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Johnson exit betting: Now odds-on he’ll survive till 2024 or later – politicalbetting.com
Johnson exit betting: Now odds-on he’ll survive till 2024 or later – politicalbetting.com
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Johnson exit betting: Now odds-on he’ll survive till 2024 or later – politicalbetting.com
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That should cheer the Ukrainians no end.
@visegrad24
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54m
The Azov Regiment has written on Telegram that they are "implementing the decision of the Supreme Military Command" in order to save lives.
Russian sources say 300 have left Azovstal tonight while the remaining 2000 will lay down their weapons tomorrow.
Talking about "special meat".
Him and Clinton Baptiste. It's like early noughties comedy is a way of life now.
I think he meant “with the baddies losing”
Johnson will lead the Brexit Revolutionary Party to defeat at the next UK GE.
In a way it was chance to be a war leader that brought best out of Boris, he’s toned down bombast and arrogance over the last few months and now just looks so relaxed. Grown into the role, perhaps.
Also hopefully it won't show how hard it might be for Ukraine to regain territory.
I hope this island comes through this in one piece.
https://news.sky.com/story/sri-lanka-could-descend-into-anarchy-as-it-risks-running-out-of-food-and-fuel-former-energy-minister-says-12606983
He told a news conference that Sweden was a “hatchery” for terrorist organisations - a reference to Turkish claims Sweden and Finland harbour people it says are linked to groups it deems terrorists, namely the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militant group and followers of Fethullah Gulen, whom Ankara accuses of orchestrating the 2016 coup attempt.
All 30 current NATO members must agree to let the two countries join.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/turkey-threatens-derail-sweden-finland-nato-plan-russia-putin-invasion-ukraine-b1000372.html
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/football/2022/may/16/jake-daniels-becomes-first-uk-male-footballer-to-come-out-as-gay-since-1990
NY Times
https://youtu.be/37iHSwA1SwE
War Leader? Titter.
It was protests over the price of bread that set off the Arab Spring. The touchpaper for a decade of unrest and fighting.
We can be as tribal and rude in posts as is possible, but it won’t change the reality in front of us. He still has charisma and skills of the self-serving cad, he still has heck of a lot of support considering a mid term wobble.
https://www.ft.com/content/0a8f0465-12ed-412b-94cb-571f9fb6f0d4
Turkey's inflation hits two-decade high of 70%
Reuters
https://amp.smh.com.au/politics/federal/radioactive-inside-the-top-secret-aukus-subs-deal-20220510-p5ak7g.html
@francis_scarr
In an extremely rare moment of candour on Russian state TV today, defence columnist Mikhail Khodaryonok gave a damning assessment of Russia's war in Ukraine and his country's international isolation. It's fairly long but worth your time so I've added subtitles.
https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1526293852704890882
Would Labour be any better?
Could they be worse?
Going into the Ukraine conflict, the impression I had was that the Russian were experts in cyberwarfare and espionage, and that we were a bit shit.
It turns out that we weren't shit. We just preferred not to make it too obvious what we were doing.
"Banks and some other financial services companies are required by the regulator to ensure that employees have a minimum of a certain number of consecutive days' holiday annually. It's a bit of an oddity. The reason for it something to do with fraud being easier to cover up if a dishonest employee never takes holiday."
An employee never taking a holiday or only a v short one or coming in to work at weekends or on public holidays when there is no obvious work reason to do so is a big red flag.
It's not just about covering up fraud. It means that someone else looks at the trading books and sees if, say, someone is not marking to market etc. But it can also mean someone who is not coping at work, is stressed etc and that can obviously be a problem.
In 2019 he was clearly all of those things, and while his brand has tarnised badly, I think you would find it hard to convince me that he is uncharismatic or ineloquent. I do not personally find him persuasivem but clearly many still do.
There are many things wrong with Boris the PM. That doesn't mean he lacks every quality or that everything he does is wrong.
The Gray report changes nothing, everyone has already made up their mind about partygate
Impossible to predict how this ends.
Putin likely now has to figure out his own plausible fig leaf exit strategy to give, in turn, France/Germany and others an opportunity to soften sanctions and isolate Ukraine.
We should expect referenda in the currently occupied oblasts, with rigged votes for special autonomous status, and a commitment from Putin to set them up as neutral buffer states.
Ukraine meanwhile will be hoping for a coup de grace somewhere in the north east.
I think Johnson will hang on until the GE. He has no shame.
He is certainly not eloquent or persuasive by any objective standard, unless one is blinded by his charisma.
Whether that is still how the electorate views the parties or how the parties view themselves I'm not sure.
Like you I can’t stand him. I think his platform is broadbrush twaddle dying a death in any granularity, and his cabinet is of the most useless and most slapable the Tory back benches can provide - yet it works. Right wing populist twaddle is just so in tune with the post Brexit English electorate.
Starmer is not Blair, but denying that the Locals were a disaster is not doing the Tories any favours.
The SNP have been in office for 15 years, yet our mid-term test wasn’t bad at all. In fact, it was our best-ever result in local elections, and our eleventh election victory in a row.
Tories are doing themselves a disservice by pretending that failure is inevitable.
Right wing populist twaddle in that it’s makes great headlines, adds great bullshit to speeches, and looks eye catching on the side of a bus - the problem being, it’s not true, just simplistic broadbrush reactionary slogans without detailed achievable plans under writing it.
So how to beat it? How to stop it winning again and again. How to persuade and convince the English electorate away from it?
Still, over the last 45 years I'm surprised the pattern stands up as well as it does.
No reason though to suppose it will contune to do so.
I think we are approaching the end game with the war. The language and tone from the Russians has shifted markedly in the past week or so - whether from Lavrov on regime change or Putin on Sweden / Finland joining NATO. Also today it was reported that the CTSO would hold exercises in October - a bit odd if you expect to be stuck in a war in Ukraine.
Russia knows it has fucked up badly and it needs to get out.
When you think about it logically, the Russians need to exit ASAP. The Ukrainians are talking about a million mobilised and one thing maybe forgotten is that they are nowhere near the peak of their fighting force in the field yet as recruits are still being trained (another important point - Ukraine is not throwing untrained troops into battle) with Lend-Lease plus effectively unlimited supplies to come.
And what have the Russians got? Effectively a demoralised force that has lost many of its best men and which can’t replace it’s lost equipment which is it losing rapidly. They have few too effective troops to call up. They can’t establish air superiority. They are screwed.
The one thing helping them, ironically, is that which was said in the beginning to help Ukraine, namely the mud. Plus maybe more favourable to defend from which to defend. However, in 3 months time, with Ukraine fully mobilised, Russia would be thrown out not only of what it has taken in this war but also the last.
Hence, Russia has a short time to exit the war. That maybe with or without Putin (I suspect the latter)
https://www.thenational.scot/news/20139776.boris-johnson-pushing-scottish-labour-voters-support-second-independence-referendum/
I hope the truth doesn’t depress them. 😐
Yeugh!
It needs to convince the swing voter.
Who is the Worcester woman or Mondeo man de nos jours?
You are right that he survives while all those around him fall. You are not seeing what those of us on the other side of the fence appears blindingly obvious.
Johnson the Churchillian war leader can be spun until the cows come home, but that doesn't make it true. Back in the real world, Johnson is on the verge of doing something monumentally stupid to curry favour with the extreme wing of his party and the DUP.
Grown into the role? You're having a laugh.
'The main thing in our (military) business, it's always to maintain a sense of military-political realism. If you go beyond it, thensooner or later the reality of history will hit you so hard that you'll regret it.'
Labour have not won a General election since.
I concur with Mr Ed’s post upthread.
Brown was certainly innocent of causing the global financial crisis (and may even have saved the world from further calamity), but he had his fingers all over the institutional architecture that made the UK more vulnerable, and he was seen as having over-geared public finances.
Indeed this was why the OBR was set up; to bring more transparency and independence to how public finances were projected and reported.
As for the war coming along, on my side of the fence it’s obvious if Putin thought twice Boris would have faced a VONC. I know it’s painful for you, but this war saved big dog, from at least battling a VONC.
Back to the real world, you mean tackle the thorny issue of the EU border in the Irish Sea separating part of UK from the UK market? Stupid to tackle it? Could put opponents in Westminster on the spot and boost his ratings, especially if he wins the struggle - so not stupid from that point of view.
Now you explain, you explain to prove you are not stupid, it’s going from mainland UK just for use in Northern Ireland economy, why does it have to pass through a EU border? Not worth exploring other options in your opinion?
Perhaps they’d booked Nigel Farage but he couldn’t get a visa.