Will Robert Jenrick become the most famous Traitor of 2026? – politicalbetting.com
Will Robert Jenrick become the most famous Traitor of 2026? – politicalbetting.com
Sadly this market doesn’t offer both sides of the bet so I am not interested, if he appeared it would give his opponents so many attack lines. I am also not sure the optics of Robert Jenrick being labelled as a traitor would be good, it really wouldn’t be a cunning stunt by Robert Jenrick.
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RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 20% (+2)
LAB: 19% (=)
LDM: 15% (-1)
GRN: 13% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @techneUK, 14-15 Jan.
Changes w/ 22-23 Oct.
https://x.com/electionmapsuk/status/2012118982502056408?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Lammy's plan to snatch client account interest 'will force law firms out of business'
The Ministry of Justice's plan to take the interest which law firms make on money sitting in their client accounts will destroy high street and residential conveyancing firms, critics including national firm Taylor Rose have said.
Taylor Rose would have made just £100k profit last year without the millions generated by its client account.
Solicitors Regulation Authority rules currently only require law firms to provide clients with a 'fair sum' in relation to the interest earned on client money. The loose definition leaves scope for firms to retain most, or all, of the interest via agreement with their clients.
Last year the SRA postponed a review of the arrangement, but the Ministry of Justice has proposed requisitioning 50% of the “unearned interest” generated on law firms’ individual client accounts and 75% of the “unearned interest” generated on pooled accounts, which it says it will use to shore up England & Wales' crumbling justice system.
“Law firms thrive when the system is strong, so it follows that they should contribute to strengthening justice”, Lord Chancellor David Lammy said.
In 2024, the UK200 law firms generated over £350m from client account interest, according to data provided to RollOnFriday by Taha & Co.
https://www.rollonfriday.com/news-content/lammys-plan-snatch-client-account-interest-will-force-law-firms-out-business
Reality shows like the Traitors tend to be only participated in by politicians in decline
Being only 8 points down with a lot of likely voter repellant issues likely to surface for Reform in the run up to the next election .
She will hope the Jenrick defection has the same effect, at least one day of this poll included that
When I was a partner in a law firm we had an arrangement with the Bank that meant that we got an interest free overdraft to the value of the balance in our client account, effectively more than £1m interest free. I was never very happy with this arrangement from an ethical point of view because it seemed to me that we were making a secret profit at the cost of our clients but I cannot deny it greatly improved profitability and the financial security of the firm. Not clear to me how such an arrangement would be dealt with under these rules.
I thought she came across very well yesterday .
Chartlands Chambers sorry for saying barristers are superior to solicitors
https://www.rollonfriday.com/news-content/exclusive-chartlands-chambers-sorry-saying-barristers-are-superior-solicitors
I wonder if some of these defections are emphasising a little more strongly that Farage needs a team to take power and govern, and that the track record of the people he's wooing isn't instilling a tremendous degree of confidence.#
Instead of Tory defections I think he'd have been much better wooing business leaders, experts in their field etc to his tent to try and demonstrate capability in different areas of government.
You know the hotel where you were married that is now an asylum hostel - Jenrick spent billions implementing that and Farage welcomed him with open arms.
It's bad enough the lawyers taking advantage of their clients. Why that provides an excuse for government to steal the money is beyond me.
Say, for example, journalists ask Kemi about losing Bobby - do you have evidence he was a traitor. Where’s the photocopied resignation letter? And all she answers is “what about the party running the government, letting rapists free” and has no actual answer to the actual questions being asked - is that acceptable? Of course it’s not. Leaders need to be cool, patient, and answer questions properly. That’s the top of the list for their job.
Jenrick was top of ConHome members poll, 40% in top two of last leadership contest. “No longer Kemi’s problem.” Is that the best answer?
There is absolutely no principled argument for government to nick the money.
https://bsky.app/profile/financialtimes.com/post/3mcjzicy7t525
Now, that's quite some front given that she was a minister in the previous government for 6 years and her frontbench is hardly pumping with fresh blood, but the fact that Farage is actually giving her this line to use is quite incredible. And the ongoing defections might muddy the waters to a level where it might just work - at least partially.
The 'TrAIlblazers programme" is being rolled out in Europe having been piloted in the firm's US offices in November last year. Remarkably, the shoehorning of 'AI' into the programme's name survived the test period.
Trainees and NQs will be given 20% of their billable hours for "hands-on AI exploration" to "actively test" tools, such as Hebbia, Harvey and ILS' ProVision, in "tackling real client challenges". Their feedback will help Ropes determine how it will integrate AI at the firm.
Juniors at the firm are typically set billable targets of 1,900 hours a year, so they'll be able to devote around 380 hours to the programme. When it comes to salary, trainees in London earn £60k (year one) and £65k (year two), while NQs are paid a base salary of £165k plus a bonus.
https://www.rollonfriday.com/news-content/ropes-gray-lets-lawyers-use-20-their-billable-hours-play-ai
Taylor Rose to the SRA's office?
https://www.sra.org.uk/news/news/sra-update-126-interest-rates/
Bold words from a chambers that shares a building with a business called "Marx Ayur Body Massage Northampton". Although I suppose it means that its "legal warriors" don't have to walk far to relax and unwind after a long day of battling it out in the provincial courtrooms of the South Midlands.
Mixed success again but it does seem to have applied the SC decision in FWS rather than trying to say it says something else.
EXCLUSIVE Goaded barrister calls X opponent 'ugly whore'
A barrister has reported himself to the Bar Standards Board for reacting rudely to provocative tweets.
Francis Hoar overstepped the mark while engaged in a heated exchange with fellow X debater Juwayriyyah Alam.
The pair were arguing about West Midland Police's decision to ban supporters of Tel Aviv Maccabi football club from coming to Birmingham to watch their team play Aston Villa.
West Midlands Police claimed that Maccabee fans had thrown Muslims into a river at a previous fixture in Amsterdam, but Dutch police later said that was untrue.
This week the force’s chief admitted it had used AI to compile evidence for MPs, and that Microsoft CoPilot had hallucinated a match between the Israeli club and West Ham United.
Commenting on the shambles, Hoar posted that “The Chief Constable must resign and, if he doesn’t, the Home Secretary should sack him”.
Alam responded, “It's funny - every single individual who has called for the West Midlands Police chief to resign is a staunch supporter of Israel and it's [sic] genocide”.
Hoar replied, “Not every single one of its supporters are lying supporters of genocidal Hamas and the violent thugs that beat up Jews in Amsterdam and Birmingham. But you and most of them are.”
Alam agreed, telling Hoar, “You mean when the tel aviv fans got fafo'd [‘f***ed around and found out’]? Yes I clapped.”
Having reached some kind of agreement, Hoar left it at that and went to have a cup of tea replied, “Go and fuck yourself”, adding in a further reply, “Ugly whore”.
https://www.rollonfriday.com/news-content/exclusive-goaded-barrister-calls-x-opponent-ugly-whore
Anyone else amused that somebody with the surname Hoar is getting into trouble for calling somebody a whore?
It’s great to announce to the world that my bankers are Hoares.
Is this just a tax on interest on client money held by solicitors?
Is a tax on interest on client money held by any organisation?
Is a tax on interest on other peoples money held by anyone?
Looks like the government is back to their old favourite - trying to find taxes where no one will notice
Message to Starmer: the president would very much like an historic second state visit to the UK. Message to Machado: the president would appreciate you handing over your Nobel peace prize to its rightful owner. Message to Rutte: why not call the president Daddy? He’d get a buzz out of that. Message to all WH visitors: look, you can try painstaking well-informed negotiation, nobody’s stopping you, but you’d get a lot more out of the meeting if you were to just gaze adoringly at the president and tell the watching world that you’ve fallen in love.
I guess it’s a bit of both?
Barristers just do the talking.
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c62nwl7j44gt
But running against the previous Conservative government worked for Mrs Thatcher, John Major, David Cameron, Theresa May, and Boris Johnson. Arguably in internal elections for Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak as well.
TBH if the profession wants to pretend it is ethical / acting in the client’s interest only they should either give the clients the interest or consider giving it to charity. Keeping it themselves (or using it to fund bank lending) is not really on. I also think they should stop charging circa £50 for a CHAPS payment too.
Techne haven't polled since late October so the changes reflect what has happened since then, not just in the past week.
We also know moves of one or two percent are basically background "noise" so my immediate comment is not how much has changed, but how little.
She has needed something where she can shine. Getting rid of Jenrick puts her in a good place with lots of disaffected-but-still-essentially-Tory voters.
I’ll admit to being a fan of Kemi for years though.
What the principle behind it ?
What's the justification for these rates: the Ministry of Justice has proposed requisitioning 50% of the “unearned interest” generated on law firms’ individual client accounts and 75% of the “unearned interest” generated on pooled accounts.. ?
And it's hypothecated, which is something government has avoided like the plague, as far as taxation is concerned.
Mark Francois MP reacts to Robert Jenrick's defection to Reform.
https://x.com/JAHeale/status/2012115285705150756?s=20
'It was either lies then, or it’s lies now. Neither reflects well.'
https://x.com/SirSimonClarke/status/2011919031570231379?s=20
Does money stay in client accounts for significant periods of time? My only experience is related to house purchases where it was in and out the same day. Perhaps corporate lawyers are more affected than conveyancers?
It could be lies than and now.
I won't say it due to 'doxing' rules.
Totally unrelated
A Northumbria policewoman caught advertising herself on an escort website has been jailed for 15 months.
Former Pc Victoria Thorne, of Washington, Tyne and Wear, advertised herself under a pseudonym on a website called The Notorious Girls.
Newcastle Crown Court heard the 28-year-old, who earlier admitted misconduct, worked as a £100-an-hour prostitute for two years.
A police investigation found she had links to brothel operators.
She appeared along with five other defendants who had earlier admitted charges related to the running of brothels.
Sentencing Thorne on Thursday, Judge John Evans told her: "It is plain that those who thought they knew you, and knew you well, are at a loss as to how you came to be involved in such a seedy world."
She came under investigation when superiors became suspicious about her use of police computers to make checks about other brothel owners and prostitutes.
The court heard the initial investigation by Northumbria Police exposed a lucrative vice trade under the guise of Notorious Girls Escort Services, spanning the north of England and the Scottish Borders.
Thorne, who joined Northumbria Police in 2002, began advertising her services using the name Kelly in 2006 and initially did not tell anyone she was a police officer.
Victoria Thorne showed complete disregard for the law, said Northumbria Police
The investigation uncovered Thorne's links to 28-year-old Neil Lock, from Galashiels, who with his wife Natalie, also 28, ran a widescale operation, involving houses across Newcastle, Sunderland, Hartlepool and Middlesbrough, being run as brothels.
The couple ran the Notorious Girls escort website, which included photos of their prostitutes, and listed their services, prices and activities.
They took 30% of the sex workers' costs for arranging their meetings with clients.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/8249369.stm
Blows my mind this story is nearly twenty years old.
Canadian Net-Favourable Opinion Of:
🇫🇷 France: +50%
🇬🇧 UK: +50%
🇲🇽 Mexico: +37%
🇺🇦 Ukraine: +35%
🇮🇳 India: -34%
🇨🇳 China: -49%
🇺🇸 USA: -50%
🇷🇺 Russia: -86%
EKOS / Jan 14, 2026 / n=1012 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
https://x.com/CanadianPolling/status/2012022773464674629
Second time in a week!
I wonder what Jenrick’s Jewish wife makes of it all.
Nigel Farage is facing calls to explain why he repeatedly aired tropes and conspiracy theories associated with antisemitism during interviews, after claims the Reform UK leader used racist language in his teens.
In appearances on US TV shows and podcasts earlier in his political career, Farage discussed supposed plots by bankers to create a global government, citing Goldman Sachs, the Bilderberg group and the financier George Soros as threats to democracy.
These included six guest slots on the web TV show of the disgraced far-right US conspiracy theorist Alex Jones. Jones was successfully sued by bereaved parents after claiming the 2012 Sandy Hook elementary school massacre was faked.
During one interview with Jones in 2018, Farage argued that “globalists” were trying to engineer a war with Russia “as an argument for us all to surrender our national sovereignty and give it up to a higher global level”.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/24/farage-urged-to-explain-conspiracy-theories-linked-to-antisemitism-he-voiced-in-us-media
A terrific win.
The govt continues to ignore the SC verdict.
It would be good to get @Cyclefree thoughts on this.
Doesn’t police training tell them that PNC searches are logged and tracked?
Perhaps the same excuses Al-Fattah and that doofus with the dreadlock from Uni was allowed to use to get away with it ?
https://x.com/trungtphan/status/2011878977577906331
https://x.com/fl360aero/status/2012128949271228522
'As I have said Nigel Farage has done my spring cleaning and taken my problem away and we are all happier for it'
This cheerily ironic, unflusterd tone is obviously a good one for her. She needs more of it, and she might go further.
Surely if they design a tax that covers it, then they would have it. If they don't, they won't.
Make Birthdays Great Again.
When that old soak, Ishmael, posted here with his numerous post ban ID’s plenty of people happily called him with no trouble.
You just want to imply you know something others don’t
Who gives a fuck if he posts here or not and what handle he uses.
The system caught quite a few officers who thought that accessing and even selling police information was just a perk of the job.