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Ahead of the Gray report 2022 moves up in the PM exit betting – politicalbetting.com
Ahead of the Gray report 2022 moves up in the PM exit betting – politicalbetting.com
This is not a market I am betting on but I show it here because it is the issue of the moment. Tonight there’s a BBC documentary with reportedly quite remarkable reports of what was happening in Number 10 when the rest of the nation was locked down. This is from the BBC:
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https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1512528415286513664
A new poll by the Rating sociological group shows the level of support for Ukraine’s EU accession has reached a new historic maximum of 91% among Ukrainians
Meanwhile, support for NATO membership keeps declining (68%) and almost reached pre-war levels
Ukraine clearly has a more nuanced view of the EU than do we.
Far more significant would be a poll showing a Hunt or Sunak or Truss or Wallace led Tories leading Starmer Labour while Johnson's Tories continue to trail. It was polls in 1990 showing a Heseltine or Major led Tories leading Kinnock Labour while a Thatcher led Tories trailed that did for Maggie. Similarly in 2019 it was polls showing a Johnson led Tories leading Corbyn Labour while the May led Tories trailed that did for Theresa. Equally polls in 2007 showing a Brown led Labour briefly doing better than Blair led Labour led to Labour MPs pressure to push Blair to name a resignation date.
At the end of the day a majority of Tory MPs will only care about removing Johnson if they think it will save their seats, whatever Gray says.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10849513/State-pension-set-soar-10-CENT-No10-warns-public-sector-workers-pay-rises.html
Make them pay NI.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/05/24/graduates-earn-125000-london-battles-america-top-legal-talent/
NI wouldn't be going up if the parasites had to pay it too.
Unfortunately no party advocates standing up to the parasites and ensuring people who work for a living get to keep their own wages instead of getting it all taken off them by parasites.
Workers need an Atlas Shrugged moment to rid themselves of the parasites trying to live off other people's backs, but who is going to be prepared to stand up to the grey vote?
Having seen the student loan repayment plans, wow!
I'm surprised it's only 91% frankly.
Oh no, they're still pegged to inflation.
Vote them out
Read the Panorama report and realise his mps have only one choice, vote him out
Boris demeans everybody.
I'm making a shellfish strategic decision to delay my trip until tomorrow!
When Theresa May proposed abolishing the triple lock, all other parties cried havoc then.
The Tories are pandering to the grey vote yes, but all the other parties are even worse. At least the Tories sometimes grasp that it is a problem, unlike everyone else it seems.
No ifs, no buts
Yes voters earning over £35,000 a year will see a NI rise but most of them live in London and after Westminster, Wandsworth and Barnet went Labour in the local elections along with the majority of London that already was Labour why should the Tories be that bothered about them? I myself fall into that category now but as a Tory strategist would prefer to pay a bit more NI rather than increase it for redwall voters and pensioners who we need to be re elected
https://twitter.com/cricketdistrict/status/1528849766796431360?s=20&t=Ry1oAc-kzKVpu0SCiqT42g
The number submitted to 1922 chairman Sir Graham Brady now stands in the high 40s, according to one rebel Tory. ** http://telegraph.co.uk/tw-chopper-nl https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1529094971936190464/photo/1
There is no ‘at least’.
It stinks though, it can’t be defended, given the state of public services, government finances, and the suffering of those on low incomes.
Heart sinks as I realise that yet again I am going to have to go through the painful process of speaking to them.
And then, after comfortably less than 10 minutes the phone is answered. And the (South African, it turns out) fella on the other end of the phone is entirely audible, friendly, helpful, initially as baffled by my bill as me, able to pick through the details of what has happened when, patient as I go through my records, understands what typical and unusual domestic usages are, and brings me to the conclusion that, er, while I have been getting a succession of massive bills from British Gas, I haven't actually been paying them. Apart from in a couple of instances in quite a limited way.
In my defence, my bills have been confused by a rebate from my previous supplier which went bust and which was applied, disapplied and reapplied. So some of my bills have been covered by that.
Still - while energy bills are a big problem, it turns out the main reason they have been horrific in my own case is that I've only actually paid out about £400 in the last 8 months so have been building up a big debit. Phew. Never been so relieved to pay a bill.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1529095974861344768
https://www.statista.com/statistics/416139/full-time-annual-salary-in-the-uk-by-region/
The poorest pensioners too will benefit from a state pension rise
Taxes should be equally payable by all, a proportion of society voting to exempt themselves from taxation and burden those who are paying with an even greater share isn't right, it isn't reasonable and it isn't good economics either. The Conservative Party of Thatcher understood that, even if you don't.
If 70% of the population decided only 10% of the population should pay taxes, they could decide that democratically, but it wouldn't make it the right thing to do.
If you want to engage in socialist welfare where taxes are burdened upon people who work for a living, in order to further featherbed the welfare state for providing generous and unfunded welfare for those who aren't working then feel free to do so. Its not the right thing to do though.
https://www.gov.uk/new-state-pension/what-youll-get
Pensioners are, as a class, fucking loaded.
How on earth do you end up with a country like that?
I was in town today and took the opportunity to ride Crossrail on its first official day, as I was mildly curious to discover what £20 billion buys you in 2022. On the whole I was moderately impressed, at least compared to other government procurement cockups or wastes of similar magnitude, like the Olympics or Northern Ireland.
It is fast and fairly smooth, apart from the need to change at Paddington and Liverpool Street. Hopefully those will be sorted out next year. And it obviously isn't great that Bond Street isn't open yet.
A distinctly weird touch was just outside Paddington station, where a group of young lovelies in Crossrail t-shirts were singing "Purple Train, Purple Train, Purple Train".
Why should workers be seeing their pay potentially stagnate while taxes rise, while pensioners not paying taxes get welfare improved for them?
I find it repulsive.
https://www.gov.uk/new-state-pension/what-youll-get
That many pensioners are loaded should not hide that lots more are struggling.
The older rate is much less mind.
*The point of which, as I never tire of pointing out, isn't to get from Manchester to Leeds 20 minutes quicker - although that would be nice - it's to separate out fast trains and stopping trains - the combination of which on a two-track railway kills capacity and reliability, due to the need to leave such a long gap between the stopping train and the fast train. So NPR gives us the potential for frequent and reliable suburban services.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/may/24/one-woman-took-out-13-of-her-own-teeth-the-terrifying-truth-about-britains-dental-crisis
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/05/24/west-ham-defender-kurt-zouma-admits-kicking-cat/
"Trevor Burke QC, defending Kurt, said he had lost his Adidas sponsorship as a result of the incident and has not returned to his home country of France as "there has been equal hostility" towards him there as there has been in the UK."
Yoan responded: "We never had animals before. Maybe that's why we don't know how to manage these cats."
Utter filth, the pair of them.
https://twitter.com/evansma/status/1529102628155695104
This thread from former Scots Labour leader Jim Murphy, in which he looks at Sturgeon's "defining" mission to improve education, perfectly illustrates the point. The stats are irrefutable.
https://twitter.com/glasgowmurphy/status/1529078734539595780
"As Scotland tumbled down international league tables on every area measured by PISA, the SNP withdrew Scotland from international education league tables incl. Trends in International Maths & Science Study & Progress in International Reading Literacy Studies..."
Of course, those were the original assumptions, and the overruns, delays and fall in passenger numbers will have changed them.
I would like to load a short video, but can't seem to do it. Help needed please? It will let me load a picture.
@Leon Did you see my post at the end of the last thread re train from Lisbon to Faro and then train along the coast.
Re legs - having got frustrated at the lack of progress I seem to have had a sudden leap (not literally). I walked about 500m with a crutch today and now walk around the house without one. Coming down stairs is a bugger. These improvements continue as I have a fair bit of walking planned for Portugal.
It seems that with the trickle of letters, discussions about no confidence votes are nearly always around.
It is clear he broke the rules on multiple occasions and lied on even more. It is clear the Tory party will do nothing about it. Let's see what the electorate do (and I don't think it is a slam dunk either way).
No problem with local funding. Funding from ticket sales is trickier outside London. The value realised will be in increased viabailty of business and value of land in a better-connected North - there are ways to realise this, though you have to be very very careful in order to do it in such a way that you skim some of the value off, rather than simply eliminate it.
He's doing more for intergenerational fairness than Boris Johnson's government ever has and ever will.
The effect of fiscal drag at these high inflation rates is huge.
There is going to be a large drop in real household disposable incomes, at the same time that government propaganda will be about tax cuts.
I'm not sure how this is going to go. Will voters be grateful for the tax cuts, and not realise the effect of fiscal drag, or will the propaganda rile people up as they contrast it with the reality of having less money to spend?
I know that if Osborne was the shadow Chancellor he'd be hammering home the message on fiscal drag. Are Labour letting the Tories get away with this?
We had most of them when restrictions ended.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61566410
But the eastbound platforms are a completely different matter - across the station, down a couple of escalators and through two sets of ticket barriers. Allow ten minutes.
There were more serious things that changing jobs which were prohibited from being marked in some way.
The drinks is not the problem, for me. The problem is the rules and messaging and nudging which the rest of us were subject to.
That's just me, though. Some were fine with the rules and are annoyed with Boris for breaking them. Which is an equally coherent position to take.
See, partygate really does give something for everyone.
HOWEVER, that wasn't the situation, where they had a couple of minor gathering. It was clear that basically they had transported their usual weekend activities into Downing street and just boozed away the evenings...when a) against the rules and b) the situation was constantly evolving and required people to be making clear headed decisions around the clock, not be pissed up and then hung over in the morning. Lives were on the line.
I did like a comment a friend made, Boris Johnson delayed the obvious decisions on Covid-19 until it was the only option, why?
I think we have a reason, he was pissed all the time.
We have a question from a member of the audience. Bob is a manager of a call centre and Claire is leaving to go to another job. Bob wants to know if he can have a party to the early hours without social distancing as it would be quite sad if Claire did not get a boozy leaving do?
Whitty: Yes, I think the covid virus would skip such an event and not transmit, as it would be very unfair on Claire otherwise.
Vallance: Sounds completely essential for work to me.
Johnson: Party like it's 1999, have one, or errrm, six for me!
https://www.gov.uk/national-insurance/what-national-insurance-is-for
It's about pension and the dole. No mention of health or social care, the mobility allowance aside. And it's not enough to cover pensions. So you are talking, erm, terminological inexactitudes.
The downside is it is now a bugger to get a new credit card when asked what your income is. They can't cope with asset rich, income poor people.
Not was the cake in or out the tupperware, or just how many minutes was Boris at the leaving do, that is irrelevant, it is the fact he was saying right chaps and chapesses, you are all working jolly hard, make sure you let your hair down, and clearly coming in when they were doing it, having a drink and then saying jolly good, carry on, which they did to excess....and obviously then claiming well I don't know anything about parties, all rules were followed.