Punters remain convinced that BJ will last the course – politicalbetting.com
Punters remain convinced that BJ will last the course – politicalbetting.com
I have been following politics for long enough to know that the chances of PMs going early is almost always overstated by the media and commentators – something that political gamblers are not doing.
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my inner Amol Rajan speaking there.
But most stuff doesn't happen. Except in the past 5 years.
Certainly not the KKK style lynching of Arbery.
See black people protesting at murder by white cop in another state.
Take a huge fuck-off rifle you can't legally possess and drive to the protest
Go out patrolling someone else's town in someone else's state pretending to be part of the local vigilante militia defending the town against uppity black communists or whatever
Get to shoot two people dead.
Get acquitted, thus upholding the second, and get lauded by President Trump!
Surely we will see a lot more of this kind of thing. As we did in Portland and other cities where well armed good 'ol boys went riding into town whipping and a whopping every living thing within an inch of its life to uphold law and order and the American way.
Otherwise looks like a father taking his daughter to school what's the big problem. I assume this is in Peckham just by the Broadway?
I think Johnson is in bigger trouble than Mike does.
Just donated to Wiki. Where would we PB Experts on Everything be without wiki, eh?
A scope that size is great for 500 yards - but the gun isn't up to that.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/59369648
I admire the guy.
Shooting with gloves takes a bit of practise, and selecting the right gloves - I've done it for clay pigeon shooting.
Nope, that didn't happen. Jacob Blake is still alive. Antifa were doing most of the protesting.
Take a huge fuck-off rifle you can't legally possess and drive to the protest
Nope, that didn't happen. Drove there. Picked up the gun. Legally allowed to handle it. Hence, no gun charge.
Go out patrolling someone else's town in someone else's state pretending to be part of the local vigilante militia defending the town against uppity black communists or whatever
His family's town - Dad and other relatives live there. Footage shows him cleaning graffiti earlier in the day and putting out fires on that third night of rioting. The mob that chased him was almost all white (except for the drop kick guy). Riminskis - who fired the first shot - white. Rosenbaum - who chased him through the car lot - white. Huber - who wrestled with him on the floor - white. Grosskreutz - who was only shot when he raised his pistol at Rittenhouse - white.
There's a good reason Rittenhouse was exonerated.
It's like you're willingly ignoring details that can be independently corroborated. Like, for a start and your very first comment, Jacob Blake still being alive.
Edit: Apart from The Ambassadors IIRC.
It was coincidence that the google map image contained the business "5 Star Firearms" in the bottom right corner.
EDIT - with thanks to @BannedInParis for his perspective and correcting me on attempted murder by cop not murder by cop
Top tip: don't go innocently jogging into building sites at night in areas where that sort of shit happens. The thought of leaving rifles in unlocked vehicles...
EDIT - no gloves, but well dressed
And expect the Waukesha story to be forgotten very soon. Too inconvenient. BLM supporter who expressed anti-white thoughts ploughing into the crowd. Funny how the media rushed to the conclusion he was fleeing the scene of a crime from Police. As if, when you try to escape, you decide it makes perfect sense to drive right through the middle of a crowded parade because, mmmm, that is a great way to escape.
Oh, and re the Liverpool bomber, I see after days of proclaiming all over the place that the Liverpool bomber was a "Christian convert" (funny how those who are usually first to tell us religion has nothing to do with certain attacks were so keen to tell us he was a Christian convert), it is now being quietly reported with a lot less fanfare that the bomber converted back to Islam a few months ago.
You can't even argue that their possession of guns is the issue. Other countries have a lot of guns and manage to avoid the American problem.
If Antioch were just inside Wisconsin I think it would have been an equally bad idea to drive there to a riot with a gun.
If Antioch were in Wisconsin, but was 150 miles away and he had little connection with the place, I think it would have been worse despite not crossing state lines in this hypothetical.
Do you really think state line crossing makes any difference to the ethical issue?
Carrying guns at a riot is stupid and leads to predictable results. I would argue that doing so, deliberately, gets you into the reckless endangerment/manslaughter zone. On an ethical basis, that is.
No difference ethically.
Legally. He crossed a State line.
At a guess I'd have said that duelling pistols would be rifled, others not so much. But I'd be wrong about that: US Civil War Colt revolvers had rifling as standard
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rifling
I think the emphasis on it is weird as it doesn't make what he did any worse.
*But, naturally, lots of duelling pistols *were* rifled.
We should just be thankful that in the UK we are not at that level.
If he stayed PM through the next general election and won it and headed to 10 years as PM he would be in the Blair and Thatcher league and could command millions on the lecture circuit as they did.
So Boris will want to stay and Tory MPs won't remove him unless Labour gets a clear poll lead and an alternative Tory leader polls better against Starmer than he does
This means that the State has a *duty* to do effective law enforcement. And I have a *duty* not to do vigilante stuff.
What is happening in America is that the populace no longer believes that the State is taking this on effectively. Hence the reversion to.....
Latest poll has Boris preferred PM over Starmer 41% to 32% but Sunak only preferred PM over Starmer by 39% to 32%.
Yes most Labour and LD voters may prefer Sunak to Boris but would they vote for Sunak over Starmer? No.
However a few 2019 Tory voters would clearly go RefUK or not vote if Boris was no longer Tory leader
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-21-november-2021/
I'd hope US students would protest their university paying their huge loans out to Boris on a jolly.
He appears, for instance, to be largely to blame for the rail debacle (though I note the Treasury is briefing that's it's all a problem of No10 'presentation').
I suspect the whole of central Europe is heading back into lockdown. Slovakia is set to announce theirs today
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1463459951414853635?s=20
Much has been made of 3D printed guns. If you have a very expensive metal printer, you can make quite a good gun. But there is a still an issue with ammunition.
Quite soon though, the following will happen - improved multi-material 3D printing will allow construction of coil guns, easily. Given the improvements in batteries, someone will be able to construct a weapon that will, pretty silently, chuck a 5mm ball bearing at 2 times the speed of sound. With a bit of design, 20 times a second.
The biggest barrier at the moment is hand winding the coils, and the circuit boards. You can print the rest of the coil gun - if you have a design. Now.
The crossing state lines with a firearm was thrown out because the defence proved he obtained the gun after crossing the state line so there was technically no way he could be found guilty on that one.
FPT:
The Chancellor is getting it this week, for having let the Free Ports initiative get watered down by the Treasury civil servants, despite having authored a report on their advantage five years ago.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/11/20/freeports-risk-killed-officials-treasury/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/11/23/freeports-embody-low-tax-brexit-dream-treasury-cant-stand/
“The idea of reviving freeports had come from then-international trade secretary Liz Truss. She invited me and others to join a working group to push it forward. When I got there, I was pleased to see Rishi Sunak, who had recently published a think tank report extolling the virtues of freeports. I was less pleased to see ranks of Treasury civil servants, almost outnumbering those of us round the table. “They insisted on being here,” a trade official told me. This was now a joint Trade-Treasury project.
“I had the sinking feeling that — despite the support of the Prime Minister, the Trade Secretary, and the man who would become Chancellor — the freeports revival was already in its last throes. And so it proved. Oxbridge professors on the panel said freeports would only relocate jobs from one part of the UK to another. (Oxbridge economics says very little about entrepreneurship. It regards firms as a "given" rather than asking how and why new ones are generated. Hence the idea that jobs can only be moved around, not created.)
“The Treasury officials, meanwhile, complained of the complexity of changing the customs and VAT rules, hinting of fraud and tax avoidance. The number of freeports would be limited to 10 and politics, not economics, would decide where they were located. And they would have to focus on "high-tech" jobs (the politicians’ mantra) rather than what the market might produce. None of the people I suggested, who actually created or ran successful freeports around the world, were ever contacted. After one meeting, the freeports "working group" quietly expired.
“Recently there have been reports that ministers and businesses have said that Treasury is killing freeports with a lack of ambition on tax cuts and planning relaxation. This comes as the first freeport started operating in Teesside on Friday.”
"Monday is surrender day, not freedom day, in England
Removing all restrictions is a foolhardy strategy for mass infection with Covid-19"
https://www.ft.com/content/c9a6c0f0-985c-4563-91bb-aee51f0ab926
Today, with gritted teeth, they admit he was probably right
"UK boosted by third-jab success as infections surge in much of Europe
Early push on top-ups and immunity from earlier wave puts UK on different trajectory from some continental neighbours"
https://www.ft.com/content/974487ab-54be-4b43-945c-597277aa1292
The Polish off-license owners and the Vietnamese cooks from the restaurants were sitting out behind the row of shops/bars/restaurants there. Armed with machetes and baseball bats. Smoking, drinking and talking. Waiting for the rioters to move half a mile more.....
All very cross cultural.
And did he (Grosskreutz) take a 2 handed standard shooting aim stance at you, (Implying that till he took this stance he wouldn't have been ready to shoot and thus you can't shoot back)
He could have shot you from further away, why didn't he take the opportunity
I've never seen a line of questioning quite like it, it was unbelievably bad - making out that unless and until Rittenhouse had his brains blown out by Grosskreutz that he had no right to self defense.
Also avoid invading Korea.
Whereas the betrayal of the north over rail is an issue of great political salience.
Compare hospitalisation rates.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/weekly-hospital-admissions-covid-per-million?country=GBR~CZE
Johnson's "got the chance to remind voters of his authority at PMQs at noon."
But Boris will not earn millions on the business lecture circuit because he treats audiences with contempt as we have seen this week, and a few weeks ago at the Conservative Party conference.
No, the future for Boris lies on the American academic circuit, starting with seven figures as a moosehead professor at the University of Wazoo, and free to write and make hay on the after-dinner circuit.
Then we need to check the data at source - some of the aggregation sites use some dodgy site scraping to get their data.
Also, what they compare with what. IIRC there was a South American country where they were counting "turning up at ER with a positive test" as "hospitalisation"
He is the first British Prime Minister since Thatcher with a story that the whole world wants to hear, especially the USA. Arguably, he is the most bankable PM since Churchill
This is not because he is a great PM, but simply events, dear boy. He was the winner of the Brexit referendum - one of the great geopolitical events of the century so far, and he has been PM during a once-a-century pandemic, when Britain was also at the centre of events producing vaccines AND variants
And he is a naturally good writer, and he he has had a colourful life apart from all this. Publishers will throw money at him; there will be a glossy Netflix series about him
But the reality is that the treasury needs separate guidance in what they are planning to do, which for levelling up means - you need to fix things so that GDP per capita is increasing higher up North than in London. And if you don't no further promotions.
I’m only half way through reading the actual proposal at this point, but it does seem more comprehensive than anything since Beeching, even if it’s not the full original HS2 plan. Personally, I think that both the regional improvements and the HS2 plan should have gone ahead, these are once-in-a-century projects which increase capacity significantly.
Bulgaria: 108.02
Slovenia: 106.80
Romania: 92.64
Czechia: 56.79
Austria: 47.88
Belgaum: 44.45
Germany: 35.99
US: 35.41
Netherlands: 21.95
Ireland: 21.27
Switzerland: 19.96
France: 17.91
UK 12.43
Spain: 8.43
Italy: 7.59
Note there are a few places like France that look to be doing better than the UK on cases but when it comes to ICU they have a higher rate, also Spain and Italy look like they have a lot less cases but are much close in terms of ICU usage. also worth noting that ICU usage is a lagging indicator, the big rises in cases in, say Germany over the last week will not have fed though yet.
I would add Blair to that group too alongside Churchill, Thatcher and Boris as you suggest