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  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,010
    Taz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    Telegraph
    Lord Mandelson is set to call on Nigel Farage to help him win over Donald Trump’s administration.

    Britain’s new ambassador to the US is ready to engage with the Reform UK leader as part of efforts to persuade Mr Trump not to go to war with Britain on tariffs.


    Where's the Foreign Secretary?

    I think Mandelson is a pretty pragmatic chap.
    He will do what’s right for Britain, not petty party political advantage. I thought it a decent appointment.

    Unsurprisingly social media is somewhat hostile.
    And why is this time going to be different from all other times?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,662

    Eabhal said:

    Eabhal said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    This is interesting


    "Reform UK polling/seats: if they can get to 27/8% + they can be largest party in a hung Parliament. If 32/3% + they can win a majority outright.
    (Source: Electoral Calculus)."

    https://x.com/TimScottUK/status/1870881660834628029

    Farage has the approval of about 30% of the voters, I believe. That means, in theory, that 27/8% is easily do-able and maybe even 32% if Labour continues to implode

    Should that happen and they won a majority on 32% the very same people happy with Sir Kier getting a thumping majority on 33% would be bemoaning the death of democracy and demanding a change to the electoral system.
    I think a scenario where Reform get high 30s, and Labour low 40s, is much more likely, akin to coalescence we saw with the 2017 election.

    I just can't imagine a scenario where the possibility of a Reform government isn't met by furious tactical voting and turnout by everyone on the left. We saw how the right responded to the threat of Corbyn; we'd get that again with Farage.
    Labour got 33.7% of the vote last time. You think they're going to increase their share of the vote by about 10%?
    No. I just think that's more likely than Reform winning a majority with a low 30s result. Labour's vote was suppressed for a number of reasons - Gaza, inevitable victory - things that would become less important in the face of Farage.

    A Reform victory on 34% is a fun thought experiment though, so I'm going to dig around in my spreadsheet and try and construct the scenario.
    That's a fair point but Labour have been so diabolical I can't see them inflating their vote back up to 40% after this term in office.

    It's true they'll still get a decent share, though. They are delivering for millions of public sector workers and trade unionists.
    It's December 2024. Up to 4 and a half years until the next election. Its practically impossible to declare that something political is impossible. We have had the absurd and the impossible cued up ready to pile on top of each other repeatedly.

    Who knows what is going to happen. Think of something utterly absurd, say "that can't possibly happen" and then remember the succession of events since 2015.


    Starmer could win a landslide. Starmer could get abducted by aliens. Who can tell.
    That’s timing isn’t the realistic scenario

    If things are going well then Starmer calls an election in 3.5 years (summer 2028) in which case your scenario doesn’t hold.

    If we get to this point (6 months from the next election) then things are not going well and although “something might turn up”, something never does
    Something *rarely* does.

    But I suspect Major benefited from waiting until 1992.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,401
    edited December 22
    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    Confronts them with their own mortality, etc. etc. Drives it home that we're not in the 1950s any more. Maybe?

    (Just been sorting through my late father's stuff including his photo in front of his gun turret at Spithead Coronation Review, and looking at the souvenir programme. That was a hell of a long time ago, complete with a real live battleship like something from |Jutland, only with better mechanical computers and more flak (though he wasn't then on her, he'd served on a KGV class battleship not so long before.)
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,476
    HYUFD said:

    If true, this would be an interesting test for the UK government:

    "Asma al-Assad asks for divorce and wants to leave Russia 🇷🇺.
    According to the newspaper, Asma al-Assad, who holds British citizenship expressed her dissatisfaction with living conditions in the 🇷🇺 capital Moscow and she want to return to London."

    https://x.com/Vijesti11111/status/1870493301859623121

    So gassing babies, torture in prisons and mass executions by her husband's military and secret police was fine as long as she resided in the Presidential Palace in sunny Damascus with her husband's credit card.

    Living in a Moscow flat in winter though is beyond the pale
    She’s unethical (although I suspect she may plead marital coercion - I think that’s the correct term… although autocorrect kept changing it to “martial” which isn’t obviously wrong…) but that doesn’t change her rights as a citizen and she hasn’t done anything that would warrant her being stripped of that status.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,888
    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    How would you test for what 'significant' means in the question? Signifying what to whom? Of weighty important to whom in what way?

    Covid or 9/11 is a perfectly possible answer. So is 'the death of my mum'.

    For most people the most important thing in their universe is their family. Its significance rests in both the weight attached to it, and also its signifying power to people that they belong to a network of unconditional love.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,476
    viewcode said:

    rcs1000 said:

    viewcode said:

    FPT @MattW (replacing my earlier reply)

    Cicero said:

    MattW said:

    Brains Trust.

    Can anyone tell me off teh top of their how the various main UK political parties are organised.

    Unincorporated Associations, Co-operatives, Companies Limited by Guarantee etc?

    I can go and find it, but does anyone know already?

    (Clearly we know that RefUK are a Limited Compavy.)

    The other political parties are unincorporated organisations which register with the electoral commission under section 22 of the PPERA.
    I think @Cicero is mostly correct. Repeated questions to Copilot and my own Googling leads me to think that Reform is a limited company, the others (Lab, LD, SNP, Plaid etc) are unincorporated associations, except possibly for the Conservative Party - see below for a discussion of this.

    Unincorporated Associations
    An unincorporated association operates based on its own rules and constitution rather than being governed by company law. It is a bunch of people and associations organised by agreed rules that it sets down in its constitution. It is not a legal entity separate from its members

    The Structure Of Reform UK
    Reform UK Party Limited (formerly the Brexit Party Limited) is a limited company (not a PLC: its shares aren't traded). Unlike unincorporated associations it can legally take a profit and it does not have to elect its leader. It currently has three officers (Company Secretary is Mehrtash A'Zami, Company Directors are Farage and Tice).

    Reform intends (hmmm) to change its stucture, I think to a company limited by guarantee.

    The Structure Of The Conservative And Unionist Party
    The Inland Revenue tried to tax the Conservative Party as if it was an unincorporated association. The Party took it to court and after some appeals it was adjudged that it was NOT an unincorporated association. I don't know what its legal structure is: Wikipedia describes it as a sui-generis "mixed-money, common-object body with regular spending for political purposes". I think @HYUFD may be able to assist, especially if the Cameron reforms changed it.

    Reform
    https://www.politicallyinclined.co.uk/why-is-reform-party-uk-a-limited-company/
    https://1library.net/article/the-legal-status-of-political-parties-in-britain.zln8jlgq
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reform_UK#Funding_and_structure
    https://www.siccode.co.uk/sic2007/code-94920
    https://consoc.org.uk/how-to-constitute-a-political-party/

    Conservatives
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_Party_Board
    https://www.conservatives.com/organisation/party-structure-and-organisation

    Conservative and Unionist Central Office v Burrell [1981]
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_and_Unionist_Central_Office_v_Burrell
    https://lawprof.co/trust/unincorporated-association-cases/conservative-central-office-v-burrell-1982-1-wlr-522/
    https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWCA/Civ/1981/2.html
    https://www.casemine.com/judgement/uk/5a8ff87960d03e7f57ec10e1

    (Note: not all PLCs companies are traded. It
    is perfectly possible to have a PLC with unlisted shares.)
    Fair point, but they still have tradeable shares. A limited company with untradable shares is a private limited company: a different thing. Or have things changed since my Economics courses?
    All shares are tradable - unless they are stapled or restricted in some way
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,870
    rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    Telegraph
    Lord Mandelson is set to call on Nigel Farage to help him win over Donald Trump’s administration.

    Britain’s new ambassador to the US is ready to engage with the Reform UK leader as part of efforts to persuade Mr Trump not to go to war with Britain on tariffs.


    Where's the Foreign Secretary?

    I think Mandelson is a pretty pragmatic chap.
    Intensely relaxed.
  • MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,691
    Taz said:

    A cheery read in the New Statesman. Why are 13,000:people in Dover too Ill to work.

    Unsurprisingly the Current govt has been gifted this legacy from the previous clowns.


    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/society/2024/12/dover-sick-town-of-england

    SLS is endemic in the UK. I think we could all name a place with the same problems.

    > Mablethorpe
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,774
    Leon said:

    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    MEGA    Make Europe Great Again
    could be the start of something big
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,870
    carnforth said:

    rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    Telegraph
    Lord Mandelson is set to call on Nigel Farage to help him win over Donald Trump’s administration.

    Britain’s new ambassador to the US is ready to engage with the Reform UK leader as part of efforts to persuade Mr Trump not to go to war with Britain on tariffs.


    Where's the Foreign Secretary?

    I think Mandelson is a pretty pragmatic chap.
    Intensely relaxed.
    “We are intensely relaxed about people getting filthy rich,” the trade and industry secretary assured an approving group of senior executives at Hewlett-Packard during his fact-finding visit. “As long as they pay their taxes,” he added hurriedly.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,476
    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    Lots of pandemic and financials crises though. Only one Queen…
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,774
    carnforth said:

    rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    Telegraph
    Lord Mandelson is set to call on Nigel Farage to help him win over Donald Trump’s administration.

    Britain’s new ambassador to the US is ready to engage with the Reform UK leader as part of efforts to persuade Mr Trump not to go to war with Britain on tariffs.


    Where's the Foreign Secretary?

    I think Mandelson is a pretty pragmatic chap.
    Intensely relaxed.
    About becoming filthy rich
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    geoffw said:

    Leon said:

    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    MEGA    Make Europe Great Again
    could be the start of something big
    It’s coming. The fight back
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,476
    rcs1000 said:

    Taz said:

    rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    Telegraph
    Lord Mandelson is set to call on Nigel Farage to help him win over Donald Trump’s administration.

    Britain’s new ambassador to the US is ready to engage with the Reform UK leader as part of efforts to persuade Mr Trump not to go to war with Britain on tariffs.


    Where's the Foreign Secretary?

    I think Mandelson is a pretty pragmatic chap.
    He will do what’s right for Britain, not petty party political advantage. I thought it a decent appointment.

    Unsurprisingly social media is somewhat hostile.
    That's pretty much exactly my view. Indeed, the willingness to coopt Farage is a clear example of that.

    The question really is how Farage handles it. Does he help a Government he generally dislikes for the benefit of the UK? Or does he see partisan political advantage in making it harder for the US and UK to come to an arrangement.
    He helps and finds a way to claim the credit, perhaps with Trump’s connivance

  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,081
    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    I guess because it was a single event. Very easy to pin down. We know exactly when it happened, why, and what David Beckham's reaction to it was. It was a single News Event with no complexity whatsoever. We knew what we were doing when it happened. We knew what our reaction to it was, and what happened next.
    I'd agree it didn't really change the world in the same way as covid. But it was a lot easier to identify as an event.
    Alternatively, because it happened more recently than covid. For some people, thr most recent thing is the most relevant thing - and sometimes the only thing they can remember.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,476
    rcs1000 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Eabhal said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    This is interesting


    "Reform UK polling/seats: if they can get to 27/8% + they can be largest party in a hung Parliament. If 32/3% + they can win a majority outright.
    (Source: Electoral Calculus)."

    https://x.com/TimScottUK/status/1870881660834628029

    Farage has the approval of about 30% of the voters, I believe. That means, in theory, that 27/8% is easily do-able and maybe even 32% if Labour continues to implode

    Should that happen and they won a majority on 32% the very same people happy with Sir Kier getting a thumping majority on 33% would be bemoaning the death of democracy and demanding a change to the electoral system.
    I think a scenario where Reform get high 30s, and Labour low 40s, is much more likely, akin to coalescence we saw with the 2017 election.

    I just can't imagine a scenario where the possibility of a Reform government isn't met by furious tactical voting and turnout by everyone on the left. We saw how the right responded to the threat of Corbyn; we'd get that again with Farage.
    Labour got 33.7% of the vote last time. You think they're going to increase their share of the vote by about 10%?
    No. I just think that's more likely than Reform winning a majority with a low 30s result. Labour's vote was suppressed for a number of reasons - Gaza, inevitable victory - things that would become less important in the face of Farage.

    A Reform victory on 34% is a fun thought experiment though, so I'm going to dig around in my spreadsheet and try and construct the scenario.
    That's a fair point but Labour have been so diabolical I can't see them inflating their vote back up to 40% after this term in office.

    It's true they'll still get a decent share, though. They are delivering for millions of public sector workers and trade unionists.
    It's December 2024. Up to 4 and a half years until the next election. Its practically impossible to declare that something political is impossible. We have had the absurd and the impossible cued up ready to pile on top of each other repeatedly.

    Who knows what is going to happen. Think of something utterly absurd, say "that can't possibly happen" and then remember the succession of events since 2015.


    Starmer could win a landslide. Starmer could get abducted by aliens. Who can tell.
    That’s timing isn’t the realistic scenario

    If things are going well then Starmer calls an election in 3.5 years (summer 2028) in which case your scenario doesn’t hold.

    If we get to this point (6 months from the next election) then things are not going well and although “something might turn up”, something never does

    Something *rarely* does.

    But I suspect Major benefited from waiting until 1992.
    Because people got to see the public persona of him and Kinnock for longer and made their choice

    That’s not “something turning up”
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,774
    Cookie said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    I guess because it was a single event. Very easy to pin down. We know exactly when it happened, why, and what David Beckham's reaction to it was. It was a single News Event with no complexity whatsoever. We knew what we were doing when it happened. We knew what our reaction to it was, and what happened next.
    I'd agree it didn't really change the world in the same way as covid. But it was a lot easier to identify as an event.
    Alternatively, because it happened more recently than covid. For some people, thr most recent thing is the most relevant thing - and sometimes the only thing they can remember.
    Yeah, and like it was totally unexpected

  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,010
    Cookie said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    I guess because it was a single event. Very easy to pin down. We know exactly when it happened, why, and what David Beckham's reaction to it was. It was a single News Event with no complexity whatsoever. We knew what we were doing when it happened. We knew what our reaction to it was, and what happened next.
    I'd agree it didn't really change the world in the same way as covid. But it was a lot easier to identify as an event.
    Alternatively, because it happened more recently than covid. For some people, thr most recent thing is the most relevant thing - and sometimes the only thing they can remember.
    Yeah, I was thinking that the emphasis in the question on "single" might have weighed against the GFC.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,481
    Wish I didn't have to saddle up my hobby horse so frequently. System is in complete disarray.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/dec/22/100m-spent-in-england-on-failed-efforts-to-block-childrens-send-support
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,916

    geoffw said:

    Telegraph
    Lord Mandelson is set to call on Nigel Farage to help him win over Donald Trump’s administration.

    Britain’s new ambassador to the US is ready to engage with the Reform UK leader as part of efforts to persuade Mr Trump not to go to war with Britain on tariffs.


    Where's the Foreign Secretary?

    Mandelson will be the Foreign Secretary as far as US relations are concerned, and that is the biggy
    My first thought on hearing of his appointment was that it answered the age-old question: "In a crisis, who does the US President call in Europe?"

    Now it will be Mandelson. And he'll be in the same timezone and can see the US President in person.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,238
    geoffw said:

    Leon said:

    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    MEGA    Make Europe Great Again
    could be the start of something big
    We had Make Germany Great Again a few decades back. It didn't end well.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,916
    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,238

    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves

    A line of hand pumps dispensing decent ale, and yet people choose to drink that rubbish.

    Takes all sorts.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,317
    ...
    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    Reform are now closing in on having more members that the Conservative Party and are planning to hold a number of events at large venues early in the new year. Perhaps it’s the rebirth of the kind of mass membership politics that had been dying out in recent decades.

    https://x.com/nigel_farage/status/1870877597741261001

    Err...is Reform even a membership organisation? What exactly does one get if one chooses to supply them with twenty-five of one's finest English sovereigns every December 22nd to become a 'paying registered supporter'. Asking for a friend...
    Surely, if British political history 2000-2024 teaches us anything, it is: do not underestimate Nigel Farage
    I wasn't intending to imply that the structure of Reform will hold them back; more that 'mass membership politics' is an odd turn of phrase.

    I am more pessimistic than ever about the prospect of a protest party with no real solutions taking power at the next election (as opposed to the current situation which appears to be a well-established party with no solutions).
  • Leon said:

    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    The greatness of Europe started in its South, however.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,843
    Washington Commanders really are the comeback kids .. Amazing game v the Eagles.
  • CHart said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Musk doubles down on support for the AfD. Look at the tweet he’s quoting:

    https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1870901817367834656

    Yep: no question about the rabbit hole that he's gone down is there?
    Have you ever heard of the iq communication gap. That is when the iq gap between 2 people exceeds 30 points communication starts to break down. Whats Musks iq perhaps 160. This means to anyone below 130 iq he sounds a blithering idiot whereas actually he is speaking from a higher level of consciousness.
    What a funny coincidence, there's another member here who has an unnatural obsession with IQ.
    Actual intelligence is a bit like being “hard” or being “cool”.

    Very hard to define, but anyone who bangs on about how much they have, doesn’t have any.
    Whenever someone bangs on about how smart they are and how stupid everyone else is, you can be pretty sure they are perched right at the summit of the first peak of the Dunning-Kruger confidence vs competence curve.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 51,177
    Leon said:

    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    Oh great

    Another 2 G&Ts and he’ll become the one of “Vikings” that Miracle of Sound get thrown out of their gigs.

    Hint : don’t tattoo your self awarded rank tabs on your shoulders
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,870

    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves

    Controversial: bottled Guinness is better than draft Guinness.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,317
    edited December 22

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Eabhal said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    This is interesting


    "Reform UK polling/seats: if they can get to 27/8% + they can be largest party in a hung Parliament. If 32/3% + they can win a majority outright.
    (Source: Electoral Calculus)."

    https://x.com/TimScottUK/status/1870881660834628029

    Farage has the approval of about 30% of the voters, I believe. That means, in theory, that 27/8% is easily do-able and maybe even 32% if Labour continues to implode

    Should that happen and they won a majority on 32% the very same people happy with Sir Kier getting a thumping majority on 33% would be bemoaning the death of democracy and demanding a change to the electoral system.
    I think a scenario where Reform get high 30s, and Labour low 40s, is much more likely, akin to coalescence we saw with the 2017 election.

    I just can't imagine a scenario where the possibility of a Reform government isn't met by furious tactical voting and turnout by everyone on the left. We saw how the right responded to the threat of Corbyn; we'd get that again with Farage.
    I couldn't have Nigel Farage as my PM. I'd have to move overseas.
    That would be awful. Do you need some advice where to go? Message me any time, 24/7
    Thank you but I hope it's a bridge that remains uncrossed.

    It'd be Borneo, I think. I have links there.
    I'm curious if you are serious. You barely move beyond NW3, would a Farage government genuinely be so bad you'd move to another country?
    What makes you think he would improve Britain as a country?
    Can't be much worse than Starmer & Reeves!
    Oh yes it can!

    (Well it is panto season)

    ETA I see @Malmesbury beat me to it, though without reference to panto. You should be ashamed of yourself man.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,424

    viewcode said:

    FPT @MattW (replacing my earlier reply)

    Cicero said:

    MattW said:

    Brains Trust.

    Can anyone tell me off teh top of their how the various main UK political parties are organised.

    Unincorporated Associations, Co-operatives, Companies Limited by Guarantee etc?

    I can go and find it, but does anyone know already?

    (Clearly we know that RefUK are a Limited Compavy.)

    The other political parties are unincorporated organisations which register with the electoral commission under section 22 of the PPERA.
    I think @Cicero is mostly correct. Repeated questions to Copilot and my own Googling leads me to think that Reform is a limited company, the others (Lab, LD, SNP, Plaid etc) are unincorporated associations, except possibly for the Conservative Party - see below for a discussion of this.

    Unincorporated Associations
    An unincorporated association operates based on its own rules and constitution rather than being governed by company law. It is a bunch of people and associations organised by agreed rules that it sets down in its constitution. It is not a legal entity separate from its members

    The Structure Of Reform UK
    Reform UK Party Limited (formerly the Brexit Party Limited) is a limited company (not a PLC: its shares aren't traded). Unlike unincorporated associations it can legally take a profit and it does not have to elect its leader. It currently has three officers (Company Secretary is Mehrtash A'Zami, Company Directors are Farage and Tice).

    Reform intends (hmmm) to change its stucture, I think to a company limited by guarantee.

    The Structure Of The Conservative And Unionist Party
    The Inland Revenue tried to tax the Conservative Party as if it was an unincorporated association. The Party took it to court and after some appeals it was adjudged that it was NOT an unincorporated association. I don't know what its legal structure is: Wikipedia describes it as a sui-generis "mixed-money, common-object body with regular spending for political purposes". I think @HYUFD may be able to assist, especially if the Cameron reforms changed it.

    Reform
    https://www.politicallyinclined.co.uk/why-is-reform-party-uk-a-limited-company/
    https://1library.net/article/the-legal-status-of-political-parties-in-britain.zln8jlgq
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reform_UK#Funding_and_structure
    https://www.siccode.co.uk/sic2007/code-94920
    https://consoc.org.uk/how-to-constitute-a-political-party/

    Conservatives
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_Party_Board
    https://www.conservatives.com/organisation/party-structure-and-organisation

    Conservative and Unionist Central Office v Burrell [1981]
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_and_Unionist_Central_Office_v_Burrell
    https://lawprof.co/trust/unincorporated-
    association-cases/conservative-central-office-v-burrell-1982-1-wlr-522/
    https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWCA/Civ/1981/2.html
    https://www.casemine.com/judgement/uk/5a8ff87960d03e7f57ec10e1

    On a technical point, the difference between a limited company and a PLC is nothing to do with whether shares are publicly traded or not. There are multiple examples of private PLCs.
    I'm not sure that's true: see this[1] for an explanation. Can you give me an example of a private PLC?

    [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_company_limited_by_shares#:~:text=A limited company may be,and a public limited company.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,871
    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,081

    Leon said:

    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    The greatness of Europe started in its South, however.
    Started, yes. However the North/Baltic Sea littoral during the period 500-1900 has perhaps moved the dial forward at least as much as the Mediterranean Sea littoral during the 1400 years before that.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    dixiedean said:

    Wish I didn't have to saddle up my hobby horse so frequently. System is in complete disarray.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/dec/22/100m-spent-in-england-on-failed-efforts-to-block-childrens-send-support

    That's Appeals doubled from <10k to ~20k in 2 years, based on the numbers in that article?

    Wheels coming off the 2014 SEN reforms, perhaps? Or an artefact of Covid? Orboth?

    That's approximately (poor scales on the graph) 5k cost to process each on average.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,592

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    Their solutions vastly increase spending while reducing tax revenue.

    But hey it’s perfectly possible that people on PAYE are avoiding tax - I mean HMRC found £176m that way.

    The problem is that that was an exception and not the rule no matter what some in reform claim
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,303
    edited December 22
    Trump nominates China hawk Elbridge Colby as Under Secretary of Defense for Policy.

    https://x.com/elbridgecolby/status/1870953555064230162
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,081

    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves

    A line of hand pumps dispensing decent ale, and yet people choose to drink that rubbish.

    Takes all sorts.
    I went to a pub in Soho in the summer which claimed to have perfected the Guinness. The landlord is a perfectionist. Went to great lengths to optimise distance from barrell to pump, cellar temperature, line clarity and so on. Now I like a pint of Guinness, and this was indeed a good pint of Guinness. But not much better than Guinness in 90% of pubs I have drunk Guinness in. I drank my Guinness, and moved on to try some of the bitters on tap. Which were also kept well.
    But as I left, I noticed every Herbert drinking outside in the street was drinking Guinness. Which they really wouldn't be
    were they not told the Guinness here was
    so good. The power of social media and the herdability of humans.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,871
    eek said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    Their solutions vastly increase spending while reducing tax revenue.

    But hey it’s perfectly possible that people on PAYE are avoiding tax - I mean HMRC found £176m that way.

    The problem is that that was an exception and not the rule no matter what some in reform claim
    The last Tory Government's Corporation Tax hike saw CT rise by 30% afaicr, and CT receipts rise by just 10%. So 20% less eligible profit was declared in the UK. If that trend continues, it won't be long (year two or three?) until that tax becomes revenue negative. The number crunchers pursing their lips at Reform's budget all have CT reduction as a big 'hole' in the budget - it's simply fiction. Tell that to Ireland.

    We are now experiencing the real impact of a Government not realising that the economy is a living organism that runs on confidence and increases its activity if giving the proper breathing space (and vice versa).
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,317

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    I see your manifesto full of solutions and raise you with yogic flying.

    Any fool can come up with 'solutions'. I'm more interested in solutions.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,871
    maxh said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    I see your manifesto full of solutions and raise you with yogic flying.

    Any fool can come up with 'solutions'. I'm more interested in solutions.
    You don't strike me as at all interested in solutions. You're interested in expressing your point of view, and you don't really want to explore anything that challenges it.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,317

    maxh said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    I see your manifesto full of solutions and raise you with yogic flying.

    Any fool can come up with 'solutions'. I'm more interested in solutions.
    You don't strike me as at all interested in solutions. You're interested in expressing your point of view, and you don't really want to explore anything that challenges it.
    Pots, kettles and soot come to mind.

    How would you distinguish between someone who is not looking for solutions and someone who disagrees with you, out of interest?

    Have you ever considered the possibility that I have actually bothered to read Reform's manifesto?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,282
    Doesn’t seem particularly bothered by this constitutional ‘innovation’.

    House Republican dubs Elon Musk ‘our prime minister’
    https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5052923-house-republican-elon-musk-prime-minister/
  • MJWMJW Posts: 1,737

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    None of them remotely plausible. Even those sympathetic to Reform's overall politics could see their figures were utterly ludicrous and made Corbyn look like Nigel Lawson.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,282
    Just 10 of 4,000 tainted blood victims have had compensation, campaigners say

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/dec/22/just-10-of-4000-tainted-blood-victims-have-had-compensation-campaigners-say
    Furious victims of the infected blood scandal have said that just 10 out of 4,000 people have received compensation under a new scheme, despite pledges from the Conservatives and Labour to sort out payments this year.

    Campaigners say they have been “disengaged” by the Labour government and that, by this month, just 17 people out of the thousands eligible had been invited to register for compensation...
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    rcs1000 said:

    I struggle with who would say the "death of the queen" is more significant than Covid or 9/11 or the Global Financial Crisis.

    It was epoch defining, in a way that Covid was not.

    We have had epidemics and health scares, and major social pressure and change before, and in acquaintance of those in living memory. Consider Spanish flue or polio, or rationing. And those are in the minds of many of us.

  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,164
    edited December 22
    MJW said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    None of them remotely plausible. Even those sympathetic to Reform's overall politics could see their figures were utterly ludicrous and made Corbyn look like Nigel Lawson.
    Nigel Lawson was (or became) a nutter.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,679
    There are no solutions. We're not a puzzle. We're a relatively peaceful and prosperous country that could be better in certain respects. All this "solution" and "fixing" talk is overwrought and counterproductive.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,870
    kinabalu said:

    There are no solutions. We're not a puzzle. We're a relatively peaceful and prosperous country that could be better in certain respects. All this "solution" and "fixing" talk is overwrought and counterproductive.

    Awfully conservative, this talk.
  • Leon said:


    Watching Vikings Valhalla. I want this back: the greatness of Europe. The embryo of everything.

    I have recently finished reading "In Search of the Dark Ages" by Michael Wood.
    When do the Danes pay us reparations?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    edited December 22
    Nigelb said:

    Just 10 of 4,000 tainted blood victims have had compensation, campaigners say

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/dec/22/just-10-of-4000-tainted-blood-victims-have-had-compensation-campaigners-say
    Furious victims of the infected blood scandal have said that just 10 out of 4,000 people have received compensation under a new scheme, despite pledges from the Conservatives and Labour to sort out payments this year.

    Campaigners say they have been “disengaged” by the Labour government and that, by this month, just 17 people out of the thousands eligible had been invited to register for compensation...

    Are they overclaiming on promised timescales?

    Andrew Evans, chair of the group Tainted Blood ... said: “When the infected blood inquiry published its final report, the entire community breathed a collective sigh of relief. …

    ... With the promise that all of the infected would be paid before the end of 2024, followed swiftly in 2025 by the estates of those who have died and affected relatives in their own right ...


    Was that promised? Afaics it is "scheme to be set up by the end of 2024".

    But I'm not rabbit holing at 10:45 on a Sunday night :smile: .
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,871
    MJW said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    None of them remotely plausible. Even those sympathetic to Reform's overall politics could see their figures were utterly ludicrous and made Corbyn look like Nigel Lawson.
    Tell that to the very plausible Reeves who's left the economy of life support.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,871
    IanB2 said:

    MJW said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    None of them remotely plausible. Even those sympathetic to Reform's overall politics could see their figures were utterly ludicrous and made Corbyn look like Nigel Lawson.
    Nigel Lawson was (or became) a nutter.
    Right around the time he started saying things you disagree with would that be?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,679
    edited December 22
    carnforth said:

    kinabalu said:

    There are no solutions. We're not a puzzle. We're a relatively peaceful and prosperous country that could be better in certain respects. All this "solution" and "fixing" talk is overwrought and counterproductive.

    Awfully conservative, this talk.
    They're the worst culprits. Eg Boris was going to "fix" social care, wasn't he.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    BBC piece looking at why Elon Musk and his repeated promotion of bollocks about the UK (my phrase):

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy7kpvndyyxo

    And a radio programme "Why Is Elon Musk Trolling Britain?":

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0026jt9
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,246
    edited December 22

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    I tell you. Reform have a solution. That's final!
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937

    In this area, from what I see, East Asians are far more likely to wear masks than whites, even now. When I did a quick search, I found that East Asians in the US have Total Fertility Rates higher than those in South Korea, Japan, and China: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_States#Race_and_ethnicity

    And almost identical to whites.

    (The US has nicer neighbors than those three nations.)

    From my own experience with Koreans and Japanese in London - many leave because of what they find is a stifling environment, especially for women.

    The women say that the option of having a “traditional” marriage is the shitty end of the stick. So they don’t.

    Perhaps there is a lesson in this? If you want people to do something, make it not-the-shittiest-option?
    That's leave Korea or Japan, I take it - rather than leave London?
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,136
    edited December 22

    eek said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    Their solutions vastly increase spending while reducing tax revenue.

    But hey it’s perfectly possible that people on PAYE are avoiding tax - I mean HMRC found £176m that way.

    The problem is that that was an exception and not the rule no matter what some in reform claim
    The last Tory Government's Corporation Tax hike saw CT rise by 30% afaicr, and CT receipts rise by just 10%. So 20% less eligible profit was declared in the UK.
    It's not nearly that neat unfortunately because the small companies rate remained at 19%, there was a new 130% super-deduction for investment and the loss carry-back was extended from one to three years.

    So no doubt the higher rate reduced pre-tax profits to some extent, but you tell by how much without much more information.

    Classic politician's smoke and mirrors.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,034
    Cookie said:

    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves

    A line of hand pumps dispensing decent ale, and yet people choose to drink that rubbish.

    Takes all sorts.
    I went to a pub in Soho in the summer which claimed to have perfected the Guinness. The landlord is a perfectionist. Went to great lengths to optimise distance from barrell to pump, cellar temperature, line clarity and so on. Now I like a pint of Guinness, and this was indeed a good pint of Guinness. But not much better than Guinness in 90% of pubs I have drunk Guinness in. I drank my Guinness, and moved on to try some of the bitters on tap. Which were also kept well.
    But as I left, I noticed every Herbert drinking outside in the street was drinking Guinness. Which they really wouldn't be
    were they not told the Guinness here was
    so good. The power of social media and the herdability of humans.
    This is why cats will win in the end. Very tricky to herd.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,962
    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,303
    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    "Friends" of Keir Starmer say he's really struggling and might not be up to the job...
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,034

    CHart said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Musk doubles down on support for the AfD. Look at the tweet he’s quoting:

    https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1870901817367834656

    Yep: no question about the rabbit hole that he's gone down is there?
    Have you ever heard of the iq communication gap. That is when the iq gap between 2 people exceeds 30 points communication starts to break down. Whats Musks iq perhaps 160. This means to anyone below 130 iq he sounds a blithering idiot whereas actually he is speaking from a higher level of consciousness.
    What a funny coincidence, there's another member here who has an unnatural obsession with IQ.
    Actual intelligence is a bit like being “hard” or being “cool”.

    Very hard to define, but anyone who bangs on about how much they have, doesn’t have any.
    Whenever someone bangs on about how smart they are and how stupid everyone else is, you can be pretty sure they are perched right at the summit of the first peak of the Dunning-Kruger confidence vs competence curve.
    See also The Dilbert Principle

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dilbert_principle

    I wrote The Dilbert Principle around the concept that in many cases the least competent, least smart people are promoted, simply because they’re the ones you don't want doing actual work. You want them ordering the doughnuts and yelling at people for not doing their assignments—you know, the easy work. Your heart surgeons and your computer programmers—your smart people—aren't in management. That principle was literally happening everywhere.
    I 100% do not recognise that from ... every job in large organisations I've ever had. Or.... every other walk of life.

  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,034

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    "Friends" of Keir Starmer say he's really struggling and might not be up to the job...
    "Friends" say "Isn't he looking tired?".
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,424
    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    edited December 22
    ohnotnow said:

    Cookie said:

    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves

    A line of hand pumps dispensing decent ale, and yet people choose to drink that rubbish.

    Takes all sorts.
    I went to a pub in Soho in the summer which claimed to have perfected the Guinness. The landlord is a perfectionist. Went to great lengths to optimise distance from barrell to pump, cellar temperature, line clarity and so on. Now I like a pint of Guinness, and this was indeed a good pint of Guinness. But not much better than Guinness in 90% of pubs I have drunk Guinness in. I drank my Guinness, and moved on to try some of the bitters on tap. Which were also kept well.
    But as I left, I noticed every Herbert drinking outside in the street was drinking Guinness. Which they really wouldn't be
    were they not told the Guinness here was
    so good. The power of social media and the herdability of humans.
    This is why cats will win in the end. Very tricky to herd.
    Unthinking consumption of social media will create Herdable Herberts. That's quite a good label :smile: .
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,010
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Delegation is for people who feel secure...
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,034
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Mrs Thatcher rather notoriously got by on about 3hrs sleep as I remember. And that all worked out fine too.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,010
    ohnotnow said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Mrs Thatcher rather notoriously got by on about 3hrs sleep as I remember. And that all worked out fine too.
    At least, that's the story she wanted people to believe.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,303
    Trump is escalating his rhetoric about taking back the Panama Canal:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1870958732479492347
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,137
    ohnotnow said:

    Cookie said:

    Controversial!

    "Guinness is raiding its reserves in Ireland to boost shipments to the UK, where a social media-fuelled surge in demand has left some pubs facing shortages."

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/22/guinness-shortages-uk-irish-reserves

    A line of hand pumps dispensing decent ale, and yet people choose to drink that rubbish.

    Takes all sorts.
    I went to a pub in Soho in the summer which claimed to have perfected the Guinness. The landlord is a perfectionist. Went to great lengths to optimise distance from barrell to pump, cellar temperature, line clarity and so on. Now I like a pint of Guinness, and this was indeed a good pint of Guinness. But not much better than Guinness in 90% of pubs I have drunk Guinness in. I drank my Guinness, and moved on to try some of the bitters on tap. Which were also kept well.
    But as I left, I noticed every Herbert drinking outside in the street was drinking Guinness. Which they really wouldn't be
    were they not told the Guinness here was
    so good. The power of social media and the herdability of humans.
    This is why cats will win in the end. Very tricky to herd.
    There's some instagram thing going on with the kids to do with selfie drinking Guinness - hence the shortage.

    The Dublin owners must be laughing all the way to the bank.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,962
    edited December 22
    Amazing figures.

    "On paper at least, Dover is the sickest town in Britain. Here: 18.7 per cent of the town’s working-age population is economically inactive due to long-term illness. The figure was just 2.6 per cent in 2019."

    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/society/2024/12/dover-sick-town-of-england
    https://archive.is/rsgfc#selection-1187.391-1191.68

    2.6% to 18.7% in 5 years.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    Andy_JS said:

    Amazing figures.

    "On paper at least, Dover is the sickest town in Britain. Here: 18.7 per cent of the town’s working-age population is economically inactive due to long-term illness. The figure was just 2.6 per cent in 2019."

    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/society/2024/12/dover-sick-town-of-england
    https://archive.is/rsgfc#selection-1187.391-1191.68

    2.6% to 18.7% in 5 years.

    Thanks for adding the archive link :smile:

    (Ohhhhhh ..... Canada ..... :wink: )
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    edited December 22
    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.



    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,916
    Driver said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Delegation is for people who feel secure...
    It's also for people who can provide a clear lead and direction, so that the subordinates who have things delegated to them feel able to make decisions in response to changed circumstances that their leader will back them on.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,303
    MattW said:

    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.

    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

    That probably reflects the growth of TikTok, which now outranks YouTube, Facebook and Instragram combined in terms of screen time:

    https://uk.themedialeader.com/uk-social-media-users-spend-the-most-time-on-tiktok/
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,137

    Driver said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Delegation is for people who feel secure...
    It's also for people who can provide a clear lead and direction, so that the subordinates who have things delegated to them feel able to make decisions in response to changed circumstances that their leader will back them on.
    Is there any evidence he isn't delegating?

    I would say the opposite. He has left cabinet to get on with it without any overarching vision other than management-speak mission list.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    MattW said:

    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.



    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

    Having won, by proxy, the Presidency of the United States of America, and made himself several hundred billion dollars, and become incomparably more powerful thereby, one wonders how he’ll cope with a few thousand British kiddy fiddlers moving to “Bluesky”
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,916

    Driver said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Delegation is for people who feel secure...
    It's also for people who can provide a clear lead and direction, so that the subordinates who have things delegated to them feel able to make decisions in response to changed circumstances that their leader will back them on.
    Is there any evidence he isn't delegating?

    I would say the opposite. He has left cabinet to get on with it without any overarching vision other than management-speak mission list.
    If he is badly in need of a holiday, due to the relentless strain of the job, as reported, then that can only be because he's not delegating enough, or effectively.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606

    Driver said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Delegation is for people who feel secure...
    It's also for people who can provide a clear lead and direction, so that the subordinates who have things delegated to them feel able to make decisions in response to changed circumstances that their leader will back them on.
    Is there any evidence he isn't delegating?

    I would say the opposite. He has left cabinet to get on with it without any overarching vision other than management-speak mission list.
    If he is badly in need of a holiday, due to the relentless strain of the job, as reported, then that can only be because he's not delegating enough, or effectively.
    Or he’s just quite shit at being PM?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Leon said:

    Driver said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "'Strained' Keir Starmer badly needs holiday, his friends say as they reveal PM is suffering from the 'relentless strain' of the job"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14217547/Strained-Keir-Starmer-badly-needs-holiday.html

    I'm convinced there's a plot to get rid of Starmer, and "doesn't he look tired" articles do not help. But having said that, the job is what he makes it. Somebody who runs around all over the place is not in control of the job, the job is in control of him. If he is tired, he should delegate enough people to do bits of the job until his workload falls to a level he can cope with. From memory, both Reagan and Trump went to bed early.
    Delegation is for people who feel secure...
    It's also for people who can provide a clear lead and direction, so that the subordinates who have things delegated to them feel able to make decisions in response to changed circumstances that their leader will back them on.
    Is there any evidence he isn't delegating?

    I would say the opposite. He has left cabinet to get on with it without any overarching vision other than management-speak mission list.
    If he is badly in need of a holiday, due to the relentless strain of the job, as reported, then that can only be because he's not delegating enough, or effectively.
    Or he’s just quite shit at being PM?
    The 9-5 job is too much for him.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,983
    edited December 22
    I notice there's a new poll showing Labour with a 6 point lead. Despite the hysterics and wishful thinking on here I don't find it surprising. I'm sensing that Starmer after a shakey few months has started looking like the type of leader the British voter likes. Ruthless and decisive .

    The Waspi women the farmers and the WFA all described as unpopular told a story. He and Reeves are going to do things their way. Anyone who is old enough to remember Thatcher will remember that this country does not like wimpish leaders whether or not they agree with their policies.

  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.



    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

    Having won, by proxy, the Presidency of the United States of America, and made himself several hundred billion dollars, and become incomparably more powerful thereby, one wonders how he’ll cope with a few thousand British kiddy fiddlers moving to “Bluesky”
    The issue is with Musk realising he's not above the law. He'll do what he has done before.

    He'll run away, then he'll whine his head off into his Diet Coke and his Twitter account, then he'll obey the rules.

    See Brazil.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    edited December 22
    Roger said:

    I notice there's a new poll showing Labour with a 6 point lead. Despite the hysterics and wishful thinking on here I don't find it surprising. I'm sensing that Starmer after a shakey start has started looking like the type of leader the British voter likes. Ruthless and decisive . The Waspi women the farmers and the WFA all described as unpopular told a story. He and Reeves are going to do things their way. Anyone who is old enough to remember Thatcher will remember that this country does not like wimpy leaders whether or not they agree with their policies.

    He is historically unpopular in the polls, Labour’s position is irrelevant.
  • Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.



    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

    Having won, by proxy, the Presidency of the United States of America, and made himself several hundred billion dollars, and become incomparably more powerful thereby, one wonders how he’ll cope with a few thousand British kiddy fiddlers moving to “Bluesky”
    The Democrats lost the Presidency by virtue of being incumbents when inflation surged.

    The fact that Musk owned Twitter is neither here nor there for that. And Musk could have financed Trump just the same even if he didn't have Twitter.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,303

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.



    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

    Having won, by proxy, the Presidency of the United States of America, and made himself several hundred billion dollars, and become incomparably more powerful thereby, one wonders how he’ll cope with a few thousand British kiddy fiddlers moving to “Bluesky”
    The Democrats lost the Presidency by virtue of being incumbents when inflation surged.

    The fact that Musk owned Twitter is neither here nor there for that. And Musk could have financed Trump just the same even if he didn't have Twitter.
    But what he couldn’t have done is ensured he had a platform to get his message out that wouldn’t ban him, as they did with Trump.
  • MJWMJW Posts: 1,737

    MJW said:

    It rings faintly hollow when I constantly hear REFORM HAVE NO SOLUTIONS. They had a whole manifesto full of solutions. You might passionately disagree with those solutions but to claim they don't exist looks like laziness.

    None of them remotely plausible. Even those sympathetic to Reform's overall politics could see their figures were utterly ludicrous and made Corbyn look like Nigel Lawson.
    Tell that to the very plausible Reeves who's left the economy of life support.
    Reform promised tax cuts and spending increases worth £140 billion. You don't have to think Reeves is doing a good job handling what was a bad inheritance to realise that whatever one thinks of Labour, that wasn't a serious programme for government - it dwarves Liz Truss's disastrous plans.

    But that's understandable and fine to some extent. Reform as much as admitted they wanted to be a protest vote last time and knew that they weren't going to have to implement them. Their aim was to create noise, generate coverage and maximise minor party vote share. Next time if they have bigger ambitions they'll have to produce a more serious document like the more established parties.

    Just let's not that's not what they were doing and that 'plans' clearly meant to signal vibes to potential supporters rather than to be taken seriously as a rigorously worked out government programme that presents solutions.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987

    In this area, from what I see, East Asians are far more likely to wear masks than whites, even now. When I did a quick search, I found that East Asians in the US have Total Fertility Rates higher than those in South Korea, Japan, and China: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_States#Race_and_ethnicity

    And almost identical to whites.

    (The US has nicer neighbors than those three nations.)

    From my own experience with Koreans and Japanese in London - many leave because of what they find is a stifling environment, especially for women.

    The women say that the option of having a “traditional” marriage is the shitty end of the stick. So they don’t.

    Perhaps there is a lesson in this? If you want people to do something, make it not-the-shittiest-option?
    Traditional marriage is the backbone of society, if more got married and had children in their 20s again that would largely solve the below replacement level fertility rate by itself
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,137

    Politics UK
    @PolitlcsUK
    ·
    7h
    🚨 NEW: Reform UK has launched a live membership ticker on their website as they count down to having more members than the Tories

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1870876990083068143
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Out of interest - Twitter's market share of social media visit sin the UK.

    Musky Baby has been downhill skiing. The peak was 37.5% - now 10.5%.



    Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280304/twitters-market-share-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/

    Having won, by proxy, the Presidency of the United States of America, and made himself several hundred billion dollars, and become incomparably more powerful thereby, one wonders how he’ll cope with a few thousand British kiddy fiddlers moving to “Bluesky”
    The issue is with Musk realising he's not above the law. He'll do what he has done before.

    He'll run away, then he'll whine his head off into his Diet Coke and his Twitter account, then he'll obey the rules.

    See Brazil.
    Hey, teacher, leave those kids alone
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Oh god

    COME A LONG WAY

    Michele Shocked.

    FUCK
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    edited December 23
    Roger said:

    I notice there's a new poll showing Labour with a 6 point lead. Despite the hysterics and wishful thinking on here I don't find it surprising. I'm sensing that Starmer after a shakey few months has started looking like the type of leader the British voter likes. Ruthless and decisive .

    The Waspi women the farmers and the WFA all described as unpopular told a story. He and Reeves are going to do things their way. Anyone who is old enough to remember Thatcher will remember that this country does not like wimpish leaders whether or not they agree with their policies.

    That would be the Opinium with Labour on 29% ie Brown 2010 levels just the Tories on 23% and Reform 22% splitting the rightwing opposition vote almost equally between them?

    Techne however has Labour just 1% ahead and More in Common has the Tories and Labour tied on its latest poll

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,983
    edited December 23
    This slavering over Musk is frankly embarrassing. Whether someone has one billion or a hundred makes no difference There are loads of them. Some attach themselves to powerful people some don't. Who cares if Elon Musk wants to fawn over Trump. Get a life!
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,424
    Leon said:

    Oh god

    COME A LONG WAY

    Michele Shocked.

    FUCK

    What have you done now, and can you mop it up before you leave?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,962
    Roger said:

    This slavering over Musk is frankly embarrassing. Whether someone has one billion or a hundred makes no difference There are loads of them. Some attach themselves to powerful people some don't. Who cares if Elon Musk wants to fawn over Trump. Get a life!

    I don't particularly like Musk on a personal level but he's probably the future of politics whether we like it or not.
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