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The issue that won’t go away – moves to oust Johnson – politicalbetting.com
The issue that won’t go away – moves to oust Johnson – politicalbetting.com
NEW: Conservative MPs war-gaming how a rebellion against Boris Johnson might play out are worried the PM could respond to a slim victory in a party vote of confidence by calling a general election. Story to follow…
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2007: PSV - Last 16 (that was disappointing to be fair)
2008: Liverpool - QF (we were cheated)
2009: Man Utd - SF (they were quite good)
2010: Barcelona - QF (they were quite good)
2011: Barcelona - L16 (we were cheated)
2012: Milan (we were cheated)
2013: Bayern (they were quite good)
2014: Bayern (they were quite good)
2015: Monaco (disappointing)
2016: Barcelona (they were quite good)
As for Arteta, I’m happy with him. We can’t keep sacking the manager. We didn’t get a pre-season last year because of COVID, so hopefully we’ll make a better start.
Of the three players you mention, it’s only Gurndouzi that I feel Arteta should have done more to accommodate as it’s our weak position. Aubameyang stunk the place out and sadly Pepe was the final disaster of the idiots that were spunking my money up the wall a few years ago.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=E4qWD37bJws
(a) he has had a Tory Party vonc and won it - he's OK for a year, but only one year, and will his position be any better when the time for the next TPV comes round? So he might as well call an election now before the tractor with the financial manure-spreader comes round.
(b) he's not had a Tory Party vonc - he might as well call the election before someone puts in the 54th letter, or some other event happens, and have a go in the hope of winning another 4-5 years, ditto ditto manure spreader.
In both cases, having Labour leadership possibly inactivated might seem a big bonus.
And who cares about Uxbridge if he has lost Downing St? The two probabilities are fairly strongly correlated of course.
So perhaps he will call an election on Monday?
That candidate also has to have a sufficient power base in the parliamentary power that a VONC-ing MP can be sure their pick makes the run off. All the while there has to be a second candidate who wouldn’t be more appealing to the members but toxic to voters in your seat (cough cough Liz).
https://twitter.com/stewartmaclean/status/1531725145378803713
Plus it wasn't decisive, we scored another one to confirm the victory.
https://mobile.twitter.com/SamRamani2/status/1531659355283767296
BREAKING: Germany will supply Greece with infantry fighting vehicles. This will allow Greece to supply (obsolete) Soviet era equipment to Ukraine
Germany’s Olaf Scholz and weapon delivery to #Ukraine. A video trending now on Ukrainian telegram channels. So true and so ridiculous at the same time
https://mobile.twitter.com/lesiavasylenko/status/1531329125167816707
If the asylum seeker is an Irish citizen coming from Ireland, because they fear persecution from the Irish government, then you want them to go to Rwanda?
Yeah, yeah, I know my scenario is unlikely, but that's not the point. I think it's perfectly reasonable to ask people to go to the nearest/most convenient place, but it's entirely possible that place will be the UK.
DALLE-2 has a secret language.
"Apoploe vesrreaitais" means birds.
"Contarra ccetnxniams luryca tanniounons" means bugs or pests.
The prompt: "Apoploe vesrreaitais eating Contarra ccetnxniams luryca tanniounons" gives images of birds eating bugs.
https://mobile.twitter.com/giannis_daras/status/1531693093040230402
https://twitter.com/rottengirl/status/1531385871454416897
Very satisfactory outcome for me should it occur.
The Guardian does not expect a decision before the end of June, even into July so hopefully Boris will have gone before then
I think you're looking at it the wrong way around, Aubameyang and Pepe not firing at Arsenal is because they were badly utilised by an inexperienced manager. Can you imagine Sir Alex telling Cantona to stop being late for training? No he didn't give a shit as long as Cantona produced the goods on the pitch, didn't Aubameyang end the season as your top scoring striker? Arteta can't handle the big personality, unprofessional world class player but there's so many of them around. Pepe is another one that should have been treated a lot better by Arteta IMO. At £20-25m he'll be a bargain purchase for whoever gets him this summer, I could see him go to Newcastle and get goals for fun playing just in front of Guimarez.
For whatever reason you've kept your version Ryan Mason in charge of the club and made him immune to criticism. A manager than can't handle world class players isn't someone I'd want at Spurs. I still don't see Arsenal linked with any marquee signing that will transform the club on the level of a Kane, Guimarez or Salah. Worse is that there were rumours that Saka is refusing to sign a new contract that doesn't have a release clause in it, I'm sure Kane's struggle to force a move to City has left an impression with a lot of high potential young English footballers at clubs with no or low ambition. Will someone of Saka's quality continue to be happy being mismanaged and overused by Arteta and not get a taste of the top level of football? I don't see it and I wouldn't be surprised if Man City raid Arsenal next summer of there's no champions league.
https://twitter.com/JanelleCShane/status/1531662143489294345
Yes, the penny is dropping with the PCP. Grey suits being pressed.
Once it gets to the vonc the Boris team have to change their approach, fear won’t work if you are about to be out of power, they are the team that starts on zero needing to get to 180 by filling the electors with hope, positives, and reasons to believe in a fight back.
Porthleven, meanwhile, is just a very pleasant little harbour around which to while away a couple of hours. It's probably not even in the top ten of such little harbour towns in Cornwall, though anywhere else would be remarkable.
Happy to report weather still largely clement and kids still largely agreeable. I'm still convinced this is the best family holiday in Europe, marred only by the slight pang of regret that I didn't spend more time here pre-kids doing the SW coastal path.
Why? Because. Deep down they know he's a dud. They always did. But he'd win them an election.
Do they think that now? Maybe. But maybe not.
And I don't buy this payroll vote either. There must be a hundred juniors and bag carriers looking at some of the idiots in Cabinet thinking. I could do that better. Only idiots who are self-aware won't be.
And I don't buy the no successor either. Almost anyone. Almost. Would be an upgrade.
It's a secret ballot. He has no faction, no friends, and no plan.
But the point of a rule being a rule is that there aren't exceptions. For it to work, four centres, well-placed - better placed than the UK itself in relation to world trouble spots, would be the established hubs, and that would eliminate assylum being used as a route to economic migration completely. It might actually result in more successful claimants than before, but that would be fine.
And just to be clear, they would be claiming assylum in Britain. They just wouldn't be located in Britain whilst making their claim.
Another 5 years of Boris in No.10 and who knows what damage will be inflicted to the UK's political system? Someone who wants to be in charge and possesses the power to pervert the system is exactly how dictatorships start.
I hope the electorate has enough brains to dump the "Conservatives" into long term opposition.
I think you need to alternate between butter and sandpaper.
If everyone is sent for off-shore processing, irrespective of where they claimed, that would also eliminate the economic pull argument.
Most of them are on here.
His defence on this whole affair has been how foolish he has been; it may simply be harder for many of them to simultaneously put forth the official view that he is also the best person to take things forward for the country.
One of that intake is in Labour now, for example.
They also aren't the majority. Nor are they the influential ones.
A point of order Mr Speaker - your scenario is impossible thanks to the 1949 Common Travel Area Act which allows Irish or British citizens to reside in each others countries, so an Irish person would not have to make an asylum/refugee claim.
Additionally, I don't see how Rishi can go for the leadership he's badly damaged by receiving a FPN and would also be faced with a pretty sharp resignation of Starmer has to resign. Even without team Boris stabbing him in the back he'd be terminally damaged by the FPN.
The next leader will have to come from someone who is completely clean wrt partygate, Ben Wallace would be my bet. He speaks to the selectorate in a way that other candidates don't.
However if Starmer goes down for something Johnson insists in his own case and on a far grander scale was wholly legal and the Met agreed with him would be very odd.
If after Johnson's Met. adjudication, Starmer and Rayner get FPNs, I will remove the noose, button up my shirt and roll down my trouser leg!
Yes, I am sure that your system would work, but it goes against our freedom loving ways!
But gratitude does not last in politics. They might have been true Borisites then, but if they look like going down under his leadership now?
If they follow the example he sets, they would not have much loyalty toward him when the winds change.
Of course Starmer was foolish to promise to resign and even if he does not receive a FPN he has raised the bar on his own honestly which could cause him unforeseen problems in the future
However for me Boris out of office is all that matters right now
https://twitter.com/mrjamesob/status/1531723372895379457
Just pushing back at the assumption, in some quarters, that of course he'd win. (Fraser Nelson seems not to have considered it).
Like you say. If they think they're heading for lost seat a dice roll is rational.
Culture Secretary Nadine Dorries says Tory MPs need to get behind the prime minister as "people don't vote for divided parties."
Latest: https://trib.al/3LxKy7s
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1531726823817609219/video/1
... no he fucking doesn't...
In politics once someone is wearing a crown they look different, and are considered in a different way.
Politics is more professional than you give it credit for. This moment isn’t about listening to voters, but plotting the chess moves way ahead of the voters, which new King or Queen has that lustre wearing the crown you know the current wearer will never achieve from now.
I think the following are certs:
Liz Truss
The following are likely:
Priti Patel
Ben Wallace
Sajiv Javid
Jeremy Hunt
Tom Tugendhat
Penny Mordaunt
I think the following are unlikely:
Rishi Sunak
Kwasi Kwarteng
Dominic Raab
Michael Gove
Of those, my tips would be Patel (because she's so long... no, not short at all... sorry), Wallace, and Morduant.
Thats the real problem, a lot of people invested belief in him and he betrayed it with cake and estrella and Abba and being a shit and lying about it like a twat.
He's a thoroughly worthless fool on whom weve wasted three years.
Go. Just fucking go.
I suspect they are not finished. Glass treads and risers??
People don't like divided parties, but they also dislike poor leadership, once it starts affecting them. Parroting messages of support that are not sincere no more persuades people than asking a shark nicely not to bite your leg off persuades them.
I was suggesting that all claims would be processed off-shore, but those who chose to go to the off-shore center instead of arriving in the UK (assuming they weren't coming from Ireland etc.) would see their claims assessed first. I thought you were suggesting that we simply wouldn't process the claims of those who claimed in the UK.
https://twitter.com/PigsAndPolling/status/1531612227966578688
That's once in 47 years.
https://twitter.com/henrymance/status/1531627029334052864