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In local elections week R&W, has LAB edging up again – politicalbetting.com
In local elections week R&W, has LAB edging up again – politicalbetting.com
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In local elections week R&W, has LAB edging up again – politicalbetting.com
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It seems everyone improves a little
I expect a poor local election for the conservatives this week, but certainly Sunak’s personal ratings are continuing to improve as are Starmer’s.
The Government’s net competency rating stands at -23% this week, eight points up from last Sunday. Altogether, 24% find the Government competent (+6), and 47% find the Government incompetent (-2).
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak receives a net approval rating of -5%, up one point from our poll last Sunday, and the highest net approval rating he has held since 3 January. Yesterday’s poll finds 35% approving of his overall job performance (+2) against 40% (+1) disapproving.
Labour leader Keir Starmer’s net approval rating stands at +10%, up five points from last week. 39% approve of Starmer’s job performance (+5), while 29% disapprove (–).
And finally, Keir Starmer (41%, +3) leads Rishi Sunak (37%, +3) by four points on the question of who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment.
I made a fair and accurate comment on todays poll, and certainly did not try to make anything from a sub sample
As someone who is generally Tory (but not since Patersongate) it seems to me that those who want Real Conservative Conservatism have a politically significant job to do, which isn't being done.
Banking Crisis+Brexit+ Covid +Ukraine Events have shifted the Overton window, sent SME through the roof, and left demands for costlier public services on every front.
What is lacking (thank you Truss) is a coherent, costed, election-proof, sane, non-Unicorn medium term Proper Conservative plan from the Centre Right Policy Wonk Institute.
I am not alone in longing to know what it would say. I have literals no idea. can anyone point me in the right direction. Until then I am voting for that well known One Nation Tory Sir Keir Starmer.
(As evidenced already below.)
Read my first post
Responsibility of Labour Party in general, and Keir Starmer in particular, for the Fall of Singapore.
Hopefully a lot !
So it’s not a little improvement for everybody
We can play semantics but this poll does not show Sunak falling back on his ratings
Starmer is ahead and Thursday will be a bad day but as long as Sunak continues to improve his ratings as indicated then the next 18 months is interesting
Whereas given MOE, an increase of +5% really IS an increase; though perhaps not as much as that, but also possibly a bit more.
https://fulcrum.sg/fall-of-singapore-80-years-on-lessons-transcend-time-and-place/
https://academic.oup.com/book/32546/chapter/270333181
What now follows is two or three more decades of the fag end of the Thatcherite consensus, followed by revenge socialism once there are too few minted heirs left to outvote the masses of the dirt poor. Adam Smith might come back into fashion circa 2060.
You’ve been told many times that best PM isn’t as accurate as approval ratings due to incumbency bonus.
The real problem for the conservatives would be a fall in Sunak's personal ratings and at present that is not happening
It’s worse for Sunak if his ratings go up 1 and Starmer’s go up by 5 than if Sunak’s ratings go down by 1 and Starmer’s go down by say 3 as the lead narrows.
Recent increase in costs won’t help.
The quote comes from The Simpsons. Specifically, an episode entitled “Homie the Clown.” The episode has Homer Simpson who, because of his uncanny likeness to Krusty the Clown, becomes a stand in for the clown. Homer gets sent to events that Krusty thinks are too demeaning to him. The quote comes from the middle of the episode where Homer is sent in Krusty stead at one of the Krusty Burger openings. There is supposed to be a skit where the Krusty Burglar (a pastiche of the McDonalds Hamburglar) is stealing burgers. However, Homer thinks that the Krusty Burlar is real and proceeds to pummel the diminutive costumed individual in front of of a crowd of children, one of which delivers the quote "Stop, he's already dead".
That has become a meme generally posted on discussion boards when someone appears to have lost an argument already, signifying that the victorious poster should cease inflicting blows on the defeated.
You're welcome.
https://tenor.com/view/hello-i-would-like-to-report-a-murder-barbara-hill-neighbours-theres-been-a-murder-someone-just-got-murdered-gif-20976504
At no time have I suggested that the conservatives will have good local but certainly Sunak is needed as the leader for the next GE
He has to reduce Starmer’s lead.
That can be achieved through negative narrowing.
Al Murray, but also Joe Thomas has had a crack recently.
https://twitter.com/Mattladd1/status/1653076246723543040
Truss or Johnson could make a comeback before the election.
https://www.waterstones.com/book/command/al-murray/9781472284594
To choose is box office poison.
It's a NOTA or Conservative on strike vote.
When will we see the terrible backlash against Starmer for those vile posters?
Forget the penny off income tax, which is party management think not an electoral thing. It'd be better to start raising the thresholds again, or knocking it off energy bills, or he might even do something radical like abolishing inheritance tax.
Outside that, any money should be directed to clearing the backlog of NHS waiting lists - not that there will be much time to make an impact, and money is only one constraint (staff, facilities, social care for discharge etc)
Tories 22% in the NEV. so let’s see friday afternoon, not long to go.
King to be dressed in floor length golden robes worn by late Queen at ceremony
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1653098551507836935
https://www.wsj.com/articles/jeffrey-epstein-calendar-cia-director-goldman-sachs-noam-chomsky-c9f6a3ff?st=adtoi0b35u9a985&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
China, India, Brazil and several other states close to Russia have unexpectedly voted for a UN Resolution which strongly censures Moscow's criminal behavior
Number of Scottish polls in which fieldwork started in the month in question:
April 23: 1
March 23: 9
Feb 23: 5
Jan 23: 3
Lots of nerves tonight as lower as good as down, winner fights another day.
Is Dyche the new Percival?
I’m assuming a zero day.
Not good.
I'm not sure a military uniform really works for the sort of ceremony they're planning.
Leeds, Southampton and Forest to go down BUT West Ham will need something from their 'easier' games at the end of the season.
Everyone else safe. 37 points will be enough.
I think their potential to hurt the Conservatives in a GE is being underestimated. They (as the Brexit Party) contested Labour-held seats in 2019, but stood down tactically to help the Conservatives in all the Conservative seats. That's not their intention this time around.
With Charles it will be more like the stately procession of the older organic farmer, looking curious and inquisitive about his villagers and citizens, I expect.
"No innocent child, grandmother, jack-leg preacher, land pirate or political contributor is going to be subjected to such trans-woke filth. Not on MY watch, not in MY state.
"As for you, Chuckey, put on some pants and take off the muu-muu. And tell your friend Mickey to [inaudible]."
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1653093775944699905
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/jan/04/reform-uk-field-candidate-against-every-tory-next-election-richard-tice
Federal judge rules Pennsylvania school district must allow After School Satan Club
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/3981851-federal-judge-rules-pennsylvania-school-district-must-allow-after-school-satan-club/