Why, I would have thought the contracts are both time and mileage related, so if flight time doesn't get you, the passage of time does anyway...
Most of RR's engines are on 'power by the hour' contracts, where the airline pays per flight hour. No flights = no revenue, as the company found out during COVID.
No Global Superpower has ever lost this hard, this fast.
Terry did an interview with Trump - this comment immediately below that covers a question regarding what Trump is like
Sure. He seemed to me to be a guy who has two ways of dealing with people. Charm or fury. You get the charm if you kiss his a** or he needs something from you. And you get the fury if you don't kiss his a*** and challenge him.
The key thing is that in the second case, he wants a fight on his terms. He wants you to take him on at his level of rage and insults and hollering. His tactic is to to tear you apart verbally, wound you, so that your blood boils and you try to fight back on his level, get down in the muck with him.
But what if you're respectful--while still challenging him? What if you treat him in a calm, polite way, while standing up to him? He has no idea what to do with that. He's counting on his opponents to fight on his level.
Think of Mark Carney. Trump hates that guy. Because Carney pushes back--hard. Stands up for himself and his country--very, very calmly. Still very tough. And Trump cannot deal with that.
My goal in that interview was not to fight with him, but to confront him respectfully and forcefully with legitimate questions I thought people would want answered. I could tell it flummoxed him. At one point, Trump threatened to cut off the interview. I gave him no reason to do so. I simply told him we were going to finish. He sagged back in his chair. You can see it in the video; go look.
At he end of the interview, Trump stormed out. ABC had arranged for a walk through the Rose Garden Concrete Patio. "NOT AFTER THAT INTERVIEW!" he barked. Stormed out. Susie Wiles and a Disney VP who was there had to beg him to come back--because ABC had booked an hour of prime time, and we were short. That's when he sat at the Resolute Desk and babbled about the Declaration of Independence. He wouldn't look at me. Still rattled.
In the middle of the interview, as he got angrier and angrier at me, I remember looking into his eyes--narrowed and flashing with his emotion, a little bloodshot from all the makeup--and I thought, he's mean. But he's not tough.
The other thing Trump can't remotely handle is being laughed at. Bursting his pompous bubble is very effective.
He must be hating the trolling coming out of Tehran.
It is but I hope he isn't trolled out of TACO. Him *not* doing things is always the better outcome. That's a good general rule.
i really hope he hurries up and TACOs, coz this is getting messy and is going to ruin my plans
"Excl: German airport hub Frankfurt, along with Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, Manila, Melbourne airports are now ‘high risk’ for jet fuel shortage in April 🚨 - set to declare a jet fuel supply emergency to airlines in April, as US-Israel war on Iran continues."
This could basically end air travel worldwide, very soon, because fuel will be so expensive tickets will triple in price, which no one can afford. So the planes don't fly
The second third and fourth order effects of this STUPID war get progressively worse and wilder, once you think them through. Truly Armageddony shit is possible
Trump seems quite likely to TACO now (and will say the US has won and it's our problem). But it's still going to take weeks for (checks notes) China and Pakistan to sort out..
What's your timeframe ?
I've got trips to Japan and China in the summer. Nice, lovely trips. Sigh. Also Rwanda at some point. eeek
Summer ?
You'll either be absolutely fine, or completely screwed.
Chatting with a few people, some were almost completely unaware there was anything going on in Iran. A surprising number of folk don't follow the news at all (and who can really blame them ?).
No Global Superpower has ever lost this hard, this fast.
Terry did an interview with Trump - this comment immediately below that covers a question regarding what Trump is like
Sure. He seemed to me to be a guy who has two ways of dealing with people. Charm or fury. You get the charm if you kiss his a** or he needs something from you. And you get the fury if you don't kiss his a*** and challenge him.
The key thing is that in the second case, he wants a fight on his terms. He wants you to take him on at his level of rage and insults and hollering. His tactic is to to tear you apart verbally, wound you, so that your blood boils and you try to fight back on his level, get down in the muck with him.
But what if you're respectful--while still challenging him? What if you treat him in a calm, polite way, while standing up to him? He has no idea what to do with that. He's counting on his opponents to fight on his level.
Think of Mark Carney. Trump hates that guy. Because Carney pushes back--hard. Stands up for himself and his country--very, very calmly. Still very tough. And Trump cannot deal with that.
My goal in that interview was not to fight with him, but to confront him respectfully and forcefully with legitimate questions I thought people would want answered. I could tell it flummoxed him. At one point, Trump threatened to cut off the interview. I gave him no reason to do so. I simply told him we were going to finish. He sagged back in his chair. You can see it in the video; go look.
At he end of the interview, Trump stormed out. ABC had arranged for a walk through the Rose Garden Concrete Patio. "NOT AFTER THAT INTERVIEW!" he barked. Stormed out. Susie Wiles and a Disney VP who was there had to beg him to come back--because ABC had booked an hour of prime time, and we were short. That's when he sat at the Resolute Desk and babbled about the Declaration of Independence. He wouldn't look at me. Still rattled.
In the middle of the interview, as he got angrier and angrier at me, I remember looking into his eyes--narrowed and flashing with his emotion, a little bloodshot from all the makeup--and I thought, he's mean. But he's not tough.
The other thing Trump can't remotely handle is being laughed at. Bursting his pompous bubble is very effective.
He must be hating the trolling coming out of Tehran.
It is but I hope he isn't trolled out of TACO. Him *not* doing things is always the better outcome. That's a good general rule.
i really hope he hurries up and TACOs, coz this is getting messy and is going to ruin my plans
"Excl: German airport hub Frankfurt, along with Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, Manila, Melbourne airports are now ‘high risk’ for jet fuel shortage in April 🚨 - set to declare a jet fuel supply emergency to airlines in April, as US-Israel war on Iran continues."
This could basically end air travel worldwide, very soon, because fuel will be so expensive tickets will triple in price, which no one can afford. So the planes don't fly
The second third and fourth order effects of this STUPID war get progressively worse and wilder, once you think them through. Truly Armageddony shit is possible
Trump seems quite likely to TACO now (and will say the US has won and it's our problem). But it's still going to take weeks for (checks notes) China and Pakistan to sort out..
What's your timeframe ?
I've got trips to Japan and China in the summer. Nice, lovely trips. Sigh. Also Rwanda at some point. eeek
Summer ?
You'll either be absolutely fine, or completely screwed.
Chatting with a few people, some were almost completely unaware there was anything going on in Iran. A surprising number of folk don't follow the news at all (and who can really blame them ?).
AIUI even if the Straits totally reopened this evening, we would still face months of disruption, because of the current fuel shortages, and the damage to ME infra
However, Hornuz is not going to reopen this evening, maybe not for weeks or months
I have psychologically written off any planned trips past May, if they do eventuate, it will be a nice surprise
On the Hegseth point on the previous thread, it is not about who they detest, it's about their personal fear, and their need to express loathing for something, anything.
I ran across this at the weekend; it is from an article about Chinatown in the Evening Standard when owned by the 1st Viscount Rothermere:
The Rothermere newspapers promoted a narrative of 'national degeneration'. A typical story in the Evening Standard, headlined in capital letters "WHITE GIRLS 'HYPNOTISED' BY YELLOW MEN", recounted what it called the "alarming facts" of London's Chinatown, warning in lurid detail of "the degradation of young white girls" at the hands of Chinese men: "Englishwomen are selling themselves to Chinamen; they are seeking out Asiatics in the streets where before the war no white women walked. The evil is baffling to the police and social workers. Women who have been 'rescued' and given a fresh start have relapsed and returned to their foreign masters, and have sunk even lower than before. The unmarried mother with a half-caste child is only one of the several problems arising. And obviously this cheapening of the white women among men who go down to the sea in ships must have reactions in the East and in every part of the world where colored and white races dwell side by side".
(That's from his Wikipedia article, I was looking into how the values of the Daily Mail newspapers have changed over the years since 1896 Or not.)
No Global Superpower has ever lost this hard, this fast.
Terry did an interview with Trump - this comment immediately below that covers a question regarding what Trump is like
Sure. He seemed to me to be a guy who has two ways of dealing with people. Charm or fury. You get the charm if you kiss his a** or he needs something from you. And you get the fury if you don't kiss his a*** and challenge him.
The key thing is that in the second case, he wants a fight on his terms. He wants you to take him on at his level of rage and insults and hollering. His tactic is to to tear you apart verbally, wound you, so that your blood boils and you try to fight back on his level, get down in the muck with him.
But what if you're respectful--while still challenging him? What if you treat him in a calm, polite way, while standing up to him? He has no idea what to do with that. He's counting on his opponents to fight on his level.
Think of Mark Carney. Trump hates that guy. Because Carney pushes back--hard. Stands up for himself and his country--very, very calmly. Still very tough. And Trump cannot deal with that.
My goal in that interview was not to fight with him, but to confront him respectfully and forcefully with legitimate questions I thought people would want answered. I could tell it flummoxed him. At one point, Trump threatened to cut off the interview. I gave him no reason to do so. I simply told him we were going to finish. He sagged back in his chair. You can see it in the video; go look.
At he end of the interview, Trump stormed out. ABC had arranged for a walk through the Rose Garden Concrete Patio. "NOT AFTER THAT INTERVIEW!" he barked. Stormed out. Susie Wiles and a Disney VP who was there had to beg him to come back--because ABC had booked an hour of prime time, and we were short. That's when he sat at the Resolute Desk and babbled about the Declaration of Independence. He wouldn't look at me. Still rattled.
In the middle of the interview, as he got angrier and angrier at me, I remember looking into his eyes--narrowed and flashing with his emotion, a little bloodshot from all the makeup--and I thought, he's mean. But he's not tough.
The other thing Trump can't remotely handle is being laughed at. Bursting his pompous bubble is very effective.
He must be hating the trolling coming out of Tehran.
It is but I hope he isn't trolled out of TACO. Him *not* doing things is always the better outcome. That's a good general rule.
i really hope he hurries up and TACOs, coz this is getting messy and is going to ruin my plans
"Excl: German airport hub Frankfurt, along with Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, Manila, Melbourne airports are now ‘high risk’ for jet fuel shortage in April 🚨 - set to declare a jet fuel supply emergency to airlines in April, as US-Israel war on Iran continues."
This could basically end air travel worldwide, very soon, because fuel will be so expensive tickets will triple in price, which no one can afford. So the planes don't fly
The second third and fourth order effects of this STUPID war get progressively worse and wilder, once you think them through. Truly Armageddony shit is possible
Trump seems quite likely to TACO now (and will say the US has won and it's our problem). But it's still going to take weeks for (checks notes) China and Pakistan to sort out..
What's your timeframe ?
I've got trips to Japan and China in the summer. Nice, lovely trips. Sigh. Also Rwanda at some point. eeek
Summer ?
You'll either be absolutely fine, or completely screwed.
Chatting with a few people, some were almost completely unaware there was anything going on in Iran. A surprising number of folk don't follow the news at all (and who can really blame them ?).
AIUI even if the Straits totally reopened this evening, we would still face months of disruption, because of the current fuel shortages, and the damage to ME infra
However, Hornuz is not going to reopen this evening, maybe not for weeks or months
I have psychologically written off any planned trips past May, if they do eventuate, it will be a nice surprise
Trump's gonna end up getting Musk to fund 100s of private planes to bring World Cup teams and fans over at this rate.
No Global Superpower has ever lost this hard, this fast.
Terry did an interview with Trump - this comment immediately below that covers a question regarding what Trump is like
Sure. He seemed to me to be a guy who has two ways of dealing with people. Charm or fury. You get the charm if you kiss his a** or he needs something from you. And you get the fury if you don't kiss his a*** and challenge him.
The key thing is that in the second case, he wants a fight on his terms. He wants you to take him on at his level of rage and insults and hollering. His tactic is to to tear you apart verbally, wound you, so that your blood boils and you try to fight back on his level, get down in the muck with him.
But what if you're respectful--while still challenging him? What if you treat him in a calm, polite way, while standing up to him? He has no idea what to do with that. He's counting on his opponents to fight on his level.
Think of Mark Carney. Trump hates that guy. Because Carney pushes back--hard. Stands up for himself and his country--very, very calmly. Still very tough. And Trump cannot deal with that.
My goal in that interview was not to fight with him, but to confront him respectfully and forcefully with legitimate questions I thought people would want answered. I could tell it flummoxed him. At one point, Trump threatened to cut off the interview. I gave him no reason to do so. I simply told him we were going to finish. He sagged back in his chair. You can see it in the video; go look.
At he end of the interview, Trump stormed out. ABC had arranged for a walk through the Rose Garden Concrete Patio. "NOT AFTER THAT INTERVIEW!" he barked. Stormed out. Susie Wiles and a Disney VP who was there had to beg him to come back--because ABC had booked an hour of prime time, and we were short. That's when he sat at the Resolute Desk and babbled about the Declaration of Independence. He wouldn't look at me. Still rattled.
In the middle of the interview, as he got angrier and angrier at me, I remember looking into his eyes--narrowed and flashing with his emotion, a little bloodshot from all the makeup--and I thought, he's mean. But he's not tough.
The other thing Trump can't remotely handle is being laughed at. Bursting his pompous bubble is very effective.
He must be hating the trolling coming out of Tehran.
It is but I hope he isn't trolled out of TACO. Him *not* doing things is always the better outcome. That's a good general rule.
i really hope he hurries up and TACOs, coz this is getting messy and is going to ruin my plans
"Excl: German airport hub Frankfurt, along with Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, Manila, Melbourne airports are now ‘high risk’ for jet fuel shortage in April 🚨 - set to declare a jet fuel supply emergency to airlines in April, as US-Israel war on Iran continues."
This could basically end air travel worldwide, very soon, because fuel will be so expensive tickets will triple in price, which no one can afford. So the planes don't fly
The second third and fourth order effects of this STUPID war get progressively worse and wilder, once you think them through. Truly Armageddony shit is possible
Trump seems quite likely to TACO now (and will say the US has won and it's our problem). But it's still going to take weeks for (checks notes) China and Pakistan to sort out..
What's your timeframe ?
I've got trips to Japan and China in the summer. Nice, lovely trips. Sigh. Also Rwanda at some point. eeek
Summer ?
You'll either be absolutely fine, or completely screwed.
Chatting with a few people, some were almost completely unaware there was anything going on in Iran. A surprising number of folk don't follow the news at all (and who can really blame them ?).
AIUI even if the Straits totally reopened this evening, we would still face months of disruption, because of the current fuel shortages, and the damage to ME infra
However, Hornuz is not going to reopen this evening, maybe not for weeks or months
I have psychologically written off any planned trips past May, if they do eventuate, it will be a nice surprise
Trump's gonna end up getting Musk to fund 100s of private planes to bring World Cup teams and fans over at this rate.
Or....we hold it Europe, where at least fans can get there by train.
🚨 JUST IN — IT’S OFFICIAL: Palm Beach International Airport is now Donald J. Trump International Airport, following Gov. Ron DeSantis’ signature on HB919
The name change goes into effect on July 1st.
As well as the greed and vindictiveness, I think Trump has two main drivers: Short term it is being in the limelight. Dominating the news. In this he is very successful. Longer term it is his legacy. The naming, the portraits, the buildings etc. In this he is not going to be so successful. He will have a legacy but not the one he craves.
Everyone of these name changes will be reversed once he's gone.
I doubt his presidential library will even ever be built.
On the Hegseth point on the previous thread, it is not about who they detest, it's about their personal fear, and their need to express loathing for something, anything.
I ran across this at the weekend; it is from an article about Chinatown in the Evening Standard when owned by the 1st Viscount Rothermere:
The Rothermere newspapers promoted a narrative of 'national degeneration'. A typical story in the Evening Standard, headlined in capital letters "WHITE GIRLS 'HYPNOTISED' BY YELLOW MEN", recounted what it called the "alarming facts" of London's Chinatown, warning in lurid detail of "the degradation of young white girls" at the hands of Chinese men: "Englishwomen are selling themselves to Chinamen; they are seeking out Asiatics in the streets where before the war no white women walked. The evil is baffling to the police and social workers. Women who have been 'rescued' and given a fresh start have relapsed and returned to their foreign masters, and have sunk even lower than before. The unmarried mother with a half-caste child is only one of the several problems arising. And obviously this cheapening of the white women among men who go down to the sea in ships must have reactions in the East and in every part of the world where colored and white races dwell side by side".
(That's from his Wikipedia article, I was looking into how the values of the Daily Mail newspapers have changed over the years since 1896 Or not.)
No Global Superpower has ever lost this hard, this fast.
Terry did an interview with Trump - this comment immediately below that covers a question regarding what Trump is like
Sure. He seemed to me to be a guy who has two ways of dealing with people. Charm or fury. You get the charm if you kiss his a** or he needs something from you. And you get the fury if you don't kiss his a*** and challenge him.
The key thing is that in the second case, he wants a fight on his terms. He wants you to take him on at his level of rage and insults and hollering. His tactic is to to tear you apart verbally, wound you, so that your blood boils and you try to fight back on his level, get down in the muck with him.
But what if you're respectful--while still challenging him? What if you treat him in a calm, polite way, while standing up to him? He has no idea what to do with that. He's counting on his opponents to fight on his level.
Think of Mark Carney. Trump hates that guy. Because Carney pushes back--hard. Stands up for himself and his country--very, very calmly. Still very tough. And Trump cannot deal with that.
My goal in that interview was not to fight with him, but to confront him respectfully and forcefully with legitimate questions I thought people would want answered. I could tell it flummoxed him. At one point, Trump threatened to cut off the interview. I gave him no reason to do so. I simply told him we were going to finish. He sagged back in his chair. You can see it in the video; go look.
At he end of the interview, Trump stormed out. ABC had arranged for a walk through the Rose Garden Concrete Patio. "NOT AFTER THAT INTERVIEW!" he barked. Stormed out. Susie Wiles and a Disney VP who was there had to beg him to come back--because ABC had booked an hour of prime time, and we were short. That's when he sat at the Resolute Desk and babbled about the Declaration of Independence. He wouldn't look at me. Still rattled.
In the middle of the interview, as he got angrier and angrier at me, I remember looking into his eyes--narrowed and flashing with his emotion, a little bloodshot from all the makeup--and I thought, he's mean. But he's not tough.
The other thing Trump can't remotely handle is being laughed at. Bursting his pompous bubble is very effective.
He must be hating the trolling coming out of Tehran.
It is but I hope he isn't trolled out of TACO. Him *not* doing things is always the better outcome. That's a good general rule.
i really hope he hurries up and TACOs, coz this is getting messy and is going to ruin my plans
"Excl: German airport hub Frankfurt, along with Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, Manila, Melbourne airports are now ‘high risk’ for jet fuel shortage in April 🚨 - set to declare a jet fuel supply emergency to airlines in April, as US-Israel war on Iran continues."
This could basically end air travel worldwide, very soon, because fuel will be so expensive tickets will triple in price, which no one can afford. So the planes don't fly
The second third and fourth order effects of this STUPID war get progressively worse and wilder, once you think them through. Truly Armageddony shit is possible
Trump seems quite likely to TACO now (and will say the US has won and it's our problem). But it's still going to take weeks for (checks notes) China and Pakistan to sort out..
What's your timeframe ?
I've got trips to Japan and China in the summer. Nice, lovely trips. Sigh. Also Rwanda at some point. eeek
Rwanda's a safe country. There's a law that says so.
🚨 JUST IN — IT’S OFFICIAL: Palm Beach International Airport is now Donald J. Trump International Airport, following Gov. Ron DeSantis’ signature on HB919
The name change goes into effect on July 1st.
As well as the greed and vindictiveness, I think Trump has two main drivers: Short term it is being in the limelight. Dominating the news. In this he is very successful. Longer term it is his legacy. The naming, the portraits, the buildings etc. In this he is not going to be so successful. He will have a legacy but not the one he craves.
Everyone of these name changes will be reversed once he's gone.
I doubt his presidential library will even ever be built.
I hope it is, because it would be good to see from the documentation just how mad he was and how many changes are needed in the US to forestall somebody like him getting back to power.
He's bad enough. Imagine if it was somebody intelligent, energetic and with a modicum of focus rather than a dementia addled pervert with a social media addiction. If Stephen Miller were the head honcho rather than having to work round Trump's inanities, say.
🚨 JUST IN — IT’S OFFICIAL: Palm Beach International Airport is now Donald J. Trump International Airport, following Gov. Ron DeSantis’ signature on HB919
The name change goes into effect on July 1st.
As well as the greed and vindictiveness, I think Trump has two main drivers: Short term it is being in the limelight. Dominating the news. In this he is very successful. Longer term it is his legacy. The naming, the portraits, the buildings etc. In this he is not going to be so successful. He will have a legacy but not the one he craves.
Everyone of these name changes will be reversed once he's gone.
I doubt his presidential library will even ever be built.
Surely the Donald Trump library would be compact and bijoux?
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
The idea that 42% of Scots would prefer a Reform first minister to a Labour one is startling in a centre left country where at the last election Reform and the Tories combined were below 20%.
Can only assume there must be a huge amount of anyone but Labour bad blood in the SNP voting base. But still....
Yes, but remember quite a number of Reform votes will come from the centre left, and working class voters who are not enthused with the choice put in front of them. I think Reform will do ok in seats with ex mining towns, for example.
Reform are definitely on the slide, however it may come too late for Sarwar to give him a serious tilt at becoming FM. John Swinney's not so secret weapon just now is to talk up Reform chances of doing a deal woth Labour, to boost his own vote
Turnout will be down at this election, possibly quite a bit, so there is a plague on all your houses effect. Some similarities with the 2001 GE when we already knew who the winner would be, mind you we are still needing a Prescott style punch up to liven up this campaign
No Global Superpower has ever lost this hard, this fast.
Terry did an interview with Trump - this comment immediately below that covers a question regarding what Trump is like
Sure. He seemed to me to be a guy who has two ways of dealing with people. Charm or fury. You get the charm if you kiss his a** or he needs something from you. And you get the fury if you don't kiss his a*** and challenge him.
The key thing is that in the second case, he wants a fight on his terms. He wants you to take him on at his level of rage and insults and hollering. His tactic is to to tear you apart verbally, wound you, so that your blood boils and you try to fight back on his level, get down in the muck with him.
But what if you're respectful--while still challenging him? What if you treat him in a calm, polite way, while standing up to him? He has no idea what to do with that. He's counting on his opponents to fight on his level.
Think of Mark Carney. Trump hates that guy. Because Carney pushes back--hard. Stands up for himself and his country--very, very calmly. Still very tough. And Trump cannot deal with that.
My goal in that interview was not to fight with him, but to confront him respectfully and forcefully with legitimate questions I thought people would want answered. I could tell it flummoxed him. At one point, Trump threatened to cut off the interview. I gave him no reason to do so. I simply told him we were going to finish. He sagged back in his chair. You can see it in the video; go look.
At he end of the interview, Trump stormed out. ABC had arranged for a walk through the Rose Garden Concrete Patio. "NOT AFTER THAT INTERVIEW!" he barked. Stormed out. Susie Wiles and a Disney VP who was there had to beg him to come back--because ABC had booked an hour of prime time, and we were short. That's when he sat at the Resolute Desk and babbled about the Declaration of Independence. He wouldn't look at me. Still rattled.
In the middle of the interview, as he got angrier and angrier at me, I remember looking into his eyes--narrowed and flashing with his emotion, a little bloodshot from all the makeup--and I thought, he's mean. But he's not tough.
The other thing Trump can't remotely handle is being laughed at. Bursting his pompous bubble is very effective.
He must be hating the trolling coming out of Tehran.
It is but I hope he isn't trolled out of TACO. Him *not* doing things is always the better outcome. That's a good general rule.
i really hope he hurries up and TACOs, coz this is getting messy and is going to ruin my plans
"Excl: German airport hub Frankfurt, along with Delhi, Mumbai, Hong Kong, Manila, Melbourne airports are now ‘high risk’ for jet fuel shortage in April 🚨 - set to declare a jet fuel supply emergency to airlines in April, as US-Israel war on Iran continues."
This could basically end air travel worldwide, very soon, because fuel will be so expensive tickets will triple in price, which no one can afford. So the planes don't fly
The second third and fourth order effects of this STUPID war get progressively worse and wilder, once you think them through. Truly Armageddony shit is possible
Trump seems quite likely to TACO now (and will say the US has won and it's our problem). But it's still going to take weeks for (checks notes) China and Pakistan to sort out..
What's your timeframe ?
I've got trips to Japan and China in the summer. Nice, lovely trips. Sigh. Also Rwanda at some point. eeek
Rwanda's a safe country. There's a law that says so.
Yeah tell them your from the UK
There is a £400m luxury hotel that the UK Government funded. They even arranged 3 flights and will give you 10k for the pleasure.
Oh hang on
Offer Closed July 2024
Tory Free Holidays (Rwanda) Ltd bankrupted the Country
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Turner projects as a 'character'. You're meant to hear him and think "terrific, we need more like this in public life". And I imagine some people do think that when they hear him.
He was an assiduously loyal Labour MP until Starmer enshittified your party.
You can sharpen your claws all you like, but basically, Turner has the balls to call out the authoritarian gaslighting bucket of affronted lard your party has put in charge of the country, and you don't.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
🚨 JUST IN — IT’S OFFICIAL: Palm Beach International Airport is now Donald J. Trump International Airport, following Gov. Ron DeSantis’ signature on HB919
The name change goes into effect on July 1st.
As well as the greed and vindictiveness, I think Trump has two main drivers: Short term it is being in the limelight. Dominating the news. In this he is very successful. Longer term it is his legacy. The naming, the portraits, the buildings etc. In this he is not going to be so successful. He will have a legacy but not the one he craves.
Everyone of these name changes will be reversed once he's gone.
I doubt his presidential library will even ever be built.
You don't need much space for two-and-a-half completed colouring-in books
Farage is in my lovely Norfolk tonight at a rally not at all far from my old stomping grounds as a miniature Woolie. I havent gone to listen due to not wanting to. The Blues are not letting you have Norfolk, Nigel. We talked about it and i'm afraid it just doesn't work for us.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
If the earlier reports are accurate, the IRGC think they are running things, not Pezeshkian.
Bizarrely, much the best outcome all around would be for Trump and Netanyahu to bail and the Iranian government to collapse into infighting that causes it to collapse.
But I don't quite see that happening. The IRGC from the outside at least to be too firmly dug in now.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
Israel still going full steam ahead. Here dispossessing/ethnic cleansing over half a million people.
March 31 (Reuters) - Israel will destroy all homes in Lebanese villages near the border and 600,000 people who fled the south will not be allowed home until northern Israel is secure, the defence minister said on Tuesday, vowing to inflict Gaza-like destruction in the area. https://x.com/idreesali114/status/2038986884689371582
🚨 JUST IN — IT’S OFFICIAL: Palm Beach International Airport is now Donald J. Trump International Airport, following Gov. Ron DeSantis’ signature on HB919
The name change goes into effect on July 1st.
As well as the greed and vindictiveness, I think Trump has two main drivers: Short term it is being in the limelight. Dominating the news. In this he is very successful. Longer term it is his legacy. The naming, the portraits, the buildings etc. In this he is not going to be so successful. He will have a legacy but not the one he craves.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
Israel still going full steam ahead. Here dispossessing/ethnic cleansing over half a million people.
March 31 (Reuters) - Israel will destroy all homes in Lebanese villages near the border and 600,000 people who fled the south will not be allowed home until northern Israel is secure, the defence minister said on Tuesday, vowing to inflict Gaza-like destruction in the area. https://x.com/idreesali114/status/2038986884689371582
I posted about this possibly happening a few days ago after the far right cabinet Minister Smotrich spoke about them annexing Lebanon south of the Litani river.
Greater Israel is on.
They are happy to leave the idiot Trump to deal with the mess created, partly due to being egged on by them, in Iran.
OT - Interesting polling but exactly where are these clear Lab-Ref contests in Scotland? Similar polling on clear SNP-Ref contests might be rather more to the point
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Apple up nearly 3% despite Iran threatening it and other tech companies.
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
Markets replying to this
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
If the earlier reports are accurate, the IRGC think they are running things, not Pezeshkian.
Bizarrely, much the best outcome all around would be for Trump and Netanyahu to bail and the Iranian government to collapse into infighting that causes it to collapse.
But I don't quite see that happening. The IRGC from the outside at least to be too firmly dug in now.
Best best outcome is:
- Trump and Netanyahu bail. US and Israeli administrations collapse into infighting and get trounced in elections - A few months later, long enough that Trump can’t claim any credit, Iranians stage an uprising and turf out the regime after being covertly armed by Ukraine, Denmark, the UK and Canada.
I wish Artemis well too, but I doubt it will ever land astronauts on the moon.
Wouldn't it be great if they found a flying pig round the dark side of the moon
It's the far side, not the dark side. (Yes I know about Pink Floyd!)
Hence the pig reference too.
Haha charade you are
Give us a clue ?
It’s from the song ‘Pigs (Three Different Ones) by Pink Floyd. It was written about Mary Whitehouse and politicians from the seventies, but nowadays Roger Waters sings it about Donald Trump
OT - Interesting polling but exactly where are these clear Lab-Ref contests in Scotland? Similar polling on clear SNP-Ref contests might be rather more to the point
Could be wrong but I think the SNP are either 1st or 2nd in every seat, and if not, very close to it. Lab/Ref battles in Scotland will principally be for 2nd place
It may be that Reforms rise in some seats overtakes a static or dropping Lab vote, many variables and unknowns at this stage. I'm expecting rural NE Scotland to be the clearest ground for an SNP/Ref contest. I'll hopefully write something on it in the coming days
I wish Artemis well too, but I doubt it will ever land astronauts on the moon.
Wouldn't it be great if they found a flying pig round the dark side of the moon
It's the far side, not the dark side. (Yes I know about Pink Floyd!)
Hence the pig reference too.
Haha charade you are
Give us a clue ?
It’s from the song ‘Pigs (Three Different Ones) by Pink Floyd. It was written about Mary Whitehouse and politicians from the seventies, but nowadays Roger Waters sings it about Donald Trump
Yup, mine was an oblique reference to the charades quiz show from the same time 😉
Dogs is my favourite track on Animals. The guitar work around 3 and a half minutes in is just ace.
PS. Wherever the deployable Trident sub "is" I bet it's making sure Iran is well within range.
U.K. trident was downloaded to single warheads at the end of the Cold War. They still have MIRV as an option.
They had an enhanced FUFO implemented, with a lower bound of 0.3Kt - at which point you have a tactical ERW.
It depends how you run the numbers, but a Trident II carrying one warhead could probably reach all the way round the world. As in hit anywhere that isn’t inside minimum range.
You could definitely hit Iran from anywhere on the U.K. coast.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
One of the amazing things about this Labour government is on the (rare/not enough) occasions they do something good, like this, they don't really bother to tell anyone or claim credit.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Opposition is growing among official Tottenham fans' groups to Roberto de Zerbi being named manager because of his controversial support of Mason Greenwood. The Tottenham Hotspur Supporters' Trust held an emergency board meeting on Monday night and has now contacted the club to say it cannot support the appointment.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
The reports I'm seeing suggest three ships transited the Straits of Hormuz today out of a normal one hundred and forty.
On the wider politics, the schism between the Trump Administration and Europe seems to be widening. The usual undiplomatic verbosity from the White House notwithstanding, there seems a lack of coherent thinking in the administration over how this ends.
Could Europe approach Iran directly with a proposal or proposals?
Yet who in Iran would want to deal with Europe or indeed anyone else when they seem, to use the vernacular "to hold all the cards" in respect of Hormuz and to have paralysed American thinking.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
Are the Chinese ships paying a toll to Tehran?
Yes.
And possibly, but it's probably mostly Iranian oil anyway.
China would not enjoy a prolonged shutdown, but there is another consideration. They have around 300 days of reserves they can draw on so the situation isn't critical for them.
Taiwan has three months of oil reserves. After that, it is fucked. It only has gas for 11 days - which is even more alarming given that's how it generates much of its electricity.
China may actually see mileage in keeping the straits closed...it's already offered to give Taiwan oil and gas in exchange for reunification.
I wish Artemis well too, but I doubt it will ever land astronauts on the moon.
Wouldn't it be great if they found a flying pig round the dark side of the moon
It's the far side, not the dark side. (Yes I know about Pink Floyd!)
Hence the pig reference too.
Haha charade you are
Give us a clue ?
It’s from the song ‘Pigs (Three Different Ones) by Pink Floyd. It was written about Mary Whitehouse and politicians from the seventies, but nowadays Roger Waters sings it about Donald Trump
Yup, mine was an oblique reference to the charades quiz show from the same time 😉
Dogs is my favourite track on Animals. The guitar work around 3 and a half minutes in is just ace.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
The reports I'm seeing suggest three ships transited the Straits of Hormuz today out of a normal one hundred and forty.
On the wider politics, the schism between the Trump Administration and Europe seems to be widening. The usual undiplomatic verbosity from the White House notwithstanding, there seems a lack of coherent thinking in the administration over how this ends.
Could Europe approach Iran directly with a proposal or proposals?
Yet who in Iran would want to deal with Europe or indeed anyone else when they seem, to use the vernacular "to hold all the cards" in respect of Hormuz and to have paralysed American thinking.
What could Iran get from Europe?
Imagine you are an Iranian negotiator - what would you want that Europe has?
One of the amazing things about this Labour government is on the (rare/not enough) occasions they do something good, like this, they don't really bother to tell anyone or claim credit.
That's because they are very, very bad at politics.
When Brighton and Brentford are considered trendsetters and forefront of data driven analysis and a colossus like Tottenham (not) are left feeding off their scraps.
If all the Clubs is Endland, what Brentford have achieved is frankly incredible and yet still massively under rated.
Mathew Benham (Brentford) and Tony Bloom (Brighton) are two of the most successful sports bettors in the world. Is it any surprise that they are at the forefront of using data?
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
The reports I'm seeing suggest three ships transited the Straits of Hormuz today out of a normal one hundred and forty.
On the wider politics, the schism between the Trump Administration and Europe seems to be widening. The usual undiplomatic verbosity from the White House notwithstanding, there seems a lack of coherent thinking in the administration over how this ends.
Could Europe approach Iran directly with a proposal or proposals?
Yet who in Iran would want to deal with Europe or indeed anyone else when they seem, to use the vernacular "to hold all the cards" in respect of Hormuz and to have paralysed American thinking.
The main thing the Iranians seem to want is for the US to withdraw its troops from bases in the region. So a separate deal with Europe doesn't really get them what they want, and it reduces the pressure on the US to make a deal to end the conflict.
The consequence of the schism between Europe and the US seems most likely to find its expression over Russia and Ukraine. The possibility is growing that the US will come to terms with Russia and fully lift sanctions imposed after the Ukraine invasion.
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
The reports I'm seeing suggest three ships transited the Straits of Hormuz today out of a normal one hundred and forty.
According to that Reuters report:
* Three Chinese ships passed through Strait of Hormuz, China says * First non-Iranian container ships to leave Gulf since war began, Kpler says * Greek-operated tanker with Saudi crude for India also departed * Two Indian-flagged LPG tankers crossed strait on Saturday
Ukraine the Latest: Leaked phone calls between Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Hungarian Foreign Minister about Hungary manipulating the proceedings of the EU, this one including a section about removing a sister of Alisher Usmanov (used to own part of Arsenal) from the sanctions list.
(Problems incoming: I don't know if the EU or NATO have ways to sanction a member.)
Seems it's all over according to the US. I get the feeling that the fog of war is particularly foggy this time round.
Stocks surge to session highs on optimism that Iran may be ready to end war
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
Pezeshkian claimed all this a fortnight or more ago not long after Khamanei had been killed at the start of the conflict.
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
Chinese tankers have been allowed to pass.
Are we then saying Hormuz is closed only to ships going to countries Iran doesn't like and everyone else is getting free passage?
The reports I'm seeing suggest three ships transited the Straits of Hormuz today out of a normal one hundred and forty.
On the wider politics, the schism between the Trump Administration and Europe seems to be widening. The usual undiplomatic verbosity from the White House notwithstanding, there seems a lack of coherent thinking in the administration over how this ends.
Could Europe approach Iran directly with a proposal or proposals?
Yet who in Iran would want to deal with Europe or indeed anyone else when they seem, to use the vernacular "to hold all the cards" in respect of Hormuz and to have paralysed American thinking.
What could Iran get from Europe?
Imagine you are an Iranian negotiator - what would you want that Europe has?
Last week a pretty big drone flew right over my house, heading in the direction of HMNB Clyde which is a few miles away. I'm assuming it was British, as there were no reports of anything going boom. I hope this was an exercise and the powers that be have started trying to figure out how vulnerable our bases are to drone attack.
Ukraine the Latest: Leaked phone calls between Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Hungarian Foreign Minister about Hungary manipulating the proceedings of the EU, this one including a section about removing a sister of Alisher Usmanov (used to own part of Arsenal) from the sanctions list.
(Problems incoming: I don't know if the EU or NATO have ways to sanction a member.)
The EU has a variety of mechanisms they can use against members. They are loath to use them, because of concern it will feed the persecution mantra that Orban (like many populist demagogues) loves and depends on.
If you, like me, just woke up, let me catch you up on the Claude Code Leak (I know nothing, all conjecture):
> Someone inside Anthropic, got switched to Adaptive reasoning mode > Their Claude Code switched to Sonnet > Committed the .map file of Claude Code > Effectively leaking the ENTIRE CC Source Code > @realsigridjin was tired after running 2 south korean hackathons in SF, saw the leak > Rules in Korea are different, he cloned the repo, went to sleep > Wakes up to 25K stars, and his GF begging him to take it down (she's a copyright lawyer) > Their team decided - how about we have agents rewrite this in Python!? Surely... this is more legal > Rewrite in Py > Board a plane to SK🇰🇷 > One of the guys decides python is slow, is now rewriting ALL OF CLAUDE CODE into Rust. > Anthropic cannot take down, cannot sue > Is this "fair use?" > TL;DR - we're about to have open source Claude Code in Rust
When Brighton and Brentford are considered trendsetters and forefront of data driven analysis and a colossus like Tottenham (not) are left feeding off their scraps.
If all the Clubs is Endland, what Brentford have achieved is frankly incredible and yet still massively under rated.
Mathew Benham (Brentford) and Tony Bloom (Brighton) are two of the most successful sports bettors in the world. Is it any surprise that they are at the forefront of using data?
You can have all the data in the world, you still have to have the right coaching, fitness and management to optimise it.
Identifying players is one thing, analysing the opposition another but at the end of the day it's the blokes on the pitch who are human not bots
Ukraine the Latest: Leaked phone calls between Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Hungarian Foreign Minister about Hungary manipulating the proceedings of the EU, this one including a section about removing a sister of Alisher Usmanov (used to own part of Arsenal) from the sanctions list.
(Problems incoming: I don't know if the EU or NATO have ways to sanction a member.)
If they could surely they'd have done it by now, so even if they technically could in practice they must feel they cannot, at least not in any meaningful way.
Comments
BREAKING:
Israel ends all defense deals with France
The Israeli Ministry of Defense has suspended all defense procurement from France and terminated existing contracts.
This decision follows Paris's refusal to allow U.S. aircraft carrying military supplies for Israel to transit French airspace.
You'll either be absolutely fine, or completely screwed.
Chatting with a few people, some were almost completely unaware there was anything going on in Iran. A surprising number of folk don't follow the news at all (and who can really blame them ?).
However, Hornuz is not going to reopen this evening, maybe not for weeks or months
I have psychologically written off any planned trips past May, if they do eventuate, it will be a nice surprise
Prices switched off.
Assuming the trains have power.
I doubt his presidential library will even ever be built.
I am interested - is this the level of information that the top of government receives?
Yes, this is propaganda. But given the ignorance of basics in politics, I wonder.
The tell will be how soon they reopen.
First wave of panic buying emptying one of the cheaper options in town isn't a massive surprise, but if they're not quickly back up, then...
Every other filling station still had fuel.
He's bad enough. Imagine if it was somebody intelligent, energetic and with a modicum of focus rather than a dementia addled pervert with a social media addiction. If Stephen Miller were the head honcho rather than having to work round Trump's inanities, say.
I'm these times of fake news a politician might see it as an advantage not to know the truth.
I'm sure they'll post all over social media that the gangs have been smashed on every windy week until the election.
By Isabel Wang
U.S. stocks were surging to their session highs in afternoon trading on Tuesday on optimism over an unconfirmed report said that Iran president Masoud Pezeshkian may be ready to end the war, but that guarantees are still wanted.
It becomes a self inflicted disaster. Unnecessary journeys to save a few quid, people see false queues and panic sets in.
May be wise to block these apps and everyone goes to their usual outlet.
Reform are definitely on the slide, however it may come too late for Sarwar to give him a serious tilt at becoming FM. John Swinney's not so secret weapon just now is to talk up Reform chances of doing a deal woth Labour, to boost his own vote
Turnout will be down at this election, possibly quite a bit, so there is a plague on all your houses effect. Some similarities with the 2001 GE when we already knew who the winner would be, mind you we are still needing a Prescott style punch up to liven up this campaign
https://www.facebook.com/labourparty/posts/the-governments-fuel-finder-is-now-making-sure-that-uk-petrol-stations-report-th/1506063714224971/
It's a good thing, by the way.
There is a £400m luxury hotel that the UK Government funded. They even arranged 3 flights and will give you 10k for the pleasure.
Oh hang on
Offer Closed July 2024
Tory Free Holidays (Rwanda) Ltd bankrupted the Country
https://x.com/nypost/status/2039006843763044817?s=61
When greedy cnuts take leave of their senses
Turn it off
BTW I'm not a Tribal Tory tosser, when I disagree with Labour I will say so
Markets are mad.
Even if Trump TACOs and walks on Friday leaving Straits unsolved the world economy will be battered.
You can sharpen your claws all you like, but basically, Turner has the balls to call out the authoritarian gaslighting bucket of affronted lard your party has put in charge of the country, and you don't.
Come on over
Oh hang on £15 ferry return doh!!
The predicted Grockle influx
Filling up to drive round Monday
Full up to go home Friday
The new news is an update on the care home visa fraud. This was where care homes were found to be selling visas for bum wiping jobs that don’t exist.
The latest version is that you sell visas for fake jobs that pay enough to get round the wage criteria.
So Malmesbury Technologies recruits lots of programmers at £100k. “Recruitment costs” = a payment of 5 figures from each applicant.
When investigated it turns out that Malmesbury Technolgies is a PO Box. The owners are stolen identities. The investigation goes nowhere.
‘ BREAKING: Iran's President Pezeshkian says Iran is ready to end the war with the US but wants guarantees.
US stocks are surging on the news.
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/2039021177385975981?s=61
But I don't quite see that happening. The IRGC from the outside at least to be too firmly dug in now.
Here dispossessing/ethnic cleansing over half a million people.
March 31 (Reuters) - Israel will destroy all homes in Lebanese villages near the border and 600,000 people who fled the south will not be allowed home until northern Israel is secure, the defence minister said on Tuesday, vowing to inflict Gaza-like destruction in the area.
https://x.com/idreesali114/status/2038986884689371582
Why's nobody called Donald anymore?
Lebanon south of the Litani river.
Greater Israel is on.
They are happy to leave the idiot Trump to deal with the mess created, partly due to being egged on by them, in Iran.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c7vq76g45rvo
- Trump and Netanyahu bail. US and Israeli administrations collapse into infighting and get trounced in elections
- A few months later, long enough that Trump can’t claim any credit, Iranians stage an uprising and turf out the regime after being covertly armed by Ukraine, Denmark, the UK and Canada.
It may be that Reforms rise in some seats overtakes a static or dropping Lab vote, many variables and unknowns at this stage. I'm expecting rural NE Scotland to be the clearest ground for an SNP/Ref contest. I'll hopefully write something on it in the coming days
Dogs is my favourite track on Animals. The guitar work around 3 and a half minutes in is just ace.
They had an enhanced FUFO implemented, with a lower bound of 0.3Kt - at which point you have a tactical ERW.
It depends how you run the numbers, but a Trident II carrying one warhead could probably reach all the way round the world. As in hit anywhere that isn’t inside minimum range.
You could definitely hit Iran from anywhere on the U.K. coast.
Thomas Cook ad with that energy gameshow bloke in a puffer jacket
It soon became clear he had little or no power in Iran and the IRGC ignored him completely.
Yet it seems people are so desperate for even a hint of optimism they will buy on any silly rumour and the sheep all follow as no one wants to be behind the rumour curve.
Likewise the China-Pakistan initiative which is platitudinous nonsense. The Chinese get 50% or more of their oil from the Gulf so are particularly vulnerable to a prolonged closure of Hormuz.
But close.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/c0mjrnr4ld3o
Opposition is growing among official Tottenham fans' groups to Roberto de Zerbi being named manager because of his controversial support of Mason Greenwood.
The Tottenham Hotspur Supporters' Trust held an emergency board meeting on Monday night and has now contacted the club to say it cannot support the appointment.
Are the Chinese ships paying a toll to Tehran?
That is where a wing of B52s lives.
https://abcnews.com/International/multiple-waves-unauthorized-drones-spotted-strategic-us-air/story?id=131245527
But it's logical to fortress Cyprus. It's the outer bulwark of our defences.
On the wider politics, the schism between the Trump Administration and Europe seems to be widening. The usual undiplomatic verbosity from the White House notwithstanding, there seems a lack of coherent thinking in the administration over how this ends.
Could Europe approach Iran directly with a proposal or proposals?
Yet who in Iran would want to deal with Europe or indeed anyone else when they seem, to use the vernacular "to hold all the cards" in respect of Hormuz and to have paralysed American thinking.
And possibly, but it's probably mostly Iranian oil anyway.
China would not enjoy a prolonged shutdown, but there is another consideration. They have around 300 days of reserves they can draw on so the situation isn't critical for them.
Taiwan has three months of oil reserves. After that, it is fucked. It only has gas for 11 days - which is even more alarming given that's how it generates much of its electricity.
China may actually see mileage in keeping the straits closed...it's already offered to give Taiwan oil and gas in exchange for reunification.
https://bisi.org.uk/reports/china-energy-diplomacy-toward-taiwan-its-strategic-advantage-amid-renewed-energy-instability
Pigs is my favourite
Imagine you are an Iranian negotiator - what would you want that Europe has?
The consequence of the schism between Europe and the US seems most likely to find its expression over Russia and Ukraine. The possibility is growing that the US will come to terms with Russia and fully lift sanctions imposed after the Ukraine invasion.
NEW!! U.S. confirms Belarus accession to Board of Peace charter
* Three Chinese ships passed through Strait of Hormuz, China says
* First non-Iranian container ships to leave Gulf since war began, Kpler says
* Greek-operated tanker with Saudi crude for India also departed
* Two Indian-flagged LPG tankers crossed strait on Saturday
(Problems incoming: I don't know if the EU or NATO have ways to sanction a member.)
https://youtu.be/ri-LbJpbl50?t=198
https://x.com/kajakallas/status/2034693979753652648
Incidentally we used to have a poster on PB who went by the name @byronic. I wonder if they are one and the same?
https://x.com/altryne/status/2039005970865516955?s=20
If you, like me, just woke up, let me catch you up on the Claude Code Leak (I know nothing, all conjecture):
> Someone inside Anthropic, got switched to Adaptive reasoning mode
> Their Claude Code switched to Sonnet
> Committed the .map file of Claude Code
> Effectively leaking the ENTIRE CC Source Code
>
@realsigridjin
was tired after running 2 south korean hackathons in SF, saw the leak
> Rules in Korea are different, he cloned the repo, went to sleep
> Wakes up to 25K stars, and his GF begging him to take it down (she's a copyright lawyer)
> Their team decided - how about we have agents rewrite this in Python!? Surely... this is more legal
> Rewrite in Py
> Board a plane to SK🇰🇷
> One of the guys decides python is slow, is now rewriting ALL OF CLAUDE CODE into Rust.
> Anthropic cannot take down, cannot sue
> Is this "fair use?"
> TL;DR - we're about to have open source Claude Code in Rust
Bit like leaving the gates open to Hamas
Identifying players is one thing, analysing the opposition another but at the end of the day it's the blokes on the pitch who are human not bots