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The betting money goes on Biden to be re-elected – politicalbetting.com
The betting money goes on Biden to be re-elected – politicalbetting.com
We have not shown this charm for a few weeks but it represents what is going on and what will be the biggest market of all in the next couple of years. The big mover upwards is 80 year old Biden while Florida governor DeSantis is on the decline.
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“No,” McCarthy told me this AM when asked if Santos would sit on any of the key committees of Congress.
It’s unclear if Santos will get lower-profile committees https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1613227198583869447/video/1
You'd think there is no ticket extreme enough for the rabid right in the USA these days, but maybe, just maybe, MTG and GS would do it for them.
I reckon they'd get 40% of the vote minimum.
Look at this and tell me you want to back this guy at 3.95 current BF price to be reelected in 2 years time? When you can get 8% risk free for putting your money on deposit?
Meaning among other things, that a Buttigieg-Whitmer ticket (or visa-versa) is NOT possible for 2024.
FPT - [re Leaders of Nassau Co. GOP calling for GS to resign from Congress]
Leaders of Nassau County Republican Party being long renowned for their superlative ethical standards - NOT!
Among their leading lights and standard bearers (in more ways than one) is former US Rep. Peter King (R-West Belfast) long a favorite with PBers.
IF Nassau Co GOP thinks you're conduct is unbecoming, THEN you're in serious moral as well as political jeopardy.
The ultimate "bring the country together ticket"
UK and Poland confirm plans to send modern heavy tanks to Ukraine
https://www.ft.com/content/092b8894-4441-4747-bfd4-5b21a0c68709
(Though calling our tanks modern is a slight stretch.)
Talk about the foresight of Our Founding Fathers!
Talk about extended warranty!
Replace "Trans Women" with "Men who think they are women" and see how the argument sounds;
Trans Women Men who think they are women should use women's changing rooms
Trans Women Men who think they are women should compete in women's sports
Trans Women Men who think they are women should use women's rape shelters.
Mind you the guy who runs the business of that name has had a restoration project looking for a home for a long, long time.... Back when I met him....
https://tanks-alot.co.uk/product/challenger-1-lockdown-opportunity/
And it’s not daft to have a little cash on really long odds alternatives as cover.
When Ukraine wins, they might end up on plinths in small towns. Not likely to make the same contribution as the Leopards.
They might be used in a particular locale to reduce supply chain complications.
(Assume you mean DeSantis ?)
Trans Men or, in your terms, "women who think they are men", and
have big muscles, and
have big beards, and
are pumped full of testosterone, and
are attracted to women,
should use women's changing rooms?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
He is 80, making him a 1 in 6 shot for dementia just on grounds of age. That's before we get to the point that he has a dementia look and feel about him, and there's 2 years to go. And when he hits 82 he'll be a 7% chance of dying of something in the next year. And however he looks at 82, will just be a baseline for how he is likely to look at 86.
I hate slogans, since I can never not snark about them, my instinctive response is to ask 'In which direction?'.
Labour's is 'A fairer, greener future' supposedly. Who told them they were allowed more than 3 words?
The much better depo rates are indeed to be considered. Betting 'dead certs' have competition now. Big change from how it's been for ages.
I just wondered whether anyone here had heard the whole interview and could say whether she attempted to justify her opinion beyond that.
Because according the link you posted:
"We refer to NS-SEC 6 and 7 occupations as working class."
Now, are 50% of the population in those groups?
Nope:
It's 26% of the population.
So, while the gap at the solicitor level is significant - 14% of solicitors come from working class backgrounds against 26% of the population - it is far from overwhelming. You are around 40% less likely to become a solicitor from a working class background as you are from an average one.
Might go in cycles, since May and Brown both served a long time.
But then again, probably Truss and Kwarteng did more than their fair share of avoiding any constipation problems during their brief tenure of office.
It must be 70%+ it's Biden (only potential issue is health or a calamity) so why drop down from c.4s to c.2s ??
You can buy a bit of insurance on top on Harris or Whitmer if you like. Otherwise, you're paying premium to buy a very broad field that will never come into play.
It makes sense for dictators afraid of what might happen to them if they retire of course.
So the Daily Telegraph has been useful for at least one thing...
(From a program on Jocelyn Bell Burnell I'm watching)
And thanks to t'Internet, this was the guy, back when newspapers actually hired scientists to talk about science.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_R._Michaelis
Want to do it?
///education.education.education
///britain.deserves.better
///forward.not.back
And, maybe for a bonus:
///strong.and.stable - just for a laugh
We don't actually learn anything other than what label people claim to prefer, and that doesn't actually reveal anything - there are some pretty conservative Labour people and pretty radical Conservatives.
Sometimes genius is wasted on people.
So in theory, a FLORIDA DiSantis-Gaetz elector (or other way around) would be precluded from voting from either DiSantis or Gaetz; they could take their pick which one to vote (and not vote) for.
Which in a close national presidential race in Electoral College, could lead to strange results. Simply too big a risk for parties & candidates (and visa-versa) who are serious prospects to actually get elected.
If they try economic bullshit the markets will Labour back in their box.
Hurrah for bankers.
Tatjana Patitz, one of the original ’90s supermodels and star of George Michael’s “Freedom! 90” music video, has died aged 56.
https://twitter.com/BritishVogue/status/1613229110272090127
That Joe Biden could chose a fellow Delawarian as his VP running mate, and only put at risk 3 electoral votes for his running mate.
Perhaps in a gesture of bipartisanship, he could pick the "I Am Not A Witch" past GOP candidate for US Senate, provided she's still around?
Instead of remake of "The Ghost and Mrs Muir" do "The Geezer and Ms Witch"!
I'd say losing support so far so fast so you don't get the chance answers the question well enough.
I note that in addition to the hopes of an agreement on NIP, Sunak is having a get together with Macron in early March as relationship with the EU and France improve and of course Charles is going on his first state visit to France
One thing that would upset the apple cart is if Sunak and Hunt move towards a more Norway style relationship with the EU and join the single market to address growth in the economy
Sidelining the ERG and right of the conservative party is the way forward
I'd go Jones too - but maybe not as in blood as you might think. Until he went up Trump's arse I quite rated Farage. Rarely agreed with him but thought he was ok. Now ... oh dear.
(Too soon?)
That's not the case if the tanks' capability is a significant step-change over the ex-Soviet tanks the Ukrainians are using.
The Duke of Sussex should be the front man for No in the next Scottish Indyref.