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Starmer achieves in 5 months what it took the Tories 14 years – politicalbetting.com
Starmer achieves in 5 months what it took the Tories 14 years – politicalbetting.com
Net approval of the government's managing of the cost of living has fallen to -59, which is now as low as it was when the Tories left office27 – 28 NovemberWell: 15%Badly: 74%Net: -5928 June – 1 JulyWell: 18%Badly: 77%Net: -59https://t.co/0x3WwFt8yV pic.twitter.com/OSh8m90Sk5
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Mind you, Labour have to deal with being a bunch of fucking idiots. So also, you can see why they're struggling.
Irrespective, what does the cost of building have to do with anything? If the guy who built the wind turbines doesn't make his cost of capital or goes bust, then the wind turbines still exist, and still generate power.
There are many power plants in the UK that went bust at one point or another, usually due to over-leverage, and then got picked up for pennies on the dollar.
I'd add that change needs to be perceptible by about year 3 in some respects, or it won't have sunk in. Perhaps we need to see NHS waiting lists noticeably down by then.
Also it could be overruled if we have a crisis of some sort - as per the 1983 election and the Falklands.
That's explained - next?
The lifespan of a turbine is only about 20-25 years. If they're an essential part of the mix despite solar, then how will the economics stack up if the price of electricity becomes "spectacularly cheap"?
The government is not messaging that reality very well.
I don't know, and nor does anyone else, whether folk will feel better off in the next 2-4 years. But it strikes me that patience would be a virtue - nothing that Labour has done will take effect for a while. To give just one example, the significant rise in the national minimum wage may help a significant proportion of people (especially the 'strugglers' in the polling) to cope better with the cost of living. But that doesn't take effect until April 2025.
But here's the chart:
That's solar price per watt over time. Basically, it's dropped by 20% every year. (Wind by contrast has improved by maybe 2%.)
A bet against solar is a bet that that 20% stops. And it might. But you'd be a brave man betting against it.
https://x.com/reformparty_uk/status/1863991600382153203
My expectation is that quiet, boring Govt competence will slowly improve most peoples lives, whether they realise that in the din of the histrionics from Mail, Telegraph and GB news, faithfully followed by the Beeb, is another matter.
Now, the first franchise comes back into public hands (save the six or seven that have already been renationalised because the privateers were absolutely useless) and she's not around to own the announcement.
I hope she comes back to the role at some point.
One term latest news.
Yes, it's just imprecise reporting. The network has been in public hands (de jure) since 2014. For the 13 years prior to that it was de facto nationalised – although the government repeatedly denied it to keep it off the books.
Voters are rational and they can already see that the next 3 years are going to be tough because businesses will not pay the bill for Labour's £30bn in tax rises. They'll just pass it all on.
At least people now will stop calling him one.
Build 500%+ of their own electricity needs and become huge energy exporters.
Judge Labour in December 2027.
Only then will we see the impact of their economic policies and other Public service policies.
Of course the script for this 5 month period was written by Kuenssberg, Rugby, Preston and Co on the morning of 5th July.
From day 1 Labour attacked, Tories given an amnesty and Farage treated like he'd won 100 seats.
It won't be easy, it was never going to be easy, but anyone drawing conclusions now needs to give their head a wobble.
I still view Brexit as a positive, personally. Nothing about the last 8 years has dissuaded me from the view that the EU is engaged in a slow motion car crash that the less entangled in it we are, the better.
Apparently his deep interest in British politics is not just coz he likes arguing on TwiX about Woke. It is because he is of part British descent, and he believes the UK plays a crucial role as the mothership of the English speaking nations, inc the USA. So what happens in Britain “really matters” around the world - his words
I hope he gives Reform a billion quid and they win in 2028
That is as bad for Labour as it is for Conservatives. What is especially bad for the Conservatives in particular is they seem to have lost their media to Farage.
Is a RefCon merger the answer? HYUFD has suggested since the election they are the legitimate government of the nation.
Anyway whilst I am on, Alexa, define a w*****.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c77jx4d5748o.amp
Don’t like the look of something? Too bad.
I would do lots of £££££ but by then the Groat will be the world's reserve currency.
Who doesn’t hate Starmer?
Does she think any man should be able to walk into a boardroom naked with only a sock covering their penis? That’s what he did.
Does anyone else think that Tim Montgomerie going to Reform may be a story with a great deal more significance than it may seem to have at first sight?
In my mental oddschecker it changes the odds a little bit about Tory and Reform related matters.
And it raises from one (Farage of course) to two the number of Reform people whose words may be of more than purely comedy interest. And he is a voice a lot of the media (not just GB News_) takes seriously as a pundit. DYOR.
Tell me the algorithm isn’t completely broken.
I haven’t noticed any in my younger cohort as yet. But one to watch.
I don't see how £30bn in price rises and wage freezes from April will help, though.
https://news.sky.com/story/something-remarkable-is-happening-with-gen-z-is-reform-uk-winning-the-bro-vote-13265490
Wholesale shift to the populist right.
One in three British young people would vote for Trump
Thirty-two per cent of UK voters aged 18 to 24 would back Republican, a three-fold increase since same polling before 2020 election
Telegraph
He's a full on card carrying fascist Afrikaaner.
He has no place in the UK, should have no role in the UK and is more dangerous than any mad mullah
Ban the fecker.
Blow his satellites out of orbit
Ban his cars.
Ban Twitter
If he won't shut up, put a bounty on his head like Bin Laden.
He is a bigger threat to the globe right now than any other living person.
The court case, which was due to start today, has been delayed.
https://www.thenorthernecho.co.uk/news/24716340.one-sycamore-gap-accused-excused-attendance-court-due-illness/
"In 1976, during the water shortage of that hot summer, Stanley pretends that it is impossible to wash any clothes and so forces his two au pairs to walk round the house naked, before beginning an affair with one of them."
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/culture/40738/whos-to-blame-for-boris-johnson
So we do need to give her some slack. The men she was brought up with were exceptionally inappropriate, so she knows no boundaries.
That may cause a very non-optimal situation for everything in low Earth orbit.
“Musk had explained his interest in the UK by saying: “You are the mother country of the entirety of the English speaking world, it really matters.””
https://www.ft.com/content/987f70fd-c718-4998-a097-f4a8f4a462b7
https://www.ispreview.co.uk/index.php/2024/12/poverty-alliance-warns-millions-in-uk-choosing-between-broadband-and-food.html
I don't know how he managed to make the darker-coloured Teslas look so good.
I think old schoolers are under estimating a few things:
Farage is a very good communicator
Contrary to the accepted view he is not interested it is a long stated and consistent ambition of Farage
The power of the global billionaires like Musk
Their influence on media and news
The contempt the country has for the current rump of the Conservative party and leadership
It is hard for Refuk to win outright even if they top the polls as the Cons will block a lot of seats in FPTP
Another dead duck Tory leader.
She seems to do a 2 day week... Wednesday and Thursday.
COMPLETELY invisible.
NO Policies
Thats why the increasingly irrelevant Montgomerie has jumped to join the other dead ducks in Reform
*he's constantly pushing how the government needs to essentially beg forgiveness for past comments about Trump (something I doubt they would suggest had we had a right leaning government and a Democrat president).
Let’s be honest. It was always going to go this way.
Mind you scrawling an x on a ballot paper might just be the limit of their IQ
And yeah, I find that extraordinary
18-24 is 13% very happy vs 37% very unhappy. 28% happy vs 45% unhappy. No gender breakdown.
Yes, I can see it. But I'm hoping Trump implodes and if so that will change things.
The interaction with employer NICs is super interesting. I suspect many expectations will be confounded. (That's not to say I support the increase, much rather they'd done income tax and/or council tax).