why on earth did they not? That’s the truly baffling thing about this.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    The editor of The Spectator was a fan of making Mandy our man in Washington.

    Michael Gove: Why Peter Mandelson is the best choice to handle Trump

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/michael-gove-peter-mandelson-best-us-ambassador-28rg89sx0
    Yes, a cretinous opinion, in retrospect. In fact I bet I myself made some pro-Mandelson remarks at the time. Feel free to call me a cretin, too

    But Gove is not in government, and nor am I. Starmer is not only in government, he is the PM, and he made the decision, unprompted. No one expected it, no one asked for it

    What's more, Starmer had more info than any of us about Mandy's ongoing friendship with Epstein, post-conviction. It's all utterly indefensible and Starmer has to resign - quite apart from the lies and cover-up
    Yes, I cannot say with certainty that I didn't think appointing a known risk like Mandelson was a terrible idea, but I make no apology for expecting those with power over us to make better decisions on our behalfs.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,418

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There are going to be an awful lot of pissed of ex labour councillors. The backbone of local political parties. The ones who help the MPs get elected. The pressure will be there. And yet in his stupid twisted lawyerly ming Starmer probably believes his version of events and that he is the only possible leader for the party. After all, he did deliver a 500 seat majority.
    And all that may result in him quitting. But I don’t buy a challenge.
    After the locals, just the threat of a challenge will be enough.
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922
    edited April 20
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Let's take a step back

    THE WHOLE THING IS RIDICULOUS

    Against the advice of his civil servants, and contrary to actual vetting, Keir Starmer appointed a twice disgraced ex Minister to our most important diplomatic role: not only that Starmer apppointed a man who the PM KNEW maintained a close friendship with a child sex convict and trafficker, Jeffrey Epstein, AFTER that man, Epstein, had been convicted of these crimes

    If the Tories did this the universe would explode in outrage (and, rightly)

    Why did Starmer do it? Why take that insane security risk? There is no explanation other than "Mandelson would know how to talk to Trump, he's another sex criminal"

    Really???

    Setting aside the ongoing lies and cover-up, the absurd "stolen phone", this is enough, Starmer has gotta go

    I think Starmer's mistake is not leaning into this. Yes, he's a disgraced ex-minister and friend of noted paedophile, Jeffrey Epstein. But that's why we hired him!
    Trump is a money grabbing slimeball who you can't trust as far as you can throw him and continually changes his mind to whatever will earn him a few more quid this second.

    So we appointed Mandelson because he's our equivalent.
  • carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There are going to be an awful lot of pissed of ex labour councillors. The backbone of local political parties. The ones who help the MPs get elected. The pressure will be there. And yet in his stupid twisted lawyerly ming Starmer probably believes his version of events and that he is the only possible leader for the party. After all, he did deliver a 500 seat majority.
    And all that may result in him quitting. But I don’t buy a challenge.
    After the locals, just the threat of a challenge will be enough.
    Maybe. Not convinced yet.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 56,870
    edited April 20

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    He won't fall voluntarily, he needs to be pushed. He has a Trump sized Ego.
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 5,498

    https://x.com/shashj/status/2046245393336283561

    "According to another person familiar with the situation, the solution [i.e. mitigation] for Mandelson was to restrict access to certain classified documents on China specifically" https://ft.com/content/9f8d01dd-4ef8-475e-8b76-9cb0e325fb60?syn-25a6b1a6=1

    Not an uncommon mitigation for DV'd people with country-specific issues.

    Except Mandelson also had USA-specific issues (Epstein). Which is a bit for a problem for the ambassador to the USA.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    Yesterday we recorded a "Who is the worst post-war Prime Minister" episode of Emergency Podcast. Which we had to split in 2 as we were having so much fun!

    Seemed apt with Starmer so beloved. Here's part 1 https://youtu.be/ri9fkLoh18w
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,553

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There are going to be an awful lot of pissed of ex labour councillors. The backbone of local political parties. The ones who help the MPs get elected. The pressure will be there. And yet in his stupid twisted lawyerly ming Starmer probably believes his version of events and that he is the only possible leader for the party. After all, he did deliver a 500 seat majority.
    And all that may result in him quitting. But I don’t buy a challenge.
    I think there is more chance of big defections to the Greens.
  • Foxy said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    He won't fall voluntarily, he needs to be pushed. He has a Trump sized Ego.
    I just don’t believe that’s true.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,502
    Foxy said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    He won't fall voluntarily, he needs to be pushed. He has a Trump sized Ego.
    Then he's going nowhere. Labour couldn't kill an ant with a machine gun.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,692
    Foxy said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    He won't fall voluntarily, he needs to be pushed. He has a Trump sized Ego.
    He really doesn't.
    If that were really the case, he wouldn't have been so absurdly timid about doing stuff like planning reform etc.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,692
    The oil market just passed its breaking point.
    And it doesn’t matter if the Strait of Hormuz opens tomorrow.
    Here’s why the damage is already done 🧵

    https://x.com/AlaliQasem/status/2046260617388933289

    Any oil traders around to comment on this thread ?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,886

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    Nigelb said:

    The oil market just passed its breaking point.
    And it doesn’t matter if the Strait of Hormuz opens tomorrow.
    Here’s why the damage is already done 🧵

    https://x.com/AlaliQasem/status/2046260617388933289

    Any oil traders around to comment on this thread ?

    Fun fun fun in the sun sun sun
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922
    Nigelb said:

    The oil market just passed its breaking point.
    And it doesn’t matter if the Strait of Hormuz opens tomorrow.
    Here’s why the damage is already done 🧵

    https://x.com/AlaliQasem/status/2046260617388933289

    Any oil traders around to comment on this thread ?

    He's pulling from https://www.hfir.com/p/wctw-the-oil-market-breaking-point-eab and I think it's accurate, even if everything is fixed tomorrow the delivery timescales are such that some countries are going to use up all their reserves before the next delivery arrives.
  • carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    Not on Labour.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,502

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,817

    Nigelb said:

    The oil market just passed its breaking point.
    And it doesn’t matter if the Strait of Hormuz opens tomorrow.
    Here’s why the damage is already done 🧵

    https://x.com/AlaliQasem/status/2046260617388933289

    Any oil traders around to comment on this thread ?

    Fun fun fun in the sun sun sun
    "Ace Starmer - what a guy!"
  • ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    As I’ve said many times, PB has an extremely poor grasp of the Labour Party in general.
  • I would be staggered if Sir Keir hasn’t worked out or is in the progress of working out a deal with a successor right now.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,618
    Jonathan said:

    Tonight the whole case rests on the idea that having been told repeatedly that Mandleson had passed, he should have not believed them. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.

    What a shit show.

    Missed you
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,692

    ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    As I’ve said many times, PB has an extremely poor grasp of the Labour Party in general.
    So does Starmer.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,886
    ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    Brown successfully brought down Blair in the end.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,204

    ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    As I’ve said many times, PB has an extremely poor grasp of the Labour Party in general.
    I think that overstates it. Posters saying he’s toast are not saying AND he’s gone tonight or tomorrow morning. They are saying that he has reached his culmination point, to use a military analogy. The decline is set, he will be gone and can no longer master events to stay in power.
  • ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    As I’ve said many times, PB has an extremely poor grasp of the Labour Party in general.
    I think that overstates it. Posters saying he’s toast are not saying AND he’s gone tonight or tomorrow morning. They are saying that he has reached his culmination point, to use a military analogy. The decline is set, he will be gone and can no longer master events to stay in power.
    This was all said weeks ago when they last predicted he was off.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 9,355
    Foxy said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Foxy said:

    So Starmer say that "It is staggering and unbelievable that I wan't told that Mandelson had failed vetting"

    For once he is right, it is unbelievable...

    If Starmer says he wasnt told and Olly Robbins says he didn't tell him tomorrow, will you accept that?
    If Starmer hadn't picked up over 30 years that Mandleson is a wrong 'un, as we all have seen from so many incidents over the years, then he is even more obtuse than I though possible.

    It should never have needed to go to vetting.
    I'm focusing on the narrow question as to whether Starmer was told Mandelson failed vetting. People are saying it is impossible when to me it seems the most likely explanation by far.

    If Robbins tomorrow morning says, I spoke to Starmer and told him PM failed vetting, I will believe him and think Starmer should resign.

    But if Robbins admits he didn't tell Starmer or Lammy or Cooper then its right he has been sacked.
  • Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    As I’ve said many times, PB has an extremely poor grasp of the Labour Party in general.
    So does Starmer.
    Indeed.

    But that’s why I’m extremely confident Burnham will end up being PM. Labour will retreat into itself and he is like a warm hug for these people.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,204

    ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    Brown successfully brought down Blair in the end.
    And then Brown brought down Brown by being, well Brown. I’d argue that there was a successful challenge to Corbyn but he just refused to go…
  • ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    Brown successfully brought down Blair in the end.
    No he didn’t. Blair resigned.

    They had a completely pointless and ineffective coup that went nowhere.
  • ydoethur said:

    carnforth said:

    Oh what a shock. Sir Keir hasn’t resigned.

    Yet.
    I’m say this as somebody who very much wants him to go. But what is going to change now?
    May results + Mandy > May results?
    But isn’t May already priced in?
    I don't think so. Labour have adopted the BRACE position, but it will still hit them like a punch to the solar plexus if the results are anything like the predictions.
    With the greatest of respect, your intuition on Labour is poor. They don’t chuck out leaders.

    Sir Keir might quit. But he will not be formally challenged.
    There have been plenty of leadership challenges over the years. They just tend to be less successful than recent Tory ones.
    There has never been a successful challenge mounted against an incumbent Labour leader.
    Brown successfully brought down Blair in the end.
    And then Brown brought down Brown by being, well Brown. I’d argue that there was a successful challenge to Corbyn but he just refused to go…
    And so to my point. Starmer gets challenged and he’ll dig in.

    The briefing remains anonymous because they know he’s not going anywhere and instead they’re working out deals to have somebody else take over when Starmer seems it so. It’s obvious.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,692
    Kash Patel has attempted defamation suits against journalists before, including a suit filed in Texas, over report that Patel was spending more time at nightclubs than at FBI HQ

    Months later, defendant is now requesting "the Court grant his motion to dismiss and permit him to move for an award of attorney’s fees and costs" against Patel

    https://x.com/MacFarlaneNews/status/2046271617962238091
This discussion has been closed.