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Starmer’s Trump card – politicalbetting.com
Starmer’s Trump card – politicalbetting.com
Meanwhile JD Vance has also called for the end of all US support for Ukraine as it has "nothing to do with our national security, [and] no American interest is served by our intervention" pic.twitter.com/S6LAb7oFsL
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ETA: Oh, and second, like Russia? third, like Armenia
Vance’s comments about the UK as an Islamist nation are delusional. Again, I hope a wake-up call for those who think there’s any sense coming out of today’s GOP.
Putin-pimpers & Trump-fluffers (ditto visa versa) please explain?
I'm the first in line
Honey, I'm still free
Take a Vance on me
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
·
1h
I mean Jaime Harrison and the DNC are blatantly lying about this (Ohio changed its law so there's no reason to nominate Biden early) but the good news is that there very much will be consequences if they force Biden's nomination thru and he loses
https://x.com/NateSilver538
"Just virtue signalling", is just nonsense.
Is this the justification i need to buy the Apple Vision Pro?
I think the win by the Far Left in France is going to cause just as much trouble for their relations with the EU - and probably the UK - as if the Far Right had won. Melanchon's shopping list for the deal with Macron is going to put the new administration in direct conflict with the Commission and I can see it being far less harmonious a relationship than has existed to date.
All the more reason for us to improve our own defence situation and leapfrog Western Europe to build stronger bridges with the former Eastern European states. Our real allies in Europe are now the Baltic States and Poland.
There is a strange feature of UK/US trade. By our figures, we are in surplus, but by their figures, they are in surplus.
US government figures: U.S. goods and services trade with United Kingdom totaled an estimated $295.6 billion in 2022. Exports were $158.2 billion; imports were $137.4 billion. The U.S. goods and services trade surplus with United Kingdom was $20.8 billion in 2022.
https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/europe-middle-east/europe/united-kingdom
UK government figures: export £191 billion; import £119 billion
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uk-trade-in-numbers/uk-trade-in-numbers-web-version
He detests Trump btw
His verdict:
“I’m waiting for the initial frenzy of misinformation to fizzle out a bit and for more established facts before I form an opinion.
One thing is clear: the Secret Service failed at their job.”
So this is definitely a headrollerrooy sitch, but we still don’t know if there is a more sinister explanation
1) Using ACPO (yes really) to mount illegal spying operations* on dangerous terrorists like people who climb trees to halt development and Fathers For Justice - an organisation known for chubby, middle aged men dressing up in super hero costumes and standing on top of buildings with banners.
2) Totally ignoring violent lunatics screaming "Death To The West", taking part in terrorist attacks abroad and becoming increasing violent at home. Including planning terrorist attacks in the UK and assembling bombs.
3) When Capn' Hook took over a Mosque, by manner of his goons beating the rightful guardians up and throwing them in the street, the Police specially refused to interfere.
4) When he was preaching violent racist lunacy, all attempts at legal action were stymied.
The above led some to speculate that Blair and Co had done some kind of deal with the violent nutters - which was nonsense, they were just incompetent and stupid.
Then came the London bombings.
Government policy changed to wanting to lock up random people with suntans forever. And shooting Brazilian electricians.
*See the court cases, still ongoing, about women the undercover policeman slept with. And revelations about using dead peoples identities.
1) A known, previous problem. See JFK.
2) Fucking obvious.
Don't tell them.
Trump's attitude to Ukraine is plain to anyone who cares to listen and the outcome is patently obvious. He will immediately stop all aid - money, weapons and intel - to force a 'peace' that involves Ukraine giving up all occupied territories and promising never to join NATO or the EU.
Zelensky will tell Trump to go to hell.
At that point Europe will be faced the realisation that direct intervention is the only way to stop Russia taking Ukraine and, in time, surrounding countries. Too many are deluding themselves this won't happen, but Trump has already given us the seeds of the future and it's not hard to determine what kind of ugly and poisonous plants will grow from them.
That you think in slogans is the problem.
But we’ve had people on here saying this is possibly just a series of unfortunate coincidences, not a massive failure
Btw I’ve just checked. Pennsylvania has the 2nd largest Ukrainian population in the USA after NY
My mad theory is still the best one out there. IF you want a mad theory
@MattW said:
» show previous quotes
Speaking of barbers, there seem to be a repeated claim in Reform type circles about Turkish barbers' shops and money laundering.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/KSIKPMkKw2E?app=desktop
It rather reminds me of the former claims by around nail bars.
In every market town in the district, often several of them, rarely a customer, guy in a flash car turns up on occasion to get the takings or whatever.
Places like Barbers that do smallish cash transactions in multiple are ideal for money laundering via fake customers
Firstly they would need an EU military combining resources and agreements replicating NATO’s mutual defence obligation. Any EU country that refuses to join by contributing militarily and abiding the mutual defence pact must leave the EU (looking at you Ireland - no more free ride, and you Hungary - time to choose which side your bread is buttered).
Then they need to allow Ukraine in so that an attack on what is left of Ukraine, if Russia keeps occupied territories, activates the pact.
Then, and probably most controversial, they will need to bring Turkey in as the largest military and a threat to Russia which Russia can’t ignore. Why should Turkey be expected to back up Europe if it’s treated as a second class country not worthy of joining the club.
If the US is not prepared to pay the bill anymore and back it up with thousands of their troops and their kit then unless Europe changes its attitude to military size and spending then big changes such as above might be the only options.
Much better to have a US President who has no great affinity with the UK but shares its outlook on a wide range of issues than the opposite of that.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13083199/Police-chief-warns-cheap-barber-shop-deals-criminal-gangs-exploit-workers-profit.html
See also, for example:
It's odd that one of Vance's signature lines about how to deal with the American bureaucracy is to subject it to "de-ba’athification," one of the US policies in Iraq that everyone seems to agree was a huge failure..
https://x.com/AASchapiro/status/1813241849374474670
Apple products are mostly manufacured by the ChiComs.
Which is why I sent Tim Cook a letter offering him a "Free Tibet" bumper sticker, if he would display it prominently. (He hasn't replied, so I think I will offer it to someone else.)
OLYMPIA — A new statewide poll shows Democrat Bob Ferguson 9 percentage points ahead of his main rival, Republican Dave Reichert, in the battle for the governor’s mansion.
The two are far ahead in a crowded field and will likely face off in November’s general election, the WA Poll shows.
Among 564 surveyed voters likely to cast a ballot in the Aug. 6 primary, 42% said that if the primary were today they would vote for Ferguson, and 33% said they’d vote for Reichert.
The next largest group of voters, about 14%, said they were undecided.
Republican Semi Bird followed with 7%, and Democrat Mark Mullet, a state senator, fell in last place, with 4% of voters saying they’d back him in August. Only three poll respondents said they would vote for another candidate, but they did not name any of the other 24 candidates who will appear on the primary ballot. . . .
The WA poll reveals a stark partisan divide, with 72% of Democrats saying they would vote for Ferguson while 76% of Republicans said they’d back Reichert. The two had roughly even support among independents, with 32% saying they’d back Reichert and 33% behind Ferguson.
According to SurveyUSA, which conducted the poll, Bird saw “outsized support among very conservative voters,” with 16% of those voters choosing him. Mullet, who has campaigned as a moderate, saw the most support from “very liberal” voters along the political spectrum, picking up 11% of that group.
Ferguson appeared to be ahead of Reichert in all age groups. The attorney general was also more popular among women, at 50% of respondents compared with Reichert’s 28%, while Reichert was narrowly more popular among men, getting support from 37% of men compared with Ferguson’s 35%.
Klopp announced when he left Anfield that he would be taking at least a year off and will not join a club or a national federation during that time.
Despite a clamour for him to be a leading candidate to replace Southgate following his resignation as England coach, Telegraph Sport understands Klopp’s position is unchanged and there is no prospect of him performing a U-turn.
It will be July 2025 before Klopp is ready to return to management. That means the Football Association would have to begin their World Cup qualification with a caretaker or interim manager before they could entertain the idea of the German coach taking over in the build-up to the 2026 tournament.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2024/07/16/jurgen-klopp-not-next-england-manager-gareth-southgate-quit/
Given the price they have paid for getting Ulster Donbass, they won't be causing much further trouble any timesoon
A few changes were made to tax credits in the early 2010s put haste to this little tax dodge...
In short, they are running as moderate Republicans would -- and as Bill Clinton did in his 1992 run for the presidency. (He promised to put another 100,000 police officers o the street--and claimed to be a good family man.)
In Ferguson's case, it is fair to say that he is, to some extent, running against his own record, as attorney general.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Ferguson_(politician)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Mullet
(Ferguson and his wife have two kids, Mullet and his wife, six, in a "blended" family.)
Of course the Ukes don’t want to yield to many of Putin’s demands but then a peace deal always means compromises - for both sides
Being in government is a series of shit bowls and now Labour are going to eat them everyday.
If the US is going to turn more inward, or look more to what we would call the East (their West, with China as the major threat), then Europe can no longer rely on the US bankrolling European security as it has done in the past. Which means everyone up to 3% of GDP on defence, and some well-organised projects to quickly get production lines up and running for standardised weapons systems and their ammunition.
FWIW, I see a change in administration in the US leading mainly to a change in language rather than a material change in support. We’ve seen it already with the latest aid package, reframed as protecting American jobs (and large donor companies) rather than sending aid overseas.
Meanwhile Landlord and Council pocket rent and business rates and HMRC gets tax on the fake customer payments. So not a great deal of enthusiasm to knock it on the head.
A back door way of extracting tax from the black market.
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-adviser-fiona-hill-lead-uk-labour-defense-review/
..A British-born Russia expert, Hill served as a national security adviser to the former president for two years until 2019.
The daughter of a coal miner from the northeast of England, Hill moved to the U.S. to study her post-graduate degree in Russian at Harvard and later worked as an intelligence analyst under both the Bush and Obama administrations before being hired to work for Trump.
Since leaving the White House, she has continued to be an influential voice on Vladimir Putin's Russia, last year telling POLITICO that the war in Ukraine is a "proxy war against the United States."
"Putin would be thrilled if Trump would come back to power because he also anticipates that Trump will pull the United States out of NATO, that Trump will rupture the U.S. alliance system, and that Trump will hand over Ukraine," she said.
The Labour Party is traditionally seen as allied with Joe Biden's Democrats. However, in recent months, as it prepared for government, Keir Starmer's team has been on a mission to reach out to Trump-supporting Republicans...
..David Lammy, the foreign secretary, has met several Trump allies this year, and has praised the work of new vice presidential pick, J.D. Vance.
The new administration may have felt there was work to make up, after several members of Starmer’s Cabinet previously made critical statements about Trump, including Lammy, who called the then-president a “neo-Nazi-sympathizing sociopath” in 2018...
My guess is he's a narrow nationalist with no grasp of the value of alliances.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dei-Lvsbkio&t=3s
I had a friend who worked at Williams for years. He would wax lyrical about historical stuff in F1, less about Williams, and f-all about current and future developments. The few times he let the cat out of the bag was, on occasion, in reaction to something newsworthy happening that was not race related, such as the pit fire.
BTW, that is attack message against AG Ferguson highlighted in new TV ad by former King Co Sheriff (and US Rep) Reichert. Who famously apprehended the "Green River Killer" (via DNA evidence) after about two decades of trying.
So not surprising that both candidates are touting their law enforcement credentials, which is standard operating procedure for state attorney general candidates & incumbents.
BTW, Ferguson is campaigning on law & order like a moderate DEMOCRAT, for example the newly-elected District Attorney for Multnomah County (Portland) Oregon.
No way you would get away with divulging so much non public information for years unless that is the case.
Of course if so (and said poster(s) are quite forthright) this means their posts are what NR want to be the case (not necessarily what is the case).
It could be a great forum but for anal micromanagement by the moderators.
This post would be banished to subforum 94 with a warning email from the moderator about the iniquities of posting speculative posts anywhere except the speculative posts sub forum and a request to edit it to correct some grammatical error or other.
Though agree she'd have been an interesting choice. Though fact she's Hindu might have proved an impediment for some evangelical voters. Suspect she's also toooooo much of a loose cannon for DJT & etc.
As for forgiveness, Trump has displayed willingness to let bygones be bygones PROVIDED the bygoners capitulate completely and make abject obeisance, as with Vance & bunch of other eagerly ambitious politicos.
What I do not get about the MAGA crowd, though, is their thinking on Ukraine. If Putin wins there, so do the Chinese, the North Koreans and the Iranians. By pulling US support for Kyiv, the GOP will be empowering the regimes they claim to what to constrain. Furthermore, what strategic logic is there in Europe distancing itself from China if the US has essentially pulled out of Europe?
You square the circle, I reckon, by understanding that Trump and the party he now controls admire Putin and want him to succeed above all else.
Now is the time to accelerate aid to Ukraine, let them hit military and energy targets in Russia and put them in the best possible position come a Trump presidency with a plainly weakened Putin. Pandering to such a figure would make Trump look ridiculous.
I don't imagine Russia could do much more than threaten the Baltics at the moment which Poland might react to themselves. The key is to make sure the Russian economy remains weak so long as the maniac is in power.
They think wealthy Europeans should sort out their own defence because the US can't afford to be committed everywhere globally at once.
https://archive.is/SqUkF
"UK and US report trade surplus with each other: Statisticians attempt to solve mystery of differing figures"
Just remembered I know a Tommy Crooks, one of the numerous band members that passed through The Fall. Probably getting on for a three digit number so not really name dropping.