Categories
LAB hot favourites in local election betting – politicalbetting.com
LAB hot favourites in local election betting – politicalbetting.com
Creating a betting market for the local elections is very challenging because a different group of seats comes up each year for election. Smarkets have got around this by providing an exchange bet on the projected national vote share that the BBC generally issues in its local election results coverage.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
When i saw the headline, I presumed it was either out of context, as in he means after the war ends or it was a some unnamed source overhead anothr person on the phone claiming....sort of bollocks.
I like the locals because of how blatant parties manage expectations and spin, knowing that most people won't pick up on the point in the header about the challenge of different groups of seats (in that case for betting, for the public in perceptions).
Not really an indication of their policy offer one way or another.
Interesting the gender dimension to all of this. Suddenly it is just accepted that 'men go to fight in the war'. I've never seen this idea questioned in the discussion about Ukraine. I've been suggesting to my wife that I think that gender norms are so deeply entrenched in human psychology that they can never be truly deconstructed.
So a run as Zelensky's running mate won't be out of the question I suppose.
Presumably, without Russian agreement it simply means joining the war on Ukraine's side. Is that what is intended, or is it something less than that - perhaps Polish forces in West Ukraine to deter a Belarusian invasion, freeing up some Ukrainian army units in the West to head to the frontlines in the East?
No longer big news but still. The commander fo the 🇷🇺 346th Spetsnaz Brigade of GRU colonel Sergey Podgursky was killed by 🇺🇦 forces near Mariupol. This highly trained unit was used in Crimea and the invasion of East Ukraine in 2014, being probably created for that purpose.
https://twitter.com/EerikNKross/status/1506009320999485442
But Boris isn't the hero, it is Zelensky and his team.
All Boris would be doing is trying to steal some of their glow.
But I suppose if you have a family and you have to choose one parent to protect the children and the other to go to war, most of the time the normal gender division will come into operation.
I cant see it happening, but there might be some value in going in to western Ukraine to deter invasion from the sea or Belorussia, as you say freeing up the last bit of the Ukrainian army not engaged to counterattack somewhere else, but what do we do when some Polish solders are killed by Russian missile/air attack?
It used to be a safe labour seat where they did nothing.
Last year they lost one of the seats to a conservative candidate who was little more than a paper candidate.
The other labour councillor is now defending the seat.
The labour leaflets go through the usual local generic issues - potholes, etc.
And then goes on to ask people to write to conservative councillors about them.
Email addresses etc were provided - for conservative politicians.
The war currently looks pretty like it's in a stalemate, so a bit of extra help of one sort or another might be enough to give the Ukrainians the upper hand.
Modern Apprenticeships.
https://smarkets.com/event/42657985/politics/uk/by-elections/2022/03/24/22-00/seghill-with-seaton-delaval-by-election
And if you think people under 30 think Brexit helps them you are deluded. Most are pissed off with the lost opportunities in Europe.
I appreciate your reply was probably tongue in cheek.
"Wheat has corrupted humanity
The grain gave birth to the tyrannical state
BY JOHN LEWIS-STEMPEL"
https://unherd.com/2022/03/wheat-has-corrupted-humanity/
Proper time served, day and block release to University apprenticeships (which often results in degrees and HNDs) on the other hand can be excellent.
Yes for sure you are more likely to need the nhs in older life, but plenty of the under 30’s need the nhs.
Or maybe it won’t be. I’ll not lie, I think I’ve had my share of nhs spending over my years, so I don’t begrudge paying the tax.
I get that life seems hard for youngsters. It was easy in the 80’s either. When unemployment was huge, and prospects were zero.
All you can do is buckle down, improve yourself try to work hard, get lucky, and see what happens.
The key is going to be ruining their reputation and getting British people to take alternative means of transport to France.
Our rabbit is much nicer than any dog I've met.
CHB is right, there's no getting around it. Old people seem to relish fucking up the lives of the following generations, it's not surprising that younger generations are waking up to it. Eventually we will get a Corbyn like character who will attack property rights and then we all lose.
I think they were looking for a more useful answer about the purpose of taxation, which I'm all for, but I couldn't but help be flippant.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Glossary:Equivalised_disposable_income
Starmer, who was super quick to (wrongly) claim the UK could just cut Russia off from SWIFT and all other Labour representatives aren't calling for anything like this. Their response is 100% focused upon a law banning fire / rehire (which I doubt applies here because old employees were employed in Jersey, new ones via Malta / Cyprus) and going forward excluding P&O from public sector contracts.
I haven't heard a single person saying well all we need to do is make a simple change to the law to ensure P&O can't operate in British ports.
Cutting the cost of my diesel, obvs....
If you then take into account housing costs and other living costs, you end up with economies of scale of living with other people.
Quite a big chunk of poverty can be explained by increasing numbers of people living by themselves. International comparisons are fun (particularly Italy, as I recall).
Because he tells his audience what they want to hear, he's bloody good at winning elections.
Because he tells his audience what they want to hear, he's bloody awful at using his victories.
Thatch, Cameron, they knew how to invest spare popularity to extend the Conservative circle. Major and May had the same instincts, albeit they were less good at it and had a smaller pot of popularity to play with.
Same was true of Blair, and Starmer is doing a decent job of getting some sort of return from a lousy inheritance.
Johnson doesn't seem capable of doing that- he just panders to those in front of him, even if it repels others.
It's also why I don't totally buy the "midterm, swingback to come" model. Thatcher engineered midterm unpopularity to get things done. BoJo's dips have come from helping out his mates or having parties; those won't give a positive payback in two years time.
The £20 uplift was good for much poorer people. But both are dwarfed by particularly harsh policies like the two child limit.