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Biden edges up a touch in the WH2023 betting -Trump down – politicalbetting.com
Biden edges up a touch in the WH2023 betting -Trump down – politicalbetting.com
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Biden edges up a touch in the WH2023 betting -Trump down – politicalbetting.com
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@jakeshieldsajj
·
5 Apr
I just found out my good friend was killed last night while walking him in San Francisco
He was in the “good” part of the city and appeared to have been targeted in a random mugging/attack
F**k San Francisco
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
Replying to
@jakeshieldsajj
Very sorry to hear that. Many people I know have been severely assaulted.
Violent crime in SF is horrific and even if attackers are caught, they are often released immediately.
Is the city taking stronger action to incarcerate repeat violent offenders
@BrookeJenkinsSF
?
10:27 am · 5 Apr 2023
·
6.5M Views"
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1643545966811975680
That’s fair. I think you can have pride in a nation as it is, without evoking past glories/infamies. For instance, despite some people views, I think Britain is a remarkably tolerant country, welcoming, friendly and generally a country who does the right thing.
What kind of sick in the head feckers am I having to deal with here?
1. If Biden runs, he gets the nomination.
2. If Biden faces Trump, Biden will win.
3. If Biden faces pretty much anyone else - he’s the underdog, but with a decent chance.
One might as well say Trump looks like he's about 5 seconds from a heart attack whenever we see him, though that might just be the impression from his sheer manic energy.
I've been saying since the last one it would be a two legged affair.
And he's been claiming, with some justice, that he has kept the anti-business nuts in the California Democratic Party in check.
President in 2028? (He's 55.)
Vice president in 2024, replacing Harris (who could be given a big job in California, perhaps)?
President in 2024, should Biden be unable, or unwilling, to run?
All of the above?
(For the record: On the whole, I think he's been bad for California, which helps explain why the state has been losing population. He was, however, better on COVID than Abbot of Texas, DeSantis of Florida, and Cuomo of New York, though some of his success is due to the high proportion of East Asians in California.
He is one of the better campaigners in the Democratic Party.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Newsom )
In a cold way there are no obligations on any country, but in a practical sense as well as any moral I think it is only right for countries to try to right by one another wherever possible, just as they should try to do right within their borders. But I just find the supposed simplicity of reparations to be a bit suspect given for most people we are not in a position to precisely calculate some level of harm their antecendents have suffered, before you even get onto moralities or practicalities of how and who to pay etc. Address the ongoing impacts of historic wrongs? Absolutely. But is that really the way to address those impacts? I'm not persuaded.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/04/06/tennessee-expulsion-future-democrats-00090911
God forbid they win the presidency next year.
Pretty clearly the "development" or "aid" approach of the last half century or so hasn't done much to erase this historical divide. So perhaps it's time for a change and an attempt at a new, perhaps more simplistic approach, of providing reparations without worrying too much about calculating it all exactly. Great harm was done to a great many people and it affects a great many people to this day, and fairly obviously we haven't done enough to redress the harm caused.
Just been watching extended highlights of the 1970 Wimbledon Ladies' final between Billie-Jean King and Margaret Court. Quality of the footage is excellent.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzbw0OH76Og
https://twitter.com/johnmcdonnellmp/status/1644066942867894272
It looks like an attempt to make a gesture in the absence of something meaningful, but hard to grapple with. Gestures can be useful, but not always, indeed sometimes they can be the opposite of useful as people think that the gesture (even a gesture with some cash) is all that is needed, job done.
I get the impulse, but even from advocates it seems to come down to 'We must do something, this is something'.
https://mobile.twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1643973886311297028
Edit: And after Iraq. "does the right thing" is on pretty shaky ground too.
500k isn't particularly cheap for a flat or house except for London
One day U.K. governments might work out that actually running the criminal justice system competently is necessary before legislating policy changes actually means anything.
Pandering to people’s retributive instincts isn’t great for society Competing to do so with an incompetent government is seriously disappointing from an opposition which had sounded as though they might have started to understand the first point.
A reparations approach does nothing either to deal with bad government, widespread corruption, religious fanaticism, and the other ills that keep some places poor, relative to the rest of the world.
"George Eaton
@georgeeaton
·
10h
This is one of the worst political adverts in recent UK history and not the first time Labour has pandered to prejudice in the hope of electoral gain."
https://twitter.com/georgeeaton/status/1644006655724597249
A bit like John Wick, except the protagonist is a single mum.
That will show them.
The industrial revolution would have happened, and the development of new technology to exploit new domestic energy sources here, leading to huge economic development, with or without slavery also being in place elsewhere in the world at the time. It was and is entirely agnostic to it, particularly since the whole point of it is that you can do more with less labour, and so the business case writes itself. It hinges on political and legal stability and having a sophisticated financing system. Not whether you have free or enslaved labour, the latter being more unproductive anyway.
It also doesn't explain why other countries couldn't follow the same path - to turn it on it's head, would Egypt, Trinidad or Bangladesh have been able to industrialise and become rapidly wealthy had they been permitted to enslave Britons? How come China has managed to do so in the last 30 years so effectively without it (their exploitation of the Uyghurs only really being present in the last 8-9 years) ? How about India doing so now?
What we have here is a false causal link. Just because something was also happening elsewhere in the world at the time - which was rapidly abolished, and well before the industrial revolution really took off - doesn't mean it must have been its cause.
The rest is hand-wringing and discomfort about how we feel today about ourselves and race relations, which is why we're trying to back fit the evidence.
We all know SKS doesn't really believe this but getting attacked by luvvies from his own side will help credentialise his cynicism to his target audience.
It's all a game really, isn't it?
Angry calls for justice and reparations are going to divide the countries, both domestically and internationally, fuel resentment and do nothing to build a positive and trusting relationship going forwards based on mutual respect.
And China and our enemies will pick over the carcass.
I'm not saying it's some oasis of safety, but it isn't - in general - a dangerous place. There are very few large cities in the US that boast just one homicide a week.
Biden beats Trump.
Trump beats DeSantis.
‘For years, one of your colleagues, an admitted child molester, sat in this chamber – no expulsion’
https://mobile.twitter.com/Phil_Lewis_/status/1644057153928413184
* Have now expelled (not suspended).
Just for LOLs they didn't expel his white colleague.
Could be random street violence. But it is also a remarkable coincidence.
(Having said that, I wish SpaceX well with their SH/SS launch)
Leader
Speaking on American radio last year, Rachel Levine, assistant secretary for health and a paediatrician, was very clear: “There is no argument among medical professionals…about the value and the importance of gender-affirming care.”
Except that there is. And when medical staff raise concerns—that teenage girls may be caught up in a social contagion, say, or that some parents see transition as a way to have a straight daughter rather than a gay son—they have been vilified as transphobic and, in some cases, suffered personal and professional opprobrium…..
What to do? To some, the uncertainties that surround medical interventions are grounds for an outright ban. In fact, the lack of evidence cuts both ways. Perhaps, when proper trials are complete, their proponents will be proved correct. The right policy is therefore the one Britain’s NHS and the Karolinska Institute in Sweden seem to be working towards. This would promote psychotherapy and reserve puberty-blockers and cross-sex hormones for a system in which patients would almost always be enrolled in a well-run clinical trial.
https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/04/05/what-america-has-got-wrong-about-gender-medicine
The world's population would be completely different from 1750, with or without industrialization, because people have never lived for 250 years.
https://time.com/6265755/gender-affirm-care-bans-u-s/
Number of mentions of the different approach in other countries?
Zero.
Truth is the daughter of time.
Who knows what the truth is.
"Tesla workers shared images from car cameras, including “scenes of intimacy”
Ex-staffers tell Reuters about internal image sharing: "We could see their kids.""
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2023/04/tesla-workers-shared-images-from-car-cameras-including-scenes-of-intimacy/
I'm not asking to get at you, I just want to understand because I'm thinking of a continental trip myself this autumn.
”Passport stamping
Check your passport is stamped by the border officer when you enter and exit Portugal as a visitor.
You can use the staffed immigration booths or, if you are aged 18 and over, the e-gates designated for UK and some other non-EU nationals. Hand your passport for stamping to the border officer after you have passed through the e-gate.”
What a farce.
"Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Tweet implies that the PM, Rishi Sunak, doesn't support prison sentences for sexual assaults against children.
The current sentencing guidelines for this crime has a maximum sentence of 14 years imprisonment.
sentencingcouncil.org.uk/offences/crown…
There is no conservative party policy that plans to remove this.
conservatives.com/our-plan
Do you find this helpful?"
In reality early industrialisation - notably the invention of the cotton gin - drove a large increase in plantation slavery, and the brutality of the system.
As you note, industrialised outputs rose massively - while it was not possible to mechanise cotton production.
More from labour.
https://twitter.com/uklabour/status/1644233550449856513?s=61&t=s0ae0IFncdLS1Dc7J0P_TQ
Or did you mean Casino's ?
(Although if Africa had gone down the road of implementing industrialisation, South Africa's 35 billion tons of coal would have made it the pre-eminent economic power on the continent, followed by Mozambique and Zimbabwe.)
@breadandposes
Checking the small print of this labour party attack ad and the "4,500 nonces walk free" figure seems to cover all the way back until 2010 when a) rishi sunak wasn't even an MP b) Keir Starmer was the director of public prosecutions
And when I say it was starmers job Im not talking about cutting deals with defendants I mean he literally wrote the sentencing guidelines judges used for the majority of this time period
Starmer literally writing sentencing guidelines for judges on why not all adults who commit sexual crimes against children under 16 should go to jail: hahaha yes yes!!
Starmer when not all adults convicted of sexual crimes against children go to jail: what the fuck this sucks
https://twitter.com/breadandposes/status/1644120258763018241
A wuick google got me to this:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/3742606
From that, it sounds like there were many tasks that needed doing: from weeding, and thinning, preparing the soil and spraying. Whilst some machines were developed, as long as they needed people around to pick the cotton, mechanisation of the earlier tasks was also less economic.
And the guy who did do it:
https://encyclopediaofarkansas.net/entries/john-daniel-rust-2272/
"The Rust cotton picker threatened to wipe out the old plantation system and throw millions of people out of work, creating a social revolution."
I do wonder if the lack of mechanisation was not down to technology, but to the fact the owners realised the effects mechanisation would have, as stated above? And if it works, why fix it?
"Not prosecuted"
"Not prosecuting"
I'm thinking of this in terms of flows (provincial occasional physics master and all that), but maybe a model that can be made to work for airports (where hanging around is expected, even encouraged) doesn't work for sea ports or rail stations (which rapidly turn to hell if people don't move on quickly).