Another boost for Kemi Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
Another boost for Kemi Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
Getting endorsed by the former Lib Dem Liz Truss is an endorsement politicians would go out of their way to avoid. A fun betting market is if/when Liz Truss will defect to Reform.
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"You can dump all the crappy things you don't want on your enemies and keep everything else"
https://x.com/c_sommerfeldt/status/2016510138291458520
On CNBC, Mayor Mamdani says he's later today "going to be sharing the truth with New Yorkers" about how Eric Adams' administration "has left us with a $12 billion fiscal deficit."
"It's something that is attributable to gross fiscal mismanagement," he says.
🚨 NEW: The first by-election poll from Gorton and Denton shows Reform UK winning the seat
➡️ REF - 30%
🔴 LAB - 27%
🟢 GRN - 17%
🔵 CON - 6%
🔶 LD - 2%
Don't knows - 18%
Via
@FindoutnowUK
, 143 sample size, January 26-27
Mind you it would be hilarious
Greens damaging labour on that poll
Lab/Grn - 54%
Although Greens behind for now, Labour are going to have to fight hard to prevent Caerphilly Pt 2.
People in this seat really won't want a Reform MP.
(Assuming sample size is a typo...)
Man guilty of assault after Barron Trump reported attack to UK police
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd6wpdpylj1o
But aay any result that keeps Reform out will be good for Labour
Good times.
Reform: 2.5
Labour: 2.9 (was 7 a couple of hours ago)
Green: 3.8
Workers (aka GG): 120
Conservative: 420
LibDem: 500
Which means that 143 sample size is rather self selecting and probably misses out some key demographics in the constituency...
@DPJHodges
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10m
Know we get overexcited sometimes. But Gorton is going to absolutely seismic. If Starmer loses, it's over for him. If Farage loses, serious questions will be asked about the Tory Retreads Strategy and the Goodwin selection. And if the Greens win...well, it's mayhem all round.
https://x.com/DPJHodges/status/2016552857529471019
Every government since Margaret Thatcher, please explain.
The data here tells two different stories depending on how you read it.
Story one: London is the world’s 4th largest startup hub, raised $17.7B in 2025, produced more unicorns than Berlin, Paris, and Tokyo combined. Success.
Story two: London’s stock exchange fell to 23rd globally for IPO fundraising, behind Mexico and Oman. 88 companies delisted or fled in 2024, the largest exodus since the financial crisis. Deliveroo finally turned profitable after years of struggle, and DoorDash immediately swooped in to buy it for less than half its IPO price.
The pattern is consistent. Freetrade built a profitable trading app, got acquired by IG Group for £160M after targeting a £700M valuation. Runna built a successful fitness app, Strava bought it. ARM, DeepMind, Skyscanner, Shazam. The exit playbook is always the same: build in London, sell to San Francisco.
What London actually built is Europe’s most efficient farm system for US acquirers. The city does the expensive, risky work of finding founders, funding early rounds, and proving product-market fit. American companies wait until the risk is de-risked, then buy the winners at discounts enabled by London’s shrinking public markets.
The $17.7B in venture funding measures inputs, not outcomes. The outcome is that UK startups raised all that money, then got absorbed into US companies before they could compound at scale.
Being 4th in funding and 23rd in IPOs tells you exactly where the value is leaking.
https://x.com/aakashgupta/status/2016375397131420005
Is he still on the payroll of a newspaper?
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2016543778631303619 - there is a clear space between the comma and the 1
Via
@FindoutnowUK, 143 sample size, January 26-27
That may happen when a govt is unpopular like in 97 and 24 but I’ve never seen why that should always apply because the tactical vote brigade hope it will.
Hermer is the toxic mess at the centre of government and needs to be removed.
If Starmer distances himself from Hermer and appoints an AG with democratic legitimacy, he might be able to reshape the narrative. It is not as if there is a shortage of lawyers on the Labour benches
But it will never happen. Starmer is too weak.
In short this poll can get in the bin, a Scottish subsample of six blokes in Inverkeithing is more reliable.
Marx and Lenin were liberals fighting a liberal revolution against feudalism, serfs and all that. They offer nothing to the world as it is today. And absolutely everyone in charge in China today knows that is the truth. They don’t carry little books and read that shit.
The downfall of the once great civilisation of Persia is tragic, I agree. However when it comes to oppressing women and Islamism, then the Taliban and our supposed-allies in the House of Saud are just as bad as the Mullahs.
Saudi especially has spread a lot of evil in funding Wahabiism globally, including in the UK.
So that survey is based on 143 people all answering questions on a website for a chance to win £50...
Read into that what you want to see how subsampley that subsample is and which demographics will be completely missed.
Would the Lib Dem’s be proud !!
https://english.radio.cz/escape-causes-fresh-embarrassment-czech-prison-service-8045687
Escape causes fresh embarrassment for Czech prison service
Maybe not crazy, though. The FoN theory is that most people aren't interested in politics. It's quite possible that the Andy Pandy Isn't Coming To Play story isn't of interest to normies.
Firms connected to Dr Faisal Maassarani became landlords of Serco hotels in 2022 when asylum applications were almost at a 20-year high.
But soon after a hotel in Seel Street in Liverpool owned by one of the firms was found to be unsuitable, people in one of their Liverpool housing complexes were told they had to move out over "urgent" fire safety issues, unaware that 116 asylum seekers had seemingly been lined up to replace them almost immediately.
Maassarani, whose involvement with one of the firms was hidden behind a complex structure of companies and trusts registered in the Isle of Man, said he had no part in the day-to-day running of the buildings and did not authorise any communication with tenants.
Maassarani operates several GP surgeries in Knowsley and Sefton and in 2009 set up the social isolation charity Care Merseyside."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgvn4rr03vo
https://x.com/clashreport/status/2016457333325349371
And - at the risk of descending to yes-it-is-no-it-isn't - Marx and Lenin weren't liberals, and the Chinese Communist Party is full of communists.
Looks like a reasonably accurate linear scale, with zero where it should be.
Bloody amateurs.
(Bit harsh to leave the Conservatives off, though the tactical considerations are sound.)
Starmer won't sack him. But he must to reset his government
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