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The Swinney slump continues – politicalbetting.com
The Swinney slump continues – politicalbetting.com
?NEW Scottish Westminster VI for @TheScotsman?Labour lead the SNP for first time in a Savanta poll.?LAB 37% (+2)??SNP 33% (-2)?CON 17% (-2)?LD 7% (+1)??Other 6% (+1)1,080 Scottish adults, 3-8 May(change from 6-11 Oct '23) pic.twitter.com/DW2TSzve9m
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So you could see why someone's support for Independence might begin to feel somewhat academic, and not the sole driver of voting intention, as it was in 2015, say.
But that support for Independence hasn't gone away, and it's one capable politician away from reinvigorating the SNP.
Suggests opinion is deeply entrenched
Dunno how to summarise. Let’s do a picture quiz. TWO virtual glasses of Primitivo to anyone who can guess what this is and why it is SO amazing
That's right. "Today", he declared, "You are about to (...) advance the establishment of a Palestinian terror state, which will be led by the Hitler of our times."
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/5/10/israels-war-on-gaza-live-aid-operation-completely-crippled-amid-attacks?update=2892034
But according to the definition of "anti-Semitism" written by the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance - adopted by Britain's three major political parties, as well as the British government - it's "anti-Semitic" to compare "contemporary Israeli policy" to "that of the Nazis".
So the Hitler emulators are calling the resistance to their Hitlerism horrible types who are just like Hitler, while painting anybody who says they themselves are like Hitler as...also just like Hitler.
What does this guy who died in the 1940s have to do with anything?
Ever get the feeling you are being treated like an absolute cretin by a bunch of hypocritical lying c***s?
So they switch to Labour or another party until the SNP gets its act together and shows it can be trusted again.
Especially as current polling is likely LESS about him, and MORE about Sturgeon+Murrell+Humza.
However, by this summer, that excuse will be inoperative.
https://x.com/thebrakenet/status/1788883769186783435
Actual, bona fide members of the actual Nazi party, who were actually employed by Arab nations after the war to help indoctrinate their people with real Jew killing hate
They will also have to beat the SNP.
(Be honest, that wasn't the punchline you expected, was it?)
There were more direct bribes as well - IIRC Montrose was paid about a grand.
It should be stressed this was the normal way of doing politics in both England and Scotland at the time.
Off topic, but of interest to many here: :The United States received 1.8 million asylum seekers in 2022, compared with 19,000 a decade earlier. Asylum seekers in Britain jumped nearly ninefold, to 167,000. Worldwide, the numbers mushroomed from 950,000 in 2012 to more than 6 million by June of last year. This is on top of more than 35 million people recognized as refugees by the U.N. High Commission for Refugees, as well as over 5 million Venezuelans who, though not counted as asylum seekers, have fled their country and are mostly scattered across Latin America."
source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/05/09/britain-asylum-eu-biden-migration/
Eduardo Porter notes that the 1951 UN convention "didn’t anticipate the internet, which has helped migrants navigate journeys that would have been impossible a quarter-century ago. The last overhaul of U.S. immigration law came about in 1990, before the advent of the web — long before TikTok videos explained how best to navigate the Darién Gap between Colombia and Panama and Google Translate helped Chinese migrants as they crossed Mexico."
There are links in the original column. I can supply them to anyone who wants to investigate further. Or you can just get the column for yourself.
Reform heading down?
Early Covid was good for Scottish independence support, but the vaccine rollout seems to have been good for the Union. Sorry for Scottish independence was boosted when the Supreme Court ruled Westminster had to approve, then subsided again and has more recently narrowed.
I don't see any particular evidence for support for Scottish independence falling away as Labour's victory at Westminster is come to be seen as inevitable. But there may well be a reaction to the election result itself.
The strongest support for No came around the time of the 2017GE, perhaps at the peak of Jeremy Corbyn's popularity. So Starmer might need to show a bit of socialist fervour to dampen the enthusiasm for Scottish Independence.
Israel had managed to advance relations with a number of Arab states before that
I’ll help. These are runic inscriptions. Yes RUNES. But who wrote them and why?
If you’re into history it’s a fabulously surprising answer
Here’s another one. There are several. Nullifico googlissimi!
I do like your chart.
They'll be Danes or Orcadians en route to the Holy Land, and doing a bit if sightseeing/allying/plundering en route. Wonder if it's the same lot as in the Orkneyinga Saga, which is partly about just such an adventure holiday? It's a long time since I read i t, so no idea if the places match up. But you won't let me google.
The answer surprised me completely. 7th century
No googling it ruins the fun
Ok here’s a big clue. The first one looks less obviously runic - as you noticed. That’s because it incorporates Roman lettering styles albeit it is in runes… oooooh
Since 2008, Hamas have killed 2,000 Israelis (including 7/10, natch), but the Israelis have killed over 40,000 Arabs (including the post-7/10 bombardment).
Pre-7/10, the Israelis killed 6,300 Arabs, while Hamas killed only 310 Jews (ie. from Jan 2008 to Sept 2023).
(Source - Wikipedia)
I put the live stream on for a few minutes and FIRST BALL Graeme van Buuren tosses away his wicket.
And then the shrine. From 490AD. When the archangel Michael came to live here and consecrated it himself and they still have mass in the cave and take it VERY VERY seriously this is Italy not secular France so the overall noomfactor is almost off the dial. And after scoffing I ended up a bit choked and actually taking communion. Serve me right
Then you emerge from the frigid sacred noomy darkness and this is the view
Incredibly - to me - these five runic inscriptions are five Anglo Saxons from England in the 7th century. Leofwin, Herraed, Hereberehct, etc. I wasn’t aware Anglo Saxons ever used runes? Apparently they did: it is thought these five men were Anglo Saxon churchmen working - at least temporarily - in the shrine. Some had training in Latin as well, it is thought, hence the Romaniaed runes
The 7th century!!! England would still have been partly pagan back then. And these men would have called themselves… what? Jutes? Saxons? Kentish?
https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1306431/writing-on-the-wall-anglo-saxons-at-monte-santangelo-sul-gargano-puglia-and-the-spiritual-and-social-significance-of-graffiti
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
@RedfieldWilton
Largest Labour lead in Scotland with ANY polling company since June 2014.
Scotland Westminster VI (8-9 May):
Labour 38% (+5)
SNP 31% (-1)
Conservative 14% (-3)
Lib Dem 8% (–)
Reform 4% (-1)
Green 4% (+2)
Alba 1% (-1)
Other 0% (–)
Changes +/- 6-7 April
Hamas value their own people at about 100 to one Israeli. Nothing condemns them more effectively than such callous nonsense. A Palestinian is much the same as an Israeli.
You told us what they called themselves, Leofwin, Herraed, Hereberehct, and some guy called “Etc” but I don’t believe it was his real name.
How the F? And what a journey. Maybe the dark ages weren’t quite as dark as we think
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_English_rune_poem
https://oldenglishpoetry.camden.rutgers.edu/the-rune-poem/
Very nice example of graffiti, though, right up htere with the runic graffiti in Maeshoew in Orkney (and IRC on a Byzantine marble lion now in Venice).
https://novoscriptorium.com/2019/11/23/english-refugees-were-the-most-prominent-element-in-the-eastern-roman-byzantine-varangian-guard-from-the-late-11th-to-the-13th-century/
Anything from the Dark Ages (so called) gives me a noomic shiver
I’m pretty sure I saw some apotropaic graffiti further up
It’s an amazing place. I thoroughly recommend it to PBers seeking an unusual holiday. The gargano peninsula. It is also notably cheap outside high summer. You’ll have it to yourself - tho it is chilly if sunny up in these hills under the scoured skies
McCullum told Anderson, who turns 42 in July, that England are looking to build a bowling attack for the future.
It is not clear whether Anderson has played his last Test or if he will get a farewell this summer.
Anderson has taken 700 wickets in 187 Tests - the most by any pace bowler in Test history.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/articles/cll4e9qlm7ro
Adidas Samba sales sink after Sunak ‘ruined it for everyone’
Prime Minister apologised to fans of the trainers after he wore them to an interview
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/05/10/adidas-samba-trainer-sales-suffer-after-sunak-wears-pair/
Who am I supposed to be on-putting, and on to what?
If you ever want advice on how to make your Ukraine and Israel stanning less off-putting, just let me know.
Largest Labour lead in Scotland with ANY polling company since June 2014.
Scotland Westminster VI (8-9 May):
Labour 38% (+5)
SNP 31% (-1)
Conservative 14% (-3)
Lib Dem 8% (–)
Reform 4% (-1)
Green 4% (+2)
Alba 1% (-1)
Other 0% (–)
Changes +/- 6-7 April
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1788963297946984759
beautiful. Only Italians (and a few Germans) come here in numbers and they only come in high summer. Good food as well
https://twitter.com/SunPolitics/status/1788960606134898962?s=19
Rwanda plan backed 55 to 20
Starmer ditching it in favour of......?
Maybe a misstep. Definitely a misstep if flights start going
Less noomy than its sister cross at Bewcastle, but both are unmissable.
Yes Anglo Saxons used runes.
Labour up 3 points.
🔴 Lab 47% (+3)
🔵 Con 24% (NC)
🟠 LD 9% (+1)
⚪ Ref 10% (-3)
🟢 Green 6% (NC)
🟡 SNP 2% (NC)
How on earth did that happen?
'JL partners found 55 per cent of people are actually in favour of asylum seekers being "removed to their home country or to a safe country, such as Rwanda". '
That said i think any man over 30 wearing trainers outside some kind of physical context - sports, hiking, gym, major family outing, house moving, etc - is somewhat suspect