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Will Paterson be the trigger for the Tories to lose their poll lead? – politicalbetting.com
Will Paterson be the trigger for the Tories to lose their poll lead? – politicalbetting.com
As we all know the Tories have, except for just two polls, been ahead in every survey since the spring when the so-called vaccination bounce was happening. Could all that come to an end following BoJo’s decision to thwart action against what seems to be a clear case of paid for lobbying?
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If Paterson is going to be tried again, presumably there's a good chance the same outcome is reached.
Politicians like Blair and Boris get away with "sleaze" where others like Major, Brown and May don't... This story will have minimal impact.
I do understand the personal sympathy towards him (and his circumstances), but it's far, far worse now. He's going to have to swing.
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There's a nasty brutal element to the Johnson regime. Absolute loyalty or you swim with the fishes. Eddie Mair had it right when he called Johnson a nasty piece of work.'
I suspect you are right. And that absolutely makes me want to vote for Boris
Post Covid, post Brexit, life is going to hard for Britain, for quite a while. I want some mean nasty fucker with ambition and guile in charge of the country, I don't want the bumbling well-meaning Sir Kir Royale
Yes Boris is cunning and cruel. Perfect. I reckon it was this side that surprised Macron, and entirely blind-sided him, with AUKUS. Hence Macron's enormous pique
Incidentally, what is the reason to put notorious friend of Russia John Whittingdale in charge of the new investigating committee?
And to be honest the idea that the conservatives are uniquely bad in this doesn’t really wash. I recall the last labour government. A fair few scandals in that one too. Mandelson? Baroness Scotland? Blunket? And the SNP is not immune. Poor old Nippy has such a poor memory that she should probably be disbarred from office...
So a terrible day, and one that will enrage many, especially on pb, but it will be a tiny ripple by the weekend for the public at large.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2021/11/03/former-england-star-gary-ballance-outed-yorkshire-cricketer/
"Former England star Garry Ballance has been outed as the Yorkshire cricketer who called Azeem Rafiq a P--- in what an investigation dismissed as “banter”.
Ballance’s name was made public following attempts to confront him over the findings of a report in which he also confessed to telling other people, “Don’t talk to him, he’s a P---”, asking, “Is that your uncle?”, when they saw bearded Asian men and saying, “Does your dad own those?” in reference to corner shops.
Leaked extracts from the report commissioned by Yorkshire County Cricket Club also showed how Ballance – who had not been publicly identified until Wednesday – admitted recalling that Rafiq broke down in tears at one point.
Despite this, Ballance told lawyers investigating the racism scandal to engulf the club that he had no idea he was causing offence and would have stopped had Rafiq asked."
I have said he is a ferocious autocrat, and deeply reprehensible. Shame on him!
He is also an astute political observer, and operator, hence his remarkable career. Worth listening to, even as he poisons people
If you are still voting Tory it is a) because you are a Leaver and believe in Boris and Brexit and this is unlikely to shift you to Starmer Labour or LD or b) because you believe in free enterprise and capitalism in which case a bit of paid for lobbying for a private company is hardly the end of the world even if found not to technically be fully within parliamentary rules.
It might narrow the Tory lead back to hung parliament territory, I doubt it would put Labour ahead
At the same time he is a sort-of tyrant who kills his enemies. But then, the US president often kills his enemies with drones, Obama did it, Trump did it. Trump, unlike Putin, tried to enact a violent coup to hold on to power, Putin merely changed the Constitution with a "plebiscite" so as to do the same, with fewer buffalo horns
It is increasingly hard to mark out the West as superior, in multiple ways, and Wokeness is yet another massive count against us
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
On that basis, not-quite-outlier polls with Labour ahead ought to be beginning to happen; C36L37 wouldn't be a shock for example, and today's events won't have helped the Conservatives.
We know abstaining is damaging. Its now a sacking offence.
Ditto America > China
You can be both honest and a capitalist.
Russia has far too forgiving press coverage, and China somewhat too hostile (although they should be utterly condemned on a few issues)
Everyone in Russia and Eastern Europe has either a personal memory, or the folk memory, of communism, and all its horrors. They can see how Wokeness mirrors its lunacies.
As Putin says in his famous speech
"We look in amazement at the processes underway in the countries which have been traditionally looked at as the standard-bearers of progress. Of course, the social and cultural shocks that are taking place in the United States and Western Europe are none of our business; we are keeping out of this. Some people in the West believe that an aggressive elimination of entire pages from their own history, “reverse discrimination” against the majority in the interests of a minority, and the demand to give up the traditional notions of mother, father, family and even gender, they believe that all of these are the mileposts on the path towards social renewal.
"The advocates of so-called ‘social progress’ believe they are introducing humanity to some kind of a new and better consciousness. Godspeed, hoist the flags as we say, go right ahead. The only thing that I want to say now is that their prescriptions are not new at all. It may come as a surprise to some people, but Russia has been there already. After the 1917 revolution, the Bolsheviks, relying on the dogmas of Marx and Engels, also said that they would change existing ways and customs and not just political and economic ones, but the very notion of human morality and the foundations of a healthy society. The destruction of age-old values, religion and relations between people, up to and including the total rejection of family (we had that, too), encouragement to inform on loved ones – all this was proclaimed progress and, by the way, was widely supported around the world back then and was quite fashionable, same as today. By the way, the Bolsheviks were absolutely intolerant of opinions other than theirs.
"This, I believe, should call to mind some of what we are witnessing now. Looking at what is happening in a number of Western countries, we are amazed to see the domestic practices, which we, fortunately, have left, I hope, in the distant past. The fight for equality and against discrimination has turned into aggressive dogmatism bordering on absurdity, when the works of the great authors of the past – such as Shakespeare – are no longer taught at schools or universities, because their ideas are believed to be backward. The classics are declared backward and ignorant of the importance of gender or race. In Hollywood memos are distributed about proper storytelling and how many characters of what colour or gender should be in a movie. This is even worse than the agitprop department of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union."
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66975
He goes on for another 1000 pretty forensic words....
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/579933-democrats-point-fingers-after-virginia-defeat
"...the crushing setbacks for Democrats in heavily suburban Virginia and New Jersey hinted at a conservative-stoked backlash to the changing mores around race and identity championed by the party, as Republicans relentlessly sought to turn schools into the next front in the country’s culture wars."
NY Times
Not looking good for Biden.
If Paterson is guilty then he should be punished. My only objection is that there should be a fair method to determine that he is, and I have never seen a system before where one person can act as judge, jury and executioner with no right of appeal at all.
There is a very significant risk for the government, that particularly for older voters, this acts as a replay of the 1990's arrival of Blair in the wake of Major's sleaze era ; even more so as Starmer is doubly boosted by having acted as prosecutor in a scandal after that one that younger voters remember, too.
"Centrists are already arguing that the results demonstrate a need to chart a more cautious course or face electoral disaster.
But the left is in no mood to trim its sails. A collective statement from several progressive groups, including Justice Democrats and the Sunrise Movement, released after midnight branded the McAuliffe campaign as one that was “designed to fail” and had “no rebuttal to Republican race-baiting bullshit.”
One thing’s for sure: Republicans are as of today on course to take back control of Congress in next year’s midterm elections."
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/579764-five-takeaways-from-a-grim-night-for-democrats
@PickardJE
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43m
if you’re interested in Tory sleaze you have three more hours before this magazine article goes back behind the
@ft paywall
https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1456003972720889858
David Gauke
@DavidGauke
· 6h
Another good day not to be a Conservative MP.
That would rebalance things. Purge Wokeness (and it needs to be purged), let the Right vent its anger safely, then we can all recalibrate
Another feeble twattish Wokey Democrat winning just because they aren't quite as insane as Trump is a disaster almost as bad as Trump 2.0
Republicans, shape up. You can save the West - or not
That's populism though, the law and other rules and procedures are seen as obstructive.
https://twitter.com/OwenPaterson/status/1182203227565166592
Read more Scruton
However I should point out (although this is no justification as two wrongs don't make a right) that there are plenty of situations where there is no appeals process. In fact, as I mentioned earlier, I am involved in a campaign to rectify one of those that is due its 2nd reading in the HofC shortly. It will be interesting to see if it gets Govt support. There was a meeting with the whips last week. I don't want to go into any more details here but for instance you can not appeal a decision by GAD through the PHSO. The Equitable Law situation required a law to be enacted to allow that to happen. I have been 9 years on the campaign I support, others have been going much longer on other campaigns where they can't get a review of a decision, such that many who should be compensated have died since with MPs doing bugger all. Suddenly it is a Tory MP and all the stops are pulled out and over something he had control over compared to many who don't.
That's not to say there should be infinite appeals etc or a blank cheque, but there should always be an opportunity if you can demonstrate a genuine flaw in the decision making process to have a chance to have that reviewed.
Bernie Sanders would be a better President than most of the other options, I think.
How long before the scales fall from the electorate's eyes?
@hendopolis
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9m
METRO: The sleazy way out #TomorrowsPapersToday
*weird screen freeze*
Dildos! I AM EADRIC.
https://www.ft.com/content/de097d02-3fa9-4041-ade2-d517af30818c
As I was told when starting my career: your reputation is valuable, but you can only sell it once.
Don’t tarnish the reputation of the conservatives with your ridiculous claims
'Late one night in pre-war Munich, a young English woman, dressed all in black and accompanied by six SS officers in full uniform, climbed the dark stairs to her apartment.
Once inside she lit two large church candles either side of her bed, their glow revealing enormous swastika banners at its head and silver framed portraits of Adolf Hitler on side tables.
After sliding off her boots and gauntlet-style gloves, she stepped out of her long black skirt and blindfolded herself with a Nazi armband before lying down, spread-eagled, on the bed.
One man bound her hands and feet to its four corners while another, in what was obviously a familiar ritual, wound up the gramophone and dropped the needle on to a record of Horst-Wessel-Lied, the Nazi anthem.
This was the cue for the other officers to remove their boots, belts and uniforms. Then, as the pounding marching song broke the silence, they took it in turns to enjoy the entirely willing object of their desire.'
Nonetheless, the existence of worse things does not mean it's not a slippery slope.