Kemi now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader – politicalbetting.com
Kemi now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader – politicalbetting.com
It is hard to see Sunak being CON leader in 18 months time. A general election will have had to take place during that time period and it is very hard on current polling that there will be anything other than a LAB majority.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
I like "emerge".
The next Tory leader is going to be "The Thing From The Swamp" - a refugee from a 1970s Shlock ! Horror ! movie.
The problem for the immediate post-election leader is going to be first association with the departed Government and second, no one will be interested in anything they have to say for the first year or so as there will be a new Government in town.
"Following discussions with partners and external stakeholders, we will only permit flags, replica kits and other representations of nationality for the competing nations inside Wembley Stadium for the upcoming matches against Australia [13 October] and Italy [17 October]."
Israel-Gaza: England v Australia game to be preceded by period of silence - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/67089363
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
While the focus is on the FA I understand the anger from the Jewish community about the silence from Spurs and Arsenal is also growing.
Stale male Starmer versus a black woman.
Stand by for calls of shes the wrong kind of black or Starmer saying shes got a penis.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEfP1OKKz_Q
https://twitter.com/FA/status/1712434660062396766
The FA
@FA
Wembley remembers the victims of the conflict in Israel and Palestine.
Highly unlikely as there is no co-ordinated online twitter campaign bombarding their feed with threats to not use them.
The moral cowardice of the like of the FA and Arsenal and Spurs truly shames the beautiful game. Soccer was happy to take the knee for George Floyd yet it won't show solidarity with the nation that suffered, among other things, beheaded babies for fear of offending "communities"
Spinless trash
They now come across as giving the impression that, of 200 countries in the world, they’d change the lights at the stadium in support of a nation suffering from a terrorist attack for 199 of them.
Black bear walks into a gas station bar, takes a pack of gummy bears and leaves
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/black-bear-gummy-bears-lake-cowichan-vancouver-island-bc-1.6993278
The Tories have given us the first woman to lead a mainstream party, first female PM, and first non white PM
There may not be much to celebrate them for but all these are positives.
Equally it gives me great pleasure to see a typical PL footie match wherein there is a united nations of races, creeds, colours (not sexuality yet but I'm sure it is coming) and I believe the game is truly colour blind. You only have to see celebrations after a goal to confirm this at least amongst the players.
However, the pickle that the FA and indeed all football clubs finds itself in wrt Israel/Gaza is as a consequence of these gestures.
https://x.com/ukblm/status/1710914507646595124?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
But this time they’re not, they’re doing something different. Because it’s Israel.
However we now have the prospect of the Tories on their 4th woman leader, and second BAME all while "progressive" Labour stay in the nineteenth century. Even the DUP have had a woman leader which shows just how neanderthal Labour is. And from that list of candidates above the one white guy has no chance.
So perhaps you as a Labourite would like to explain what your party has against women or non-whites. ? Why is there a glass ceiling that none can pierce ?
When Zac Goldsmith criticised the Conservatives' pulling back from Net Zero pledges, Badenoch said he was out of touch because he has "way more money than pretty much everyone in the UK". That may be true about Zac, but it seems a silly thing to say when Rishi Sunak is your leader.
Anyone taking the knee is now, in effect, supporting Hamas.
Regarding the idea that you effectively grant permission for new buildings upfront at the time of making a plan, subject to compliance with a code... few people working in the industry would find that idea controversial. But the difficulty of implementing it is that you would have to do a lot more upfront work in making the plan that allocates the land in the first place. Already it takes 5 years to make a plan that allocates sites to resolve all the issues that come with allocating land. If you have to go further and work out where the roads are going and allocate sites all the way down to plot level and write a building code it will just take longer and be much more expensive = it won't ever happen.
The problem ultimately comes down to it being difficult to get anything done because of some strange disorder in the english bureaucratic state. The tories have spent 13 years trying to blast their way through it and bring the blob in to order but somehow they have managed only to make it even more dysfunctional.
“Whatever happened to Hoover?” I said.
“Dyson totally destroyed them. Absolutely annihilated them.”
By which I understand to mean that Dyson totally owns the premium vacuum segment in the US.
A rare and welcome victory for British design and marketing - even if James Dyson is a Brexity twat who fled to Singapore.
Why not post some rubbish about how Joe Biden is worshipped as a God.
The difference appears to be that you think that being at war means that Israel are allowed to do anything they like to the Palestinian population and sod the consequences. You are one of those who quote, either directly or by inference, a war that ended 78 years ago in defence of this idea.
I believe that, partly as a result of what happened during that war, the world has rightly moved on and certain actions are now considered no longer acceptable even in war and are legally proscribed as such. Indiscriminate bombing of civilians, whether by intent or negligence, is one of thoise things. This is the case whether we believe the faiult lies entirely with Israel, entirely with the Palestinians or with a mixture of the two.
Even if everyone says "it's a two term project", I suspect the mood of the nation is that election losers don't get another go any more.
And whilst Starmer shows that a huge defeat can be turned round quickly, he has had an awful lot of help from the Conservatives.
Is someone like Kemi prepared to the Moses, leading her people to the edge of the promised land but not entering it herself?
Soccer is also happy to have players wear rainbow laces. Again. No problem there.
When people complained about the taking of the knee or the laces the FA and twitterati were quick to condemn. They’re silent now a and this silence shames them.
They’ve made a major error here. They have a chance to rectify it. They need to do it ASAP.
She'll need to tone down all the culture wars/woke stuff though if she's to cut through with floaters but given the way she took on the ERG over removing EU laws she's proven she can be "flexible" with her views when required.
In my twenty years of experiencing housing market dysfunction in the UK - and having heard every excuse under the sun, from evil landlords, to greedy foreigners, to lazy councils, to selfish nimbys - the essential issue is that Britain doesn’t zone enough space for housing.
Such zones do not need to be new land area.
They could, and in the main should, be “up”, as Auckland has done successfully in the last several years.
But we need to mandate zoning and area plans for every local authority, and strong design codes as well.
And then after that, we need the planning system to let people get on with it, instead of strangling them with a thousand petty rules and a thousand opportunities for people object.
Interesting tip though.
She is dreary when on telly, and has been invisible as a minister.
Tory members just won’t be able to help themselves.
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1712441679758639171
What has the Conservative Party got against women such that they choose them and then stick a knife in their backs?
There the local Government allocate land for building. They then undertake all the preliminary work, archaeology, environmental etc. They then put in all the services, roads etc. They then allow people to buy plots - paying their share of all the previous costs to date and build their houses (or rather usually get a builder to do it for them) according to any of twenty or more designs previously agreed by the local Goverment.
It is a system as old as the Romans. We know that they often built street plans well in advance of putting in the buildings as we have found lots of examples where the building bit never happened.
Under this system you can still have all the planning rules etc but it is the council who are meeting them not a developer.
Of course developers would hate the system as it leaves nothing for them to do.
Maybe the Red Sox or the Patriots are playing and the NBA and NFL say they won’t be lighting up the stadiums as it might upset a community in Boston.
“William Roper: “So, now you give the Devil the benefit of law!”
Sir Thomas More: “Yes! What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?”
William Roper: “Yes, I'd cut down every law in England to do that!”
Sir Thomas More: “Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned 'round on you, where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country is planted thick with laws, from coast to coast, Man's laws, not God's! And if you cut them down, and you're just the man to do it, do you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake!”
If you think Sue-Ellen is at one extreme and Penny the other, then Kemi fits nicely in the middle.
I think it'll be Kemi and maybe Penny or Barclay who MP's put through to the membership.
Israel believes that it is in an existential war, just like we did 80 years ago (and hence my Godwin). In an existential war there is no merit in saying well we lost but at least we played by the (new, victor-imposed) rules. Losing equals annihilation.
And hence under those circumstances I am prepared, as you might have noticed from my various posts on the subject, to cut Israel quite a bit of slack. You often mention the use of white phosphorous by Israel, a horrible weapon. But again, and here we go back to WWII, and our own existential war, firebombing of German cities was seen as a legitimate act of war.
What’s good about her. She will protect our cash, of course.
Knifing their leaders (male, female or even non binary) is what the Tories do...
Will they send Despicable She to the final two? Feels like a no...
“She attended the Uxendon Manor Primary School in Brent and the fee-paying Heathfield School, Pinner, on a partial scholarship,[1][9] after which she read law at Queens' College, Cambridge. During her undergraduate studies, she was chairman of the Cambridge University Conservative Association.[10]
Braverman lived in France for two years, as an Erasmus Programme student and then as an Entente Cordiale Scholar, where she studied for a master's degree in European and French law at Panthéon-Sorbonne University.[11]”
Then became a highly qualified lawyer AND passed the US bar
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hh8t8sHnTng
The government of Israel has uploaded some short (30 or 40 seconds) videos to Youtube (and presumably the other platforms). They are played as adverts, but can also be viewed directly at the Foreign Ministry's channel here:-
https://www.youtube.com/@IsraelMFA/videos
Braverman has pushed herself to the fore but, when the ship inevitably goes down (maybe not the best metaphor but I'm sticking with it) she'll have her fingerprints all over the defeat - her language, her policies, her failure to deliver.
In keeping relatively quiet, Badenoch isn't too connected in voters' minds with the defeat, and can act wise after the event, telling Braverman and others what they did wrong.
The coming war is going to be brutal. Israel will make many enemies; they won’t care as the alternative, for them, is worse
https://www.thetownthatneverwas.co.uk/39th-map
Though I agree.
The 'poshest' road in Doncaster is the one where people built the house they wanted on their own plot.
Some are boring bungalows, some are Georgian pastiches - all a bit random - but it is the exact opposite of the Barratt horrors nearby.
Big plots though - which would be the problem now.
Sunak and Hunt will get the blame
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/mine-water-heat-a-proven-success
I don’t lightly accuse someone of anti-Semitism but your inability to see how this impacts the Jewish psyche is alarming. I’ll leave it there
Using the acts of the Allies 80 years ago as support for the current actions of countries is not a defendable argument.
A significant issue is that the British 'dream' is not a flat in a tall tower block. It is a detached or semi-detached house with garage and a garden. Hence that is what builders try to build, squeezing as many such houses onto as small a plot as possible.
It is a situation made worse by the tower block disasters of the 1960s and 1970s, reinforced by Grenfell and access to gardens during Covid lockdowns.
Perhaps this should change; but good luck with that.