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Biden now clear betting favourite to win WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
Biden now clear betting favourite to win WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
If those who gamble on American politics have got this right then next year’s White House Race will be between the two nominees from 2020 and two very old men.
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Buttigieg would then be in prime position to be Democratic candidate in 2028 assuming Biden is re elected.
National polling numbers at this stage should not be overstated however, if DeSantis and Pence perform well against Trump in Iowa and New Hampshire they will be right back in contention for the GOP nomination
It is quite normal in the US for physically fit people to continue to live the American dream: to work hard into their seventies, eighties, and even nineties. Senator Strom Thurmond was a Senator at 100! Utterly unthinkable in the UK.
They don't have the same view of putting themselves out to grass.
That doesn't mean they are right and that Mike is wrong. I'm just pointing out that it's perfectly de rigueur in the US.
The alternative is just too ghastly to contemplate.
I'd pay him 20,000 a day.
He could even keep the change. From a Zimbabwean 10 trillion dollar note.
This is Mike's clever double bluff to stop people thinking he's going for world domination.
Ascorbic acid
Ascorbigon
Tyrosinase
J factors
K factors
P factors
Rutin
Bioflavonoids
All working together to produce the antioxidant effect (yes I got that list from a web page - I was just aware of the overall concept).
Synthetic vitamin C takes one part of this, ascorbic acid, produced by boiling corn starch, and isolates it. To use this, the body has to leach all that other stuff from your own stores.
It's not a horrendous thing, but clearly naturally occuring vitamin C will be much more effective.
Furthermore, despite some totally unwarranted snark about 'as natural as anything in Luckyguy's diet', I responded civilly and in detail to NigelB, so I am not sure I deserved you to jump in with your size 11 steel toecaps. You could try being a little more polite next time, with the added benefit that you won't be made to look an utter twat.
And I've been a postie for six months of that
I'm planning a holiday where I'll need to walk about 400 miles in three weeks
Is that completely fucking mad?
Mentally I’m fine. Physically I’m not!
https://mobile.twitter.com/infosfrancaises/status/1639610198179581952
I has a desk job and have walked an average of 20km / day for the last 7 years.
If you are arguing that it’s better to get it from diet, I totally agree with you. I just hate the concept that natural chemicals are somehow different from synthetic.
That's 40 km per day with four rest days
That's a pilgrimage
It used to traditionally be done in four weeks
I've made it a three week race
Biden only won because he won White suburban voters who had voted for Trump in 2016. Biden will switch Harris to Secretary of State and make Buttigieg his VP nominee to appeal to those white suburban voters
I find it curious to hear some saying Biden is too old to be President for a second term yet we have a Government one of whose primary economic aims is to bring more older people back into the workplace.
Curiously, 71% of over 50s trying to get back into the workplace experience ageism so the Government's desire to bring older people back into work isn't the desire of business it would seem.
Perhaps it's time to consider quotas so we can have a genuinely multi-generational workforce.
We also had someone on here quoting a Julie Burchill piece so riven with inaccuracies and misconceptions it could pass for a political manifesto. She bases her argument on the Census Day report in 2021 showing 57% of adults over 16 in employment and builds the familiar old diatribe about the perils of WFH and how we've all become work shy and lazy (forgive me as I stifle a yawn). The problem is the correct figure is 78% according to that bunch of lefties, the CBI:
https://www.cbi.org.uk/media/bm0aiob5/14032023-cbi-pertemps-labour-market-update-mar_2023.pdf
There are just under 9 million economically inactive but only 20% of that group are looking for work - perhaps we should also note the rate of unemployment among those with disabilities compared to the national rate.In addition, 1 million women are carers - how do we make work a viable activity for them?
Biden shows lapses of concentration even now, but reductions in mobility become much more frequent and irreversible as you age
He is three years past average life expectancy for a US male so anything he gets from here is a bonus..
Certainly out of Trump Vs De Santis it's hard to believe anyone would pick Don over Ron? 🤷♂️
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oWJsOaJL9yg
Google tells me that the oldest has been Manny Shinwell at 101.
One reason US Senators stay around so long is that I think they tend to gerrymander their own Electorates.
The BBC seems to have quite a cohort, for one organisation.
Infant mortality and sudden violent death rather skew the overall average...
I know Reagan got away with it due to a magnificent one-line put down but Biden is (a) no Reagan and (b) much older.
The only way Biden gets re elected is by winning the White suburban graduate swing voters again he won in 2020. To help with that he has to dump Harris and replace her with Buttigieg.
Harris can be offered Secretary of State and if she turns it down Biden can discard her
Last one to do it: Franklin Roosevelt in 1944 when he helped engineer the replacement of VP Henry Wallace by Harry Truman. under pressure (but underlined by FDR's own political instincts) from key elements of the New Deal coalition AND his own inner circle.
Of course Wallace had replaced FDR's first VP, John Nance Garner, on the 1940 Democratic ticket, but that was because Garner refused to go along with the Third Term, plus other ideological reasons.
Note throughout his first term, Richard Nixon was wanting to figure out a way to rid himself of Spiro Agnew, and replace him with someone better. With RN's preferred replacement being John Connolly. But he simply couldn't see how he could get away with it, even at the height of his power and dominance of the Republican Party. Especially since Connolly was a Democrat!
And further note, that perhaps the most significant replacement of one VP by another, was by Abraham Lincoln, who in 1864 engineered the nomination of another Democrat, Andrew Johnson - one of the few politicos from a seceding state that had remained loyal to the Union, in place of Abe's first Veep, Hannibal Hamlin.
It's become a bit of an obsession
There's so much I want to see in Brittany, and I do want to try to do the walk
Please survive the next 22 months and beat Trump, Joe.
https://newatlas.com/mobility-scooter-record/41749/
In my defence I am very tired.
But I did see some suggestion that maybe Sotomayor could retire - she is 70 in 2024. Obviously replacing a 70 year old with a 60 year old is a net gain for the Dems.
Seems very unlikely but IF for some reason Sotomayor did want to retire, it could work well.
There is a story going round just now about Biden losing patience with Harris, but it seems to be exclusively (and simultaneously) in right wing outlets. Which doesn’t smell right.
Not sure OAP go karts is quite it.
Moreover, he is doing most of the things a doctor would suggest he do to keep healthy, exercising regularly, keeping his weight down, and, as far as I can tell, mostly eating healthy.
Biden is not unique. There has been a long-term trend in the US for people not only to live longer, but to be healthier longer and longer.
(I pay closer attention than many do to these things because I will turn 80 this August -- and I currently expect to live to about 90, and be in fairly good health until then, or close to then. I am planning to make one change this year to improve my chances even further: I plan on moving closer to the mountains so I can do more cross country skiing. Incidentally, the health plan I am on will subsidize exercise in other ways, but not that. For examples of what they will do, search on "SilverSneakers".)
DeSantis or Trump would trounce her in a Presidential election. Biden needs to remove her from his ticket in 2024 if he wants to maximise his chances of reelection
It's my impression that Biden understands her weaknesses, and has been trying to strengthen her by giving her tasks she can handle -- and that will teach her something.
(When Jimmy Carter was thinking about changes for his second term, he, or one of his aides, said some of their subordinates would have to go -- but not, of course, any of the women and minorities.)
What you really want is to be pretty good, except for the usual wear and tear, and then go suddenly in your late 90s aka DofE or HMQ.
https://twitter.com/Nadav_Eyal/status/1639714171183943680
Possible reprieve for democracy.
Is there an obvious Democratic alternative? They bemoan the Republicans as the stupid party but don't seem to be blessed with great candidates themselves.
It was rather impolite to question the official narrative, while they were alive, but now they’re both dead I don’t feel the need to maintain the fiction. The *perfectly healthy* and then drop dead in your late 90’s thing is, I would suggest, highly unusual.
Nor have they been able to since Obama either, though Buttigieg is probably the best of the next generation they have got
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Kasich
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marco_Rubio
The US isn't the only nation where identity politics works. Correct me if I am wrong on this, but I believe David Cameron was trying to broaden the appeal of the Conservative Party by encouraging more ethnic minorities to run for parliament. And, as I understand it, the Labour Party has actually reserved seats for women.
(*Republicans do best when they nominate candidates who did not inherit wealth, Eisenhower and Reagan being the two most obvious examples. In contrast, Democrats can get away with nominating plutocrats.)
In all seriousness I doubt it but if a few people around the world think that we're wielding such influence who cares?
Bill Clinton and Obama and Biden however didn't inherit much. Indeed the last Democrat President who did was JFK (arguably Carter too but that was mainly the family farm and business)