A proper Scottish poll brings good news for Reform and independence – politicalbetting.com
A proper Scottish poll brings good news for Reform and independence – politicalbetting.com
?? New Norstat poll for @timesscotland – carried out week before Hamilton by-election – shows Reform's Scottish surge continues.Holyrood constituency: ?SNP 33% (-2)?Labour 19% (+1)?Reform 18% (+4)?Conservative 13% (-2)?Lib Dem 8% (-3)?Green 7% (+1)
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They want change. Labour need to deliver it or it’s PM Farage
First time since 1963 that two Brits have done so in Paris.
NOA
And as for labour in Wales they will be lucky to be 3rd behind Plaid and Reform next year
Gratitude
J/k, they were very nice.
It's hard to get attention, he needs to perform at Wimbledon to get all due deference.
My bad. I presumed real win it every year since Barca retreated
Still, it’s not gonna be long for that and the UCL. And he was a World Cup winner as a teen (and scored in the final). And he’s won the golden boot
When it comes to deserving pity, he’s no Harry Kane
Some 51 per cent of voters think Ms Reeves is doing a “bad job” at the Treasury, according to Ipsos. Just 16 per cent think she is doing a “good job”.
In the aftermath of the mini-Budget in late September 2022, Ipsos found that 53 per cent of the public thought Mr Kwarteng was doing a “bad job”.
He was sacked a fortnight later as Ms Truss scrambled to save her premiership.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/05/31/rachel-reeves-unpopular-kwarteng-labour-reform-tories/
How come South Asia isn’t doing quite the same for English cricket? Or Polynesia for English rugby?
If you’re a right wing unionist in Scotland you now have an obvious alternative to the hated and tarnished Tories. I expect reform to devour the Scottish right wing vote and supersede Labour, which shares the left and centre left with the LDs, Greens and Nats
I can understand the Scots increasingly wanting Independence
However it’s utterly gestural. I now believe Sindyref2 will never happen. The world is about to change in ways which will render it ludicrously trivial and pointless
Yet all the time trying to make out he’s just a good old fashioned Conservative? Farage is the front to a party infiltrated by Britain First, Patriotic Alternative and so on and so on - giving each other Roman Salutes behind closed doors just as Meloni’s fascist party have been proved to be doing. That is who Reform votes goes to, that is what Reform votes are empowering.
The rise of Reform is not British politics polarising on racial lines, their rise in the polls neatly matches money draining out of pockets and household housekeeping jugs, it’s a short lived cost of living gasm, nothing more than that.
However your underlying analysis is correct. Decades of endless race-obsessed, race-driven often frankly racist politics from the Woke left have - belatedly, inevitably - induced a racial reaction
And this is happening across the West
The Scottish subsample for Opinium also contradicts the above three polls and is closer to Norstat and shows SNP 33%, Reform 20%.
If Yougov/More In Common/Find Out Now are correct, then Reform is extremely likely to win the Hamilton by-election.
If NorStat & Opinium are correct, then most likely the SNP will retain Hamilton.
First leak from Defence Review
"UK government to spend £1.5bn on six new weapons factories"
https://x.com/RobertJenrick/status/1927993574626406634
14.6 million views.
I reckon Farage is just one or two charismatic Scottish candidates away from a real surge in Scotland which would not only overtake Labour and the Tories but threaten the SNP
Why should Scotland be immune to the populist right wave sweeping the West? I see no reason. Reform is the natural vehicle
But there is also the problem that he had a big ego/personality - and we know how that ends up in Farage-land.
If anything it looks like the Lib Dems are starting to become the English equivalent of the SNP with Reform as the party with the broadest support across Great Britain.
Their roots are often highly fascistic. Ditto Ireland
They must think we are idiots.
BBC News - Man arrested after car hits number of pedestrians in Leicester - BBC News
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvgqppwwje8o
It's in the local section, it was last night and the suspect and victims all attended the same private event.
It's not on the mass scale that the Liverpool one was. Tbh, this type of attack is newsworthy at the moment, but I don't know if lower level vehicle attacks have gone under the radar for years.
That said, if conspiratorial minds are on to it, it's time for Leicestershire police to crack open the national guidance and communicate what details they can very openly.
So it seems unlikely to be a terrorist incident.
May 29
Did you seriously blur out the brown people and leave the couple of White offenders unblurred? https://x.com/ErArBla/status/1928026419763814865
But, this is about a response to any building two-tier narrative on Twitter (comprising at the moment about 10 posts - I mean my mind boggles at how early some on PB get notified of this stuff, they must be mainlining conspiracy by mind chip). The media team's job is to get and stay ahead of that narrative, which they can probably still manage at the moment by getting something out there.
Meanwhile anyone skeptical of mass immigration into Ireland (which is happening at breathtaking speed) has a choice of pretty unsavoury fringe fash parties
So yes there does seem to be a large open space for a sane populist right party which has moved on from the Troubles, Gerry Adams and “kneecapping”
Echo, echo!
F1: will start browsing the market shortly, hopefully the terrible run of results betting-wise will end today. But we shall see.
Edited extra bit: Stroll's not racing.
https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article/breaking-aston-martin-announce-stroll-to-miss-spanish-grand-prix.4FI8kbD2YhaiuMDhXgW8KO
The defence industry needs reindustrialising.
How to be a successful Labour government when the public realm is dilapidated but there is no extra money to spend? That question has haunted Rachel Reeves since she arrived at the Treasury and is the central reason why her approval ratings are so terrible. It is the spectre hanging over the multi-year spending review settlement that she will unveil on 11 June.
Fair play to the government, it is pursuing reforms, such as speeding up the planning system, which should ultimately improve Britain’s long-term prospects. But ultimately and long-term don’t pay today’s bills.
Further raids into the welfare budget have been privately mooted by the Treasury, but look increasingly unfeasible. For a sizeable chunk of opinion in Labour’s ranks, there’s a glaringly easy answer: increase borrowing by easing the fiscal rules. [But] Sir John Kingman, the chair of Legal & General, who used to be a senior official at the Treasury, puts it well when he says the UK is “already treading a very delicate path, along a cliff-edge in deep fog”. One false step and over you go, into the abyss.
As it is, some further tax rises in the autumn budget are beginning to look unavoidable. To gather game-changing sums of extra revenue, the chancellor would have to hike the rate of one or more of the big three: income tax, employee national insurance and VAT. Both the Treasury and No 10 regard that as impossible because it would mean breaking Labour’s solemn manifesto pledge.
So the strain of keeping to the rules will be met by spending restraint. Nigel Farage can promise the moon on a stick. Sir Ed Davey can oppose every tax rise while bemoaning every spending curb. They enjoy the luxurious privilege of being opposition leaders many years ahead of a general election. For the residents of Downing Street, there is no magic money tree.
Wow.
I can't keep up.
betting PostF1: in a super-exciting bet, I've backed the McLarens and Verstappen to form the podium, at 2.2. Potential for Russell to spoil that but it's going to be bright and sunny and the Mercedes tends to prefer the cold.
https://morrisf1.blogspot.com/2025/06/spanish-grand-prix-2025-pre-race.html
Democracies that do this don't tend to have happy endings.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/article/review-fighter-jets-nuclear-weapons-x9vldt0sv
The better solution, although it would mean an awful lot of short term squealing from pensioners in particular, would be to finally merge NI and income tax and charge everyone the same rate of it.
I'll wait for the small print, but about fucking time.
That's been obvious for nearly 20 years.