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Weak? Or dishonourable? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,844
    Hah! Very good threader header @Cyclefree. Thanks!
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    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works
    Which is the big significance of the Conservatives screwing up to the extent that they're likely to be out of office in 2025.

    Another term probably would be enough time to make the Brapprochment and Brejoin process horribly difficult. It might not have made Brexit a success, or something the public liked, but it would have been put in the "too hard to undo" column.

    A Starmer government won't pivot further away from the EU; Brexit will be made to work by dilution.

    Meanwhile, those who are generationally keen on Brexit will continue to go to that blessed place where they don't have to worry about it. (I'm making an assumption that it's about cohort, not age, but I think the data bear that out.)
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,361
    Leon said:

    PB BOOK CLUB

    I’m reading Simon Sebag Montefiore’s THE WORLD

    I am only on page 40 but so far it is compulsively good. If the next 1093 pages are of the same quality: wow

    Big topic.
  • Options
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    May I be the Founder-Member of the 'We made the bed, we must lie in it Party'?
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. Leon, I do worry that in the future such histories will be impossible as diary entries and memos etc will all be electronic and easier to either delete or fake.
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,844
    Leon said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Leon, only read Simon Sebag Montefiore's Stalin: the Red Tsar, but I enjoyed it a lot. Presumably The World is a global history?

    Yes. It’s remarkable - so far

    If you enjoyed Stalin the Red Tsar you MUST read his Young Stalin. It’s even better. Gloriously entertaining and informative

    I quite liked his biography of Jerusalem the city but it’s not in the same league at all

    He’s really good on personal human anecdote - and weaving that in to a wider narrative like an accomplished novelist
    I've only read his fiction, the Moscow Trilogy, which I enjoyed. I will try the Stalin biographies. Thanks
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    PB BOOK CLUB

    I’m reading Simon Sebag Montefiore’s THE WORLD

    I am only on page 40 but so far it is compulsively good. If the next 1093 pages are of the same quality: wow

    Big topic.
    He says he wrote it all - 1100 pages - during covid/lockdown

    Which makes me feel a bit inadequate as during covid I mastered the art of cooking Dover sole and chicken laksa. And that’s about it
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941

    Phil said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "How Bill Clinton created post-truth America
    His lies bred a lasting political cynicism
    By Giles Fraser"

    https://unherd.com/2023/01/how-bill-clinton-created-post-truth-america/

    Clinton lying hardly makes him unique amongst US politicians. I don’t think this thesis stands up to much scrutiny.
    He did it with a certain brazen style that was different. He was clearly proud of his lies. He seemed to use the “I am a sinner. Therefore I must be forgiven” thing we talked about, the other day.
    “It depends upon what the meaning of the word ‘is’, is” was a classic.
    https://youtube.com/watch?v=koXwrLEOzJo

    Is it that politicians have become worse, or the media landscape has changed? I suspect quite a bit of both.
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    BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,458
    geoffw said:

    Leon said:

    malcolmg said:

    Sandpit said:

    Foxy said:

    One odd thing in the latest corruption link between Johnson and his chum at the BBC. Why did he need an introduction to his own distant relative?

    £800 000 is a lot of money, even to a spendthrift like Johnson. What was the money for?

    Divorce!

    He’s always been rubbish with money, but was lucky that his wife earned a fortune and he made good money for little work with his Telegraph column.

    Then he got divorced, and had to live with his new family on a government salary - the new wife having a part time charity job, and high expectations of lifestyle.
    Boris is said to own two or three houses, and the papers recently had him sniffing around another pile in Tunbridge Wells. Is he really skint or just careful to the point of miserly?
    My dad - always careful with money - taught me a saying: "Expenditure swells to fill any possible income".

    In other words, when you're young and not earning much, you go out and have a good time. When you start earning more, you spend more. You buy slightly better things; you buy more of them. Instead of that cheap bottle of £7 plonk, you get a £15 one. Instead of a cheap smartphone, you get the latest Apple whatever.

    He then said the key is to break that cycle: don't be miserly, but ensure your expenditure does not fill your income. In the case of a relative, he tries to save/invest 15% of his take home income - even if they was really hard when he was starting out.

    I fear Boris is someone who has never learnt that. As soon as he earns something, even if it is a lot, it will disappear.
    Enjoy yourself , the old adage that there are no pockets on a shroud are very real. You never know the day and all that lolly left for relatives to squander coudl have been enjoyed by yourself.
    LOL. Great adage - never heard it before. I will tell my missus who is obsessed with leaving stuff for the kids.
    The best advice is: spend all your money, leave them the property

    Second best advice: die on the toilet of a heart attack aged 76

    Auberon Waugh personally told me that second bit of advice and, oddly enough, it’s not unlike how he died (likewise his own father)
    Yep. Neither of the Waughs made old bones.

    Bron's longstanding campaign in Private Eye against the late Lord Gowrie ("Britain's first black prime minister") always made me laugh. Apparently it dated back to competition over a girl in their youth.

    Black is an intense form of grey isn't it?


    Hah, quite so! The "Grey" thing was an abbreviation of Greysteil, a family name.

    He was an unusual Thatcherite. Aristo with bow ties and deep interest in the arts. Resigned from Govt as he coudn't live on a cabinet minister's salary.
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    Phil said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "How Bill Clinton created post-truth America
    His lies bred a lasting political cynicism
    By Giles Fraser"

    https://unherd.com/2023/01/how-bill-clinton-created-post-truth-america/

    Clinton lying hardly makes him unique amongst US politicians. I don’t think this thesis stands up to much scrutiny.
    No, I think Clinton did have a malign effect.

    Christopher Hitchens devoted an entire book to the Clintons' duplicity - "No-one Left to Lie to".

    The Clintons were one of his pet hates, along with Kissinger, Mother Theresa and Benedict XVI.
    Clinton was certainly a bad man but the attack on truth is probably more associated with George Bush and "truthiness".
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,788
    I'm shocked I tell you! Shocked!

    THE estranged wife of trans double rapist Isla Bryson has branded his gender change a “sham” to escape a men’s prison.

    https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/10120424/trans-rapists-estranged-wife-gender-change-sham/
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,844
    TimS said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works
    This prediction is a bit ghoulish but I think it's sound: no British politician will go anywhere near re-join until Nigel Farage is senile or dead.
    First time I’m heard that theory, but I think you have a point. Farage personified Brexit - more than Johnson or Gove or Cummings or anyone else - and he continues to haunt both parties’ fever dreams. He represents an era.
    Fair to say that unless he is unlucky, by the time Farage is dead a huge swathe of Leave support will be dead too.
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522

    Phil said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "How Bill Clinton created post-truth America
    His lies bred a lasting political cynicism
    By Giles Fraser"

    https://unherd.com/2023/01/how-bill-clinton-created-post-truth-america/

    Clinton lying hardly makes him unique amongst US politicians. I don’t think this thesis stands up to much scrutiny.
    No, I think Clinton did have a malign effect.

    Christopher Hitchens devoted an entire book to the Clintons' duplicity - "No-one Left to Lie to".

    The Clintons were one of his pet hates, along with Kissinger, Mother Theresa and Benedict XVI.
    Clinton was certainly a bad man but the attack on truth is probably more associated with George Bush and "truthiness".
    Standing on the shoulders...
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,903
    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    This gap will inevitably get wider. 80/20 perhaps?

    There must come a point when someone is prepared to grasp the nettle and begins the process of reversing the decision. The danger for Starmer is that a renegade from the Tory right might beat him to it. With a resprayed bus they could promise the earth.
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    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,336
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
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    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    From the header: "Fluent and able as he is, if Zahawi were to appear in an Agatha Christie dramatisation, you just know he will be up to no good, if not the actual villain"

    Well that is true.

    Though it is more because racism and xenophobia are rampant in Christie's works.
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    StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    May I be the Founder-Member of the 'We made the bed, we must lie in it Party'?
    ‘We’ being the English. Lie away. Just don’t drag everyone else with you.
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522
    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    edited January 2023
    Mr. Dickson, it was a UK vote, in which all citizens were able to vote.

    In the same way the Scottish decided to stay in the UK.

    Edited extra bit: do you think Scotland, England, Wales, and Northern Ireland should *all* have to vote for a change in foreign policy/treaties for the change to go ahead?
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,176
    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    PB BOOK CLUB

    I’m reading Simon Sebag Montefiore’s THE WORLD

    I am only on page 40 but so far it is compulsively good. If the next 1093 pages are of the same quality: wow

    Big topic.
    He says he wrote it all - 1100 pages - during covid/lockdown

    Which makes me feel a bit inadequate as during covid I mastered the art of cooking Dover sole and chicken laksa. And that’s about it
    I wrote a book during lockdown. It turned out that writing it was the easy bit.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    Has @CorrectHorseBattery and @CorrectHorseBattery3 seen this near 30 point lead?

    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 50% (+5)
    CON: 21% (-)

    via @PeoplePolling, 24 Jan
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    Driver said:

    Phil said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "How Bill Clinton created post-truth America
    His lies bred a lasting political cynicism
    By Giles Fraser"

    https://unherd.com/2023/01/how-bill-clinton-created-post-truth-america/

    Clinton lying hardly makes him unique amongst US politicians. I don’t think this thesis stands up to much scrutiny.
    No, I think Clinton did have a malign effect.

    Christopher Hitchens devoted an entire book to the Clintons' duplicity - "No-one Left to Lie to".

    The Clintons were one of his pet hates, along with Kissinger, Mother Theresa and Benedict XVI.
    Clinton was certainly a bad man but the attack on truth is probably more associated with George Bush and "truthiness".
    Standing on the shoulders...
    Yes but if you pursue that thought, you can go back to Reagan and Contragate and further through various presidents. It was under Bush that it became a deliberate tactic rather than a tool of cynical convenience.
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    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,336
    edited January 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    "How Bill Clinton created post-truth America
    His lies bred a lasting political cynicism
    By Giles Fraser"

    https://unherd.com/2023/01/how-bill-clinton-created-post-truth-america/

    The ghost of Richard Millhouse Nixon is waving frantically at you.

    The ghosts of the Kennedy clan are also giggling in the corner.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,788
    Wonder how this compares with other European countries?

    Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and the subsequent economic sanctions on trade, UK trade with Russia has decreased substantially.

    Imports of goods from Russia have fallen to £18 million in November 2022, a decrease of 98.2% compared with the monthly average from the 12 months to February 2022, and exports of goods to Russia have decreased to £57 million, a fall of 77.4%.


    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/articles/theimpactofsanctionsonuktradewithrussia/november2022
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    ydoethur said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sunak had to appoint Braverman to a key Cabinet post given it was her backing of him rather than Boris that helped ensure he faced no contest with the
    membership. Raab was a key Sunak supporter in both leadership elections and got his reward.

    Italy has a more rightwing government than the UK now, Meloni is much more to GB news' flavour than Sunak

    'Our government isn't as right wing as a bunch of actual fascists' doesn't quite do it for me as a statement.
    And once he had the job he owed Braverman and Raab nothing. What could they have done? As I say, he lacks the killer instinct.
    Carnyx said:

    Interesting header!

    On a point of PB pedantry, a postilion is a particular member of a crew for a horsedrawn coach or similar; and one wouldn't use a whole horse team and coach to deliver an envelope (unless, of course, the postilion was otherwise sitting around in the stables doing nothing and available for errands). A licensed porter would be another option in the London of the Zeitgeist in question ...

    I am in the Lakes. I expect nothing less than a coach and four from Rees-Mogg.
  • Options
    So is the massive slump in UK car production (the lowest for 66 years) due to Brexit or something entirely unrelated?
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,033
    edited January 2023
    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200
    Leon said:

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity

    After the months of gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting from Brexiteers after the vote, be prepared for 30 years of "we told you so"

    I think the phrase, suck it up, is appropriate here
  • Options
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    Which is why one reading of Starmer's words is that he's playing it just right.

    Don't reopen the debate, but wait in the confidence it will open by itself.

    What's the line about good lawyers never asking questions unless they know the answer?
  • Options

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Leave made a big mistake by not focussing entirely on sovereignty and democracy. They should have said, "Yes, it will be difficult; there will be blood, sweat and tears, but we will have our pride and be an independent nation," or suchlike, rather than claiming that Brexit would deliver economic benefits. That would have been an honest win, and then they could have got to work on mitigating the economic fallout rather than trying to pretend that it doesn't exist and thus making it worse.
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200

    Leave made a big mistake by not focussing entirely on sovereignty and democracy. They should have said, "Yes, it will be difficult; there will be blood, sweat and tears, but we will have our pride and be an independent nation," or suchlike

    That would not have won
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,788

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    Which is why one reading of Starmer's words is that he's playing it just right.

    Don't reopen the debate, but wait in the confidence it will open by itself.

    What's the line about good lawyers never asking questions unless they know the answer?
    Which is what Sturgeon is getting wrong about independence - she shouldn't be asking the question until she's sure of the answer.....
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    BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,458

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Leave made a big mistake by not focussing entirely on sovereignty and democracy. They should have said, "Yes, it will be difficult; there will be blood, sweat and tears, but we will have our pride and be an independent nation," or suchlike, rather than claiming that Brexit would deliver economic benefits. That would have been an honest win, and then they could have got to work on mitigating the economic fallout rather than trying to pretend that it doesn't exist and thus making it worse.
    Leave would have lost if they said that. No way they would have won if people thought they would be worse off.

    Same quandary facing IndyScot campaign. Do they copy Leave campaign and dishonestly claim economic benefits or fess up and say sovereignty is worth the pain (and lose)?
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200

    Which is what Sturgeon is getting wrong about independence - she shouldn't be asking the question until she's sure of the answer.....

    Sturgeon's problem is the opposite of Starmer's

    She needs to keep the zealots frothing, he needs to keep a lid on it
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    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522

    So is the massive slump in UK car production (the lowest for 66 years) due to Brexit or something entirely unrelated?

    From this thread a couple of hours ago:

    Scott_xP said:

    It might not be Brexit, but it almost certainly is.

    Peak UK car production was in 2016...

    Some people thought that Brexit might have a negative impact on the UK car industry, but the PB 'experts' assured us that was not the case.
    German car production was 5.7 million vehicles in 2016. It was 3.3 million vehicles in 2021. I suppose that was due to Brexit as well?

    French car production was 2.1 million vehicles in 2016. It was 1.3 million vehicles in 2021. Indeed just like the UK their car production is now down to the numbers seen in the 1950s. Brexit?
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200
    @TelePolitics: 🔴 NEW: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the former Cabinet minister, is joining GB News in a major coup for the outspoken broadcast… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618557272011014145
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522
    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200
    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226
  • Options
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We should only Rejoin if it involves membership of the Euro and Schengen so we really humiliate the Brexiteers.

    I don't want to Rejoin if it doesn't include membership of the Euro and Schengen.

    Also we should join an EU army to combat Putin.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
  • Options
    Driver said:

    So is the massive slump in UK car production (the lowest for 66 years) due to Brexit or something entirely unrelated?

    From this thread a couple of hours ago:

    Scott_xP said:

    It might not be Brexit, but it almost certainly is.

    Peak UK car production was in 2016...

    Some people thought that Brexit might have a negative impact on the UK car industry, but the PB 'experts' assured us that was not the case.
    German car production was 5.7 million vehicles in 2016. It was 3.3 million vehicles in 2021. I suppose that was due to Brexit as well?

    French car production was 2.1 million vehicles in 2016. It was 1.3 million vehicles in 2021. Indeed just like the UK their car production is now down to the numbers seen in the 1950s. Brexit?
    To which my response, which you seem to have inexplicably overlooked, was;

    "Those aren't the latest figures though. While UK car production in 2022 has dropped by another 10% since 2021, German car production, for example, has risen by 11%.

    Covid and the associated semiconductor shortage hit everyone hard, but the others are slowly recovering while we still seem to be in a tailspin."

    Our country cannot recover until the Brexiteers stop deluding themselves. We may be in for a long wait.
  • Options
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    Based on the latest joint Franco-German statement from the Elysee Palace earlier in the week, by the time we look like rejoining, the EU will be far closer to what we Leavers warned about. QMV for Foreign and Security policy and taxation via passerelle clauses in the Lisbon Treaty and EU wide constituencies for elections. Good luck selling that to the public.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,075
    Scott_xP said:

    @TelePolitics: 🔴 NEW: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the former Cabinet minister, is joining GB News in a major coup for the outspoken broadcast… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618557272011014145

    That's boring. An outspoken person joins a channel which is broadly in line with his views.

    He should have joined Press TV, or Russia Today. Now that would have been interesting...
  • Options
    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    Does that include Brejoin, even Brejoin closer than before? (NB not whether we should, but do you see that as an option on the list, even it it's one to reject?)
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,844
    Leon said:

    Has @CorrectHorseBattery and @CorrectHorseBattery3 seen this near 30 point lead?

    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 50% (+5)
    CON: 21% (-)

    via @PeoplePolling, 24 Jan

    Yes it was discussed extensively yesterday. HYUFD can explain why it's not an issue really.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,412
    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
  • Options

    Scott_xP said:

    @TelePolitics: 🔴 NEW: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the former Cabinet minister, is joining GB News in a major coup for the outspoken broadcast… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618557272011014145

    That's boring. An outspoken person joins a channel which is broadly in line with his views.

    He should have joined Press TV, or Russia Today. Now that would have been interesting...
    The best current news channel by a mile is Al Jazeera. A much wider and more informed view of the world than we get from almost any European channels.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,844
    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226

    Well that's big of him. Surely it's his duty to support any such investigation.
  • Options
    ydoethur said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
    So was Shamima Begum.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,412

    ydoethur said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
    So was Shamima Begum.
    We didn't deport her...
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    Does that include Brejoin, even Brejoin closer than before? (NB not whether we should, but do you see that as an option on the list, even it it's one to reject?)
    That certainly could be an option, but it would require people to campaign actively for it and extol its benefints, not keep on whinging impotently about losing a vote what is soon to be a decade ago.

    And if we're to Rejoin then absolutely it should be as full members, including the euro and Schengen and the EU army. The half-in status we previously had was no good for either side.
  • Options

    Scott_xP said:

    @TelePolitics: 🔴 NEW: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the former Cabinet minister, is joining GB News in a major coup for the outspoken broadcast… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618557272011014145

    That's boring. An outspoken person joins a channel which is broadly in line with his views.

    He should have joined Press TV, or Russia Today. Now that would have been interesting...
    The best current news channel by a mile is Al Jazeera. A much wider and more informed view of the world than we get from almost any European channels.
    I'm not sure about the best, but it certainly provides a very useful alternative viewpoint.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity

    After the months of gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting from Brexiteers after the vote, be prepared for 30 years of "we told you so"

    I think the phrase, suck it up, is appropriate here
    We haven’t rejoined yet, and it is still a pretty long shot, given the obstacles, but it is less unlikely than I thought

    And it will be impossible if swing voters are exposed to boring gloating Remoaner incels like you who are determined to lecture Leavers on their rank stupidity then ask for their vote

    A period of silence from you, of about ten years duration, would be well advised
  • Options

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    Does that include Brejoin, even Brejoin closer than before? (NB not whether we should, but do you see that as an option on the list, even it it's one to reject?)
    It was an option from the day we actually left. I argued strongly that we had to complete the process as per the referendum but as soon as that was done then it is fair game again for everyone to campaign as they see fit.

    I still don't think it will happen and would of course campaign against it but it has to be on the list for future direction or we are no better than the politicians who spent years preventing a vote on leaving in the first place.
  • Options
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
    So was Shamima Begum.
    We didn't deport her...
    But Leon goes overseas frequently.....
  • Options

    Leon said:

    Has @CorrectHorseBattery and @CorrectHorseBattery3 seen this near 30 point lead?

    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 50% (+5)
    CON: 21% (-)

    via @PeoplePolling, 24 Jan

    Yes it was discussed extensively yesterday. HYUFD can explain why it's not an issue really.
    You need to add the UKIP/Reform score to the Tories but not the Green (or Lib Dem) scores to Labour.

    +

    100% of DKs will vote Tory, plus swing back

    =

    Tory landslide
  • Options

    Scott_xP said:

    @TelePolitics: 🔴 NEW: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the former Cabinet minister, is joining GB News in a major coup for the outspoken broadcast… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618557272011014145

    That's boring. An outspoken person joins a channel which is broadly in line with his views.

    He should have joined Press TV, or Russia Today. Now that would have been interesting...
    The best current news channel by a mile is Al Jazeera. A much wider and more informed view of the world than we get from almost any European channels.
    I'm not sure about the best, but it certainly provides a very useful alternative viewpoint.
    Yep you are probably right. But I think it shames any UK news channel which, when seen from the outside, are amazingly parochial and limited.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,827

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    May I be the Founder-Member of the 'We made the bed, we must lie in it Party'?
    What's the policy on "we shat the bed... " ?
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,489

    ydoethur said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
    So was Shamima Begum.
    We missed a trick with Boris, didn't we, when he still had US citizenship?
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,827
    ydoethur said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
    And Rwanda certainly didn't sign up for him.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    I’m paying that kind of money and the dog is aged 3. Turns out the mutt has fits

    I might develop a new metaphor. Brexit is like having a baby. An epileptic baby
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,568

    I think Sunak is intelligent, industrious, level-headed, and a nice guy. However, he is not a man manager - possibly too "nice" to give hard messages - and personally gets involved in too much of the detail ( running his own models, personally reviewing the evidence etc) when he should really hold others to account for the same and select/build a good team.

    He also thinks competent and measured administration is enough and doesn't give enough weight to the politics - lacking sharp political instincts and PR judgement - and is very risk averse, and his penchant for playing it safe means he could be overtaken by events.

    He's miles better than Truss or Johnson, and is learning on the job, but the risk is he doesn't get credit for what he does get right and events will rapidly overtake him.

    I'd still stick with him though. I've got no doubt he's working hard to fix things but it won't save the Tories.

    I'd certainly stick with him, CR, if only because if the Tories change the nurse (again) for sure we'll finish up with something worse.

    Your assessment of S is similar to mine. He won't win the next GE, but he might prevent a meltdown. I'd buy that if I were a Conservative supporter. (In case you hadn't noticed, I'm not.)
    Yes, I think that's exactly right, Peter.
    Perhaps you should wonder why he's so popular with people who wish Conservatism ill.
  • Options
    Jim Garrett, advertising film-maker who took on the challenge of improving Ted Heath’s media image – obituary
    He worked on BT’s ‘Beattie’ ads with Maureen Lipman, the ‘Nicole… Papa’ series for the Renault Clio, Benson & Hedges and After Eight

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/2023/01/25/jim-garrett-advertising-film-maker-who-took-challenge-improving/ (£££)
  • Options
    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,589

    Leon said:

    Has @CorrectHorseBattery and @CorrectHorseBattery3 seen this near 30 point lead?

    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 50% (+5)
    CON: 21% (-)

    via @PeoplePolling, 24 Jan

    Yes it was discussed extensively yesterday. HYUFD can explain why it's not an issue really.
    You need to add the UKIP/Reform score to the Tories but not the Green (or Lib Dem) scores to Labour.

    +

    100% of DKs will vote Tory, plus swing back

    =

    Tory landslide
    You've forgotten the 20pp that needs to be removed from the Labour share once everybody listens to Sunak and discovers that Starmer served in Corbyn's Shadow Cabinet and is therefore a clear and present danger to the UK.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    Does that include Brejoin, even Brejoin closer than before? (NB not whether we should, but do you see that as an option on the list, even it it's one to reject?)
    That certainly could be an option, but it would require people to campaign actively for it and extol its benefints, not keep on whinging impotently about losing a vote what is soon to be a decade ago.

    And if we're to Rejoin then absolutely it should be as full members, including the euro and Schengen and the EU army. The half-in status we previously had was no good for either side.
    Yep. That was actually my opinion at the time of the referendum

    I narrowly voted Leave but if we’d voted Remain then I would have said: that’s it then. All in. Full on Federal Union. Euro, Schengen, EU army

    Might as well enjoy the fruits of being a superpower if you have to suffer the pains of surrendering so much sovereignty
  • Options

    Leon said:

    Has @CorrectHorseBattery and @CorrectHorseBattery3 seen this near 30 point lead?

    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 50% (+5)
    CON: 21% (-)

    via @PeoplePolling, 24 Jan

    Yes it was discussed extensively yesterday. HYUFD can explain why it's not an issue really.
    You need to add the UKIP/Reform score to the Tories but not the Green (or Lib Dem) scores to Labour.

    +

    100% of DKs will vote Tory, plus swing back

    =

    Tory landslide
    You've forgotten the 20pp that needs to be removed from the Labour share once everybody listens to Sunak and discovers that Starmer served in Corbyn's Shadow Cabinet and is therefore a clear and present danger to the UK.
    Nobody in the UK fears Starmer, that is why he has a good chance of winning.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,593
    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    What were the policies?

    I like brutally enforcing 100k fines on scumbag employers. And giving half to the undocumented workers who give evidence. The “black” economy would evaporate in seconds…
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We should only Rejoin if it involves membership of the Euro and Schengen so we really humiliate the Brexiteers.

    I don't want to Rejoin if it doesn't include membership of the Euro and Schengen.

    Also we should join an EU army to combat Putin.
    Then you mught as well admit you don't want to rejoin period.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,568
    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    That labrador ain't Brexit, it's Britain. We'd best hope that something can be done, because rejoining the EU (aka amputating the poor beasts legs) is not going to do it.
  • Options
    BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,458

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    Based on the latest joint Franco-German statement from the Elysee Palace earlier in the week, by the time we look like rejoining, the EU will be far closer to what we Leavers warned about. QMV for Foreign and Security policy and taxation via passerelle clauses in the Lisbon Treaty and EU wide constituencies for elections. Good luck selling that to the public.
    Another problem would be that the UK would, presumably, be expected to be a net contributor again. Thus membership would come with a bill. Not great, presentationally.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    edited January 2023
    felix said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We should only Rejoin if it involves membership of the Euro and Schengen so we really humiliate the Brexiteers.

    I don't want to Rejoin if it doesn't include membership of the Euro and Schengen.

    Also we should join an EU army to combat Putin.
    Then you mught as well admit you don't want to rejoin period.
    The country are ok with joining Schengen.


  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,788
    This behind-the-scenes story on the Leopard-Abrams tango confirms to my mind that the biggest fallout from this affair will not be any (surely short-lived) reputational damage to Germany, but rather a severe blow to the idea of European strategic autonomy.

    https://twitter.com/tom_nuttall/status/1618542836215074816
  • Options
    UnpopularUnpopular Posts: 786
    Leon said:

    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    Does that include Brejoin, even Brejoin closer than before? (NB not whether we should, but do you see that as an option on the list, even it it's one to reject?)
    That certainly could be an option, but it would require people to campaign actively for it and extol its benefints, not keep on whinging impotently about losing a vote what is soon to be a decade ago.

    And if we're to Rejoin then absolutely it should be as full members, including the euro and Schengen and the EU army. The half-in status we previously had was no good for either side.
    Yep. That was actually my opinion at the time of the referendum

    I narrowly voted Leave but if we’d voted Remain then I would have said: that’s it then. All in. Full on Federal Union. Euro, Schengen, EU army

    Might as well enjoy the fruits of being a superpower if you have to suffer the pains of surrendering so much sovereignty
    So if we have another vote, and collectively vote Brejoin, you'll be fully in?
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Pretty sure this is mere bleating


    “The result is the Home Office losing migrant children, children, in its care who we must suppose have been trafficked for purposes that don’t bear thinking about.”

    I have a strong suspicion most (all?) of these “children” are Albanian lads who came here with the express intention of working in cannabis farms, or dealing drugs on county lines, and have absconded to do exactly that

    If we had a more effective government they wouldn’t be here in the first place. That’s what we should be complaining about

    So you are saying that these teenagers are being Trafficked? And therefore legitimate asylum seekers?
    If the government did anything remotely efficient and sensible to deter the boats, like instant deportation to Rwanda etc, you and @cyclefree and others of your pathetic ilk would be up in arms about THAT

    It’s laughable. Then you moan about the decay of the nation
    Oi!

    I have actually come up with some suggested policies to address the migration issue, which I seem to recall you praised at the time. Bleating about others while coming up with nothing useful of your own and then adding in "oh woe is the nation" is your speciality, dear one. Endlessly entertaining but a bit pointless.

    And your instant deportation to Rwanda won't work because that is not what Rwanda has agreed to. So try again.
    I don't think we can actually deport Leon. He's a British national.
    And Rwanda certainly didn't sign up for him.
    Perhaps we could commission @Leon to do one of his flint knapping travel articles about Rwanda. Don't they have interesting chimps or gorillas there? He can post pictures of him watching cricket from next to a pool or whatever and then moan about his stalker friend stealing his work and so on.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,827
    Looks a decent read.

    Book Review: Chip War: The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology
    http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2023/01/review-chip-war-fight-for-worlds-most.html
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,550
    Unpopular said:

    Leon said:

    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    Does that include Brejoin, even Brejoin closer than before? (NB not whether we should, but do you see that as an option on the list, even it it's one to reject?)
    That certainly could be an option, but it would require people to campaign actively for it and extol its benefints, not keep on whinging impotently about losing a vote what is soon to be a decade ago.

    And if we're to Rejoin then absolutely it should be as full members, including the euro and Schengen and the EU army. The half-in status we previously had was no good for either side.
    Yep. That was actually my opinion at the time of the referendum

    I narrowly voted Leave but if we’d voted Remain then I would have said: that’s it then. All in. Full on Federal Union. Euro, Schengen, EU army

    Might as well enjoy the fruits of being a superpower if you have to suffer the pains of surrendering so much sovereignty
    So if we have another vote, and collectively vote Brejoin, you'll be fully in?
    Yes

    My PB stalker, the renowned ex PBer @SeanT wrote a Telegraph column to this effect. That if we are to stay in the EU then we might as well go the whole hog. Elected EU President, EU army. Everything
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Pro_Rata said:

    Excellent header Cyclefree.

    I'd also like, belatedly, to thank you for engaging on a previous thread on the Scottish gender legislation, which I did write up a response for, but then pitched into the Christmas period and never posted. Rather than head off on that topic again here, I'd prefer now to work those musings as relevant to future discussions.

    Amusingly, Yvette Cooper blew up the whole rationale for self-ID out of the water on the Today programme this morning in the rush not to make Labour look like it was on the side of rapists. Though she may not have quite realised it yet.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,788
    edited January 2023
    Cyclefree said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Excellent header Cyclefree.

    I'd also like, belatedly, to thank you for engaging on a previous thread on the Scottish gender legislation, which I did write up a response for, but then pitched into the Christmas period and never posted. Rather than head off on that topic again here, I'd prefer now to work those musings as relevant to future discussions.

    Amusingly, Yvette Cooper blew up the whole rationale for self-ID out of the water on the Today programme this morning in the rush not to make Labour look like it was on the side of rapists. Though she may not have quite realised it yet.
    "This dangerous rapist should not be in a woman's prison"

    Yvette Cooper, Shadow Home Secretary, tells @BBCNickRobinson it 'should be straightforward' that someone who has committed crimes against women shouldn't be housed with women

    https://bbc.in/3JgPQsf | #R4Today


    https://twitter.com/BBCr4today/status/1618532781595795458
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    Based on the latest joint Franco-German statement from the Elysee Palace earlier in the week, by the time we look like rejoining, the EU will be far closer to what we Leavers warned about. QMV for Foreign and Security policy and taxation via passerelle clauses in the Lisbon Treaty and EU wide constituencies for elections. Good luck selling that to the public.
    Another problem would be that the UK would, presumably, be expected to be a net contributor again. Thus membership would come with a bill. Not great, presentationally.
    Given the state of the economy, we're more likely to be like Ireland in 1973 - a net beneficiary.

    Yay! Another Brexit bonus! We'll be poor enough to rejoin!
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,827
    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226

    This quote is the killer.

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1618560474504695808
    Nadhim Zahawi has not made an 'innocent error' in his tax affairs, head of HMRC has suggested

    Jim Harra told Public Accounts Committee that 'there are no penalties for innocent errors'

    'If your error was result of carelessness then legislation says a penalty applies'


  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,788
    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226

    This quote is the killer.

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1618560474504695808
    Nadhim Zahawi has not made an 'innocent error' in his tax affairs, head of HMRC has suggested

    Jim Harra told Public Accounts Committee that 'there are no penalties for innocent errors'

    'If your error was result of carelessness then legislation says a penalty applies'


    As Dan Neidle* explained on R4, in completing your tax return YOU have a "duty of care" to complete it accurately - so a "careless" error is not quite as innocuous as it may sound on first hearing.

    * The retired tax lawyer who exposed this. Although he's a Labour Party member I've found his commentary scrupulously non-partisan and fair.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200
    Leon said:

    A period of silence from you, of about ten years duration, would be well advised

    :)

    If only I had a suitable mug from which to drink these Brexitears...
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226

    This quote is the killer.

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1618560474504695808
    Nadhim Zahawi has not made an 'innocent error' in his tax affairs, head of HMRC has suggested

    Jim Harra told Public Accounts Committee that 'there are no penalties for innocent errors'

    'If your error was result of carelessness then legislation says a penalty applies'


    As Dan Neidle* explained on R4, in completing your tax return YOU have a "duty of care" to complete it accurately - so a "careless" error is not quite as innocuous as it may sound on first hearing.

    * The retired tax lawyer who exposed this. Although he's a Labour Party member I've found his commentary scrupulously non-partisan and fair.
    And, presumably, when you are as rich as Zahawi is, you have accountants to advise you. So careless errors should be even less likely.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,200
    kinabalu said:

    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.

    You missed "Please stop talking about it..."
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522
    edited January 2023
    kinabalu said:

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.
    Indeed. Even the most ardent anti-Brexiteers still won't talk about any actual benefits of the EU, which is why they're still anti-Brexiteers and not Rejoiners.

    The time I felt that leave was likely to win was when I realised that the question normal people were asking each other wasn't "are you voting Remain or Leave" but "are you voting for or against Brexit". And the Europhiles still haven't learned their lesson...
  • Options

    Jim Garrett, advertising film-maker who took on the challenge of improving Ted Heath’s media image – obituary
    He worked on BT’s ‘Beattie’ ads with Maureen Lipman, the ‘Nicole… Papa’ series for the Renault Clio, Benson & Hedges and After Eight

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/2023/01/25/jim-garrett-advertising-film-maker-who-took-challenge-improving/ (£££)

    More on selling Ted Heath from a 2003 profile of Jim Garrett:-

    In 1968 Garrett was asked by his friend Geoffrey Tucker, an adman who had been seconded to be director of publicity at the Conservative Party Central Office, to assemble a team of communications advisers for Edward Heath. Way before the days of political spin doctors and image makers, the idea was to use the television medium to repackage "Edward" (who was out of touch, unpopular, pretentious, snobbish and rude) as "Ted" (who was interesting, generous, thoughtful and friendly).

    Garrett put together a team which included Dick Clement (the writer of Porridge), Bryan Forbes (the film director), Barry Day (copywriter, then at Lintas), Sir Ronald Millar (later Thatcher's speechwriter) and Terence Donovan. The aim was to make sure it was Ted who was seen on television and rallies and heard on the radio, not Edward. The treatment worked. He won the 1970 General Election, his only electoral victory - he lost three others. But it was no simple task.

    "Heath was not an easy man," Garrett recalls. "He was suspicious of anything to do with communications. He thought he could communicate with the public via a letter in The Times."

    https://www.campaignlive.co.uk/article/lord-jim-james-garrett-one-great-names-british-commercials-gentleman-jim-retiring-40-years-caroline-marshall-reports/191172
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,176
    Scott_xP said:

    kinabalu said:

    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.

    You missed "Please stop talking about it..."
    Also "and it's all the fault of Remainers."
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522

    Scott_xP said:

    kinabalu said:

    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.

    You missed "Please stop talking about it..."
    Also "and it's all the fault of Remainers."
    Funnily enough, people who deliberately make the country worse get more criticism than those who do it accidentally.
  • Options
    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,853
    edited January 2023
    Cyclefree said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226

    This quote is the killer.

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1618560474504695808
    Nadhim Zahawi has not made an 'innocent error' in his tax affairs, head of HMRC has suggested

    Jim Harra told Public Accounts Committee that 'there are no penalties for innocent errors'

    'If your error was result of carelessness then legislation says a penalty applies'


    As Dan Neidle* explained on R4, in completing your tax return YOU have a "duty of care" to complete it accurately - so a "careless" error is not quite as innocuous as it may sound on first hearing.

    * The retired tax lawyer who exposed this. Although he's a Labour Party member I've found his commentary scrupulously non-partisan and fair.
    And, presumably, when you are as rich as Zahawi is, you have accountants to advise you. So careless errors should be even less likely.
    "Carelessness can be likened to the longstanding concept in general law of negligence"

    https://www.gov.uk/hmrc-internal-manuals/compliance-handbook/ch53400

    The few pages surrounding this one, accessible by Next and Previous buttons may also be of interest.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,827

    Jim Garrett, advertising film-maker who took on the challenge of improving Ted Heath’s media image – obituary
    He worked on BT’s ‘Beattie’ ads with Maureen Lipman, the ‘Nicole… Papa’ series for the Renault Clio, Benson & Hedges and After Eight

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/2023/01/25/jim-garrett-advertising-film-maker-who-took-challenge-improving/ (£££)

    More on selling Ted Heath from a 2003 profile of Jim Garrett:-

    In 1968 Garrett was asked by his friend Geoffrey Tucker, an adman who had been seconded to be director of publicity at the Conservative Party Central Office, to assemble a team of communications advisers for Edward Heath. Way before the days of political spin doctors and image makers, the idea was to use the television medium to repackage "Edward" (who was out of touch, unpopular, pretentious, snobbish and rude) as "Ted" (who was interesting, generous, thoughtful and friendly).

    Garrett put together a team which included Dick Clement (the writer of Porridge), Bryan Forbes (the film director), Barry Day (copywriter, then at Lintas), Sir Ronald Millar (later Thatcher's speechwriter) and Terence Donovan. The aim was to make sure it was Ted who was seen on television and rallies and heard on the radio, not Edward. The treatment worked. He won the 1970 General Election, his only electoral victory - he lost three others. But it was no simple task.

    "Heath was not an easy man," Garrett recalls. "He was suspicious of anything to do with communications. He thought he could communicate with the public via a letter in The Times."

    https://www.campaignlive.co.uk/article/lord-jim-james-garrett-one-great-names-british-commercials-gentleman-jim-retiring-40-years-caroline-marshall-reports/191172
    I remember the Heath election.
    As a young kid I had no idea what it was really about, but I do remember a genuine sense of (short lived) optimism expressed by the grownups.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,361
    Cyclefree said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford: Jim Harra, chief executive of HMRC, says he's willing to support investigation into whether Nadhim Zahawi broke min… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1618558039128244226

    This quote is the killer.

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1618560474504695808
    Nadhim Zahawi has not made an 'innocent error' in his tax affairs, head of HMRC has suggested

    Jim Harra told Public Accounts Committee that 'there are no penalties for innocent errors'

    'If your error was result of carelessness then legislation says a penalty applies'


    As Dan Neidle* explained on R4, in completing your tax return YOU have a "duty of care" to complete it accurately - so a "careless" error is not quite as innocuous as it may sound on first hearing.

    * The retired tax lawyer who exposed this. Although he's a Labour Party member I've found his commentary scrupulously non-partisan and fair.
    And, presumably, when you are as rich as Zahawi is, you have accountants to advise you. So careless errors should be even less likely.
    It's a very fortunate careless error that saves £5m in tax.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,361
    Driver said:

    kinabalu said:

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.
    Indeed. Even the most ardent anti-Brexiteers still won't talk about any actual benefits of the EU, which is why they're still anti-Brexiteers and not Rejoiners.

    The time I felt that leave was likely to win was when I realised that the question normal people were asking each other wasn't "are you voting Remain or Leave" but "are you voting for or against Brexit". And the Europhiles still haven't learned their lesson...
    I'd say the country as a whole is being taught a lesson. But whether it's listening or throwing paper planes in the back row, I'm not sure.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,827
    Driver said:

    Scott_xP said:

    kinabalu said:

    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.

    You missed "Please stop talking about it..."
    Also "and it's all the fault of Remainers."
    Funnily enough, people who deliberately make the country worse get more criticism than those who do it accidentally.
    Agreed.
    It's entirely fair to distinguish between the Brexit crew and those they persuaded to vote for it.
  • Options
    Driver said:

    Scott_xP said:

    kinabalu said:

    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.

    You missed "Please stop talking about it..."
    Also "and it's all the fault of Remainers."
    Funnily enough, people who deliberately make the country worse get more criticism than those who do it accidentally.
    Now I'm confused.

    Are you saying that the harms of Brexit were... An accident?

    Are you Nadhim Zahawi?

    (And not being harmful seems better to me than being harmful.)
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,505
    kinabalu said:

    Driver said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Driver said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night

    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    We left. We were told leaving the EU would be beneficial to the nation. Shouldn't the Leavers who told us to suck up our defeat in 2016 be cracking on with making Brexit work?
    Everybody should.
    Brexit's fucked. Lost cause. It's like one of those doddery, blind 19 year old Labradors that people can't bear to have euthanised because they loved its younger self so very much. So they persist with cocktails of drugs and 2 grand vet bills while kidding themselves they see signs of improvement as they clean up yet more liquid shit.
    Nope. Brexit is a part of history, a given fact, an axiom. What we do from here is for everyone to decide. Everyone does want to make the country better than it is at the moment, right?
    "Brexit was a mistake. An act of self-harm based on a delusional outdated view of Britain and the world. What do you have to say for yourself, Leavers?"

    "It happened."

    This is about where we are with the debate, I think.
    Oh come on kinabalu, you're better than that. Still with this argument that leavers were labouring under the delusion that Britain was the power it was 100 years ago? Leavers knew how far Britain had fallen. If Leavers thought Britain was great and powerful and doing fine, they wouldn't have voted for change.

    Anyway, off the top of my head, I have to say for myself this - my view is the following:

    My view is that the risk of remaining was greater than the risk of leaving.
    I have a greater fear of a declining and sclerotic Europe than I do of a declining and sclerotic Britain.
    I believe in democracy as the best way of achieving a positive outcome for the people as a whole, and British democracy is far less imperfect than European democracy.
    The years since the referendum, and in particular covid, and to a lesser extent Ukraine, have demonstrated that Europe is no particular friend to Britain. Remember the 'stop Britain getting vaccines' drive? Remember the demonisation of the AZ vaccine? This was not a simple jockeying for position, this was actual spite. My view is that Britain is more able to evade this outside the EU than inside it - though it will always have to contend with it.
    I voted leave in the belief that there would be a short-term (i.e. first ten years) economic hit, but that British people will be better off in the long term out of the EU. The economic hit was much less than I anticipated.
    Leave was never a silver bullet. There remains lots wrong with Britain that needs to be addressed. Much of this is more easily done outside the EU, though of course much more is entirely separate from EU membership. The fact that we haven't yet addressed these matters is not a fault of leave (and indeed had we done so three years after leaving I would have been amazed).
    Don't confuse 'Britain is in a worse situation than it was a few years ago' with 'Brexit has caused Britain's woes. The impact of Brexit is dwarfed by that of covid and Ukraine.
    My leave vote was never certain. I ummed and ahhed and decided on balance leave was probably the safer vote. Had I known then what I know now I would have voted leave with much more certainty. I would certainly vote stay out given the option today. I was a soft Brexiter in 2016; I am probably a harder Brexiter in 2023 - though my mind is certainly not made up on what our future relationship with the EU should ideally be like, and I certainly wouldn't see it as a betrayal if it ended up looking like something else.

  • Options
    We assume Labour will not win a landslide because they always screw it up.

    But let's assume that does happen, what do the Tories do?
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,431
    edited January 2023
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    nico679 said:

    Just as the EU was blamed for most things before Brexit the reverse is now happening .

    I can imagine it’s frustrating for Leavers but what goes around comes around !

    This blame-Brexit campaign is possibly going to succeed as well

    I used to scoff at predictions we would Rejoin. Now I am not so sure at all. Tho the Rejoiners need to act fairly fast - next 5-10 years - because the UK will in time pivot further away from the EU, as it necessarily develops a new economic model that actually works


    As shown on TV last night
    Yep. I can see the polls and I can see the trend. We are possibly heading for Rejoin if the Rejoiners play it cleverly

    That said the Remainers have shown crass ineptitude and boorish arrogance in the past, and if they allow people like you to be heard, gloating, sniping and bitterly exulting, they will badly miss the window of opportunity
    There are enough Remainers who are fixated enough on forcing Leavers to recant in a humiliating way, that I don't think a quick rejoin is possible.

    Time has to be allowed to heal Brexit wounds and make the case to rejoin to a new generation. I don't agree that Rejoin becomes impossible later. More than forty years of membership didn't make Leave impossible. Forty years on the outside won't make rejoin impossible either.
This discussion has been closed.