Categories
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Dan Hodges wins his bet with me then Ed will have to sta
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Dan Hodges wins his bet with me then Ed will have to stay on the opposition side of the chamber
Labour don’t even need to win a majority to win most seats. It is also possible for them to be a couple of points behind in overall national vote share and still have more MPs.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-22445847
FFS. Last line says it all really.
A "rising number" of children are starting school still wearing nappies, say health experts in Kent.
Of 18 schools investigated, 24 children did not know how to use a toilet and still wore nappies.
...
Janet Marsh, a health visitor practice teacher, said parents "should not be blamed" for the delay.
It's all Pampers' fault, it seems.
To clarify, in my experience pubs in the sq mile in London are not closing, as they rely on commuter trade. but there is no sense of community.
Pubs in zones 3-6 (East London) are suffering because of a combination of the biggest sector of society being 1st 2nd & 3rd generation Asian immigrants who don't tend to be big drinkers, the white flight caused by this, and supermarket undercutting.
http://www.derelictlondon.com/east-london.html
Country pubs outside the M25 in Essex seem to be doing a good trade, especially in villages, where the local community spirit Socrates speaks of is evident.
says tim....
But at least your efforts/smears over the last few days prove Labour are worried about UKIP
When did you last post negatively about those possible coalition partners, Mike Smithsons Lib Dems?
The results last week pointed to Labour winning seats in the 50s and 60s on their target list, never mind 20.
Have taken all bets on Hillary Clinton for POTUS in 2016 off the table.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2013/05/07/mother_of_slain_benghazi_victim_rips_hillary_clinton_i_blame_her.html
I take it you don't need to worry about "accidents", tim, given you're posting from a commode all day long?
To be fair this is a perfect example of where a timfact could be true while simultaneously driving votes away from Immigrant importing labour.
You could perfectly reasonably expect that incidents of alcohol related violence, liver damage etc have all been decreased in East London by mass immigration... The fact that its because all the original community have left, or are unhappy with what's become of it doesn't stop it being true
people who see past the stats and take notice of human nature see that this isn't the positive for immigration lefties might think it is, hence the rise of ukip
The Queens Speech was such a non-event, newsrooms are going to be delighted to have something to report. 3 years in and Cameron has run out of ideas.
http://tinyurl.com/d6yvd5q
Perhaps if Farage describes them as fruitcakes, loonies and closet racists, he'll be able to alienate these potential fifth columnists. Thinking about it, they'd probably take the 'closet' description as more of an insult than the 'racists' bit.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFJdUJg4wOk
A tad harsh Mr AB. I think its fairer to say he has run out of ideas he can persuade the lib dems to back...
Look how much legislation Blair & Brown passed and how much good did it do us?
LOL, no not quite!
That's the song I like quoting to our very own JohnO:
Esher Good! Esher Good! Eben-Esher Good!
One good thing about the Eastern European immigrants (apart from being Catholic) is that they do drink. Although distilling their own vodka tends to be dangerous - as Boston can testify.
Yes, anything may happen, but go for it. I reckon Labour support in Bedford was relatively weak last time whereas the Blues threw in the kitchen sink. The Reds will not let that happen next time.
And they are funny.
Even funnier if their actions lead to a labour government, making their aims further in the distance than ever!
There are plenty of pubs in the general area which provide a very good service: great atmosphere, good food etc but it's a tough business. And, frankly, a lot of pubs are a bit rubbish. I'm not sure what immigration has to do with any of this, to be honest.
Ha! I can't believe that song is 21yrs old - Jeez do I feel old...
Re pubs - we've lost about 50% of ours locally, the smoking ban, high cost of petrol and pub prices vs supermarket prices have all played a factor.
The sites have either been redeveloped as flats, a house or a kitchen showroom. 3 others are still empty. There are 2 left in the town centre.
Also pubs that show 3pm Saturday football are popular
basically, boozers need to provide something you can't get at home
live music is another option
Now take The King's Speech: that was a great film, brilliant performances from Messrs Rush and Firth!
CV you know how to hurt a fellow blue ! yes, 13 years of pointless legislation, you'd have thought Cameron could have repealed some of it today.
We try to be very lenient, and prefer a nudge to a whack, consider this a very firm nudge.
Do not go after posters personally, I also mean posters talking about 'you have a sad life' etc, but for the avoidance of doubt, Tim this very definitely means you.
I don't want to hand out any enforced breaks from posting, if you don't knock it off then I will.
ShippersUnbound We have a government with few ideas and an opposition with few policies. Can we just have a general election now so they have to get some?
Eastern european men go home as they make money from working but struggle to learn the language. Eastern european women learn the language grow in the job market are flexible working in catering, food, hospitality upgrading to office markets and settle with money for an white british male.
The eastern european woman is the silent voter we are forgetting about. They are now marrying of to an english man with english parents and they are providing a grandchild. Criticising eastern europeans for coming here is the wrong group. Its pakistani asians whose culture has come and offended the british way of life not eastern europeans. They like the irish and italians have embraced our society and in a way have a stronger sense of family values and are making english men happy.
If only they ran the things they were doing now competently, that would be good enough for me.
Fun bets are a different matter.
http://www.thisislocallondon.co.uk/news/10406013.Harrow_Borough_Council_Labour_councillors_form_breakaway_group/
http://www.harrowtimes.co.uk/news/10406321.Council_meeting_cancelled_due_to_Labour_split/
Green party to picket against themselves.
Ah well a nice easy way to get cash to run the forums and server.
Actually there are two massively important bills: pensions and care for the elderly. But they're not new announcements, of course: the government is indeed getting on with the serious business of implementation.
Given that we have the coalition agreement, it would be remarkable if there were anything major and new in a Queen's Speech at the start of the fourth year.
With the new balance of councillors I think this will be a long drawn out process .
if labour want the dartford man to vote for them instead of conservative then they will lose the woman in bakewell. Thats what labour forgot and in 2010 the dartford man voted conservative and the woman in bakewell didnt care who won or lost.
I don't consider mentioning Enoch Powell in connection with me as a smear or an insult as I think he was a greatly misunderstood and highly intelligent man. So don't feel the need to stop calling me a 'powellite' if it makes you think you are getting somewhere with it
This government is an absolute shower and a shambles.
A stain on the democratic history of this country that will hopefully be wiped clean in 2015 with the ejection of both Parties from power. Hopefully for good.
It's the politicians that allowed it and the people that vote for them that are to blame
"Can we change our Wikipedia entry? Yes we can!!"
lol
Did anyone see chuka's face = lol
True, there is the usual rag-bag that Whitehall spews out. But with the banking, social care and pensions reforms, the government shows a coalition still working together to make big reform happen.
http://tinyurl.com/c4qjm39
The Raj, for example?
FTSE-100 up 0.4%
UK 10 year bond yields down 1.5%
Ben, you are clearly not an investor.
Agreed. Kind of makes you think that a UKIP/Con merger/reverse takeover is virtually inevitable at some point.
I'd be very interested to see rates of inter-marriage by national heritage, rather than the bizarre ethnic categories we have. I've never quite understood why Bangladeshis, Indians and Pakistanis are all classed as separate ethnic groups, while Black African counts as one.
Cameron says Labour "the party of welfare" & Tories "the party of hardworking people". The 2015 Tory campaign in a nutshell
Tessa Jowell making a speech about universal benefits helpful
http://www.migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/sites/files/migobs/Settlement Briefing_0.pdf
In terms of those settling here, family migration and asylum total more than those coming to work.
Nothing else I can think of could explain the massive proliferation of insanely repetitive posters over there. I just had a scroll through the comments on Toby Young's blog supporting a referendum in this parliament and decided to have a look at a random UKIP poster's disqus page ("ryeatley" was the first I found with a disqus profile). He's posted over 13,000 times, and by scrolling through his last 24 hours of posting then searching for "UKIP" found that he's mentioned them 30 times in that time. Checking back further to make sure it wasn't a fluke I found it mentioned over 100 times (where my iPad stops counting) within 4 days. It's been similar statistically for all the other Ukippers I can find on disqus.
I'm scared. If these guys are prepared to clone tim then they're obviously prepared to put their short term advantage ahead of the interests of the country. Too many tims would rapidly use up all of the bandwidth available and rob the rest of us of the internet entirely.
And if they'll even clone a tim, just think who else they might be prepared to clone to advance their cause.
I think Farage owes us an explanation.
The so-called Brown epiphany did not happen. Those who had a negative opinion of Brown had formed it before the election campaign, and told pollsters accordingly.
thedailymash.co.uk/news/society/why-are-all-the-pubs-closing-ask-people-who-never-go-to-the-pub-200903051623
Once we have those, the overall numbers will probably be something like Conservative 35%, Labour and UKIP 21% each, Lib Dem 14%, Others 9%. For those who wonder why the Conservatives are still committed to FPTP, this vote share gave them 50% of the seats.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dDFzVlVSWGtOaGlNQllBQjBmVzc0Mnc#gid=0
"Family settlements mainly spouses and children; most spouses granted settlement have
British partner."
So the only way to restrict this would be by insisting that British people who wanted to marry the nationals of non-EU countries had to emigrate. You could do this, but it's not something I would want to do, given my own experience of falling in love with a foreigner.