Even Rasmussen finds Americans saying Biden did a better job as President than Trump
Even Rasmussen finds Americans saying Biden did a better job as President than Trump– politicalbetting.com
There’s a lot of evidence that it might be a very special night for the Dems in the midterms.
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1) How firmly and evenly the US is divided
2) How far from reality 40% of Americans are living
The floor for both parties, pretty much regardless of what they do is 40%. The other 20% perpetually and marginally prefer whoever is out of power.
Looking at the 2025 figures I don’t think that’s figures are worth the bits they are printed on.
Trump is on the cusp of unleashing a golden age across the Americas.
The next 24 pages in the files are completely blacked out
https://x.com/AlexandruC4/status/2021508104056361333
What midterms?
We're only in mid February and it's already increasingly clear that a fair midterms would be a bloodbath for the Republicans.
Ideas of "hey lets use ICE thugs to scare voters away" assumes there are only a few pockets of seats where the threat is. But we're seeing big swings in all kinds of unlikely places.
The only winning move for Trump is not to play. National Emergency. Seditious traitors everywhere trying to overturn the immortal republic. So to protect it we have to suspend the election, especially in states where the voters have elected traitors to illegally run corrupt elections. You can have a federal election - run by me DJT where I'll win - or I will suspend the state-run elections until the traitors can be removed from office and brought to justice.
And so the cycle continues
But in this case it might be superseded by *another* Golden Age, as AI takes off. It it works correctly then companies like Palantir, Anduril, SpaceX, Claude, DeepSeek go zoom and the now-old Facebooks etc go bang. For example, Google has had a quarter-century stranglehold on Internet Search. Will it retain that? I've already started using Bing for more accurate results.
The usual phrase here is 'I have a bridge to see you'!
BREAKING: The decision to close El Paso International Airport to all flights for 10 days was triggered by Mexican cartel drones breaching US airspace, officials told @CBSNews. War Dept took action to disable the drones.
https://x.com/DrChrisCombs/status/2021602974179418205
Report by Phil Moorhouse, who is a lefty Youtuber but this is a straight report.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBoswkcG234
Irish Times article.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBoswkcG234
Of Boroughs bordering the outer edge, Labour currently gave majorities in Hounslow, Barnet, Enfield, Walthsm Forest and Redbridge and Croydon is very marginal.
I dont expect Labour to recapture Croydon given their position and history of bankrupting it nor to be anywhere near the LDs in the SW or take back much if any ground in Havering, Bexley, Hillingdon, Harrow or Bromley.
Can they lose the rest? There was a sizeable swing in Hounslow against Labour in August and both Con and Ref will be looking to make ground. Barnet and Enfield are both Con targets and Labour have small najorities in each where loss of 6 or 7 seats loses the majority. I expect them to lose both - Barnet to Con, Enfield to NoC. Hounslow might well slip into NoC
Waltham Forest and Redbridge are more problematic - the Lab majorities in Leyton and Walthsmstow etc are absolutely massive. In Redbridge the majorities are smaller but the majority on the council is very dominant, but has the close run in Ilford and the Gaza issue cracked it?
My feeling is, in outer London, Labour will be left with just Waltham Forest (which is a straddler between inner and outer really) and a narrow grip on Redbridge. I suspect the Tories and LDs will both control more of outer London.
Not impossible Reform will too
"There were some schools, so-called, but no qualification was ever required of a teacher, beyond 'readin', writin', and cypherin'' to the Rule of Three. If a straggler supposed to understand latin, happened to sojourn in the neighborhood, he was looked upon as a wizzard."
(from Carl Sandburg's one volume biography of Lincoln)
Lincoln had about a year, all together, of formal education.
He then taught himself to be first a surveyor, and then a lawyer -- and was good at both.
Some suggest Starmer showed the 'real him' but what it revealed is he is out of control of his emotions and not in control of the news agenda, especially as Ed rightly pointed out he had appointed 2 senior labour figures to senior posts both with known links to paedophiles
Labour women are deeply upset and angry and I think he is in a worse position today, but sadly for the country labour have not got their act together yet to remove him
This physco drama damages all of us, and labour need to do the right thing and find someone they can coalesce around and lance the boil
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/11/us-debt-forecast-to-hit-64t-in-a-decade-as-trump-policies-widen-deficit-00775726
Lets copy it here.
Redbridge does have at least the potential imo to be the 'its falling apart' result
Is there any winnable labour seat ?
Contested leadership elections only work in opposition. There, the candidates throw red meat to their base and then spend a few years resiling from their positions before the GE to persuade the moderates - exactly as Starmer did.
Truss, with her Johnson-era majority behind her, threw red meat and was IMMEDIATELY able to act (Luckily the Tory deadman switch kicked in before we were all resolutely stuffed - there is no Labour deadman switch). Imagine Rayner vs Miliband in a contested election after Starmer quits/is VONCed - what will they promise to their members, and then have the power to deliver - Wealth tax? UBI? WASPI? Massive welfare increases? you name it.
I'm a Tory and am hoping that SKS stays in power for the next three years - or engineers a coronation.
There was a piece in the NYT the other day with commentary from a number of subject experts that US law possibilities for holding Trump & Co responsible for their crimes had essentially been gutted, most perniciously by the SCOTUS ruling on official Presidential acts not being subject to criminal law.
Other possibilities are particular extensions to Impeachment to go beyond the usual limit of sacking them, and a Bill of Attainder.
Even this like the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act focus on US people bribing foreign governments, not US citizens accepting bribes.
Makes you think. 🤔
“We know that there are only 1% of retail, hospitality and leisure properties who are seeing their bill go up by more than 100% this year. So, the one that you’re referring to your shop in your constituency, he’s a relative outlier, because only 1% of businesses are seeing their bills go up by more than 100% this year if they’re not increasing from zero.”
Spot the people who have never run a business....its ok because only 1% have had their taxes doubled in a year.
Could work.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-59985904
A Lambeth Labour councillor who used "offensive and discriminatory" language on social media has resigned.
Philip Normal, who represented the Oval ward on the south London council, used a derogatory word for transsexual people, branded Muslims as "extremists" and likened Muslim women to penguins.
Why?
To shoot down some drones. OK, we're done now
Does anybody (apart from Willy) believe that?
NEW: Furious female Labour MPs have told Keir Starmer to appoint a woman as his de facto deputy to oversee a “complete culture change” in Downing Street after a series of scandals they say exposed a No 10 “boy’s club”.
Harriet Harman urged the PM to revive the role of first secretary of state, a post previously occupied by Peter Mandelson under Gordon Brown. But she insisted the role must be held by a woman to “transform the political culture in government around women and girls”.
Appeal to the 'rule of law' as to why Trump can't interfere is not really a powerful argument.
Keep the GOP on its toes
The fact 4 females have mow assumed the number 10 roles that are free suggests change.
The obvious person Hattie is talking about is Ange.
It's part of her old role. The fact though that Lucy Powell attends Political Cabinet rather overplays the hand a little.
Does Ange want this new role?
The other obvious wrong he could right on the soft left would be to bring in Emily Thornberry
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NKD4gWWI9Iw
Ed is not the Mr Nice he claims to be. No reference to Howard Marks intended.
As he's struggled for air time he's gradually become Mr Nasty.
Mind you, going between Cruella and The Hood he has to find a niche.
Oh for the days of Penhaligon or a Beith
ICE will patrol polling stations, ballot boxes and voting machines will be seized for 'validation'. The dems and the media will scream bloody murder, but the practical options for preventing this kind of manipulation by the US government are limited.
https://x.com/CalltoActivism/status/2021617285362786367
I will never walk away from the mandate I was given.
I will never walk away from the people I'm fighting for.
I will never walk away from the country I love.
58 Labour
5 Tory.