Yes we Kam? – politicalbetting.com
Yes we Kam? – politicalbetting.com
? BREAKING: Kamala Harris says she is considering a run for president in 2028.“Are you going to run again in 28?”KAMALA: “Listen, I might, I’m thinking about it.” pic.twitter.com/8OQBKTe2Cq
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That’s about it.
Harris has had her run at it. She should have been president instead of Trump. I don't even think she did badly in the campaign, which was a lot closer than people think or Trump pretends it was, and closer than Biden's win in 2020. But we are where we are.
But whilst I don't think she did that badly (look how the other 2024 incumbents fared globally), and I doubt that the Dem candidate matters much in 2028 (either anyone wins for them or nobody wins for them), it might be better for the US to move on if there's a fresher face on the ballot.
As I noted with some prescience maybe a week ago, the way to solve this crisis was for Iran to charge tariffs to transit the Straits of Hormuz - and cut Trump personally into 20% of what is raised.
"I get on great with the Mullahs. I understand them and they understand me. They are good, God-fearing folk.
And I am a God."
You heard it here first.
Also, him saying the US will cut off all trade with Spain. He does know there is no "Spain" when it comes to trade, only the EU?
Crispin Odey abandons £79mn libel case against the FT over sexual misconduct claims
The FT had said 15 women were willing to testify in court against former hedge fund boss
Crispin Odey has dropped his £79mn libel claim against the Financial Times over its reporting of sexual misconduct allegations against him, acknowledging that the FT would win in its defence.
In a letter on Friday afternoon, lawyers for the former hedge fund boss said he had been “forced to accept” that the FT was “likely to succeed in establishing” its public interest defence.
Odey’s abrupt U-turn came only two months after the FT had served him with the substantial disclosure of the evidence that it intended to rely on in court, relating to its investigations into his behaviour.
In 2023, the FT published several articles detailing allegations from 20 women of sexual assault and harassment against Odey. The allegations covered a period of five decades.
“This is a vindication for investigative journalism and for the victims whose stories of abuse we reported,” said the FT’s editor, Roula Khalaf. “The FT was always confident in its reporting. This is a case that should have never been brought.”...
...Odey faces a seven-figure liability for the FT’s legal costs on top of his own. He launched the libel claim in May 2024.
https://www.ft.com/content/69666b46-8452-4807-add9-712a0394a53c?sharetype=blocked&syn-25a6b1a6=1
Yes, The FT had to spend several millions of pounds to defend themselves, which they will recover, but they've had to fund that themselves for years.
Dan Neidle chimes in that the figure seems right
Easy to believe! If my little case, with one witness, had £140k… and the FT had 15 women giving witness evidence plus their own team’s witness evidence, plus the complexity of the public interest defence….
https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2042722292082299158
That would be quite a thing...
In practice, I doubt that she will actually stand.
That would be a great team.
And that's only cuz he's used all his bombs and missiles in a 0-0 draw with Iran.
Which will require tax rises.
Or instead why don’t we ditch the triple lock.
I’ve come across a company called London Fine Antiques. They seem to be legitimate. They have a a proper quality website and phone numbers, they’re based in Devon. They get good ratings and feedback, and seem to have lots of eager buyers
But the stuff they sell is insanely overpriced. Look here. A very generic cut glass vase. 1970s maybe. Should be £20 in a car boot sale at most
https://ebay.us/m/j56u7e
£366
Here’s an antique newspaper rack. Should be about £50 at most. Who really wants this stuff? It’s £895
It’s of these items have likes. People eager to buy. Here’s a favourite
A fake book bin. They’re not even pretending these are real books. It’s a moulded plastic wastepaper basket made to look like books. Yet it has seven watchers. Who is really out there thinking “I need a £500 fake book wastepaper basket and I’d better act fast because seven other people want it too”
Is the whole thing a hoax, a scam, conceptual art? Are all the buyers imaginary? The blurbs are hilarious. This is for the bin:
“This is a vintage library waste bin. An English, composite leather effect book basket, dating to the late 20th century, circa 1980.
Fascinating book form to this distinctive bin - ideal for a home library
Displays a desirable aged patina throughout
Crafted from composite with bound book motif
Replicating a leather spine, each book reads 'Royal Academy Pictures'
Dressed to the base with a protective textile base”
https://ebay.us/m/x65Q80
All yours for five hundred quid
- Jamon iberico
- Chorizo
- Xacoli, Rioja, Godello, Priorat, Fino…
- Live streaming of La liga
- Zara
- Holidays to Ibiza
- Seat cars
- Santander bank
Probably more manageable than cutting off trade with China, and I don’t imagine the teetotal Trump will bemoan the loss of the early evening Tio Pepe with Manchego triangles, but still a bit of a shame.
https://ebay.us/m/516hPl
£1000
And another vintage waste paper bin
https://ebay.us/m/pg4c6l
£1200
Who the fuck is buying this? Is there really a secret thriving market for vintage waste paper bins with slightly kitsch aesthetics? Perhaps there is
But that doesn’t explain the vintage decanters. EBay is overwhelmed with glass decanters. Vintage or antique. They are out of fashion and a hassle to clean and people don’t want them. So you can buy nice examples for £30 or £60
Yet this company is apparently and successfully selling them for £500
Money laundering??!
But it's also a bijou example of a wider question. In large chunks of the West, some of us have more money than we know how to usefully spend. Whereas lots of other people don't.
I know the economic theory behind why this is so, I acknowledge the possibility that alternative models would be worse... But it doesn't make for a good society.
She also isn't polling that well either for someone who effectively led the Democrats in 2024, leading Newsom in national polls of Democrats by less than 10% and Buttigieg leads her in early polls of Democrats in the key primary state of New Hampshire. Both of them are more likely than her in my view to be 2028 Democrat nominee
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2028_United_States_presidential_election#Democratic_primary
On the GOP side it is hard to see past VP Vance who has big double digit leads now in both national and early state polls amongst Republicans, effectively lapping Rubio and Trump Jr already
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2028_United_States_presidential_election#Republican_primary
Because they’ve made a massive effort. And they do have real antiques amongst the tat. And the further you go back the more real the antiques seem to be
My best guess right now is an honest antiques company taken over by some criminals (antiques traders are in deep trouble everywhere) and they’ve turned it into a clever money laundering op, by trading on a good name
I am Maximus
Jagwar
Johnnywho
Alternative explanations for obviously over-priced listings include those where prices are set algorithmically depending on availability, and instances where someone selling a continual supply of something bumps up the price to an obviously absurd figure while they're out of stock, to avoid losing the listing and then having to create one afresh when stock resumes.
Iroko
Montys Star
Stellar Story
Grangeclare West
Captain Cody
fit various boxes and trends.
A very good private Irish Tipster I have used for over a decade to good net profit year after year is very sweet on Quantum Quest e/w in the 1.20, I got on a 22/1 about 40 minutes ago to 5 places
https://uk.louisvuitton.com/eng-gb/products/lv-trainer-sneaker-nvprod7160012v/1AJA06
In fact Louis Vuitton are undercharging me.
- Reactionary domestic politics: tick
- Hates the EU: tick
- Warm towards Russia, but not actually Russia? Tick
- Quite keen on a bit of irredentism: tick
With none of the negatives of other similar populists:
- Not Muslim like Erdogan or MBS
- Not a sworn enemy of the USA like the Iranian Mullahs or Kim Jong Un
- Not a meaningful trade rival like Xi or Modi
- Doesn’t possess kompromat on him like Putin
- Not irritatingly independent-minded like Meloni
I was a very early adopter of eBay, great adrenaline rush when you waited till the last minute to put your bid in. The auction side seems to have gone by the board and eBay has pretty much adopted the Vinted model for buying and selling. Must say it's gone a bit rubbish for the stuff I'm interested in, everyone knows the value of everything now, not many bargains to be had.
Not to add to your addictions but Vinted is not bad for nicknacks and small collectibles.
The only voters she did better than the average Democrat with was rich high earners, she bombed spectacularly with Middle America and in the swing states.
If she had any sense or self awareness she would have just limited herself to running for Governor in her home state of wealthy deep blue California. However now she is letting Steve Hilton win that for the GOP while nonentities run on the Democrat side and making a pig headed push for another presidential run, she has been Vice President she should just leave it at that
It did occur to me that this could all be done by bots, and all you need is 1 in 10,000 browsers to bite, and buy your “antique newspaper stand” for £1200 and you’ve made a lovely profit compared to effort
Some of the items are utterly hilarious, with hideous 1990s vases from Tesco acquiring “a compelling patina of age”
Then again, who uses decanters any more? When Mrs Romford and I got married, we did the classic wedding list, and so there are a couple of nice decanters in the cupboard with the nice glassware. We haven't used them in 20 years, and I can't imagine circumstances where we would.
Of course it could be money laundering but it’s surely easer to open the fifth Turkish barbers on the high street.
But even given that, Harris did badly. She never really articulated why she wanted to be President, other than to continue Biden's policies; she failed completely to engage with new media, and she didn't have any answers to the two key issues of the campaign: soaring prices and the southern border.
She should have won convincingly against her convicted felon opponent with his record, lack of grasp of policy and poor record from his first term, but she didn't, and, as you say, we are where we are.
Not as bad as filling an old single malt bottle with Bells, mind.
I recently bought an absolutely stunning Spode plate - simply gorgeous and pristine - and 200 years old - for £9
Mediocre factory made banal white John Lewis plates cost more
Instead she allowed Trump to say they had failed.
It’s all online and easy. If you have five or six companies doing this you could launder a lot of cash quite quickly
But it’s just a theory. An interesting theory to mull over as I speed along the sunny Lycian coast
I recall that when he was offering something that was particularly beat-up he would describe it as having "seen some service".
A few times I managed to buy DVDs, watch them, then sell them for a profit.
The numbers show Harris did pull back support in toss up states relative to the nation as a whole, which was grim. So her campaign was effective as far as it went. The popular vote was an effective deal heat.
But not disputing your overall point that she shouldn't be candidate this time.
Eg Cornish copper ware from the 1890s-1910s. There were schools in newlyn and Hayle
A nice copper art nouveau tray can set you back several hundred and they are increasing in value. Clean them up with lemon and salt and they sparkle lushly
Yes. I bought one. I couldn’t resist the pull of my ancestry
Oddly enough, the Grand National isn't a race about which I get very excited.
It's not the race it was for good or ill but it seems the question this year is whether the higher weights with established records in the race can defeat the lower weighted younger inexperienced types.
In the former we have the likes of I AM MAXIMUS, GRANGECLARE WEST and IROKO, second, third and fourth last year.
The latter brings in PANIC ATTACK who has attracted the cash this morning , JAGWAR and JOHNNYWHO.
I don't have a strong view - force me to write a thread on the 2026 Newham Council elections and I'll offer four against the field - MONTY'S PASS, GERRI COLOMBE, FINAL ORDERS and TOP OF THE HILL. They are all drifting like the proverbial barges in the morning betting which suggests this should be a Beefeater race - very small stakes.
Good luck (or lick if you are Officer Crabtree) to whatever you're entrusting your hard earned and let's hope everyone gets home safely.
You can sell anything if you can find a buyer, and the internet is perfect for that. The real benefit though is clearing out the clutter rather than gathering more.
I'm SHOCKED. SHOCKED I tell you.
Harris was always a no 2, a dull but reasonably competent deputy never an inspiring charismatic leader with a clear sense of direction and agenda
It's very sophisticated, up until the adventure in Iran, the Russians were trying to sell whatever they had to raise money for Putin and we were catching them.
You're pro-Putin if you're against AML.
Also, normal plates/cutlery and another set for special occasions.
Maybe it's the demise of the dinner party.
Still,I’m planning to flog lots of stuff this summer and declutter the loft.
Now I have all of my DVDs on my strapons and backed up I can flog the ones worth stuff. Same with my Dr Who books.
I've inherited stacks of nice pieces.
In the UK you can't give it away, especially around the Stourbridge area where Royal Brierley, Stuarts and Corbett Crystal fought like cat and dog to collar markets at home and around the globe.
The Japanese and Yanks will pay firtunes for it.
I found Royal Brierley in a top Jewelers on 5th Avenue on the top floor where you had to buzz to get let in about 20 years ago selling decanter sets for $5000, they were what we'd call "seconds" slight imperfections... I was trained by grandparent to look for imperfections from a young age, he started in the furnace at 14 and did his last shift taking coach visitors round at 84. The Williams-Thomas family were wonderful to him.
Believe me no one should be paying 500 quid for any crystal in the UK. There is so much of it hoarded away.
There’s a shop in Durham that sells them. Recently opened. I had a mooch the other day.
My mate Baker collects Birmingham City ones.
Time will judge Biden very kindly, not just because Trump47 is such a clusterfuck.
There is a certain circularity to this sort of claim. What is charisma apart from the sheen of success? So we see Johnson 2019, Corbyn 2017, Cameron 2010 and Blair 1997 as charismatic, but is that why they did well, or was it because they did well that people were attracted to them and call it charismatic?
I assume by “ditching” what is meant is revert to it going up with just inflation (as was the case 1979 - the Coalition)? Or is it actually meant as no rises at all (which would impoverish many quickly)?
Any numbers anyone? Because if defence goes from 2.5 to 3.5% quickly that’s about £20-25bn to find I guess.
I have a theory that Reform have led to the Greens. People are so cross about the existence of Reform that they vote for the party which is the most anti-Reform, cheerfully overlooking all the insanity of the Green party.
Which, bringing me back to this thread, is my fear for the Dems in 2028: they will be so angry about Trump that they vote for the candidate who is angriest about Trump, rather than the one who opposes Trump the most sanely.
I did an internet search and found that it was worth at most about £30.
We also,have a milk jug as when I’m make my wife’s breakfast, if it’s Weetabix or granola, I am not allowed to put the milk on as I do it wrong 🤔
The Top 10: Artists begrudging the creation that made them famous
4. Radiohead and “Creep”. The band eventually refused to play it and Thom Yorke told a Montreal audience demanding it: “We’re tired of it.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/sherlock-holmes-top-10-artists-creation-famous-b1828480.html
The actual items that are real and available are the reasonably priced items.
The others aren’t really there. If one actually sells, the seller either tells the buyer it’s no longer available or buys something to send.
The above you mentioned had charisma even before winning
https://youtu.be/p1YNEtaHbzA?si=CzAj4vKz8gxD3315
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/2042705020626309479?s=20
Can we get these lads on HS2 job?
Farage, who can be charming and self effacing on occasions.
Rhuan the PC guy with his chiseled features
Starmer nope
Badenoch nope
Davey nope
Polanski nope needs a good dentist!
#pb pedantry
The question for political punters is how useful this is to betting. Is Farage now looking increasingly dog-eared and shop soiled? Can Polanski convert his charisma into a commanding national platform? Is Swinney really charismatic, or just the best of a bad field? Does Badenoch have charisma or just a doomscrolling addiction?
Both musicians said there is always a tension between those fans who know every song and don’t care which ones they here really, those who have come to hear the latest album, and those who know three big hits and only care about those songs.
I’ve always found the Cure choose a great set list balancing the songs big fans love, the greatest hits people all know and new music. Can’t be easy.
It would assure the country continues to be solvent and stable.
I think it still sellable in the USA, but no one wants that sort of "best china" any more here.
It should absolutely be up for discussion too.