America’s in a bad place and democracy is under attack from Trumpian forces in a way American democracy has seen since the concluding days of the presidency of James Buchanan. The relentless optimist in me sees some hope for America, as The Economist notes that America is using ranked choice voting in some states and election, ranked choice voting is what we call the alternative vote, The Economist observes
This thread is at the behest of @ydoethur who asked for an AV thread last week on the topology thread.
Observe the New York mayor elections for how badly they can fuck it up.
1.08 Liz Truss 93%
13 Rishi Sunak 8%
Next Conservative leader
1.07 Liz Truss 93%
13.5 Rishi Sunak 7%
The Atlantic and the Economist already using Dall E lookalike Midjourney to produce cover art
Fun fact: Dall-E is a joke combination of Wall-E and Dali. Probably everyone realised this anyway.
As Spock almost said, "It's democracy Jim, but not as we know it."
"But it's the best thing we do!"
PR is now essential to re-build our broken country
Ukraine's Operational Command "South" reported that Russia could be preparing to launch missiles at Ukrainian cities on Aug. 24, Independence Day in Ukraine.
Mr. Carnyx, 'take over'? You mean 'win an election', right?
Gerrymandering the electoral system so that the political class determine the winner(s) after the vote is not a step forward. It would fragment the political system and make manifestos a list of optional extras to be jettisoned by parties once the voters have given them support (meaning the very reason for said support can be thrown away, with no way of the voter expressing dissatisfaction). And yes, this can sometimes happen now* but it's far rarer whereas under PR it would become par for the course.
*see Labour's brilliant decision to renege on their manifesto pledge for a referendum.
PS And good afternoon, too, belatedly!
"I think for many centuries there has been this Russian problem, that Russia🇷🇺 doesn't know exactly where it begins and where it ends..."
Václav Havel (23.8.2008)
(On the last, not convinced myself, but it's their problem.)
And how he will assemble his cabinet.
… In a statement as polls were closing in Alaska Tuesday, Palin bashed ranked choice voting, saying, "Today is the first test case of the crazy, convoluted, undesirable ranked-choice voting system, and to everyone who's watching from Outside tonight, I say: Please, learn from Alaska's mistake. Voters are confused and angry, and feel disenfranchised by this cockamamie system that makes it impossible to trust that your vote will even be counted the way you intended…
Shame if anything happened to them....
Had an ex-special forces guy over for dinner last night. He's still very plugged in to what is happening.
Told me there's a bunch of folk who used to have our three-letter military connections over in Crimea. Guys taking a sabbatical from now being plumbers, driver, etc etc. Making a bit of mischief to help the Ukrainians. You may have seen some of their handiwork.
He reckons the most terrifying thing for most of them though is the prospect of having to take a medical to get there! Bit heavier than they once were....
Just for the bantz of Forest being above both after three games.....
Would give Ukraine a lot more platforms* capable of outranging Russian artillery, and hitting deep behind the front line.
Politico: US planning to give Ukraine precision-guided Excalibur munitions.
A source close to the deliberations of the latest military aid package shared with Politico that the M982 Excalibur rounds, travelling up to 70km, will be sent to Ukraine "at some point in the future."
Self-propelled guns compatible with the Excalibur projectile are the American M109A6 Paladin and M109A7, British AS-90, German PzH 2000, South African G6, and Swedish Archer. Towed guns compatible with the Excalibur projectile are the American M198 and M777 howitzers…
Surprised by Liverpool's faltering start. Less surprised by Manchester United underperforming. Good odds for both their initial defeats.
Kuwait has accumulated the biggest tyre dump in the world (50 million tyres on various sites). And this is what happens when it catches fire.
Brighton are pretty good.
(I'm assuming that the Conservatives will decide to really please themselves after a defeat in 2024, and put up someone like Badenoch. That likely means they lose ("in your heart you know she's right, but in your guts you know she's nuts") but that's still not necessarily enough for Labour to win alone.)
"The fire releases a dark, thick smoke that contains cyanide, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, and products of butadiene and styrene."
also spookily susceptible to accidental combustion.
California voters want Biden to step aside — and see Newsom as a top contender to succeed him
It was put to me.
A bit off topic, but this is a good report from Vice about Russian occupied Crimea from 2017.
I like this betting technique.
Quite a lot of sex and drugs and republicanism and charging for the NHS baked in with Liz, and you can get away with most things these days.
My approach this season has been a very basic approach, just betting on win/loss/draw outcomes. Going reasonably well for the EPL, so-so for Serie A, La Liga, and Ligue 1, and comically terrible for the Bundesliga (not a single winning bet).
Surely he has plans to be in the Commons? As a potential leader in a decade or two?
As someone involved in the waste industry it is remarkable how often, difficult to combust (without an accelerant) waste streams, spontaneously combust.
Unless Newcastle spring a surprise. Draw isn't impossible. But unlikely.
Note that ADE is reporting (as of Aug 17) with 395 of 402 precinct counted, the following first preference totals:
Begich, Nick REP 44,065 28.56%
Palin, Sarah REP 49,262 31.93%
Peltola, Mary S. DEM 58,689 38.03%
Write-in 2,288 1.48%
Total Votes 154,304
Thus Peltola has a lead of just over +6 percentage points over Palin with almost all first prefs tabulated, and that Begich is clearly eliminated.
SO now two questions:
Q1. what % of Begich voters also voted for 2nd preference; the remaining ballots being non-transferable and thus out of the final count; AND
Q2. on Begich ballots with 2nd preferences, what is the split between fellow Republican Palin AND Democrat Peltola?
My own guess, is that 1) high percentage of Begich votes are indeed transferable; and that 2) most Begich voters with 2nd preference gave it to Palin HOWEVER high enough share instead voted 2nd pref for Peltola to elect her to Congress to fill remainder of term of late Don Young, which ends Jan 2023.
FURTHER note, that outcome of special US House election MAY presage outcome in the REGULAR election this Fall for the full congressional term, featuring the same three plus one other (unless the other drops out, as happened in the special which is why only three candidates for that race).
In reality, I think it should be more like 2% to finish Top 4 and 2% to go down.
They want one thing and one thing only: the end of the Union. And they couldn't give a scoobies how it's achieved, or what the collateral damage would be.
It doesn't matter if you're Labour, Liberal Democrat or Conservative. None of the mainstream British political parties should touch them with a bargepole.
And I must say that on MOTD when "VAR" comes up on the screen in big brash red and blue it seems like a satire on the future of football and how it will be destroyed which could come straight out of either The Day Today or Black Mirror.
Hmm where have I heard similar sentiments before. I take it you are a huge fan of Scottish independence.