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Odds of 2/1 on a Johnson 2022 exit look value – politicalbetting.com
Odds of 2/1 on a Johnson 2022 exit look value – politicalbetting.com
Clearly Boris Johnson is going through a very tricky period and the big question remains whether he can survive certainly until the end of the year. Until late past week I’ve taken the view that he would make it but this lunchtime I placed a bet at about 2/1 on Betfair that he would be out this year. This is not a prediction but an assessment that the odds offered value.
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And they say the age of miracles has passed...
Spookily the only place I can find this on the internet is in the French translation of Niven. Dunno if this link will work
https://www.google.co.uk/books/edition/David_Niven_Mémoires/LmA7EAAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=david+niven+shylock&pg=PT560&printsec=frontcover
Apropos of nothing at all, it was 19 degrees today in my bit of the Lakes today. Sat outside on my terrace reading in the sunshine this morning listening to the birds and lambs bleating in the field next door. All is well in my world.
Our village is hosting some Ukrainian families. I am helping with the visa applications. Not really my area of expertise but it is something I can do to help. I hope they will like it here.
It's working.
He is, of course, de facto Head vice HMtQ.
What's the point of an Established Church if the Conservative Party feel totally free to order it about, and ignore it?
How long before the C of E sheds the Erastian heresy and moves to disestablishment?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eOll3v55Dmo&t=60s
Five more Deltapoll-scale findings and I reckon he’s history. Tory MPs are clearly not interested in ethics, but the slimeballs won’t look forward to re-entering the jobs market just as England regains her Sick Man of Europe title.
London
Lab 50%
Con 20%
Rest of South
Con 43%
Lab 37%
Midlands
Con 47%
Lab 37%
North
Lab 54%
Con 24%
Scotland
SNP 49%
Lab 29%
Con 15%
Wales
Lab 56%
PC 19%
Con 13%
(Deltapoll/Mail on Sunday; Sample Size: 1,550; Fieldwork: 13th - 14th April 2022)
Yesterday?
Why? He's already guilty. Is the difference between disgraced criminal and repeated disgraced criminal that profound for the purposes of not having a disgraced criminal in Number 10?
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/disown-johnson-or-face-terminal-decline-tory-tells-scottish-party-pgnhk298f
Come to think of it, who is the most senior minister who would put "C of E" in the box labelled "religion" on a form, without thinking about it much?
Meanwhile another Rapist staff officer is killed and things not going 100% for them in any front.
NOM 1.92
Con Maj 3.5
Lab Maj 5
The Roman Catholic Church won't allow their bishops to be in the Lords as it challenges the supremacy of the Vatican and the evangelicals have little interest in bishops anyway.
Lord Sachs was in the Lords when alive and of course the former chief rabbi so your facts are not even correct
It was only after five minutes or so that my friend realised, and told the nurse I wasn't the sh*t who was responsible ...
The whole point is that the C of E should not be an Established Church at all in the modern world. You know, we're not in the Tudor era any more. Or even the Stuart one. And look what happened to the Stuarts.
Macron is useless but people won't vote Le Pen so Macron will be ok around 57 - 43.
Has anyone seen or heard from an expert predicting that the Russians are likely to make a major breakthrough in the Donbass? I'm struck by the near universal scepticism from pretty much everyone I listen to or read. At the start of the war many were predicting Kiev would fall in days and the whole country within weeks. Now I can hardly find anyone who thinks they'll get very far. Quite a turnaround. There is a difference between unlikely and impossible and wars are unpredictable beasts. I hope the pendulum hasn't swung back too far the other way and the experts aren't herding in their views.
EDIT: here it is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generic_you
Not to mention the Parish system in England of the established church guarantees every Parishioner a church wedding or funeral regardless of how often they attend church
If I were an active Christian Scot I would be really angry at your description of Scottish religion as an Old Firm plus Partick Thistle. There's a hell of a lot more to it than that, starting with the Quakers.
And your latter point is utterly irrelevant to your political worldview. It's a moral and pastoral one. it doesn't mean that Mr J pp HMtQ has to be i/c the C of E. In any case, what't the point of a boss of the C of E who keeps slagging it off?
Hallelujah.
I thought Mike had got bored of us all and booted us off his site…
I was able to persuade Wor Lass to vote tactically for Labour to help get rid of the Tory.
Yet IIRC by 1970s approx. 90% of Catholic women in USA capable of childbearing were using the pill or condoms, and only small minority the church-approved rhythm method. Most did NOT tell their priest about it, or make a big deal about it socially or politically.
But they did it anyway. Most remaining committed Catholics - in belief that, on this issue, they are NOT the ones out of step with true religion.
Rather it's popes & priests who err - and despite what some of THEM think, they are NOT the Church.
The reason England still has the Church of England as its largest church, not the Roman Catholic church or hardcore evangelicals, is the Church of England is the established church.
Mr Johnson is not Supreme Governor of the C of E, the Queen is, Mr Johnson is not even Anglican but Roman Catholic
Every MP that votes for that disgrace are going to get beaten like morning wood at the next election.
How bad does Con VI need to be before you advocate a fresh leader? Fifteen point deficit? A deficit in every single country and region?
"We keep being told by military strategists that this is a very different proposition from the battleground in northern Ukraine and we should not assume that just because the Russians failed in their assault on Kyiv that they will fail to make progress in the Donbas."
There had also been some nervous pointing towards the potential for encirclement of the JFO before the withdrawal from around Kyiv.
There is a lot of uncertainty, and as I think one of the analysts on twitter said, "war is a series of contingent events," but if Ukraine are to emerge victorious then it's hard to think of a possible opening eight weeks to the war that would be more likely to lead them in that direction.
The main exceptions are nations like Norway and Denmark which also have the Protestant Lutheran church as their established church
So, a range of different pollsters all showing a 10 point plus Con deficit GB-/UK-wide will suffice? I take it your daft 10 point Con lead in the Midlands observation was your attempt at squirrel spotting.