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Mo’ money mo’ problems – politicalbetting.com

Sunak under growing pressure from Tories to return £10m Hester donation https://t.co/ta00pbwBYE
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(Well it has never gone away, my nickname at uni was Finn for that reason.)
And if the Conservative Party has decided that its reputation is worth £10 million...
... It's not obvious that they haven't got the better side of the deal right now.
The field has progressed well beyond that.
:: wipes tear from eye at the pure giving ::
All political parties will feel the draught of this.
What would he have to say for them to think, yeah that really is racist?
AI has been progressing for fifty years.
Automation has been progressing for centuries.
Automation, of which AI is another step of evolution, hasn't eliminated jobs net.
Its eliminated some jobs, but then new ones are created, its evolution not revolution.
AI is a tool, just like spreadsheets and the internet and a bazillion other things are tools. They're tools that will eliminate some menial jobs and create other ones, just like every other form of automation before it.
Indeed I have some sympathy. I have the kind of leisured job where I can easily spend half a day catching up with AI developments (and I regularly do). Also I am paid for this; as I am then paid for my opinions on AI
But if you’re a normal person without many hours to spare wandering the world and reading reddit then AI is advancing so rapidly you can’t keep up. We are getting revelatory improvements almost daily now
This is what it is like to be on an exponential curve
https://x.com/taylor_rosie/status/1767853702742774144?s=61
lol
But I’m adding that to my list of howlingly stupid AI remarks, so thanks
That kind of development has been happening for centuries.
I get you want everything to be gamechanging, but life evolves. The job market evolves.
Don't be a Luddite.
You want it to generate a bit of text, or a picture, you can do so. Tool.
How you use that text, or picture, is up to you.
“I would call an election, frankly, now… we are going backwards"
Conservative peer and supermarket boss Lord Rose urges the PM to call a general election now, warning the UK is falling behind other countries and needs a leader with a mandate who can “get on with it”
#Peston
The rest doesn't surprise me though.
"where I can easily spend half a day catching up with AI developments"
That's your problem. You read hype and believe it, and you don't have the intelligence to realise it's hype.
You are a fool.
I am not sure who was most surprised: us, the dog or the squirrel. The squirrel reacted quickest though and was back up the tree before the dog could pounce.
The clients quoted seemed to be for crypto sites. But of the fake/scam variety. The PR, on checking, didn’t seem to exist. She concludes.
“it seems like these (potential scam) sites are using AI to pick up journo requests, generate punchy comments and get quoted in mainstream media, making the sites appear legitimate. Judging by the "featured in" sections, others have fallen for it. V. worrying.”
But I've been able to do that with Google for about twenty years.
Now the tool is generating the image rather than searching those it knows about, but its not exactly a revolution.
The only people who thinks its a revolution is the mugs, and those who think they can profit off those mugs.
Well, they do have this lovely fellow.
Like the Internet. As you say. Just a tool
For me the internet is most like a vegetable spiralizer. They’re both tools that make things easier. One allows you instant access to all the accumulated knowledge of mankind and also lets you talk to any human being on earth, and the other one makes cucumbers whirly when you feed it in
Exactly the same, basically
From: “The Wit and Wisdom of Bartholomew Roberts, of Newent, Chapter one: How I somehow manage to tie my laces”
On the other hand - they've also reported getting a lot of 'ChatGPT-feeling" emails from people who don't speak English well and wouldn't have felt confident reaching out without it's translation.
Bit of a muddle in many ways.
Want to know where you've seen an actress before - check IMDB, your spiraliser isn't much good for that.
Want to cook some courgetti - use your spiraliser, going online isn't much good for that.
Humanity has invented tons of tools over the millenia. Some more useful, some less.
AI is just continued evolution along those lines.
Its not like the advent of the internet has led us to having 50% unemployment currently, is it?
Only 13% ticked the box "The remark had nothing to do with her gender nor colour of skin".
So on average poll respondents think the Tories are more racist than Frank Hester.
Edit: And find the days tables yourself, here: https://jlpartners.com/polling-results
Yet another reason I would make donating more than £1000 to a political party prevent you from being considered for a peerage until two parliaments (or 8 years, whichever is longer) has passed. You aren't prevented from giving more money if you want, it just ensures there is no possible appearance of having bought a peerage.
Rory Bremner tries out a new Rishi Sunak impression gag at the Best for Britain annual dinner: “What’s the difference between my dishwasher and my wife? My wife’s properly loaded.”
There's a serious methodology problem with this poll in my view. Interviewees were asked to "tick all that apply" including that the remarks were racist. An unticked box is counted as a No in the tables above. But it's at least as likely to be no opinion/not interested.
https://www.city-journal.org/article/harvard-tramples-the-truth
I’m not on a wind up. Properly curious
Also what are these jobs? Lots of people would like to know including my daughters in their late teens now choosing uni courses
I am fairly sure some jobs will survive and some will be created - but u don’t see it as “logically certain” - and I am much less sure that the new jobs will be anywhere near as plentiful as all the jobs lost
Note that historically, many racists have believed - and many still do - that racism is a POSITIVE value, and NOT problematic . . . EXCEPT for potential backlash.
Racist and that's a bad thing
Racist and that's a good thing
Not-racist and that's a good thing
Not racist and that's a bad thing
Don't know
@julianknight15
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3h
The Conservative Party must return every penny of Mr Hester’s donation no ifs no buts.
https://twitter.com/julianknight15/status/1767977096645595317
One of the most amazing pieces of "AI" tech is Excel autofill which involves building and tuning a custom model on the fly - the researchers involved are probably heading for a medal. But it isn't flashy and it isn't called 'Trevor' and it actually works 99% of the time (it's one of those <5min human supervised tasks I was talking about).
But it is genuinely interesting and novel AI tech that has a huge amount of potential for further development.
Which is why centuries of automation has pruned boring, monotonous, repetitive or dangerous jobs while instead boosting the availability of human-facing jobs.
And that's not changing with AI.
We will continue in the evolution of getting rid of jobs that don't need doing, and create new ones to replace them that now do instead, just as we've done for centuries. Just as happened with the rise of the internet, the rise of computers, the rise of robotics and everything else.
As a purveyor of BS, you can see why Leon is concerned he might lose his job.
Most people have more than BS as their output at work though.
I'm bearish about it; my own view is that the current LLMs are an evolutionary dead-end towards AGI or anything much better. I might be wrong about that, but I'd need some convincing.
Edit, interestingly, the less than symbol before the '5min' in your post was stopping a reply from posting, perhaps because Vanilla thought it was the start of a tag.
I don't think Leon is a fool, though. I think he is doing his research on the internet and is listening to the "most interesting" voices, rather than the "most sober" voices. The sober voices are probably too sober. But in this space (as in crypto before) the most interesting voices are, unfortunately, mostly grifters and the odd fruit loop.
Next on GB News, why Muslim monsters should be lynched”
Of course people who do think that never say it. On a self-reporting basis racism is a thing of the past.
And I’m afraid it is fucking delicious, after 6 hours on a Colombian bus
Not a bad view as well
For example, strongly suspect that prophet Ezekiel's "great wheels of fire" as recorded in Old Testament, may well have been early tech inventor-investor hype about an allegedly revolutionary breakthrough in wheeled-vehicle technology.
Which of course was NOT achieved for several millennia afterward. Biblical inerrancy notwithstanding . . . or rather slightly delayed . . .
Rory Bremner: “I try not to hate Tory donors, but I look at Frank Hester and he makes me hate all Tory donors. He should be shot…”
Wiki's explanation with Ricardo's example is here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparative_advantage
Perhaps not that helpful for your daughter though!
The thing I’ve noticed is that the skeptics have been consistently wrong and sometimes humiliatingly so, for the last couple of years. Which says quite a lot
Eg Yann Lecun. Goes onstage in Dubai and says text-to-video is impossible as things stand, it’s far harder than text-to-image, it needs a new architecture (which he is designing!) blah blah
Two days later OpenAI announce Sora and make him look like a total fool
I also think tech people and engineers are sometimes the most clueless about what they themselves are designing. It’s not in their intellectual remit
Would you ask a guy building one of the first carburetors what will be the impact of the internal combustion engine on American urbanism?
Of course not. He won’t have a scooby. You need someone with a vastly wider frame of reference. A Renaissance man who has travelled widely and slept with literally hundreds of young women
Also I hate - seriously - travelling lux all the time. How boring. I like to switch it up. Bus and train stations are great places to meet people and check out local life. Even the lowlife. And if you rough it for a few days then you appreciate the luxury (like these suites) all the more
Official attendance at Cheltenham today was 46,771.
Comparing to previous Wednesdays, it’s down from 50,387 in 2023 and 64,431 in 2022 (first year after pandemic).
Worrying.
#Cheltenham | #CheltenhamFestival
Last edited
7:26 PM · Mar 13, 2024
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Those are the two jobs that will be left
Tories below 20%?
Dire opening few minutes for Sunak on BBC news at 10.
That’s the official attendance but being there today I’d confidently say it was much lower.
I’ve never seen so it quiet in the last 12 years I’ve been going.
The ridiculous ticket, alcohol and food prices are extortionate and people are finally waking up to it
9:21 PM · Mar 13, 2024
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https://x.com/LeeWoodhouse00/status/1768024518071640470?s=20