Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

The Mid Beds Independent who might be worth a punt – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 11,713
edited September 2023 in General
imageThe Mid Beds Independent who might be worth a punt – politicalbetting.com

This is just a quickie but I am hearing a fair bit from Mid-Beds that a name that keeps on coming up on the doorstep is the chairman of Central Bedfordshire Council, Gareth Mackey.

Read the full story here

«134

Comments

  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,880
    First like LDs in Mid Beds
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    Surely skirtgate boils down to this:

    Wrong colour?

    Valid act by the school.

    Wrong supplier?

    Invalid act by the school.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,052
    edited September 2023
    "The News Agents
    @TheNewsAgents

    In yesterday’s episode @peterkyle claimed the Lib Dems had made “deeply personal” attacks on the Mid Beds Labour candidate. Today, Lib Dem MP Christine Jardine responds.

    https://global-player.onelink.me/Br0x/TNANewEpisode "

    https://twitter.com/TheNewsAgents/status/1701989833806090476
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    On topic: so it's a four-horse race now?

    Cripes, I'm steering well clear of this market.
  • Options
    Tories to hold Mid Beds and Tamworth.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,251

    Tories to hold Mid Beds and Tamworth.

    Tories to hold elections in Mid Beds and Tamworth.

    And lose them both
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,052
    Scott_xP said:

    Tories to hold Mid Beds and Tamworth.

    Tories to hold elections in Mid Beds and Tamworth.

    And lose them both
    Both will be fairly close, which makes the night a lot more exciting obviously. Rutherglen might also be closer than expected.
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,060
    Sandpit said:


    If it had actually been shot down, could have been the ‘oh sh!t’ moment that saw a massive escalation in direct NATO involvement in this war, at least from the air.

    One has to LOL at them being unable to hit such a large and slow-moving target. It was nearly as big as that Malaysian plane they took out at 37,000’ from the ground a few years ago. Yes, the Rivet Joint does have a slew of countermeasures, sadly somewhat more than a civvy 777.

    As with so many episodes in the SMO this RJ vs Flanker-B engagement makes no sense at all. There is obviously a lot we are not being told.

    Baldy Ben said the weapon (presumably Adder) was 'released' but 'malfunctioned'. If Old Mate had permission to splash the RJ then why didn't they fire another Adder, go in for an Archer/Alamo/guns kill or cue the wingman on to the bandit?

    The only explanation that fits the paucity of available facts is that the Adder just fell off the pylon in flight - perhaps in maneuvering to get eyes on the RJ. That happens more than you think...
  • Options
    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    I'm surprised THE DRAKE hasn't considered running in Mid Bedfordshire.

    He'd sweep the board.


  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,536
    Nah
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,397
    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,202
    The Independent might comfortably win at local level but at national level, even for a by election, he is unlikely to win. He might have a high enough profile in the area to come 3rd however
  • Options
    kinabalu said:

    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?

    Labour and LDs.
  • Options
    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    kinabalu said:

    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?

    The Drake? He'll take them off all-comers
  • Options
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:


    If it had actually been shot down, could have been the ‘oh sh!t’ moment that saw a massive escalation in direct NATO involvement in this war, at least from the air.

    One has to LOL at them being unable to hit such a large and slow-moving target. It was nearly as big as that Malaysian plane they took out at 37,000’ from the ground a few years ago. Yes, the Rivet Joint does have a slew of countermeasures, sadly somewhat more than a civvy 777.

    As with so many episodes in the SMO this RJ vs Flanker-B engagement makes no sense at all. There is obviously a lot we are not being told.

    Baldy Ben said the weapon (presumably Adder) was 'released' but 'malfunctioned'. If Old Mate had permission to splash the RJ then why didn't they fire another Adder, go in for an Archer/Alamo/guns kill or cue the wingman on to the bandit?

    The only explanation that fits the paucity of available facts is that the Adder just fell off the pylon in flight - perhaps in maneuvering to get eyes on the RJ. That happens more than you think...
    Your SMO definitely needs to go to the S school of MOs
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,626
    Think I’ve finally worked out how to drive around mountainous southern France. You constantly drink cafe noir and pastis meaning you are simultaneously amped up and aggressive yet also laid back and uncaring if you die

    Seems pretty ideal. Only been going 9 minutes tho


  • Options
    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    Leon said:

    Think I’ve finally worked out how to drive around mountainous southern France. You constantly drink cafe noir and pastis meaning you are simultaneously amped up and aggressive yet also laid back and uncaring if you die

    Seems pretty ideal. Only been going 9 minutes tho


    URL says it all.

    https://news.sky.com/story/botulism-outbreak-at-french-restaurant-british-diners-urged-to-contact-emergency-services-12961120
  • Options
    6 local byelections today

    Andrew Teale useful write up:

    https://medium.com/britainelects/previewing-the-six-council-by-elections-of-14th-september-2023-20af25df3e1d

    Chorley Rural West, Lancashire County Council: C defence: C, L, LD
    Croston, Mawdesley and Euxton South, Chorley Council: C defence:C, L, LD
    Fazakarley East, Liverpool Council: L defence: C, L, LD, I, Liverpool Community I
    Carholme, Lincolnshire County Council: L defence: C, L, LD, Ref UK, TUSC
    Mayesbrook, Barking and Dagenham Council, L defence: C, L, LD, G
    Minster Cliffs, Swale Council: C defence: C, L, LD, Swale I
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,052
    edited September 2023

    6 local byelections today

    Andrew Teale useful write up:

    https://medium.com/britainelects/previewing-the-six-council-by-elections-of-14th-september-2023-20af25df3e1d

    Chorley Rural West, Lancashire County Council: C defence: C, L, LD
    Croston, Mawdesley and Euxton South, Chorley Council: C defence:C, L, LD
    Fazakarley East, Liverpool Council: L defence: C, L, LD, I, Liverpool Community I
    Carholme, Lincolnshire County Council: L defence: C, L, LD, Ref UK, TUSC
    Mayesbrook, Barking and Dagenham Council, L defence: C, L, LD, G
    Minster Cliffs, Swale Council: C defence: C, L, LD, Swale I

    Thanks for the list, although I sometimes get a bit confused when people use L as the abbreviation for Labour instead of Lab, because L used to be the abbreviation for the Liberals until they became the LDs.
  • Options
    https://x.com/aaronbastani/status/1702300524958147056

    Lots of criticism of cover (frankly I don’t care) but contents are *incredibly well* put together.

    Recent cliche has been left has the ideas. But seeing panel by Blair Institute on future of healthcare suggests not.


    image
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,060
    WTF is going on with that thing? It's like an album cover from the 70s.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,052
    Ban them now.

    https://www.itv.com/news/london/2023-09-14/shocking-cctv-shows-the-moment-two-dogs-break-into-garden-and-kill-cat

    "Shocking CCTV shows the moment two dogs break into garden and kill cat

    CCTV footage shows the horrific moment two out-of-control dogs, believed to be XL bullies, break into a garden in Hounslow and, with no owner in sight, attack two cats.

    While one was lucky to escape, Deepan Patel’s cat Dusty was caught, with the owner discovering the cat's body in the morning.

    “The whole family is incredibly upset and my mother is in tears. The dogs should not be roaming freely and could easily have entered an open window or door and attacked a small person,” Mr Patel said.

    After Mr Patel posted the CCTV on social media, other Hounslow residents shared their own stories of incidents with the dogs."
  • Options
    Feels like someone's targetting the wrong doorsteps to me (Gareth Mackey's mum?!)

    His page on the council website says he's a deputy cabinet member and chair of development control, which I suspect generate limited name awareness and local support.

    Even in a by-election (maybe *especially* in a by-election with the might of national campaigns arriving), a non-aligned guy is gonna get lost in the yellow v red v blue bun-fight, surely?
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,422

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
  • Options
    Dura_Ace said:

    WTF is going on with that thing? It's like an album cover from the 70s.

    It's giving Spandau Ballet.

    image
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183

    https://x.com/aaronbastani/status/1702300524958147056

    Lots of criticism of cover (frankly I don’t care) but contents are *incredibly well* put together.

    Recent cliche has been left has the ideas. But seeing panel by Blair Institute on future of healthcare suggests not.


    image

    Another good day for Sir Keir Royale ‘No Drama’ Starmer.

    Anything that pisses off the likes of Bastani is likely to be A Good Thing.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,688
    Dura_Ace said:

    WTF is going on with that thing? It's like an album cover from the 70s.

    What's wrong with retro styling?
  • Options
    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/
  • Options
    Penny Mordaunt would do better than Sunak.

    Keir Starmer is like a Ken doll because he has no balls, says Penny Mordaunt

    Commons Leader was referencing previous ‘Inaction Man’ taunt Labour leader made at Rishi Sunak during Prime Minister’s Questions


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/sir-keir-starmer-penny-mordaunt-barbie-ken-ryan-gosling/
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    edited September 2023
    Really starting to appreciate how clever the "inaction man" moniker is. The resonances are all spot on: plastic, passive, sexless, diminutive. Pull the cord and the same prerecorded phrase chirps out. It's genius. Very unlike Labour to come up with something so (chef's kiss).
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183
    ….
  • Options
    Farooq said:

    Really starting to appreciate how clever the "inaction man" moniker is. The resonances are all spot on: plastic, passive, sexless, diminutive. Pull the cord and the same prerecorded phrase chirps out. It's genius. Very unlike Labour to come up with something so (chef's kiss).

    Indeed.

    Somebody is advising Starmer well.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,183

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Who cares?

    Home advantage.

    We still beat them handsomely,
  • Options
    Farooq said:

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
    Yeah but that’s no surprise.

    Ally McCoist speaks for Scotland.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    Farooq said:

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
    Yeah but that’s no surprise.

    Ally McCoist speaks for Scotland.
    Ally? Sounds like a Muslim. Gets my vote!
  • Options

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
    IIRC they had to fight tooth and nail to get Harris to break off from the bombing campaign and give the critical support in Normandy, and as soon as he could take the Lancs back he did.

    I’ve only recently started listening to the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast, where Al Murray (he of Pub Landlord fame) and James Holland the historian discuss all things WW2. I’d given it a miss ‘cos I wrongly assumed it would be all Spitfires and Tiger tanks, but it really is very good, very detailed, very wide-ranging. I think they themselves are going on a bit of a journey with their knowledge of the conflict because of what they’ve discussed. Highly recommended for all the WW2 buffs on here.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,428
    edited September 2023
    Plaid injecting some sense into Welsh labour

    A motion from Plaid Cymru to alter the 20mph policy was successful in the Senedd, with 38 votes in favour and 15 against.

    The motion from MS Heledd Fychan reads that "lowering speed limits where people and vehicles interact the most can save lives" and "exemptions are possible in locations deemed appropriate by local authorities".

    It adds that "the importance of community support to any speed limit changes to ensure genuine concerns can be alleviated" and "more exemptions may be identified following the introduction of new limits".

    Plaid's successful amendment explicitly calls on the Welsh Government to "continuously review the impact of new limits, empower local authorities to make any further exemptions and provide local authorities with adequate funding to facilitate the introduction of new limits,"
  • Options
    SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 6,366
    edited September 2023

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
  • Options

    Penny Mordaunt would do better than Sunak.

    Keir Starmer is like a Ken doll because he has no balls, says Penny Mordaunt

    Commons Leader was referencing previous ‘Inaction Man’ taunt Labour leader made at Rishi Sunak during Prime Minister’s Questions


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/sir-keir-starmer-penny-mordaunt-barbie-ken-ryan-gosling/

    Surely Boris Johnson is Ken, destined to live and die a life of blonde fragility.
  • Options
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
    Yeah but that’s no surprise.

    Ally McCoist speaks for Scotland.
    Ally? Sounds like a Muslim. Gets my vote!
    Alastair Murdoch McCoist to give him his full title
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,039

    Farooq said:

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
    Yeah but that’s no surprise.

    Ally McCoist speaks for Scotland.
    Seems to be some confusion about the English national anthem. When I saw the first reports, I was wondering who was complaiming about Blake's Jerusalem.
  • Options
    The fourth runner is annoying. Bit like the draw in a rugby match, you have to waste a few quid covering yourself just in case the improbable happens.

    Anyone know why the LDs are weak, btw?
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,046

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    The fourth runner is annoying. Bit like the draw in a rugby match, you have to waste a few quid covering yourself just in case the improbable happens.

    Anyone know why the LDs are weak, btw?

    In what way "weak"? They got <13% last time.
  • Options
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
    Yeah but that’s no surprise.

    Ally McCoist speaks for Scotland.
    Ally? Sounds like a Muslim. Gets my vote!
    Hah.

    I named my youngest Alistair so my Mum had a Pakistani name to call him by.
  • Options

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
    IIRC they had to fight tooth and nail to get Harris to break off from the bombing campaign and give the critical support in Normandy, and as soon as he could take the Lancs back he did.

    I’ve only recently started listening to the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast, where Al Murray (he of Pub Landlord fame) and James Holland the historian discuss all things WW2. I’d given it a miss ‘cos I wrongly assumed it would be all Spitfires and Tiger tanks, but it really is very good, very detailed, very wide-ranging. I think they themselves are going on a bit of a journey with their knowledge of the conflict because of what they’ve discussed. Highly recommended for all the WW2 buffs on here.
    Thanks NM.

    I have become such a buff on account of a book I am putting together which focuses largely on the North Africa campaign, Desert Rats and all that.

    If any PBers have a similar preoccupation or want to assist can they please PM me.

  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    What's the problem? I don't really understand why anyone would get hot under the collar about it.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,251

    Commons Leader was referencing previous ‘Inaction Man’ taunt Labour leader made at Rishi Sunak during Prime Minister’s Questions

    ...
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,422

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
    IIRC they had to fight tooth and nail to get Harris to break off from the bombing campaign and give the critical support in Normandy, and as soon as he could take the Lancs back he did.

    I’ve only recently started listening to the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast, where Al Murray (he of Pub Landlord fame) and James Holland the historian discuss all things WW2. I’d given it a miss ‘cos I wrongly assumed it would be all Spitfires and Tiger tanks, but it really is very good, very detailed, very wide-ranging. I think they themselves are going on a bit of a journey with their knowledge of the conflict because of what they’ve discussed. Highly recommended for all the WW2 buffs on here.
    Cheers - James Holland is worth listening too - I will seek out the podcasts.
  • Options
    AlistairM said:

    Leon said:

    Think I’ve finally worked out how to drive around mountainous southern France. You constantly drink cafe noir and pastis meaning you are simultaneously amped up and aggressive yet also laid back and uncaring if you die

    Seems pretty ideal. Only been going 9 minutes tho


    URL says it all.

    https://news.sky.com/story/botulism-outbreak-at-french-restaurant-british-diners-urged-to-contact-emergency-services-12961120
    It's been a long week so far and I read that as 'buddhism outbreak'.
  • Options
    boulayboulay Posts: 4,020

    Dura_Ace said:

    WTF is going on with that thing? It's like an album cover from the 70s.

    What's wrong with retro styling?
    I think he’s going for the late miserabalist “Black” telling everyone it’s a wonderful wonderful life.


  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,513
    edited September 2023
    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    My word.

    Humza Yousaf accused of disrespecting King for smirking as national anthem was booed

    First Minister was at Scotland’s football international with England, where God Save the King was drowned out by heckling


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/scotland-vs-england-humza-yousaf-god-save-the-king-booing/

    Gets my vote
    Yeah but that’s no surprise.

    Ally McCoist speaks for Scotland.
    Ally? Sounds like a Muslim. Gets my vote!
    Hah.

    I named my youngest Alistair so my Mum had a Pakistani name to call him by.
    Aden / Aidan could have worked too.
    Much easier with girls' names I think.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,513

    Penny Mordaunt would do better than Sunak.

    Keir Starmer is like a Ken doll because he has no balls, says Penny Mordaunt

    Commons Leader was referencing previous ‘Inaction Man’ taunt Labour leader made at Rishi Sunak during Prime Minister’s Questions


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/sir-keir-starmer-penny-mordaunt-barbie-ken-ryan-gosling/

    Dear dear, that's sensitive/personal medical information. She'd better have a very good public interest justification under GDPR/ Health and Social Care Act :open_mouth:

    Didn't have to worry about data protection and EU laws on such in the 30s/40s with Mussolini and Hitler, of course :smile:
  • Options

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
    IIRC they had to fight tooth and nail to get Harris to break off from the bombing campaign and give the critical support in Normandy, and as soon as he could take the Lancs back he did.

    I’ve only recently started listening to the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast, where Al Murray (he of Pub Landlord fame) and James Holland the historian discuss all things WW2. I’d given it a miss ‘cos I wrongly assumed it would be all Spitfires and Tiger tanks, but it really is very good, very detailed, very wide-ranging. I think they themselves are going on a bit of a journey with their knowledge of the conflict because of what they’ve discussed. Highly recommended for all the WW2 buffs on here.
    Thanks NM.

    I have become such a buff on account of a book I am putting together which focuses largely on the North Africa campaign, Desert Rats and all that.

    If any PBers have a similar preoccupation or want to assist can they please PM me.

    In the betting market, Farooq. They're drifting, not dramatically, but noticeably nevertheless.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,046
    Farooq said:

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    What's the problem? I don't really understand why anyone would get hot under the collar about it.
    Imagine your wife is in intensive care. You take a break for 2 minutes and look out the window and see the Crematorium where a family with crying relatives is leaving and another group (equally crying) is waiting to go in.

    It’s literally the last thing you want by a hospital / OAP home..
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,896
    edited September 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    "The News Agents
    @TheNewsAgents

    In yesterday’s episode @peterkyle claimed the Lib Dems had made “deeply personal” attacks on the Mid Beds Labour candidate. Today, Lib Dem MP Christine Jardine responds.

    https://global-player.onelink.me/Br0x/TNANewEpisode "

    https://twitter.com/TheNewsAgents/status/1701989833806090476

    It's a bit of a messy debate, but I think Jardine wins the argument. That is, the criticism of "deeply personal" attacks doesn't hold up.
  • Options

    https://x.com/aaronbastani/status/1702300524958147056

    Lots of criticism of cover (frankly I don’t care) but contents are *incredibly well* put together.

    Recent cliche has been left has the ideas. But seeing panel by Blair Institute on future of healthcare suggests not.


    image

    Another good day for Sir Keir Royale ‘No Drama’ Starmer.

    Anything that pisses off the likes of Bastani is likely to be A Good Thing.
    It seems pretty likely to me that Labour's sudden realisation that the creaking state monopoly of the NHS doesn't work, is straightforward grift. One of the biggest funders of TBlair's foundation (to the tune of £80mn apparently) is Larry Ellison, whose company Oracle Software benefitted a huge amount from contracts awarded in the Blair years. However the NHS is liberalised, we can expect a lot of companies to make a lot of money.
    https://order-order.com/2023/09/13/left-of-centre-think-tanks-dwarf-tufton-street-in-terms-of-money-and-manpower/
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,896
    kinabalu said:

    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?

    I think that is the apposite question, and I suspect he takes votes off Tories who are unhappy with the Govt/Dorries but can't bring themselves to vote Lab or LibDem, but he also takes votes off Tories who are unhappy with the Govt/Dorries but can't bring themselves to vote Lab and thus would otherwise have voted LibDem. So, if he does well, that's good for Labour.

    But I still think the LibDems win.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    Doesn't sound terrible, but I would have waited. Two main things. You can't rely on someone turning left even if they slow down and indicate. I tend to wait because I've seen it happen that people change their mind / realise this isn't the junction they really want and continue straight on.
    Second, when cyclists are in play, people get a bit fixated on them and don't think ahead. You could have anticipated the bus making a move. Easiest is to wait until it's all clear, or, if it's a super-busy junction, at least until there are no cyclists in play.
  • Options
    Crown court backlog hits new record high with more than 64,000 cases waiting
    Backlog has risen every single month this year – as waiting times soar for victims and defendants

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/court-backlog-record-high-england-b2411465.html
  • Options
    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    Seriously? There are memento mori everywhere - funeral parlours next to pubs, cemeteries next to old folks' homes etc. As planning objections go, it's a hell of a stretch.

    I'm not as radical in my disdain for the NIMBY as Bart. Sometimes the practical reality of wanting to be re-elected means councillors or MPs pay lip-service to objectors in the full knowledge that the actual decision is out of their hands. If they are not the decision maker, their objections carry limited weight anyway, so they play to the gallery knowing it ultimately won't change the outcome. It's not admirable conduct, but I can understand discretion being the better part of valour sometimes. Maybe that was the case for Mackey and the crematorium... but it's hard to read it as anything other than NIMBY.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    eek said:

    Farooq said:

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    What's the problem? I don't really understand why anyone would get hot under the collar about it.
    Imagine your wife is in intensive care. You take a break for 2 minutes and look out the window and see the Crematorium where a family with crying relatives is leaving and another group (equally crying) is waiting to go in.

    It’s literally the last thing you want by a hospital / OAP home..
    I can think of multiple things that I'd less like to see next to a hospital. I won't list them for taste reasons.
  • Options

    kinabalu said:

    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?

    Labour and LDs.
    Tories who don’t want to vote labour or Lib Dem I reckon
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,377
    edited September 2023

    The fourth runner is annoying. Bit like the draw in a rugby match, you have to waste a few quid covering yourself just in case the improbable happens.

    Anyone know why the LDs are weak, btw?


    Essentially the LibDems need massive tactical voting in this sort of seat, starting on 12.6%, a long way behind Labour and over 40% behind the Tories. Because there's only been one poll, showing Labour leading, and Labour fighting it flat out, there is no realistic chance of the LibDems getting much tactical support, unless there's some amazing poll between now and polling day.

    Obviously there will be leaflets in election week where everyone claims they're just 2% behind, one more heave! But I think they'll cancel each other out.

    Can't see the Indie troubling the scorers much, but might soak up some "anyone but Tory" voters who can't quite bring themselves to vote Lab or LD.
  • Options
    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    Buy a pair of dashcams (Viofo is often recommended and you can get discounts via driving channels) and upload the footage to Youtube so we can see. From what you say, you might have been hidden from the bus driver by the car turning left, but the whole thing was dealt with and became a non-event.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,039
    edited September 2023

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    Seriously? There are memento mori everywhere - funeral parlours next to pubs, cemeteries next to old folks' homes etc. As planning objections go, it's a hell of a stretch.

    I'm not as radical in my disdain for the NIMBY as Bart. Sometimes the practical reality of wanting to be re-elected means councillors or MPs pay lip-service to objectors in the full knowledge that the actual decision is out of their hands. If they are not the decision maker, their objections carry limited weight anyway, so they play to the gallery knowing it ultimately won't change the outcome. It's not admirable conduct, but I can understand discretion being the better part of valour sometimes. Maybe that was the case for Mackey and the crematorium... but it's hard to read it as anything other than NIMBY.
    Few are as radical in their disdain for the NIMBY as Bart. He definitely doesn't want them locally near him, not in his backyard.
    That's right, he's always complaining about them on any political channel he can get and demanding that legislative action and planning action be taken.
  • Options

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
    IIRC they had to fight tooth and nail to get Harris to break off from the bombing campaign and give the critical support in Normandy, and as soon as he could take the Lancs back he did.

    I’ve only recently started listening to the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast, where Al Murray (he of Pub Landlord fame) and James Holland the historian discuss all things WW2. I’d given it a miss ‘cos I wrongly assumed it would be all Spitfires and Tiger tanks, but it really is very good, very detailed, very wide-ranging. I think they themselves are going on a bit of a journey with their knowledge of the conflict because of what they’ve discussed. Highly recommended for all the WW2 buffs on here.
    Thanks NM.

    I have become such a buff on account of a book I am putting together which focuses largely on the North Africa campaign, Desert Rats and all that.

    If any PBers have a similar preoccupation or want to assist can they please PM me.

    Hey, that sounds interesting. I had an article published during lockdown in a military history magazine on the Long Range Desert Group, and last year I did them a review of Gavin Mortimer's new biog of David Stirling, which debunks some of the accepted founding myths of the SAS. My Grandad was with the RASC in the desert - he was at Alamein, then through Sicily and Italy - so from all that I know a bit about the campaign. Another campaign fundamentally shaped by logistics!

    There's a really good account on Twitter called African Stalingrad (@Tunisia_1943) who goes over the old battlefields towards the end of the campaign, posting pics and vids. Fascinating how much of the trenches and stuff remains, lots of it have basically not been touched since the battles ended. Worth a look.

    Would love to assist, I'll PM you.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    eek said:

    Farooq said:

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    What's the problem? I don't really understand why anyone would get hot under the collar about it.
    Imagine your wife is in intensive care. You take a break for 2 minutes and look out the window and see the Crematorium where a family with crying relatives is leaving and another group (equally crying) is waiting to go in.

    It’s literally the last thing you want by a hospital / OAP home..
    The last thing? When I was in Guinea Bissau, there was a fence outside the main hospital. Sat on the top of each fence post was a vulture....
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,039
    Selebian said:

    Penny Mordaunt would do better than Sunak.

    Keir Starmer is like a Ken doll because he has no balls, says Penny Mordaunt

    Commons Leader was referencing previous ‘Inaction Man’ taunt Labour leader made at Rishi Sunak during Prime Minister’s Questions


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/14/sir-keir-starmer-penny-mordaunt-barbie-ken-ryan-gosling/

    Dear dear, that's sensitive/personal medical information. She'd better have a very good public interest justification under GDPR/ Health and Social Care Act :open_mouth:

    Didn't have to worry about data protection and EU laws on such in the 30s/40s with Mussolini and Hitler, of course :smile:
    Isn't it also a bit below the belt and anti-trans? Very unlike her normal (rseputed) sympathies.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,513
    Farooq said:

    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    Doesn't sound terrible, but I would have waited. Two main things. You can't rely on someone turning left even if they slow down and indicate. I tend to wait because I've seen it happen that people change their mind / realise this isn't the junction they really want and continue straight on.
    Second, when cyclists are in play, people get a bit fixated on them and don't think ahead. You could have anticipated the bus making a move. Easiest is to wait until it's all clear, or, if it's a super-busy junction, at least until there are no cyclists in play.
    Left turning car had started the turn, I wasn't clear on that. Would have required it to swerve back to the main road, which is possible, of course. Felt it was a bit tight with the bike/bus if I waited longer - the cyclist was lycra-style, probably doing towards 20mph - but that's probably an indication that it was a bit tight

    But yes, I tend to agree that I probably should have waited, just interested in the balance of views on that. Would be interesting to review, had it been recorded, to be certain on the sequencing.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,377
    eek said:



    Imagine your wife is in intensive care. You take a break for 2 minutes and look out the window and see the Crematorium where a family with crying relatives is leaving and another group (equally crying) is waiting to go in.

    It’s literally the last thing you want by a hospital / OAP home..

    Yes, I see what you mean. My mother once went to see a possible flat to rent, and the estate agent, observing her sceptical expression, said desperately "It's next to a churchyard - so convenient if you have elderly relatives!"

    She didn't take it.
  • Options

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    Seriously? There are memento mori everywhere - funeral parlours next to pubs, cemeteries next to old folks' homes etc. As planning objections go, it's a hell of a stretch.

    I'm not as radical in my disdain for the NIMBY as Bart. Sometimes the practical reality of wanting to be re-elected means councillors or MPs pay lip-service to objectors in the full knowledge that the actual decision is out of their hands. If they are not the decision maker, their objections carry limited weight anyway, so they play to the gallery knowing it ultimately won't change the outcome. It's not admirable conduct, but I can understand discretion being the better part of valour sometimes. Maybe that was the case for Mackey and the crematorium... but it's hard to read it as anything other than NIMBY.
    Well said.

    Sometimes things are strange next to each other, but a crematorium near a hospital is entirely reasonable.

    When we went to my nan's funeral on the drive to the crematorium, almost next to it is a Toby Carvery restaurant. On the drive over nobody said anything about it, everyone was quite emotional. On the drive back though it broke the ice and laughter erupted.

    There, almost next to the crematorium, where we'd just cremated my nan, is a big Toby Carvery sign saying "Home of the Roast".
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,397

    kinabalu said:

    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?

    I think that is the apposite question, and I suspect he takes votes off Tories who are unhappy with the Govt/Dorries but can't bring themselves to vote Lab or LibDem, but he also takes votes off Tories who are unhappy with the Govt/Dorries but can't bring themselves to vote Lab and thus would otherwise have voted LibDem. So, if he does well, that's good for Labour.

    But I still think the LibDems win.
    I'm on Labour @ 3.5. If the landslide is happening (which I think it is) they will take a seat like this.
  • Options
    CatManCatMan Posts: 2,809
    Farooq said:

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    What's the problem? I don't really understand why anyone would get hot under the collar about it.
    I'd say it was a burning issue.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,397

    The fourth runner is annoying. Bit like the draw in a rugby match, you have to waste a few quid covering yourself just in case the improbable happens.

    Anyone know why the LDs are weak, btw?

    Perhaps because Labour are really going for this one.
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,145
    "I’ve had a few quid on him at 25/1."

    Is there a market on his losing his deposit?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,014
    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Who do we think this chap will mainly be taking votes off?

    I think that is the apposite question, and I suspect he takes votes off Tories who are unhappy with the Govt/Dorries but can't bring themselves to vote Lab or LibDem, but he also takes votes off Tories who are unhappy with the Govt/Dorries but can't bring themselves to vote Lab and thus would otherwise have voted LibDem. So, if he does well, that's good for Labour.

    But I still think the LibDems win.
    I'm on Labour @ 3.5. If the landslide is happening (which I think it is) they will take a seat like this.
    I'm ++ Lab, +Con, flat Indy, - LD so 🤞
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,160
    OK.

    Hypothetical question for the PB brains trust.

    Imagine a byelection where 50 candidates stood, and the votes were so widely distributed that the winner failed to reach the 5% threshold.

    Would they both become an MP, and lose their deposit?
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,096

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    Seriously? There are memento mori everywhere - funeral parlours next to pubs, cemeteries next to old folks' homes etc. As planning objections go, it's a hell of a stretch.

    I'm not as radical in my disdain for the NIMBY as Bart. Sometimes the practical reality of wanting to be re-elected means councillors or MPs pay lip-service to objectors in the full knowledge that the actual decision is out of their hands. If they are not the decision maker, their objections carry limited weight anyway, so they play to the gallery knowing it ultimately won't change the outcome. It's not admirable conduct, but I can understand discretion being the better part of valour sometimes. Maybe that was the case for Mackey and the crematorium... but it's hard to read it as anything other than NIMBY.
    Well said.

    Sometimes things are strange next to each other, but a crematorium near a hospital is entirely reasonable.

    When we went to my nan's funeral on the drive to the crematorium, almost next to it is a Toby Carvery restaurant. On the drive over nobody said anything about it, everyone was quite emotional. On the drive back though it broke the ice and laughter erupted.

    There, almost next to the crematorium, where we'd just cremated my nan, is a big Toby Carvery sign saying "Home of the Roast".
    There’s a big eatery within about quarter of a mile of Basildon Crematorium; on what used to be the main London to Southend road.
    We’ve been several times, I’m sorry to say.
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,505
    edited September 2023
    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    The bus shouldn't be doing an overtaking manoeuvre near a junction precisely because they don't know what might come out of it.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,033

    eek said:

    A pox on all your houses might be the right reaction.

    So long as he's not another bloody NIMBY, so no better than any of the others.

    Good luck with that. He's an extract from a lengthy Facebook post from him on a proposed crematorium:

    "I have always recognised the eventual benefits of a Crematorium facility to residents of Central Bedfordshire. However, my main concern here is the location proposed. CBC has seemed to be virulently opposed to any discussion which seeks to address the location, refusing all overtures to seek compromise. The site in question, insensitively located behind Steppingley Hospital and Orchard Lawns Care Home is plainly less than ideal.... effect of a cortège moving through a busy Town Centre... Could this site not be added to the holdings of local farmers..." and so on.

    Sounds classic NIMBY councillor - essentially, I'd love a crematorium, just not in my ward/yard.

    Incidentally, I'd have thought having a crematorium conveniently located between a hospital and care home isn't such a bad thing, but there we are.
    Feels a bit too close / on the nose to me - ideally you don’t want a crematorium next to the hospital, it’s a one stop shop too far…
    Seriously? There are memento mori everywhere - funeral parlours next to pubs, cemeteries next to old folks' homes etc. As planning objections go, it's a hell of a stretch.

    I'm not as radical in my disdain for the NIMBY as Bart. Sometimes the practical reality of wanting to be re-elected means councillors or MPs pay lip-service to objectors in the full knowledge that the actual decision is out of their hands. If they are not the decision maker, their objections carry limited weight anyway, so they play to the gallery knowing it ultimately won't change the outcome. It's not admirable conduct, but I can understand discretion being the better part of valour sometimes. Maybe that was the case for Mackey and the crematorium... but it's hard to read it as anything other than NIMBY.
    Well said.

    Sometimes things are strange next to each other, but a crematorium near a hospital is entirely reasonable.

    When we went to my nan's funeral on the drive to the crematorium, almost next to it is a Toby Carvery restaurant. On the drive over nobody said anything about it, everyone was quite emotional. On the drive back though it broke the ice and laughter erupted.

    There, almost next to the crematorium, where we'd just cremated my nan, is a big Toby Carvery sign saying "Home of the Roast".
    Are their flat whites decoffinated?
  • Options
    SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 6,366
    edited September 2023
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Hypothetical question for the PB brains trust.

    Imagine a byelection where 50 candidates stood, and the votes were so widely distributed that the winner failed to reach the 5% threshold.

    Would they both become an MP, and lose their deposit?

    Yes. The Representation of the People Act simply says you forfeit your deposit if you poll less than a twentieth of the vote. It says nothing about "unless you win" or anything like that.

    Nor is there anything to say that someone who tops the poll isn't elected unless they pass some threshold of vote percentage, and indeed several MPs have been elected on quite low shares (albeit nowhere near 5%).
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,145
    edited September 2023
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Hypothetical question for the PB brains trust.

    Imagine a byelection where 50 candidates stood, and the votes were so widely distributed that the winner failed to reach the 5% threshold.

    Would they both become an MP, and lose their deposit?

    I don't know what the PB brains trust thinks, but the Representation of the People Act 1983 just says the deposit will be forfeit if the candidate polls not more than 5% of the vote. The only exception there is "If the candidate is not shown as standing nominated in the statement of persons nominated, or if the poll is countermanded or abandoned by reason of his death". Nothing about the candidate being elected.
  • Options
    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    The e-scooter was clearly at fault, needs to be banned imo. Although if it hadn't been for the xL Bully in the cyclists peripheral it would have been fine too.
  • Options

    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Hypothetical question for the PB brains trust.

    Imagine a byelection where 50 candidates stood, and the votes were so widely distributed that the winner failed to reach the 5% threshold.

    Would they both become an MP, and lose their deposit?

    Yes. The Representation of the People Act simply says you forfeit your deposit if you poll less than a twentieth of the vote. It says nothing about "unless you win" or anything like that.

    Nor is there anything to say that someone who tops the poll isn't elected unless they pass some threshold of vote percentage, and indeed several MPs have been elected on quite low shares (albeit nowhere near 5%).
    Could the newly-elected MP claim for the deposit on MPs expenses?
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,033

    FPT:

    Sean_F said:

    Re: bombing

    In WW2 German manpower was chewed up on the Eastern Front. But the Germans allocated the bulk of their resources to defending their homeland from Allied bombing. Can't remember the exact figs but I think it was something like 2/3 of their economic output went on countering the Allied strategic bomber offensive once that really got going from '43 onwards. So that's steel and munitions output that was used for AA guns around cities not for U-boats or tanks, fighter planes denuded in the East to attack the bombers, scarce fuel used to power those fighters, etc, etc. Vast resources used to protect cities all across the country could not be used in the East where the land fighting was taking place. Don't forget the logistical challenges of moving all that material around the country, taking up rail capacity, burning fuel.

    The killing of workers, the weakening of morale through bombing happened to an extent, but it wasn't enough to stop the Germans fighting - it perhaps even stiffened the resolve of the Wehrmacht to keep fighting in some ways. But defending against the bombing used up massive resources that couldn't be used elsewhere, reducing pressure on the Soviets in the East and allowing them to tear the Wehrmacht to pieces more easily.

    So, if the Russians now have to divert resources to protect their assets that the Ukrainians could conceivably attack, that means there are fewer resources that can be used on the battlefield.

    I don't think it was anything like 2/3 of economic output.

    But, yes, the Strategic Bombing Campaign did force the Germans to divert resources to counter it, and it did increasing harm to their manufacturing capacity and transport links as the war went on.

    After August 1944, the bombing was heavily degrading Germany's ability to produce munitions.
    Maybe not quite, but it was a surprisingly big chunk. The We Have Ways podcast has been looking at this stuff recently - I'm sure they said 2/3 but I could well remembering the wrong figure. But it is certainly surprisingly large. They've cited a book that's on my list to read called 'How the War Was Won: Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II' by Phillips Payson O'Brien, which uses all the economic data to argue that the strategic bombing campaign played a much bigger role than generally accepted, due to the German resources it sucked up. I think the book's quite controversial in certain quarters.

    The podcast throws up really interesting stuff - the amount of minesweepers the Germans had to build to counter the thousand of mines the RAF dropped in coastal waters, for example. Steel that couldn't be used in U-boats. All good stuff.
    John Keegan's view of the bombing war (specifically the resources allocated to Bomber Command) was that it didn't achieve enough for the price paid. He's the expert so I defer to him, but I wonder how much of the economic factors he considered, and the the impacts of Pointblank etc on Normandy. It seems to me that while the cost was huge, the effects on Germany were vast and while bombing didn't win the war on its own, it almost certainly made victory in the West possible. After all, image Normandy with a decent German air force presence...
    Yeah I think O'Brien's work is challenging the more traditional view that Keegan put forward. On the surface of it, perhaps the bombing campaign didn't deliver what Harris certainly thought it could, it didn't demoralise the population so much they wouldn't carry on, but I gather that O'Brien's saying if you look at all the economic data the resources the Germans used to defend themselves against the bombing campaign were vast. Massive. And affected the entire war effort across the board. For example, dealing with the bombed-out, moving them around Germany, feeding and clothing them was itself a huge effort.

    Bomber Command lost, what, 60,000 men I think off the top of my head, during the war. The Russians lost 80,000 men, that's dead not including casualties, during the attack on Berlin. Post-Dresden (which, at the risk of opening another Pandora's box, I think was entirely justified at the time) the bombing campaign was seen as having gone too far. But I think the price those 60,000 men paid should be recognised in the disproportionately large amount of resources they tied up, and how that helped to win the war.
    55,573, apparently. Should also add in the 8th Air force deaths (which were pretty bad too, certainly before the advent of long range fighter support - 26000).

    I have read widely on Normandy (Sand and Steel most recently) and I remain convinced that it was only the success it was because of the bombing campaign. The defeat of the Luftwaffe was absolutely critical (just as defeating the RAF would have been for Sealion, although the Navy would have had something to say to that too). If you take Harris's line of trying to win the war from the air alone, then it was a failure, but taken in the round, horrific though it was, and I give thanks that I never had to get into a Lancaster to fly for 12 hours over occupied Europe, it has to be seen as part of the overall victory. It also allowed Churchill to postpone Overlord until 1944, under constant pressure from Stalin, who could rightly point to the death toll paid by Russians on the battlefields of the East.
    IIRC they had to fight tooth and nail to get Harris to break off from the bombing campaign and give the critical support in Normandy, and as soon as he could take the Lancs back he did.

    I’ve only recently started listening to the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast, where Al Murray (he of Pub Landlord fame) and James Holland the historian discuss all things WW2. I’d given it a miss ‘cos I wrongly assumed it would be all Spitfires and Tiger tanks, but it really is very good, very detailed, very wide-ranging. I think they themselves are going on a bit of a journey with their knowledge of the conflict because of what they’ve discussed. Highly recommended for all the WW2 buffs on here.
    Thanks NM.

    I have become such a buff on account of a book I am putting together which focuses largely on the North Africa campaign, Desert Rats and all that.

    If any PBers have a similar preoccupation or want to assist can they please PM me.

    Not sure I can assist much but am interested in the book. My grandad was in the Desert Rats (and then Iraq and also up through Italy - he was at Montecassino).
  • Options

    eek said:



    Imagine your wife is in intensive care. You take a break for 2 minutes and look out the window and see the Crematorium where a family with crying relatives is leaving and another group (equally crying) is waiting to go in.

    It’s literally the last thing you want by a hospital / OAP home..

    Yes, I see what you mean. My mother once went to see a possible flat to rent, and the estate agent, observing her sceptical expression, said desperately "It's next to a churchyard - so convenient if you have elderly relatives!"

    She didn't take it.
    Why not? From the little info we have it sounds like a flat to die for.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,457
    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    Is that even a thing? You turned right into a road no one hurt, inconvenienced, angry, irritated, upset or otherwise put out.

    Unless you all screeched to a halt, had a huge scrap in the middle of the road, and @MattW posts the footage of it there really is nothing to discuss.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,513
    TOPPING said:

    Selebian said:

    So, given this is a drivng website... :wink:

    Today I exited a side road onto a another road (all 30mph limit, residential, though I dont' think that's important). I was turning right. There was no traffic visible to left (limited visibility, but to the distance I could see) and to the right there was a car indicating to turn left into my road, a cyclist behind that and a bus behind the cyclist. I waited to ensure the car was turning left into my road (i.e. significant slow down to add to indicator) and pulled out. At this point, the cyclist has not caught up with the slowing down car and is continuing a normal pace, say 100m still from where I'm exiting). Once I've turned on to main road, I see the bus has started to overtake the cyclist, heading towards me partially in my lane. Bus driver bails on the overtake, perhaps 50-60m from me and pulls back in behind the cyclist (I'm also pulling to one side and slowing down to make space). The bus had not started to overtake nor indicated as I started to leave the side road (I'm pretty sure of this, as the bus or other vehicles overtaking was in my mind, but I did a last check left where the visibility is poor - and just to the left is a 60mph limit, so sometimes cars come into the 30 fast - just before I pulled out, so there's a chance the indicator started a moment before I started to move).

    Who was right there? If the bus was already overtaking or even indicating and would still be out of lane before reaching me I should yield and not come out of the side road, I think. But if I've started to come out, then the bus should not begin the overtake. I think... But it struck me as not entirely clear cut.

    Anyway, the bus driver didn't indicate any annoyance, cyclist was safe etc as we could all three have sqeezed past. Just wondering whether I should have waited anyway for the possibility of an overtaking move.

    Is that even a thing? You turned right into a road no one hurt, inconvenienced, angry, irritated, upset or otherwise put out.

    Unless you all screeched to a halt, had a huge scrap in the middle of the road, and @MattW posts the footage of it there really is nothing to discuss.
    noneoftheabove may have footage as it appears he/she was there :wink:

    More seriously, if something happens when I drive/cycle where I think I might have got it wrong then I tend to have a think about it (and often conclude one way or the other whether I was wrong). Here it wasn't very clear to me, but I think I'd act differently next time.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,033
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Hypothetical question for the PB brains trust.

    Imagine a byelection where 50 candidates stood, and the votes were so widely distributed that the winner failed to reach the 5% threshold.

    Would they both become an MP, and lose their deposit?

    I think they would: https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/guidance-acting-returning-officers-administering-a-uk-parliamentary-election-great-britain/after-election/deposits
  • Options

    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Hypothetical question for the PB brains trust.

    Imagine a byelection where 50 candidates stood, and the votes were so widely distributed that the winner failed to reach the 5% threshold.

    Would they both become an MP, and lose their deposit?

    Yes. The Representation of the People Act simply says you forfeit your deposit if you poll less than a twentieth of the vote. It says nothing about "unless you win" or anything like that.

    Nor is there anything to say that someone who tops the poll isn't elected unless they pass some threshold of vote percentage, and indeed several MPs have been elected on quite low shares (albeit nowhere near 5%).
    Could the newly-elected MP claim for the deposit on MPs expenses?
    Almost certainly not. IPSA would ultimately decide, but paying a deposit to stand for election simply isn't part of the cost of running an MP's office. It's a cost of getting the job in the first place, but there are many and various costs of that, none of them covered by expenses.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,626
    Thing is, this stuff doesn’t surprise me any more. I know it came from the lab, I’ve known this for years, I’ve also long known there was an obvious blatant conspiracy to cover that up (still going on, tho increasingly feeble)

    Anyone who denies this is now an idiot, or some perverse ideologue, the argument is not worth having
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,145
    Leon said:

    Thing is, this stuff doesn’t surprise me any more. I know it came from the lab, I’ve known this for years, I’ve also long known there was an obvious blatant conspiracy to cover that up (still going on, tho increasingly feeble)

    Anyone who denies this is now an idiot, or some perverse ideologue, the argument is not worth having
    The argument is certainly not worth having, but more on the basis of "don't feed the troll".
This discussion has been closed.