Tears for Keir as we approach the end of the Keir show? – politicalbetting.com
Tears for Keir as we approach the end of the Keir show? – politicalbetting.com
EXC: Keir Starmer has privately vowed to face down any leadership challenge post-budget or May electionsAllies warn MPs of market chaos and say he won't quit if ministers demand he goes – but dare them to find 80 MPs and trigger a contest he'd fighthttps://t.co/p9sPvu6BoX
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‘The End of the Keir Show’, surely
Planning hasn't stalled - its getting done by end of the year. Renters rights bill has passed - huge deal for people who rent (ie no one on this forum). Bringing railways back into public ownership. NHS waiting lists falling (not much but a little). Got onshore wind going again.
But the biggest thing i think is we have a sensible chancellor who is grappling with the difficult fiscal decisions rather than doing unfunded tax cuts and pretending all will be okay.
They completely messed up welfare reform though.
Pun on 'clear and present danger' - but if you're explaining you're losing.
FPT: There's nothing wrong with PMs delegating stuff. It's probably the only way out system can work. And it's sensible that SKS delegates the "politics", because he's unambiguously bad at it.
But it is still his responsibility, and it's therefore important that he doesn't delegate it to an overinflated ego who got lucky once.
Politics - indeed world news - is going to be dominated as of today by the fall of Trump, the 25th Amendment, the rise of dead duck President J D Vance. The airbrushing from history of the Epstein associates. The anger of MAGA at how they've been used. The quiet clear-out of Republicans who supported Trump, either by not standing again or by the wrath of the voters.
Strap up for a hell of a ride...
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM......
2. That is not in any way 'getting us back on track' - it will excacerbate housing costs in the short term and could lead to massive US venture capital takeovers of housing stock in the longer term.
3. Whether this is 'back on track', except literally, remains to be seen. Changing the ownership of something is not in and of itself a beneficial development.
4. A small reduction in waiting lists is to be welcomed
5. Onshore wind in Scotland is largely a racket, as well as being a visual blight. I don't consider that to be 'back on track' but enjoy.
6. Got to be the worst Chancellor of our lifetimes.
But I think him and Reeves are caught in this loop, where they are just reacting - in particular on the fiscal side.
Fiscal hole... need to fill it... cut spending... raise taxes... ohhh... economic growth has slowed and now have a fiscal hole...
Rinse and repeat.
It's made worse by the government's desire to appease Trump. As China has shown, there is no appeasing Trump. The only way you win concessions is to stand up to him. SKS (and the Foreign Office, I suspect) think that dealing with Trump is like dealing with any normal, rational economic actor, and it's not.
SKS and Reeves need to take a step back.
I would give them two pieces of advice.
Firstly, properly fund the criminal justice system, so that visible crimes like shoplifting stop being endemic.
Secondly, look at what can be reformed to get economic growth moving. And I'd start with the property system in the UK: I would significatly loosen up plannning restrictions, and reform (ideally eliminate) stamp duty and replace it with some kind of property tax (land value or equivalent). This would also have the pleasant effect of getting rid of the absurd abuse of the stamp duty system at the high end where companies own houses, and then the company is sold, therefore avoiding tax.
What happens if Congress votes, and the Administration says "sorry, the shredder dog ate all our copies"?
I'd love to think that they have Really Got Him This Time, but experience says that happens less often than we wish.
Just saying.
I think that just house procedures give him 7 days to bring the swearing in forward, aside from any other tricks pulled by Maga Mike.
They have been far too timid and cautious which worked fine when seeking power but is a terrible strategy that pleases no-one when in government.
Changing leaders is instability.
The JR will be taking the same angle of whether correct procedures were followed but this time with legal force. I doubt the judge will be impressed by the government's defence that it didn't matter that the women weren't informed as no-one ever reads any of the letters DWP sends.
Of course, this all looks like Downing Street briefing to get ahead of a story; and creating a story themselves. Which is symptomatic of the terrible way they run comms.
Unless it includes Big D very much in flagrante I’m not sure how much impact it will have.
https://x.com/politvidchannel/status/1988333930416939097?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/trump-supporter-financier-named-couple-114059650.html
China is an exception i think because they actually are powerful enough to stand up to him.
It's OK to be frst. (And I suspect it would be popular too.)
Sadly nothing is going to touch Trump
But I may just be being overly optimistic.
What a mess Labour are in with Starmer and Reeves making Truss look good and delivering a slow motion economic disaster and turning in on themselves
Many would sit back with a smug expression but not me
This is a deadly serious crisis for the country and we have 3 more years of it
I don't know how anyone fixes that, and I'm not sure changing PM would me more than a temporary fix. We just live in untrusting times.
* VC, not MAGA
Which is what your "yes, we have now looked at the new information - as we are required to do - but no, there is no change to the decision" actually means, and why they might do it.
I agree Reeves should give herself headroom and that govt needs to be bolder.
I dont know what your objections are to renters right but ending no fault evictions is a huge change for the sector which will provide a lot of stability to people.
This will likely take months to play out.
Starmer is a creature of a more politically timid time where triangulation and tentative policy making paid dividends. Increasingly that approach looks to be running out of road.
Of course, there's almost certainly a lot of very embarassing stuff for certain Democrats too, which may also explain the why the Biden White Hosue was not that keen to open Pandora's Box.
I would read recent history differently to TSE. Recent history (in 2016) shows that Labour MPs ARE willing to initiate leadership challenges in extreme circumstances. The fact that the challenge of Owen Smith failed was only down to a historical anomaly where the dominant view of Corbyn amongst the membership was completely out of line with the views of MPs. That isn't the case this time, Starmer is seen to be an total electoral liability across all wings of the party.
Annual rent review process - It just doesn't work, about 4.7m households with 34 judges overseeing the process, gridlock inevitable......it is in the tenants short term favour but it is madness to design it like this.
In favour of the end of Section 21.
It is highly likely that the next government of any colour will struggle as much. The demographic challenges, the run down nature of all public services, the desolation of town centres, the stagnant productivity, the rule of the pluto-gerontocracy over the over-burdened young, the lack of any economic strength outside financial services in London, the military and environmental challenges etc.
None of these end when Starmer and Reeves go, to be replaced by Farage and Tice. Sure, we will fly a few more flags as the ship sinks ever lower in the water, but there won't be a magic cure. We are 10 years on from Farage's last magic cure of Brexit and look how that has improved the nation.
It ain't easy governing the UK any more.
But there is very likely some extremely damaging stuff about very wealthy people in there, who have a great deal of political influence.
It also said it was only a recommendation, it could not compel the govt, and there was no obligation on the govt to tell people about changes to the benefit system
My pension age has changed twice. I’ve had no letter. Am I entitled to a handout
Its being so cheerful that keeps me going.
There was certainly no push from Democrats to release all of the files until a couple of months ago, when the issue became the source of a split in the Republicans, but if there was something terrible on Trump himself they surely would have found a way to get it out there somehow.
In order for the WASPI case to be refused the govrrnment has to show that all relevant information was reviewed when making the decision.
There's the usual background of "Oops did I really say that the police now are a bunch of politically indoctrinated British hating scum (amongst other things), immediately before I was elected" stuff, but not defenestrations.
I'm not sure whether they have all gone away on a team building exercise around a re-enactment of the assault on the Ehrenfels by the Calcutta Light Horse in 1943 (Operation Creek * aka The Goa Incident), or just run head on into the budgetary process.
Quiet times, for now.
* "They recruited members of the Calcutta Light Horse 1,400 miles (2,300 km) away in Calcutta, who were on military reserve but were mainly middle-aged bankers, merchants, and solicitors."
If you just send a small payment to my firm, we will ensure you get your share of the massive payout.
Trump may be the highest profile, but there will be many politicians and others who are watching their backs at the moment.
I suspect this might be Trump's best bet to ride it out - find another story in the files worse than his and deflect. He is a master at this and his supporters desperately don't want his involvement to be real.
These are all opportunities to make some money.
As I am 60 and retired I have been gradually switching my investments from equities to mixed assets/income fund/bonds and money market funds.
Meanwhile the FTSE nudges 10,000 !!
The government has to then remedy that illegality. If it can head off the JR through compensation it doesn't have to accept illegality. Any responsible corporation would settle in those circumstances but the government has to worry about the political optics of handing out cash to WASPI women who aren't a popular group.
The moral of the story, do things by the book and don't screw up. To be fair to this government, the previous administration did the screwing up
That government can't break its own laws and when it does it will obey the courts is a difference between us and North Korea, Russia, and now of course the USA.
One of the most interesting questions for a Reform government will be how it approaches this.
Pretty much everything looks overvalued to me at present with little upside potential.
https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1988299581386616963
If one of the other Cabinet Ministers has a plan, and Starmer isn't listening to them, then replacing Starmer with this mystery Cabinet Minister would be several steps forward.
Granted this is an unlikely scenario.
1) Multiple stories break about a threat to Starmer from others, centrally Streeting.
2) Senior journalists know exactly who is saying what
3) Streeting appears on the studio round this morning denying everything, accusing unnamed people around the PM of invention and 100% supporting Starmer for PM until the century after next.
4) Journalists know perfectly well who has said what and in what way Streeting's people and others have acted
5) None of this is put to him in the interviews to counter what he claims.
The media knows, and they know if they are being lied to and they have the information to challenge people; the politicians know. But for the poor tax paying voter, the media offers nameless speculation.
I see little upside in tech for sure.
I’m quite happy with my dividend portfolio.
I think that is about the only regular levy based on capital value in our system, and is approx. 0.5% to 1% of capital value.
I think there is a system of exemption if they are let as residential lettings, which requires annual registration.
According to reports, there are fewer than there were.
Or is the JR specifically about the change which pulled the rise to 67 which was sped up by the Tories and the Lib Dem’s ?
There is little on it I have been able to find.
I have always been aware that my pension age has increased to 67, in fact at one point I think 68 was proposed but the government moved the dates back a bit
As it is, without the sources, we have no idea how much credence to give to the reports.
It’s 68 from 2044 and is currently under review due to report back by 2029.