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The voters do not salute Galloway’s courage, strength, and indefatigability – politicalbetting.com
The voters do not salute Galloway’s courage, strength, and indefatigability – politicalbetting.com
Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of George Galloway?Favourable: 11%Unfavourable: 46%Don't know: 42%https://t.co/JsbQUslaOZ pic.twitter.com/pFyJ64iwWF
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Mr. Eagles, he was rather helped by Crassus. Ironic the Parthians didn't end up surviving all that much longer.
F1: first race not a classic. The Alonso bet, tipped in the blog, failed, but the early Perez each way bet did come off, so marginally green if you backed both.
Rawnsley gives Sunak both barrels.
Betting PostF1: Backed Perez at 11 (12 with boost) on Ladbrokes to win each way in Saudi Arabia. He has a strong record there and the Red Bull remains the fastest car, plus Mercedes and Ferrari both had reliability concerns last time out (and higher temperatures may compromise Mercedes-powered cars even more).
Oh, 'eLection...'
I don't think such delay will benefit the Tories. They have severely overstayed their welcome, and the consequences for them just get worse.
Conservatives are also polling well when it comes to Panama’s May Presidential election.
On a practical level if combined with the locals, does anyone remember the snail count of 2015 especially in London and the Mets?. Final result Friday lunchtime.
I thought the last days of Brown’s government were a shambles but the current lot are worse.
It's also why they try the gentle goading: the argument being that if you go sooner you might lose fewer seats, which I think is essentially nonsense.
One chunk of the party will hold on to Nurse Rishi for fear of Braverman, another for fear of Truss (or a Trussalike), and so on. In a VONC, they all add up to save Sunak.
The Angela Rayner council house case, explained by a tax expert
Ignorance about tax is not new, but contradictions in the deputy Labour leader’s accounts are concerning, says Dan Neidle
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/the-angela-rayner-council-house-case-explained-by-a-tax-expert-8klnvzp0m
If she needed to turn it around, she could start by pointing out our tax system is a shambles and committing Labour to simplifying it.
The police chiefs themselves have been strikingly reluctant to endorse Mr Sunak’s contention that Britain is descending into “mob rule”. This sounds like the kind of thing a rent-a-gob reactionary backbencher might spit out in the hope of being quoted by the Daily Mail. You don’t expect to hear that kind of nonsense coming out of the mouth of the prime minister.
There’s a need for a reasoned debate about the conduct and management of demonstrations. But that was not what the Tory leader was seeking to stimulate with those headline-hunting remarks [of last week]. He was conflating democratic protest with “mob rule” in a way that disdained and undermined Britain’s proud traditions of free assembly and free expression. This wild outburst did him no credit.
[This week's] was one of his better crafted speeches, even if the cynic in me wondered whether a deeply unpopular prime minister was trying to gain public favour by presentinging himself as the steady leader of the nation manning the thin line between stability and chaos. There is also a big underlying issue: the jarring discordance between Mr Sunak’s advocations of unity and mutual respect with the conduct of elements of his own party.
The Tory leader...has been flabby about policing extremism within his own ranks and this feebleness is sourced in a fear that they represent constituencies within his party that could make trouble for him. The Tory party’s hard right is the mob he feels most menaced by. He has not repudiated Ms Truss’s love-ins with the Trumpites. He sacked Ms Braverman as home secretary for an incendiary provocation about “hate marches” last November, but she was only in that profile-enhancing post in the first place because Mr Sunak struck a Faustian bargain with her when he thought he needed hard-right support to secure the premiership. He handed a louder mic to Lee Anderson by promoting him to deputy chair of the Tory party, a role he exploited to platform his noxious prejudices, until he quit over Rwanda.
Only extremists will disagree with the prime minister when he says we should not allow them to hijack our politics. More’s the pity that he has too often behaved like a hostage of the hate-mongers within his own party.
I doubt January.
However, with his cancer diagnosis I wonder if his itinerary will change.
Seems a bit ghoulish to speculate that Sunak's options may have been increased by one man's illness, but...
Jos Verstappen: Red Bull could be torn apart if Christian Horner stays
Team principal said Formula 1 should ‘move on’ after Max Verstappen won Bahrain Grand Prix on Saturday, but star driver’s father disagrees
Max Verstappen’s father believes Red Bull will be torn apart if Christian Horner remains as their team principal.
Verstappen, the reigning world champion, won the 2024 season opener in Bahrain on Saturday despite the controversy surrounding his British team principal....
....Now, however, Jos has publicly questioned Horner’s position. “There is tension here while he remains in position,” he told the Daily Mail. “The team is in danger of being torn apart. It can’t go on the way it is. It will explode. He is playing the victim when he is the one causing the problems.”
Verstappen Sr has denied being involved in the attempts to unsettle Horner in both his personal and professional life. “That wouldn’t make sense,” he said. “Why would I do that when Max is doing so well here?” However, his latest comments have the potential to do so.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/jos-verstappen-red-bull-could-be-torn-apart-if-christian-horner-stays-8j7c5kfht
Amusing to note that a very familiar debate is ongoing over on Rail Forums on the thread about the Swanage Railway going cashless.
Has anyone given up cash/contactless for Lent?
Meanwhile, in the six months since May, another million households have faced remortgage at much higher interest rates, and see themselves as much worse off than they were in 2019…
Rayner said in a statement last week: “As with the majority of ordinary people who sell their own homes, I was not liable for capital gains tax because it was my home and the only one I owned.”
But the rules don’t work like that. We are exempt from capital gains tax (CGT) on our main residence, but married couples can only have one main residence between them.
So Rayner’s initial statement, that she wasn’t liable for capital gains tax because Vicarage Road was her home, was wrong. It’s understandable that she didn’t understand the position in 2015; it would have been a good idea to have taken advice, but many people don’t (and Rayner wasn’t an MP at the time). It’s less understandable that she doesn’t appear to have taken advice before putting out her statement nine years later.
After I and others identified the problem, Rayner failed to correct her original statement, and is now saying simply that “no capital gains tax was payable”. How could that be?
There’s a lot of rumours online about the relationships between Horny, Jos V, and the woman who made the complaint.
Sorting these issues out would be beneficial, although I won't hold my breath.
January 2025. It buggers up the opposition ground game, Conservative voters are thought more likely to turn out in bad weather, and wintry seas will stop the small boats.
I have a work meeting with external parties in a fortnight, I have been told one of the external parties absolutely hates brashness.
To quote my bosses
'For the love of God, please rein that shit in at the meeting'
OTOH the Christmas bills will have kicked in - depending on timing.
Truly sad thing is, Horneygate is likely to be the most exciting thing to happen in F1 this season.
Current evidence suggests the Tories are very much that daft...
How many MPs have we had since, 1980 say? A few thousand?
We’ve had 5 murders, innumerable assaults and a barrage of vile threats. For example, women MPs get sexual threats on a daily basis.
A number of MPs carry guns to protect themselves against terrorist threats, as assessed as real and probable by the intelligence services.
A larger number wear stab vests when dealing with the public.
Every MP (pretty much) has had occasions when the stalking/threats have risen to the point the police start individually guarding them and their families.
Talk about a minority under siege.
Makes you wonder about the effect on attitude, doesn’t it?
January 23rd? Around the same time we complete our tax return and pay the outstanding amount.
I'm not sure it helps the Conservatives but it takes PM Rishi as far as he can go if a defeat remains on the cards.
Though whichever party signs up the Rochdale Independent as their candidate may do well.
Well, that would certainly complicate her tax affairs, but I think it would be lower down the list of press interest.
George won the Rochdale by-election fair and square!
Go on, do explain.
Advantages of May:
- Avoids fall-out from the locals.
- Forestalls any further major division or a leadership challenge.
- Energy prices will fall in April.
- Any tax cuts will have appeared in April payslips.
- Boat numbers will be yet to rise.
- Inflation probably back at target (temporarily).
- Mortgage rates falling and fewer will have switched to higher fixed rate (than will have by the autumn).
Advantages of Oct/Nov:
- Something might turn up.
- Sunak spends more time as PM.
Thank goodness.
But it explains why some of them feel “under siege”
And remember, this isn’t just for Them’uns, it goes for the MPs of *your* political party. No matter what that is.
EDIT: and I’m quite sure MSPs etc get a measure of the same shit.
Ultimately Galloway won because his vote was motivated and nobody else’s was. He is legally elected, but that doesn’t make it right, in the exact same way that Rochdale electing a Britain First MP wouldn’t have been right.
Say you're Penny Mordaunt for example (other candidates are available)...
You stand and somehow win the leadership from Sunak in June/July. Call an election at the earliest sensible opportunity (end of September?). Lose to a Labour landslide by say 10-15%. You can rightly say 'well that was 20-25% when I took over, so you need to stick with me as LOTO because I can close that gap in one term'. Then, with the economy shafted and multiple other issues facing the country, you have five years of bashing Starmer to get back to at least parity for the 2029 GE.
The flaw with my argument is the Tory members will choose a loon rather than Mordaunt but that won't put off candidates who think they might win a leadership contest. No lack of candidates in may opinion.
Difficult to work out whom to have least sympathy for.
Incidentally most members of the PIRA weren’t church going, some were actually Protestant (yup!) and their idealogy was Republicanism, via 1798
I understand it burns some people, but terrorists get labelled according to their professed ideology and actions.
So in Northern Ireland you have Republican terrorists, and the Loyalist terrorists. The Loyalists are sometimes referred to as “Protestant” - this is because they profess specific, anti-Catholic ideology.
If you shout “Allan’s Snackbar!”, while stabbing/exploding etc, then that’s what your cause is.
Lots of heritage railways are likely to go to the wall in a next few years unless people start using them again at pre-Covid levels. Numbers are still down 25% from 2019.
If you care, please try and make it a tradition for you and your families to go at least once a year, and buy a souvenir/make a donation on top.
Plus, the smart ones explained to the thick ones, that this meant a steady source of *legal* money at no risk. Crime, especially drug dealing, is far from a steady payer.
The real fun one is this - in all the years of conflict, very few senior people from either side were killed by the other side. Everyone knew where everyone lived - NI is a small place - where they worked. Taxi drivers would tell you when they passed Gerry’s house….
@SkyNews
The Chancellor may be considering implementing Labour's signature policy of scrapping non-dom status.
'It would be an abject humiliation for the Conservatives' after 'years of rubbishing the idea', says
@bphillipsonMP
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/1764216449944399914?s=20
‘Everyone is terrified of King Gavin’: Newsom’s
unchallenged anti-homelessness gambit
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/02/prop-1-ballot-measure-mental-health-battle-00144530
..Prop 1 will make changes to the Mental Health Services Act, a tax on incomes over a million dollars that was groundbreaking when approved by voters in 2004. It gave counties fairly wide latitude to spend the money on whatever mental health programs they saw fit, with limited coverage for substance use disorders. Newsom has been itching to rewrite the law for years. When he devoted his entire State of the State Address in 2020 to the problem of homelessness, he excoriated counties for hoarding MHSA funds instead of using them to address the crisis.
After being sidetracked by the pandemic, Newsom finally had the chance to tackle the issue last year. Proposition 1 began its path to the ballot as two separate bills. One directed counties to change the way they spend and report their mental health budgets, requiring they spend more on housing and treatment for people in encampments. A companion bond issue committed $6.4 billion to fund new residential mental health and addiction treatment, and housing for veterans. Because voters approved the MHSA in 2004, they would now be required to weigh in on the dense new policy, rechristened the Behavioral Health Services Act...
John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
Two-thirds of Tory members say Sunak wrong to suspend Anderson;
@ConHome
survey https://conservativehome.com/2024/03/03/our-survey-almost-two-thirds-of-party-members-oppose-sunaks-suspension-of-anderson/
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1764200071967473771