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It looks like the Roe v Wade decision is helping the Democrats – politicalbetting.com

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  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,639
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    I bet it will be agreed before you get to 100,000 posts*

    *no inducement to bet implied or intended, DYOR 👍
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Boris Johnson hints he could AGREE to Nicola Sturgeon's IndyRef2 after SNP's latest push

    https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1632438/boris-johnson-reactions-nicola-sturgeon-indyref2-scotland-independence-1632438#ICID=Android_ExpressNewApp_AppShare
    Where does that say Johnson would agree to indyref2? NOWHERE
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,039
    HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Is it possible some of the Hunt-ites might be sympathetic to another Scottish referendum?
    Absolutely not, Hunt made clear in the leadership campaign he would reject an indyref2 even if the SNP won a majority at Holyrood which of course it failed to do.
    https://www.thenational.scot/news/17753086.read-jeremy-hunt-said-grilled-indyref2/
    His leadership was then, this is now and real politics
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Is it possible some of the Hunt-ites might be sympathetic to another Scottish referendum?
    It may well see a consensus in Westminster decide to call Sturgeon's bluff and wrong foot her, as she does not want it but has to play to her core
    Hmmm,

    Johnson playing fast and loose with the Union. What could possibly go wrong?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,716
    Any GOP party member or candidate who reads today's testimony needs to decide.

    Democracy or tyranny.

    It is now black and white.

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,039
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    You really know how to inflame opinion but fortunately even Boris is talking in conciliatory terms and this has along way to run
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Cunning plans in politics can have a habit of blowing up, Lib Dems support coalition for an AV ref, Call me Dave cunning plan to neutralise UKIP with a Brexit ref, Boris basically every plan, possibly Starmer's beergate stunt.

    You'll have to run Beergate as a "cunning plan" past me again.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,039
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Boris Johnson hints he could AGREE to Nicola Sturgeon's IndyRef2 after SNP's latest push

    https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1632438/boris-johnson-reactions-nicola-sturgeon-indyref2-scotland-independence-1632438#ICID=Android_ExpressNewApp_AppShare
    Where does that say Johnson would agree to indyref2? NOWHERE
    Read it - 'hints' is the word used

    Fortunately for all his faults Boris is not listening to your hyperbolic comments but for once acting sensibly
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,039

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Is it possible some of the Hunt-ites might be sympathetic to another Scottish referendum?
    It may well see a consensus in Westminster decide to call Sturgeon's bluff and wrong foot her, as she does not want it but has to play to her core
    Hmmm,

    Johnson playing fast and loose with the Union. What could possibly go wrong?
    Refusing may actually be worse, a lot worse
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    It would be extremely decadent to have another sindy referendum.

    For one, the last one was a mere 8 years ago. Twenty years - once in a generation if you prefer - is reasonable for something this profound.

    Second, pro-indy parties scraped only the very barest majority (by votes tallied, not the gerrymandered local political system), which is not a safe mandate to launch a referendum.

    Third, Brexit should have taught us that a yes/no referendum is completely inappropriate to settle such a matter, especially when polling suggests that the population is split down the middle.

    Finally, Scotland is not just a matter for those living in Scotland. What about the rights of those Scots now living in the UK or elsewhere? The system as it is completely disenfranchises them and even risks removing a latent but undeniable component of their citizenship.

    If there is to be another referendum, it should be no earlier than 2034, the referendum process should be governed by the electoral commission informed by a royal commission, and native-born Scots should be given the franchise.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    I read further that Sturgeon’s plan is to essentially run an advisory vote only.

    In that case, perhaps it should go ahead, albeit boycotted by unionist voters.

    I don’t think there ought to be any constitutional bar to the Scottish government running a vote on whether the moon is made of green cheese, or any subject of their choosing.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,094

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    I don't agree with the government approach, but I do understand it.

    Even if they think they would probably win a vote, they would be stupid not to be at least wary of one. As such, whilst doing nothing but play for time might make things worse, it wouldn't be as catastrophic as permitting it and calling it wrong, and at least there's the possibility something will come up.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Is it possible some of the Hunt-ites might be sympathetic to another Scottish referendum?
    It may well see a consensus in Westminster decide to call Sturgeon's bluff and wrong foot her, as she does not want it but has to play to her core
    Hmmm,

    Johnson playing fast and loose with the Union. What could possibly go wrong?
    Refusing may actually be worse, a lot worse
    I don't dispute that. Sturgeon has played a blinder today. Initially I thought what opportunist nonsense, but with Johnson as the backdrop she may never have a better opportunity.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    I don't agree with the government approach, but I do understand it.

    Even if they think they would probably win a vote, they would be stupid not to be at least wary of one. As such, whilst doing nothing but play for time might make things worse, it wouldn't be as catastrophic as permitting it and calling it wrong, and at least there's the possibility something will come up.
    Something? Like an oven- ready Brexit deal.

    I wood be very wary, but Johnson ( whichever way he jumps) has a tendency to rush in where angels fear to tread.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Is it possible some of the Hunt-ites might be sympathetic to another Scottish referendum?
    It may well see a consensus in Westminster decide to call Sturgeon's bluff and wrong foot her, as she does not want it but has to play to her core
    Hmmm,

    Johnson playing fast and loose with the Union. What could possibly go wrong?
    Refusing may actually be worse, a lot worse
    No it won't, allow a referendum before a generation is up since the last one and even if you win it the SNP will demand another in due course and if you lose it the Union is lost forever.

    No, no, no. No concessions to the SNP whatsoever
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    Boris Johnson hints he could AGREE to Nicola Sturgeon's IndyRef2 after SNP's latest push

    https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1632438/boris-johnson-reactions-nicola-sturgeon-indyref2-scotland-independence-1632438#ICID=Android_ExpressNewApp_AppShare
    Where does that say Johnson would agree to indyref2? NOWHERE
    Read it - 'hints' is the word used

    Fortunately for all his faults Boris is not listening to your hyperbolic comments but for once acting sensibly
    In the government quote there is no hint whatsoever, the message is still clearly now is not the time and a decision awaited as to whether the SC will hear the Scottish government case
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,632

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    It looks like someone told her a story that she believed even though it was most likely untrue.

    @ShimonPro
    Secret Service:

    “The United States Secret Service has been cooperating with the Select Committee since its inception in spring 2021, and will continue to do so, including by responding on the record to the Committee regarding the new allegations surfaced in today’s testimony."


    https://twitter.com/ShimonPro/status/1541910869323517954
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited June 2022
    Keystone said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    Can you think of any parallels in recent British history that contributed to the loss of parts of Great Britain in 1921?

    Would engagement with Parnell have resulted in a different outcome?

    Your polarising approach will be the death knell of the Union. We should be making a positive case for a continued journey together.

    We cannot maintain the Union by force.
    Scotland already has Home Rule as Parnell for Ireland wanted via devolution.

    We can and must continue to refuse another official independence referendum however as Madrid has done in Catalonia, no concessions whatsoever to the SNP.

    There was a once in a generation referendum in 2014 the Union won, the SNP refused to respect it, we must now get tough with the SNP.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    But it doesn't really work like that.

    P*ss people off, particularly Scottish people, and they will punish you. Scottish Labour is your salutory lesson here.

    As for your tanks on the Royal Mile, forget it, that will never happen.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Here is something that should lighten the mood AND please large numbers of PBers

    https://www.politico.com/video/2022/06/18/biden-falls-off-bike-after-stopping-for-crowd-in-delaware-615766
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Here is link to two maps illustrating population decreases and increases highlighted (or was it gaslighted?) by StuartDickson

    https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/vmqom8/population_change_across_england_and_wales/
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,587
    Wordle 375 5/6

    ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜
    ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜
    ⬜🟩⬜⬜🟩
    🟨🟩⬜🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

    Tough one today.
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,464
    Keystone said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    Can you think of any parallels in recent British history that contributed to the loss of parts of Great Britain in 1921?

    Would engagement with Parnell have resulted in a different outcome?

    Your polarising approach will be the death knell of the Union. We should be making a positive case for a continued journey together.

    We cannot maintain the Union by force.
    The optics of Boris Johnson lecturing the Scottish national party /independence movement about the legality/legitimacy of their actions wouldnt go down well either side of the border.....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited June 2022

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    But it doesn't really work like that.

    P*ss people off, particularly Scottish people, and they will punish you. Scottish Labour is your salutory lesson here.

    As for your tanks on the Royal Mile, forget it, that will never happen.
    No they won't. 71% of Scots don't want an indyref2 in 2023.

    https://www.scotlandinunion.co.uk/post/new-poll-only-29-support-indyref2-in-2023

    The UK government can and must stand up to Sturgeon, Westminster and Westminster alone has the final say on the Union and that is from the very legislation that set up Holyrood.

    Scottish Labour was weak, the SNP must be dealt with with a rod of iron
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Here is something that should lighten the mood AND please large numbers of PBers

    https://www.politico.com/video/2022/06/18/biden-falls-off-bike-after-stopping-for-crowd-in-delaware-615766

    This doesn't have the same catastrophic electoral effect it once did. Falling off a bicycle is one thing, demanding Theresa May hold an incumbent President's hand so he can descend a shallow flight of stairs is quite another.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,191

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    She didn't lie, but her entire testimony was hearsay.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,432
    edited June 2022

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,432
    edited June 2022

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,432

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    To add to this, it's a shame for Trump's opponents, because the attack on the Capitol was certainly a riot, and very arguably a terror attack, which Trump arguably incited. If they repeated 'Terror attack' all over the news it would have had a lot more impact than what they went with. Trump invariably riles his opponents to overegg the pudding.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    To add to this, it's a shame for Trump's opponents, because the attack on the Capitol was certainly a riot, and very arguably a terror attack, which Trump arguably incited. If they repeated 'Terror attack' all over the news it would have had a lot more impact than what they went with. Trump invariably riles his opponents to overegg the pudding.
    Trump “arguably” incited the terror attacked, and according to today’s testimony was completely aware that the attackers were armed and hoped to prevent officials - including the VP - from doing their job to support the handover of power.

    It also appears that such a manoeuvre was actively anticipated by Trump and his cronies.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896
    Pulpstar said:

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    She didn't lie, but her entire testimony was hearsay.
    And hearsay of hyperbole in the case of lunging for the steering wheel from the back of a stretch limo through a partition. Any lunge would be so far from success as to be deniable and probably unnoticed by those at the front.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    To add to this, it's a shame for Trump's opponents, because the attack on the Capitol was certainly a riot, and very arguably a terror attack, which Trump arguably incited. If they repeated 'Terror attack' all over the news it would have had a lot more impact than what they went with. Trump invariably riles his opponents to overegg the pudding.
    Trump “arguably” incited the terror attacked, and according to today’s testimony was completely aware that the attackers were armed and hoped to prevent officials - including the VP - from doing their job to support the handover of power.

    It also appears that such a manoeuvre was actively anticipated by Trump and his cronies.
    Much of this is dancing round the definition of "coup". If a coup means overturning the election result, it was an attempted coup. If a coup involves the army taking over government, imposing martial law and shutting down broadcast media, it was not a coup.
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,464

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    To add to this, it's a shame for Trump's opponents, because the attack on the Capitol was certainly a riot, and very arguably a terror attack, which Trump arguably incited. If they repeated 'Terror attack' all over the news it would have had a lot more impact than what they went with. Trump invariably riles his opponents to overegg the pudding.
    Trump “arguably” incited the terror attacked, and according to today’s testimony was completely aware that the attackers were armed and hoped to prevent officials - including the VP - from doing their job to support the handover of power.

    It also appears that such a manoeuvre was actively anticipated by Trump and his cronies.
    Much of this is dancing round the definition of "coup". If a coup means overturning the election result, it was an attempted coup. If a coup involves the army taking over government, imposing martial law and shutting down broadcast media, it was not a coup.
    coup could apply to any seizure of power IMO....
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896

    Here is link to two maps illustrating population decreases and increases highlighted (or was it gaslighted?) by StuartDickson

    https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/vmqom8/population_change_across_england_and_wales/

    Ilford is the only place labelled in Greater London. Did @Sunil_Prasannan draw this map?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896
    Boris Johnson launches Covid Inquiry in wake of threatened legal action

    The Prime Minister has announced the launch of the coronavirus public inquiry, outlining its terms of reference, following the rising threat of legal action against the Government by bereaved families over extensive delays.

    https://www.gbnews.uk/news/boris-johnson-launches-covid-inquiry-in-wake-of-threatened-legal-action/326771
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896
    Former Armed Forces minister Lord Andrew Robathan shared his outrage at the decreasing size of the UK military in the wake of the raging war in Ukraine.

    GB News presenter Nigel Farage probed Lord Robathan on why the Conservatives have continued to cut the Ministry of Defence (MoD) budget since 2010.

    Lord Robathan acknowledged that "changes need to happen" but condemned the Government for "whittling the army, navy and airforce" down to dangerous levels, stating how the country is now in a "ridiculous situation".

    He explained: "We have a war going on in Europe, on our doorstep, and we are still as we speak reducing the number of troops, aircraft and ships."

    https://www.gbnews.uk/news/ex-armed-forces-minister-explains-damage-of-mod-cuts-to-nigel-farage-its-shockingly-dangerous/326789

    It is a shame Labour has not been making this case over the last few years.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896

    Former Armed Forces minister Lord Andrew Robathan shared his outrage at the decreasing size of the UK military in the wake of the raging war in Ukraine.

    GB News presenter Nigel Farage probed Lord Robathan on why the Conservatives have continued to cut the Ministry of Defence (MoD) budget since 2010.

    Lord Robathan acknowledged that "changes need to happen" but condemned the Government for "whittling the army, navy and airforce" down to dangerous levels, stating how the country is now in a "ridiculous situation".

    He explained: "We have a war going on in Europe, on our doorstep, and we are still as we speak reducing the number of troops, aircraft and ships."

    https://www.gbnews.uk/news/ex-armed-forces-minister-explains-damage-of-mod-cuts-to-nigel-farage-its-shockingly-dangerous/326789

    It is a shame Labour has not been making this case over the last few years.

    Boris Johnson refuses to meet manifesto pledge on defence spending increase
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/nato-summit-2022-madrid-boris-johnson-defence-spending-5hpvk6g5m (£££)
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896

    Former Armed Forces minister Lord Andrew Robathan shared his outrage at the decreasing size of the UK military in the wake of the raging war in Ukraine.

    GB News presenter Nigel Farage probed Lord Robathan on why the Conservatives have continued to cut the Ministry of Defence (MoD) budget since 2010.

    Lord Robathan acknowledged that "changes need to happen" but condemned the Government for "whittling the army, navy and airforce" down to dangerous levels, stating how the country is now in a "ridiculous situation".

    He explained: "We have a war going on in Europe, on our doorstep, and we are still as we speak reducing the number of troops, aircraft and ships."

    https://www.gbnews.uk/news/ex-armed-forces-minister-explains-damage-of-mod-cuts-to-nigel-farage-its-shockingly-dangerous/326789

    It is a shame Labour has not been making this case over the last few years.

    Boris Johnson refuses to meet manifesto pledge on defence spending increase
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/nato-summit-2022-madrid-boris-johnson-defence-spending-5hpvk6g5m (£££)
    Meanwhile, the sell-off of British defence industries continues:-

    Government clears path for £6bn sale of RAF Typhoon supplier to US
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/06/28/government-clears-path-6bn-sale-raf-typhoon-supplier-us/ (£££)
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    “Johnson says if Putin were a woman he not have invaded”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-61976526

    Of course, it’s bullshit. But no one is particularly offended so it’ll pass without comment.
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,464

    Former Armed Forces minister Lord Andrew Robathan shared his outrage at the decreasing size of the UK military in the wake of the raging war in Ukraine.

    GB News presenter Nigel Farage probed Lord Robathan on why the Conservatives have continued to cut the Ministry of Defence (MoD) budget since 2010.

    Lord Robathan acknowledged that "changes need to happen" but condemned the Government for "whittling the army, navy and airforce" down to dangerous levels, stating how the country is now in a "ridiculous situation".

    He explained: "We have a war going on in Europe, on our doorstep, and we are still as we speak reducing the number of troops, aircraft and ships."

    https://www.gbnews.uk/news/ex-armed-forces-minister-explains-damage-of-mod-cuts-to-nigel-farage-its-shockingly-dangerous/326789

    It is a shame Labour has not been making this case over the last few years.

    Boris Johnson refuses to meet manifesto pledge on defence spending increase
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/nato-summit-2022-madrid-boris-johnson-defence-spending-5hpvk6g5m (£££)
    Meanwhile, the sell-off of British defence industries continues:-

    Government clears path for £6bn sale of RAF Typhoon supplier to US
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/06/28/government-clears-path-6bn-sale-raf-typhoon-supplier-us/ (£££)
    here is a very clear attack line for Labour, about how the Tories say one thing "party of defence" but do the other with a significant hollowing out of armour, infantry, aircraft and ships. Tony Blair was the last PM to increase the size of the Army (not that I suspect KS would want to push that line....) - this is one where Tobias Ellwood and Tom Tugendhadt (both former officers and influential Tory backbenchers c(and wannabee PMs?) could really rally against the PM
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    carnforth said:

    Wordle 375 5/6

    ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜
    ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜
    ⬜🟩⬜⬜🟩
    🟨🟩⬜🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

    Tough one today.

    This one? Wordle 375 3/6*

    ⬜⬜🟨⬜🟩
    ⬜🟩⬜🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
  • KeystoneKeystone Posts: 127

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,901

    Keystone said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    Can you think of any parallels in recent British history that contributed to the loss of parts of Great Britain in 1921?

    Would engagement with Parnell have resulted in a different outcome?

    Your polarising approach will be the death knell of the Union. We should be making a positive case for a continued journey together.

    We cannot maintain the Union by force.
    The optics of Boris Johnson lecturing the Scottish national party /independence movement about the legality/legitimacy of their actions wouldnt go down well either side of the border.....
    Exactly. What legitimacy does Boris Johnson have to lecture anyone about legality and due process?

    There is a very clear and unambiguous mandate for a new referendum. And I post as someone who campaigned against that mandate. But it IS there. The people who say "no there isn't" are frankly working for the SNP.

    Independence as the singular issue is divisive and utterly negates all the things we need to do up here. But it *is* that singular issue. It isn't going away. And it can't be ignored.

    The simple reality is this: the United Kingdom in its current form is no longer fit for purpose. We either restructure so that the component nations have all the autonomy they wish AND strengthen the basic framework such as the rule of law, or the UK will fall apart.

    Let's assume the SC rule in Sturgeon's favour and we do have a referendum. A narrow win for No does not resolve the issue. Only constitutional reform can do that - address the issues that make independence *the* issue. Or it keeps coming back.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,901
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    But it doesn't really work like that.

    P*ss people off, particularly Scottish people, and they will punish you. Scottish Labour is your salutory lesson here.

    As for your tanks on the Royal Mile, forget it, that will never happen.
    No they won't. 71% of Scots don't want an indyref2 in 2023.

    https://www.scotlandinunion.co.uk/post/new-poll-only-29-support-indyref2-in-2023

    The UK government can and must stand up to Sturgeon, Westminster and Westminster alone has the final say on the Union and that is from the very legislation that set up Holyrood.

    Scottish Labour was weak, the SNP must be dealt with with a rod of iron
    Are you drunk sir?
  • KeystoneKeystone Posts: 127
    HYUFD said:

    Keystone said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    Can you think of any parallels in recent British history that contributed to the loss of parts of Great Britain in 1921?

    Would engagement with Parnell have resulted in a different outcome?

    Your polarising approach will be the death knell of the Union. We should be making a positive case for a continued journey together.

    We cannot maintain the Union by force.
    Scotland already has Home Rule as Parnell for Ireland wanted via devolution.

    We can and must continue to refuse another official independence referendum however as Madrid has done in Catalonia, no concessions whatsoever to the SNP.

    There was a once in a generation referendum in 2014 the Union won, the SNP refused to respect it, we must now get tough with the SNP.
    One of the strengths of the UK was that different nationalities could come together in a shared enterprise.

    The people were united by common institutions (Monarchy, Armed Forces and Empire - to which you could add the Welfare State, NHS and BBC since the 1940s).

    Once that sense of common purpose is gone, the formal constitutional arrangements come under pressure. A loveless marriage relying on its vows.

    And so it becomes very difficult to argue against emotional 'grass is greener' arguments.

    It's nonsense - but as we saw during the Brexit debate, a compelling vision can beat any number of dry technocratic arguments.

    Particularly when the government making the arguments looks so unappealing to Scottish eyes.

    Finally - as a keen student of history, you will know that Catalonia's relationship with Spain (or Castile) has been pretty volatile - even before Franco and the Civil War.

    Madrid's actions have merely postponed an almighty confrontation. But at the cost of national economic and political deadlock. Not a model to aspire to, at all.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,788
    Good morning, everyone.

    Slightly surprised by the Piquet news. As commented by others previously, I suspect he won't be having a paddock pass again.

    Also, interesting the budget cap is (stupidly) in USD when most teams are based in the UK, with a few in continental Europe.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,355
    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    It was a coup attempt, but fortunately, an incompetent one.

    A proper coup is usually almost bloodless at the point of overthrow, because all the pieces have already been played.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,355
    edited June 2022
    ping said:

    “Johnson says if Putin were a woman he not have invaded”

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-61976526

    Of course, it’s bullshit. But no one is particularly offended so it’ll pass without comment.

    Catherine II and Elizaveta say "hello." However, they would have planned the invasion a good deal more effectively.

    Given the nature of Russian society, any woman who rises to the top would have to be a hell of a lot more competent than Putin is, so it's just as well he isn't a woman.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,747
    Keystone said:

    HYUFD said:

    Keystone said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    Can you think of any parallels in recent British history that contributed to the loss of parts of Great Britain in 1921?

    Would engagement with Parnell have resulted in a different outcome?

    Your polarising approach will be the death knell of the Union. We should be making a positive case for a continued journey together.

    We cannot maintain the Union by force.
    Scotland already has Home Rule as Parnell for Ireland wanted via devolution.

    We can and must continue to refuse another official independence referendum however as Madrid has done in Catalonia, no concessions whatsoever to the SNP.

    There was a once in a generation referendum in 2014 the Union won, the SNP refused to respect it, we must now get tough with the SNP.
    One of the strengths of the UK was that different nationalities could come together in a shared enterprise.

    The people were united by common institutions (Monarchy, Armed Forces and Empire - to which you could add the Welfare State, NHS and BBC since the 1940s).

    Once that sense of common purpose is gone, the formal constitutional arrangements come under pressure. A loveless marriage relying on its vows.

    And so it becomes very difficult to argue against emotional 'grass is greener' arguments.

    It's nonsense - but as we saw during the Brexit debate, a compelling vision can beat any number of dry technocratic arguments.

    Particularly when the government making the
    arguments looks so unappealing to Scottish eyes.

    Finally - as a keen student of history, you will know that Catalonia's relationship with Spain (or Castile) has been pretty volatile - even before Franco and the Civil War.

    Madrid's actions have merely postponed an almighty confrontation. But at the cost of national economic and political deadlock. Not a model to aspire to, at all.
    Are you able to make a compelling aspirational vision of why the union matters, without invoking dry technocratic arguments? One that is relevant in the 21st century I mean. I’m not sure I can.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    .

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    “A source close to”…
    No one is saying anything, on the record - still less under oath.
    If they do, you can start to take it seriously.

    Though in any event, it doesn’t invalidate her testimony.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    Pulpstar said:

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    She didn't lie, but her entire testimony was hearsay.
    No, it’s wasn’t - just this particular part.
    The bulk of her evidence concerned events she had directly witnessed.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    But it doesn't really work like that.

    P*ss people off, particularly Scottish people, and they will punish you. Scottish Labour is your salutory lesson here.

    As for your tanks on the Royal Mile, forget it, that will never happen.
    No they won't. 71% of Scots don't want an indyref2 in 2023.

    https://www.scotlandinunion.co.uk/post/new-poll-only-29-support-indyref2-in-2023

    The UK government can and must stand up to Sturgeon, Westminster and Westminster alone has the final say on the Union and that is from the very legislation that set up Holyrood.

    Scottish Labour was weak, the SNP must be dealt with with a rod of iron
    We’re never far from HYUFD having a rod of iron when it comes to dealing with the SNP.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,366
    Wee Jimmy's cunning plan looks to be putting something to the Supreme Court that "reflects the will of the Scottish people." If it succeeds, it's a win. If it fails, it's lawyers in the pay of the British Government showing they're frit of Scottish public opinion.

    It's all PR, a game for seven-year-olds. Shouldn't she be sent to her room without any dinner?

    PS I'm not against a referendum if it's what the Jocks want. The SNP have nothing else to say and it keeps them off street corners, but can prove somewhat boring.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,431
    Good morning one and all! Excellent tennis last night; the expression on Tan's face when she realised she'd won was something to remember
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,191
    Nigelb said:

    Pulpstar said:

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    She didn't lie, but her entire testimony was hearsay.
    No, it’s wasn’t - just this particular part.
    The bulk of her evidence concerned events she had directly witnessed.
    Well this was the particular part clipped up for twitter.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,366
    BTW, is the SNP still anti-NATO? We don't hear much about that lately.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    From the NBC White House correspondent:

    🚨 A source close to the Secret Service tells me both Bobby Engel, the lead agent, and the presidential limousine/SUV driver are prepared to testify under oath that neither man was assaulted and that Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel.

    https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/1541910389289635841

    Really? Under oath?

    So they are saying Hutchinson just lied on oath after clearly searching her soul?

    Christ.

    They better be bloody sure there isn't some CCTV footage we haven't seen or another witness because otherwise they are going down for a very long time and the there's not much room in a bunk in St Quentin.
    The steering wheel story was hearsay. She didn't see it, she just said people told her (and named the people who told her)
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    edited June 2022
    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,329

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Respect the verdict of the electorate.
    We are talking crooked unionists here though
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,862
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    So, suppose the SNP do plan on using the 2024 GE as a plebiscite for indy, if Boris and the Supreme Court say no...
    We get the following result:
    Labour - 283
    Con - 275
    SNP - 48
    Lib Dems - 20
    What does Starmer do? What does Sturgeon do?

    Starmer forms a minority government with the LDs on those numbers and also ignores the SNP beyond a Brown commission on devomax
    Report tonight Boris may allow indyref2 and to be honest it would be the right thing to do
    No there isn't, anywhere. If he did then he would lose a VONC and be removed straight away
    All the government said was "Our position remains unchanged that both ours and the Scottish Government's priority should be working together with a relentless focus on the issues that we know matter to people up and down the country.

    "That remains our priority, but a decision has been taken by the First Minister, so we will carefully study the details of the proposal, and the Supreme Court will now consider whether to accept the Scottish Government's Lord Advocate referral".
    I have just published that and you repeat it for some strange reason

    Why are you so scared of a vote that is winnable
    It is 50/50 at the moment and even if it was won the SNP would demand another referendum the UK government having been so weak as to allow an indyref2 before a generation had elapsed.

    No, this Tory government must go full hardcore Madrid Catalonia 2017 if needed, no official indyref2 allowed under any circumstance whatsoever and Unionists to boycott any wildcat referendum
    I am not convinced at your second paragraph. Telling the Scottish people (well any people for that matter) that they can't have something is most likely to make them want to double down against the denyers. People who don't want to vote indy could well end up doing so out of sheer bloody-mindedness.

    On the other hand Johnson needs to be careful as the vote, whilst he remains PM, will be on a knife- edge. He could become the PM who both did Brexit, and did for the Union.

    They can't if they have no vote. Madrid has successfully refused an official independence referendum for 5 years in Catalonia, indeed in 2017 it not only refused to recognise the Catalan independence referendum, it imposed temporary direct rule and the arrest was ordered of nationalist leaders for sedition, forcing many into exile.

    Nothing must be off the table in order to take on the SNP
    But it doesn't really work like that.

    P*ss people off, particularly Scottish people, and they will punish you. Scottish Labour is your salutory lesson here.

    As for your tanks on the Royal Mile, forget it, that will never happen.
    No they won't. 71% of Scots don't want an indyref2 in 2023.

    https://www.scotlandinunion.co.uk/post/new-poll-only-29-support-indyref2-in-2023

    The UK government can and must stand up to Sturgeon, Westminster and Westminster alone has the final say on the Union and that is from the very legislation that set up Holyrood.

    Scottish Labour was weak, the SNP must be dealt with with a rod of iron
    Your lying buffoon in Downing Street doesn’t have the political capital to do anything like that and is already the principal recruiting sergeant for the nationalist cause. This is yet a further reason why, in the national interest, he needs to go asap.

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,329

    It would be extremely decadent to have another sindy referendum.

    For one, the last one was a mere 8 years ago. Twenty years - once in a generation if you prefer - is reasonable for something this profound.

    Second, pro-indy parties scraped only the very barest majority (by votes tallied, not the gerrymandered local political system), which is not a safe mandate to launch a referendum.

    Third, Brexit should have taught us that a yes/no referendum is completely inappropriate to settle such a matter, especially when polling suggests that the population is split down the middle.

    Finally, Scotland is not just a matter for those living in Scotland. What about the rights of those Scots now living in the UK or elsewhere? The system as it is completely disenfranchises them and even risks removing a latent but undeniable component of their citizenship.

    If there is to be another referendum, it should be no earlier than 2034, the referendum process should be governed by the electoral commission informed by a royal commission, and native-born Scots should be given the franchise.

    F off, foreigners have no say in the matter. It is for residents of Scotland, not Baptists in the USA who would not be able to place it on a map.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I've got it. Clearly it is not a coup unless it comes from the Cóup region of France. Otherwise it is just a sparkling attempt to illegally seize power using a terror attack.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,445

    Former Armed Forces minister Lord Andrew Robathan shared his outrage at the decreasing size of the UK military in the wake of the raging war in Ukraine.

    GB News presenter Nigel Farage probed Lord Robathan on why the Conservatives have continued to cut the Ministry of Defence (MoD) budget since 2010.

    Lord Robathan acknowledged that "changes need to happen" but condemned the Government for "whittling the army, navy and airforce" down to dangerous levels, stating how the country is now in a "ridiculous situation".

    He explained: "We have a war going on in Europe, on our doorstep, and we are still as we speak reducing the number of troops, aircraft and ships."

    https://www.gbnews.uk/news/ex-armed-forces-minister-explains-damage-of-mod-cuts-to-nigel-farage-its-shockingly-dangerous/326789

    It is a shame Labour has not been making this case over the last few years.

    It's a great opportunity for Labour to outflank the Tories and peel away swing voters.

    I'm surprised they haven't done it. Blair would have.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,445
    Perhaps I shouldn't be but I'm remarkably relaxed about SindyRef2 in October '23.

    At this stage I'm just not taking it seriously. It's nothing like the Edinburgh Agreement.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,329
    edited June 2022
    CD13 said:

    Wee Jimmy's cunning plan looks to be putting something to the Supreme Court that "reflects the will of the Scottish people." If it succeeds, it's a win. If it fails, it's lawyers in the pay of the British Government showing they're frit of Scottish public opinion.

    It's all PR, a game for seven-year-olds. Shouldn't she be sent to her room without any dinner?

    PS I'm not against a referendum if it's what the Jocks want. The SNP have nothing else to say and it keeps them off street corners, but can prove somewhat boring.

    We know who act like 7 year olds. You got the bill perfectly, just your average smart arse unionist comment.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    The past has a death grip on our culture you say? Hush yo mouf!

    An entertaining piece containing more than a single grain of truth.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/music/2022/06/paul-mccartney-hyde-park-rolling-stones-glastonbury
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,329
    CD13 said:

    BTW, is the SNP still anti-NATO? We don't hear much about that lately.

    Not if you have been listening to the news
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,647
    edited June 2022

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    edited June 2022
    malcolmg said:

    CD13 said:

    BTW, is the SNP still anti-NATO? We don't hear much about that lately.

    Not if you have been listening to the news
    Quite. Remember the MSPs who moved to indy or green because of SNP support for NATO. And that was years ago. Though PB Unionists don't seem to know about that.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    Foxy said:

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
    You may be right, but I was thinking about the more reductive identity politics in which BJ specialises, Us (proud, freedom loving English..oops..Brits) v. Them (moaning, subsidised Jocks).
  • Penddu2 said:

    As usual, HYUFD is being hysterical and wrong. It is a fundameental right of any people to determine who they are ruled by - enshrined in international law. While Westminster can try to lay down the rules for conducting and respecting a referendum, it can not block a referendum altogether. If it insists on obstructing a referendum, then the SG can call an election - with Independence being categoricaly stated on parties manifestos. If SNP & SGreeen & Alba >50% in that contect then it is not neccesary to hold a separate Sindy referendum. This would be the peoples mandate.

    It would be too funny if the Indy parties won over 50% of votes, but split it in such a way that they actually lost their majority in the Scottish parliament.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    edited June 2022

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    *looks in* Morning. I see some people are getting very excited this morning (not you, just to be clear). Personally, I recommend carpet tiles (easily replaced) or laminate flooring + a rugger bugger's gum shield.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,647

    The past has a death grip on our culture you say? Hush yo mouf!

    An entertaining piece containing more than a single grain of truth.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/music/2022/06/paul-mccartney-hyde-park-rolling-stones-glastonbury

    Yes, a lot of truth to it, but Glasto has other stages, and the headliners have grown old with their audiences. Festival crowds weren't full of the middle aged 40 or 50 years ago, but those same people (including me!) are still going.

    There are festivals for younger, urban music too.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,431

    Penddu2 said:

    As usual, HYUFD is being hysterical and wrong. It is a fundameental right of any people to determine who they are ruled by - enshrined in international law. While Westminster can try to lay down the rules for conducting and respecting a referendum, it can not block a referendum altogether. If it insists on obstructing a referendum, then the SG can call an election - with Independence being categoricaly stated on parties manifestos. If SNP & SGreeen & Alba >50% in that contect then it is not neccesary to hold a separate Sindy referendum. This would be the peoples mandate.

    It would be too funny if the Indy parties won over 50% of votes, but split it in such a way that they actually lost their majority in the Scottish parliament.
    How did the new job turn out?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    Lol


  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    Perhaps I shouldn't be but I'm remarkably relaxed about SindyRef2 in October '23.

    At this stage I'm just not taking it seriously. It's nothing like the Edinburgh Agreement.

    THat's what they said before the Edinburgh Agreement ...
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,432
    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    With great respect for your opinion, thankfully we have dictionaries which mean we don't have to rely entirely upon it.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Foxy said:

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
    I think in HYUFD think and perhaps more generally it is tied up with monarchy. The union of the crowns was a necessary precondition of the union proper at a time when these things mattered.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    IshmaelZ said:

    Foxy said:

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
    I think in HYUFD think and perhaps more generally it is tied up with monarchy. The union of the crowns was a necessary precondition of the union proper at a time when these things mattered.
    Er, doesn't make sense. The monarchy is not particularly under threat in Scotland, independence or not.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,647

    Foxy said:

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
    You may be right, but I was thinking about the more reductive identity politics in which BJ specialises, Us (proud, freedom loving English..oops..Brits) v. Them (moaning, subsidised Jocks).
    There is certainly a strand in English politics that sees in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland as well as the archipelago of overseas territories as the last bits of a worldwide empire to be defended at all costs. Most though aren't bothered.

    We have a recently recruited member of staff from a small town in Northern Ireland who had quite the culture shock in Leicester. No flags, murals or even knowledge of who was Catholic and who Protestant. A whole different world to what she had known in another part of the same country.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
    You may be right, but I was thinking about the more reductive identity politics in which BJ specialises, Us (proud, freedom loving English..oops..Brits) v. Them (moaning, subsidised Jocks).
    There is certainly a strand in English politics that sees in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland as well as the archipelago of overseas territories as the last bits of a worldwide empire to be defended at all costs. Most though aren't bothered.

    We have a recently recruited member of staff from a small town in Northern Ireland who had quite the culture shock in Leicester. No flags, murals or even knowledge of who was Catholic and who Protestant. A whole different world to what she had known in another part of the same country.
    We used to get that *within* Scotland - the West Central Belt vs the rest ...
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited June 2022

    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    With great respect for your opinion, thankfully we have dictionaries which mean we don't have to rely entirely upon it.
    The Oxford English Dictionary says

    a sudden and great change in the government carried out violently or illegally by the ruling power.

    How is that not the very literal definition of what Trump was attempting?
  • Penddu2 said:

    As usual, HYUFD is being hysterical and wrong. It is a fundameental right of any people to determine who they are ruled by - enshrined in international law. While Westminster can try to lay down the rules for conducting and respecting a referendum, it can not block a referendum altogether. If it insists on obstructing a referendum, then the SG can call an election - with Independence being categoricaly stated on parties manifestos. If SNP & SGreeen & Alba >50% in that contect then it is not neccesary to hold a separate Sindy referendum. This would be the peoples mandate.

    It would be too funny if the Indy parties won over 50% of votes, but split it in such a way that they actually lost their majority in the Scottish parliament.
    How did the new job turn out?
    The chap at the cleaning company had got yesterday covered before I met up with him on Monday, but said he'd probably have some work for me this week. On the other job (which I actually want), I should hear today if I've got a second interview.

    With spectacularly bad timing, one of my front teeth which has been wobbly since a car crash 25 years ago finally gave up and fell out yesterday. It's really not a good look. I've been sat in front of the mirror practising speaking and smiling without showing my top teeth.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    edited June 2022
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    It occurs to me that ‘allowing’ Indy ref II might solve a lot of Johnson’s short term problems (and when has the FLSOJ ever thought much beyond the short term). Unlike a GE he can say it has been forced on him, we are a country that respects democracy, more in regret than in anger etc. He can then indulge in his favourite activity of wrapping himself in the flag for 15 months and rally the UKIP lite party that is now the Cons: we must unite to resist the vile secessionists who seek to divide this great country. His politics thrives on divisiveness and what would be more divisive than a Engnat government squaring off with a Scotnat one? And of course there’s the big prize which PB Sc*tch experts insist is the most likely outcome, BJ could win it.

    It would also put SKS and Lab in an exceedingly awkward position.

    I am not particularly convinced that Unionism is a popular policy in England, whether of the Scottish or Irish persuasion. Obviously potent for Unionist communities in those countries, but in England I think there are only a few HYUFD tankies, the rest would just shrug, or even encourage the Scots or Irish to go.
    You may be right, but I was thinking about the more reductive identity politics in which BJ specialises, Us (proud, freedom loving English..oops..Brits) v. Them (moaning, subsidised Jocks).
    There is certainly a strand in English politics that sees in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland as well as the archipelago of overseas territories as the last bits of a worldwide empire to be defended at all costs. Most though aren't bothered.

    We have a recently recruited member of staff from a small town in Northern Ireland who had quite the culture shock in Leicester. No flags, murals or even knowledge of who was Catholic and who Protestant. A whole different world to what she had known in another part of the same country.
    Yep, one of the failures of Unionism (such as it is) was its inability to acknowledge the variety of ways it expressed itself in these islands, leaving us all in our silos. Too late now..
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,161

    Good morning, everyone.

    Slightly surprised by the Piquet news. As commented by others previously, I suspect he won't be having a paddock pass again.

    Also, interesting the budget cap is (stupidly) in USD when most teams are based in the UK, with a few in continental Europe.

    Isn't the FIA basically a French setup in its DNA?

    Imagine them doing a cap in £££.

    They might even give Alsace back to the Germans first. :smile:
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    edited June 2022
    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/jun/29/male-mps-attempt-menopause-in-hot-flush-vest-then-cant-wait-to-take-it-off

    Male MPs find out what it is like to have hot flushes.

    Now make them (or at least certain ones) wear skirts and have their genitals photographed up the skirts ...
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,190

    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    With great respect for your opinion, thankfully we have dictionaries which mean we don't have to rely entirely upon it.
    Nobody can seriously disagree with "attempted self-coup"
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    With great respect for your opinion, thankfully we have dictionaries which mean we don't have to rely entirely upon it.
    OK why does 18 Brumaire usually regarded as a paradigm case count as a coup but 6 January not? Small bunch of arseholes bloodlessly messing about in government buildings frightening people?
  • KeystoneKeystone Posts: 127

    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    With great respect for your opinion, thankfully we have dictionaries which mean we don't have to rely entirely upon it.
    With all due respect to yours, let me know where I can purchase your political analyses online.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,960
    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/jun/29/male-mps-attempt-menopause-in-hot-flush-vest-then-cant-wait-to-take-it-off

    Male MPs find out what it is like to have hot flushes.

    Now make them (or at least certain ones) wear skirts and have their genitals photographed up the skirts ...

    Rumours that certain MPs already do this in their spare time yet to be confirmed,
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,588
    Alistair said:

    Keystone said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't really see how you can argue there wasn't an attempted Coup?
    That it failed was incompetence and because a handful of key players resisted. Rafflensperger (sp.?), Pence, Cheney and Hutchinson. And doubtless a few others.
    But it was an attempted Coup. By a mafia Don.
    He was well named.

    I said there wouldn’t be a coup.

    There was no coup.

    However one describes the disgraceful, shambolic scenes on 6 January, a coup it was not.
    Well.
    It wasn't a successful Coup.
    I'll give you that.
    It wasn't a successful riot. It wasn't even an attempted coup.
    5 dead. What was the intention?
    Of course it was a bloody coup (attempt).
    It’s just that Luckyboy is conditioned (as we all are) to think of them as things that happen in third world countries.

    No, it was not. You can repeat it as often as you like; it isn't going to get any truer. There was no attempted coup, because there was no attempt, intention, or plan, to take over the Government of the United States. There wasn't a botched plan, or a fatally-flawed plan, or even an insanely stupid plan, there. wasn't. a. plan. Nobody invading the Capitol that day thought that they were taking over the Government of the US. I find it a bit sad
    that so many on a forum with a very high level of discussion are prepared to abandon
    basic fact 'because Trump'. It's disappointingly weak minded.
    It appears that there was a plan to take over the Government of the United States, or at least to prevent the relinquishing of power.

    The plan was multi-farious, but included the use of a violent mob to suborn, immobilise or perhaps murder the Vice President.
    It doesn't appear that there was anything of the sort. As you are perfectly well aware, everything that Trump did, said, or thought in the election aftermath (true or otherwise it would appear from posts upthread) is now being flung in the coup casserole in the hopes that it ammounts to something coup-like. Well quite clearly it doesn't. Even if there were a plan or intention to lynch the VP, it wouldn't have gained the rioters power, or affected the election outcome. Sorry to be dull, but definitions are quite important.
    I don't think that 'coup' means what you think it means, with apologies to The Princess Bride.

    You've got an Edward Luttwak-style Wild Geese seizure of the radio station and President in an African autocracy in mind.

    But incumbents meddling with electoral timetables was a pretty standard tool in the armoury for despots during the Cold War.

    Using violent protests to interfere with the handover of power with the intention of overturning a democratic election result looks pretty close to a coup to me.
    With great respect for your opinion, thankfully we have dictionaries which mean we don't have to rely entirely upon it.
    The Oxford English Dictionary says

    a sudden and great change in the government carried out violently or illegally by the ruling power.

    How is that not the very literal definition of what Trump was attempting?
    LG's Russian dictionary probably has a different definition...
This discussion has been closed.