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Staying power – politicalbetting.com

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  • NEW THREAD

  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792
    ANABOBAZINA
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,679

    kinabalu said:

    I suppose Starmer and Reeves can take some comfort that they've not yet damaged the economy to French and German levels.

    PMIs:

    UK 49.9
    Germany 47.3
    France 44.8

    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Release/PressReleases

    There you go. Low growth. It's just how it is.
    Angling for a job writing Labour's 2028 manifesto I see.
    Or anybody's. I am not a fan of having growth at the centre of political discourse. IMO talk of us growing a lot faster is mainly a rhetorical tool to avoid facing the reality of being us here in 2024.

    But, you know, you have to win elections.

    "Growth was low under the Tories and there's no reason to think it'll be that different under us. It depends largely on global factors. However they've been in power for 14 years and latterly have sunk into a mire of corruption, incompetence and self-indulgence, choosing to preen and posture rather than graft and govern, so for the sake of our democracy they have to be given the old heave ho."

    I'd have voted for that - very enthusiastically - but I doubt it would have secured the landslide.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,003
    Carnyx said:

    sarissa said:

    Pulpstar said:

    DoctorG said:

    Labour hold all 3 seats in the Glasgow by elections. Turnout in Glasgow North East - 12.4%

    They looked from pig to man and man to pig.
    Tories in Glasgow now on Red List at under 6% as reform move in.
    Do we have a ready summary of the actual voting last time? Multiple candidate slates, so difficult to compare without more data easp the rank of the vacating councillor. Ballot Box Scotland hasn't done his (very useful) thing yet alas.
    SCon were at 10.2% in 2022 elections on a 38% turnout, so Reform's double digit share won't have come solely from them
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,003

    1607 GMT. Daylight in north London.

    Sunset at 16:00, so technically Civil Twilight until 16:36 - Nautical twilight until 17:21, hence the 'over the yardarm' early start.
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