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London Tories recognise the damage Lee Anderson is causing them, will the wider party?
London Tories recognise the damage Lee Anderson is causing them – politicalbetting.com
Let's come together. Sadiq Khan and I have lots of disagreements – but on this vital issue, we agree. Antisemitic and anti-Muslim hatred has no place in our city or in our politics. We must do everything we can to stamp it out.https://t.co/VdP4scwAI8
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(In the Star Trek film franchise.)
As one of the chaps from the Board of Deputies put it, that is like saying a Jewish mayor is controlled by the Zionists or Israel, it's wrong then, and wrong now.
We done the new Deltapoll yet?
Voting Intention🚨🚨
Labour lead remains at twenty-one points in the latest results from Deltapoll.
Con 23% (-4)
Lab 44% (-4)
Lib Dem 11% (+3)
Other 21% (+3)
Fieldwork: 23rd - 26th February 2024
Sample: 1,490 GB adults
(Changes from 16th - 19th February 2024)
https://x.com/deltapolluk/status/1762121206205927596?s=46
Bit of a freakish one. And the usual frustration at “other” being grouped together. I’d guess Ref 10, Green 5, SNP 4, others 2.
EDIT: actually 10, 5, 3, 3 (looked in the data tables)
SNP 31
Lab 29
LD 24
Con 9
There's an exception that deserves more attention than it has received. Early in his first campaign for the presidency, Obama admitted that withdrawing from Iraq as he was advocating might lead to a genocide. (I was astonished at the time by his honesty.)
We elected him. He chose as a principal advisor one Susan Rice, most famous at the time for this: 'At the time of the 1994 Rwandan genocide, Rice reportedly said, "If we use the word 'genocide' and are seen as doing nothing, what will be the effect on the November election?'
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Susan_Rice#Clinton_administration_(1993–2001)
(He also chose Samantha Power, who had criticized Rice in her book.)
We re-elected Obama and, in his second term, there was a genocide in Iraq that could have been prevented had he actually followed Bush policies. Since the victims were mostly Christians and Yazidis, that genocide didn't matter to most on the left.
If Obama, or Rice, has done anything to help the victims of his policy since leaving office, I missed it.
(Copied from previous thread.)
12 the weekend before last an example.
The reality is the Commissioner relies on both the support of the Home Secretary and Mayor, and as Boris Johnson and Sadiq Khan have shown, they have made a Commissioner resign when they publicly withdrew that support.
One of the Mayor’s key responsibilities is overseeing the work of the Metropolitan Police Service (MPS) – setting the priorities for policing and community safety in London, agreeing the policing budget and holding the Met Commissioner to account for delivering a professional, efficient and effective service to Londoners.
The Mayor has appointed Sophie Linden as Deputy Mayor for Policing and Crime (DMPC) to oversee this vital work.
At the heart of our work is the Mayor’s Police and Crime Plan – a statutory document that sets out the key priorities for the term ahead, how we will work to deliver them and how we will oversee delivery.
Here’s a thing. Young people like our own dear @148grss go on and on about climate change. It has been hammered into them, and fair enough - I concur it is a real issue, but I am not sure it is quite as existential as some claim. I believe humans will adapt, although it is, nonetheless, worth us taking measured steps to decrease C02 and it definitely worth us cleaning up the planet. I have seen FAR too much pollution, esp plastic, to be relaxed about that
However you never see young people, or indeed anyone, banging on and on and on about the dangers of AI
Yet these dangers are extremely real, and vastly more ominous than climate change
Let me introduce you to the concept of “P-doom” this is the probability that AGI, when it is achieved, will bring about a doomsday type event for humanity, perhaps total extinction, maybe just enslavement, but definitely something really really really bad. P-doom is expressed as a percentage. Here are the estimates of various experts, of P-Doom
<0.01%
Yann LeCun
one of three godfathers of AI, works at Meta
(less likely than an asteroid)
10%
Vitalik Buterin
Ethereum founder
(Specifically means AI takeover)
10%
Geoff Hinton
one of three godfathers of AI
(chance of extinction in the next 30 years if unregulated)
14%
Machine learning researchers
(From 2022, median value is 5%)
15%
Lina Khan
head of FTC
10-20%
Paul Christiano
(Cumulative risks go to 50% when you get to human-level AI)
10-25%
Dario Amodei
CEO of Anthropic
20%
Yoshua Bengio
one of three godfathers of AI
20-30%
Elon Musk
CEO of Tesla, SpaceX, X
5-50%
Emmet Shear
Co-founder of Twitch, former short-term CEO of OpenAI
30%
AI Safety Researchers
(Mean from 44 AI safety researchers in 2021)
33%
Scott Alexander
Popular Internet blogger at Astral Codex Ten
35%
Eli Lifland
AI engineer
(Estimate mean value, survey methodology may be flawed)
50%
Holden Karnofsky
Executive Director of Open Philanthropy
10-90%
Jan Leike
alignment lead at OpenAI
60%
Zvi Mowshowitz
AI researcher
70%
Daniel Kokotajlo
OpenAI researcher & forecaster
>80%
Dan Hendrycks
Head of Center for AI Safety
>99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Founder of MIRI
It is right now estimated we will achieve AGI in the next 1-10 years. That’s the consensus. Indeed it may already be here
Incidentally do not be reassured by the ‘likely as an asteroid’ prediction of Le Cun. He’s the guy who went on stage in Dubai and said AI text-to-video was impossible now, then got utterly humiliated when Sora was released literally two days later - a fortnight ago
Many of the demonstrators aren't even Muslims!!!!!!!!!!!!
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/record-number-of-channel-migrants-reach-uk-on-single-day-in-february/ar-BB1iUPhU?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=10a0626f085244aea6020157dc34b1cb&ei=22
I have never felt more proud to be British than this.
The Eco protesters also got a similar favourable approach from the Met.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/police-boss-blasts-unacceptable-behaviour-of-officers-filmed-skateboarding-and-dancing-at-extinction-rebellion-protests-in-london-a4121381.html
We should see it as a vote of confidence in the UK that people see us as a bastion of freedom. Something to aspire to.
We also need to be wary of politicians suing each other over rhetoric, and I think most politicians get that, even when there's a solid case to be made that a particular statement was unjustified and defamatory.
If Susan Hall (who has spent years facing Khan in City Hall) has reached her's, good for her. She's still an abusrd candidate and gives every indication that she would be a rotten mayor, but good for her.
I think one Doctor managed to get a grovelling apology out of Lee Anderson a few months (and some money donated to a lefty cause IIRC)
@RupertMyers
Hey @BBCNews guess what’s missing in this report? H/t @oflynnsocial
BREAKING: Hungary's parliament ratifies Sweden's NATO accession, clearing the final obstacle to membership
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1762144310110093386
But either way, financial rewards are not everything. Most MPs don't go into it for the money, even if for many they get a pay rise on election (plus benefits). Anderson might well not have been re-elected anyway, though Ashfield is an odd place so you never know, but refusing an MP the right to stand again is a pretty hefty political sanction all the same. If that sanction applies.
Or am I missing something relevant?
I was thinking of something like this.
A vice-chairman of the Conservative party has apologised to Jeremy Corbyn and will make a “substantial” donation to charity for a tweet he made about the Labour leader’s links to cold war spies.
The climbdown by Mansfield MP Ben Bradley raises questions as to whether other Tory MPs who made similar claims about Corbyn will also issue apologies.
Bradley, who is the vice-chair for Tory youth, was threatened with legal action after making unfounded claims that the Labour leader “sold British secrets to communist spies”.
It followed claims about Corbyn’s contact with a Czech intelligence agent, Ján Sarkocy, in the 1980s, many of which have been discredited. Bradley will make a donation to a charity and a food bank in his constituency, and meet Corbyn’s legal costs, Labour said. It is believed the donation is a five-figure sum.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/25/jeremy-corbyn-spies-communist-czech-cold-war-ben-bradley
It will be impossible to run a democracy if we cannot have any kind of common understanding of facts. Or, put another way, if you credibly control the facts, you control everything else.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-67329731
1) numerous international bodies have said the conditions in France for the refugees are intolerable.
2) a country that can’t treat refugees right is a failed state
3) France has oil. And nuclear weapons ambitions.
4) We all know what happens to failed states with oil and nuclear weapons ambitions, don’t we, Children?
West and South France for the UK.
North France for America.
East France for Canada.
Or as part of the condition for liberating France making them honour the Treaty of Troyes.
Churchill was such a fool, deservedly lost the election for that mistake.
Like the unions in Bristol supporting racism on the buses, and Arthur Scargill, I've never been keen on trade unions.
Anyone chronicling this country’s fate must look at the disproportionate and disproportionately malign influence of upper-class Tories from the elite public schools.
Seriously how is this kind of bigotry allowed?
Can we say this about plebs from comprehensives?
Why can people be rude about people whose parents wanted the best for them?
https://nickcohen.substack.com/p/can-nothing-halt-the-uks-decline?r=333vp&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&open=false
HOWEVER, you are right on that. Many of the youth have disconnected too much critical thinking for being fed what's on their social media thread instead, and that is a problem since this may affect them as much as anything else, like you say.
And it's caused us, and Canada, no end of problems since.
The voting will be about taking no risks whatsoever on guaranteeing the Big Brother eviction.
The problem for the Tories is this drama highlights the different factions amongst the party .
(I can also remember his more his more recent projection that Liz Truss would "surprise on the upside", but it would be ungentlemanly of me to salt the wound.)
https://news.sky.com/story/speaker-sir-lindsay-hoyle-retracts-offer-to-snp-for-emergency-ceasefire-debate-13081621
https://twitter.com/EdwardGLuce/status/1762153983957680374
Or, don't. Offer up an insincere apology and get the Tory whip back, only to get demolished at the election.
What about a voucher for safety windows for the whole Kremlin?
Boris was and is an ethically and morally bankrupt individual but for some reason actually became a half-decent leader on this particular issue.
Maybe it was Churchill cosplay and stopped clocks. Or maybe people are complex.
"Let me introduce you to the concept of “P-doom” this is the probability that AGI, when it is achieved, will bring about a doomsday type event for humanity, perhaps total extinction, maybe just enslavement, but definitely something really really really bad. P-doom is expressed as a percentage. Here are the estimates of various experts, of P-Doom"
Can we not just flick the power off and on again?
He's clearly not thought it through fully though, or considers it secondary, otherwise he wouldn't be palling up with Trump and the Republicans who are doing all they can to let Russia win.
The rancour in politics is hard to witness and it is only getting worse
I did suggest yesterday that post GE the right may come together probably taking over the conservative party
Nothing in the last few days has done anything to change my view
Mind you Starmer has his own issues with a Savanta poll just now saying that 40% think he has an antisemitic problem in his party
https://twitter.com/journoamrogers/status/1762148517512982641?t=CIexLGiVib0gDeCTkWZ-2g&s=19
NB - On the Deltapoll Reform are on 10% (+3)
My word the Russians got a shit deal if the Tories were in their pockets.
I stand by my observation (which came from somebody who has known Boris Johnson for decades and JohnO can attest to the provenance from before Boris Johnson became PM) and that is Boris Johnson was fundamentally too lazy and undisciplined to be PM, he wanted to do all the fun things but none of the hard work.
Helping support Ukraine was one of those things that was relatively easy for him to do.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhOeeeCplEY
Times Radio's series of Exit Interviews with MPs who are standing down from Parliament can be fascinating.
In any case the SNP have been done out of one of their three days a year. Still no news about replacing it. And this isn't a great look from Labour, who are lucky Mr Anderson has preempted the news.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/24143718.snp-call-probe-labour-mp-admits-wrecking-gaza-debate/
https://www.migrationwatchuk.org/briefing-paper/511/recent-change-in-the-uk-asylum-grant-rate#:~:text=In contrast, of the 14,532,28 per cent being refused.
The Home Office is unfit for purpose, what else is new?
https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/dfd07a4b-c774-4271-bfbd-b1a3813432be?_gl=1*drnj41*_ga*MTAyMzU5MDc2My4xNzA4OTU2MzQw*_ga_L0NJWDWMGN*MTcwODk2NTk5Mi4yLjAuMTcwODk2NTk5Mi42MC4wLjA.
I cherish your interventions in late January 2020, denouncing my warnings about that new virus from China, because you personally wanted to talk about the legal framework around domestic woodburners
What an absolute wazzock that man is. There was better than a vote. A motion passed by the House unopposed. Calling for an immediate ceasefire. So what he wants has happened.
What he is stropping about is that his attempt to weaponise the issue as a shield to defend his otherwise doomed MPs has been rebuffed. Which has nothing at all to do with "the people of Gaza"
However, two of the last two debates motioned by the SNP are all about Gaza, as will be the next. It strikes me that mischief making is more important than the domestic issues the SNP were elected to resolve.
By performance on the battlefield Russia is about equal to Poland with a couple of other European states by their side. In a year or two, after the new Polish rearmament plans kick in, Poland will be, by itself, militarily superior to Russia.
The very epitome of changing the goalposts to suit your argument.
You wasted thousands of pixels on here assuring us, daily, that China would by now be the world's largest economy, by the standard definition of GDP.
It is nowhere near. And, more to the point, few economists think it will be the world's largest economy any time soon.
What exactly is the point of him?
With the singular exception of what3words, but even they might surprise on the upside. Eventually
The Loser, as I call DJT, didn't even try to negotiate such an agreement. But kamski may not consider that important.