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The 2022 English local elections – the final scorecard – politicalbetting.com
The 2022 English local elections – the final scorecard – politicalbetting.com
Above from BBC News are the final totals from last Thursday’s local elections. As can be seen the Tories lost the most councillors but the LDs not the official opposition got the most seats.
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John Lee, 64, was the only candidate in the Beijing-backed race to succeed outgoing leader Carrie Lam.
The elevation of Lee, who is currently subject to US sanctions, places a security official in the top job for the first time amid a tumultuous few years for a city battered by political unrest and debilitating pandemic controls.
Come on, where's your sense of romance? That was the stuff of dreams, of legends:
https://twitter.com/NBCSports/status/1523104042427334660?s=20&t=kml_1oY8uGBJAYXC9Fe8_A
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germanys-conservatives-lead-first-exit-poll-schleswig-holstein-state-2022-05-08/
"Former Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives (CDU) looked set to make a clear win a regional election in the northern state of Schleswig-Holstein on Sunday, in a boost to the party which was ousted from national government in federal elections last year.
An exit poll by ARD Tagesschau put the CDU at 43% of the vote, up 11 percentage points compared to the last vote, while the Social Democrats slumped to 15.5%.
The environmental Greens and the pro-business FDP parties, who have been in a coalition with the conservatives since 2017 scored 17% and 7% respectively."
The Tories have suffered atrocious local election results but Labour's are also very poor.
They are not convincing.
We are definitely in Plague-on-both-your-houses territory
It might also be good for the country if they both go. They are both associated with the opposing extremes of the Brexit referendum. Boris is the Leave-leading Boris of the “lying” NHS Leave bus, Starmer is an outright Remoaner who wanted a 2nd vote. We cannot heal as a country - and we need to heal - while either of them is PM or LOTO
When I am PB PM OTOH .....
A hypothetical "Chinese PB.com" must be thoroughly boring!
Still open question whether Stalin's massive late-30s purges of party, army, security, you name it, were a plus or minus to Soviets in the impending Great Patriotic War.
Lab 35
Con 33
LD 17 or 18
However - and to be slightly controversial here - Rahman's actions would be considered normal political practices in the cultures from which many of the Aspire voters come from. It needs a better message to counteract than "he's a crook"
Saw Downton Abbey today after watching recently
Operation Mincemeat
Death on the Nile
Phantom of the Open
The Duke
Liked them all really but Downton Abbey surprised me with its mix of humour, taking the mick out of itself in parts (it has become a caricature of itself ) , intelligence and emotion . It is very stylish as always
But it's a fact that when he took charge as US Army Chief of Staff in 1940, Gen. George Marshall - himself advanced over scores of superior officers by FDR - had to rid the higher ranks of deadwood accumulated as result of WW1 seniority.
Also a fact - again speaking of generals - that Stalin secured the WW2 services of Gen. Konstantin Rokossovsky by having the foresight NOT to execute him, but instead sending him to the Gulag in Siberia, where he was located, freed and put to work helping the Red Army hold and roll back the Germans.
https://www.ft.com/content/9405ad3a-4719-43a0-953a-0d2323211476
"Indian politicians brush off crime accusations in world’s largest democracy
Rise of candidates facing serious charges including kidnap and murder alarms observers"
I would think refusal unlikely in normal circumstances. But we're positing a situation where an unconventional PM tries to take advantage of the main opposition party being temporarily leaderless - this would surely be deemed "not cricket".
I confess the trailers for The Duke didn't really sell me on the film. It looked very very British.
I cited the Principles on the previous thread. None of them refer to the LOTO being incapacitated.
Do not confuse it with long established militaries, like say, ours or the US one where a bunch of 'old X's boys' get promoted due to their connections. Yes, connections were important, but you had to actually be good to make them.
Why our Generals Were More Successful in World War II
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OehvY94N-WA
And I'm sorry but diversification means there will be more required in some areas than generic party offers.
You counter all of this by giving something positive to vote for, nationally and then tailored locally as the circumstances dictate, not by saying 'well people like him shouldn't even be allowed in the game ' cos he is, like it or not.
A very poor "set" of elections? Wales and Scotland don't count then.
The problem was that he, and the other exponents of combined are warfare, were a bit too clever for Stalin. In DictatorWorld, being cleverer than the boss = the chop.
So, while the tank designers kept on working away, the doctrine remained that tanks were infantry support vehicles rather than an arm in their own right. And the Red Army kept it's cavalry...
Its not that he isn't capable - Nick Palmer told a good anecdote of how Boris can research details when he wants to.
But its not just Boris - there's been too much immaturity, sleaze and general slackness in the government and the Conservative party overall.
Lab 2353
LD 542
MORE THAN 4 TIMES
"And Greene going well, so's Ato Bolden, Greene pumping now, Bolden coming back at him, looking strong, Greene, Bolden, two of them locked, Greene, Greene, Bolden ... BAILEY!"
Lab 38%
Con 31%
LD 16%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_United_Kingdom_local_elections
EICIPM
Anyway the 3rd test doesn't pass. If Johnson wants an early election who is the Queen to call to form a government without him unless enough of his party also don't want an early election and are prepared to indicate that ANother from the Cabinet would have their support?
Almost like they’re not really Labour at all
Wales in particular ran a Welsh Labour campaign distanced from the National Party
As you must know surely
LD's. Big winners. I was more bullish on them than most, but I underestimated it. They are back as a serious force in certain counties.
Greens did damn well. Also in specific places.
Labour. Meh. SKS just isn't very good at politics. Be careful what Tories wish for. He hasn't cut through, and there is no chance of a Corbynite replacement.
Tories was an off the scale disaster. They are facing an electoral pincer movement of tactical voting. I expected 200 losses UK wide. They've far exceeded that in England alone.
Scotland.
A bit meh all round really. Labour coming second is of symbolic importance mind. LD's did well.
Wales.
A super result for Llafur. Tories have chucked away a decade of hard graft. Dismal.
NI.
Could have been much worse
Unfortunately, they don't seem to have realised because of the changes to the leadership election rules they won't be able to get a candidate on the ballot.
I'm just a bit depressed about Labour, tbh. Rubbish in most of England, no real breakthrough here in Scotland.
The Lib Dem gains aren't going to translate to the 50 - 60 seats that would cause a significant change to the arithmetic in the absence of a Labour revival in Scotland/red wall.
Surely Keir will have to sue over this. They’re literally libelling him
Westminster and Wandsworth accounted for about 95% of Labour's net council gains in England. 21 in those two boroughs and 22 in England.
Johnson to launch Operation Save Islington Lawyer tomorrow?
You can spin it all you like that I and thousands like me voted for Drakeford despite Starmer, but that is a lie.
This will only be good for Labour. They’ll end up with Reeves or Streeting and go onto win.
This is like Smith all over again
It does back up what I said about Starmer playing the politics really badly. He played it as I am the law man, I never ever break the law. He could have easily covered his own arse for these sort of minor infractions as as he claimed at the time rules being very confusing, while still making a solid point about Boris actively encouraging this staff to ignore the rules.