Best Of
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
To be fair, most councils of whatever hue tend to be opposed to new housing development in the area. What I find strange is the weird presumption that it is the Greens who consitite the main opposition to housebuilding when they have such relatively small numbers of councillors.Was the Tories here in Dorset... not sure if the Lib Dems are going to be any better re development tbh.I live in Sutton Coldfield. It's solid blue. The Greens have no power or representation here; all the opposition to Labour's plans for housing in the area is coming from the local Tory councillors. Take it or leave it.Love people being contrary for the sake of it.Yeah, same here, It's not the Greens resisting housing developments in my area; it's the Conservatives.New National Planning Policy looks good, /if/ it doesn’t get gutted by the Nimby lobby: https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/national-planning-policy-framework-proposed-reforms-and-other-changes-to-the-planning-systemSomeone needs to tell my local council, who seem more concerned about protecting scenery for their geriatric population
Automatic planning permission for reasonable density housing within walking distance of every train station in the land, regardless of whether it’s in the green belt, no environmental offsets for small developments any more, stopping councils from putting arbitrary restrictions on development, automatic permission for infill building on existing plots, etc etc.
No doubt the Greens are going to scream about it, but if we want to fix housing we have to build.
Without proof it’s just anecdote 👍
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
Far be it from me to query a header. But an "NEC source" - really? There's around 40 people on the NEC, mostly trade union and constituency party representatives, so it's pretty meaningless gossip.
I'd be astonished if Burnham's future path is determined by the fact he's a chap.
I'd be astonished if Burnham's future path is determined by the fact he's a chap.
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
Yeah, same here, It's not the Greens resisting housing developments in my area; it's the Conservatives.New National Planning Policy looks good, /if/ it doesn’t get gutted by the Nimby lobby: https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/national-planning-policy-framework-proposed-reforms-and-other-changes-to-the-planning-systemSomeone needs to tell my local council, who seem more concerned about protecting scenery for their geriatric population
Automatic planning permission for reasonable density housing within walking distance of every train station in the land, regardless of whether it’s in the green belt, no environmental offsets for small developments any more, stopping councils from putting arbitrary restrictions on development, automatic permission for infill building on existing plots, etc etc.
No doubt the Greens are going to scream about it, but if we want to fix housing we have to build.
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
Good decision, which I'm not sure has been reported here ?
Sydney Muslim leaders say they will refuse to perform funeral rites or receive the bodies of the Bondi shooters.
https://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/sydney-muslims-refuse-funeral-rites-for-bondi-massacre-attackers/news-story/
Sydney Muslim leaders say they will refuse to perform funeral rites or receive the bodies of the Bondi shooters.
https://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/sydney-muslims-refuse-funeral-rites-for-bondi-massacre-attackers/news-story/
Nigelb
3
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
I have a cake in the oven, which is nice.
Also, Brent crude is below $60 for the first time since early 2021. If course the Russians have to sell at a discount, although so much of their oil is floating in tablets on the ocean that it looks like they are struggling to find buyers, even at a discount.
Also, Brent crude is below $60 for the first time since early 2021. If course the Russians have to sell at a discount, although so much of their oil is floating in tablets on the ocean that it looks like they are struggling to find buyers, even at a discount.
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
If Labour do badly in next year’s Manchester City Council elections Burnham may have lost his chance of being a prospective PM.If Labour do get tonked in the locals next year, an even halfway proven winner will look more attractive, so there's that.He probably shouldn't want it (he and Manchester have been good for each other) but I think he does. Wanting isn't getting though.It's moderately interesting that Burnham didn't throw his hat into the ring with Runcorn. Better opportunities will be hard to come by. I'm not 100% convinced he wants it. Being PM is hard - even the good ones end up roundly pilloried. He's got a nice high profile job as it is made that bit more high profile by these little flirtations.On topic, I do wonder if the New Statesman journalist probed the NEC source on what the current rules on all women shortlists in Labour are?You don't need an all-woman shortlist to block Andy Burnham. You just need a shortlist without Andy Burnham on it.
These were dropped in the last Parliament because women actually made up a small majority of Labour MPs. The balance shifted in the male direction in 2024 but I understand they are being considered rather than having been formally re-introduced - it isn't clear 46% is sufficiently short of parity to justify.
The sole Parliamentary by-election of this term (Runcorn) saw a female Labour candidate... but not an all-women shortlist. By-elections pre-2019 also frequently featured male Labour candidates.
There might be a route to block Burnham here. But I'd want more detail of what it is - it seems to me that this is assertion by the anti-Burnham faction, and the New Statesman has been a bit lax in fact-checking.
Thing is, if Burnham tries this it will be clear he's coming to trigger and win a leadership contest. The question then is do the parliamentary party want one (and him)? If they do then it's all over for Starmer and he won't be able to block Burnham. His power will already have dissipated. If they don't there'll be no need to block Burnham because Burnham himself will have sussed the situation and he won't bother. He'll stay as Mr Manchester.
TLDR: Burnham either comes back with everything in place to replace Starmer as party leader and PM, or he stays put. This 'all women shortlist' business is a bit of a red herring.
IMO he's a sell at anything in single digits.
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
He is though a doubly proven loser.If Labour do get tonked in the locals next year, an even halfway proven winner will look more attractive, so there's that.He probably shouldn't want it (he and Manchester have been good for each other) but I think he does. Wanting isn't getting though.It's moderately interesting that Burnham didn't throw his hat into the ring with Runcorn. Better opportunities will be hard to come by. I'm not 100% convinced he wants it. Being PM is hard - even the good ones end up roundly pilloried. He's got a nice high profile job as it is made that bit more high profile by these little flirtations.On topic, I do wonder if the New Statesman journalist probed the NEC source on what the current rules on all women shortlists in Labour are?You don't need an all-woman shortlist to block Andy Burnham. You just need a shortlist without Andy Burnham on it.
These were dropped in the last Parliament because women actually made up a small majority of Labour MPs. The balance shifted in the male direction in 2024 but I understand they are being considered rather than having been formally re-introduced - it isn't clear 46% is sufficiently short of parity to justify.
The sole Parliamentary by-election of this term (Runcorn) saw a female Labour candidate... but not an all-women shortlist. By-elections pre-2019 also frequently featured male Labour candidates.
There might be a route to block Burnham here. But I'd want more detail of what it is - it seems to me that this is assertion by the anti-Burnham faction, and the New Statesman has been a bit lax in fact-checking.
Thing is, if Burnham tries this it will be clear he's coming to trigger and win a leadership contest. The question then is do the parliamentary party want one (and him)? If they do then it's all over for Starmer and he won't be able to block Burnham. His power will already have dissipated. If they don't there'll be no need to block Burnham because Burnham himself will have sussed the situation and he won't bother. He'll stay as Mr Manchester.
TLDR: Burnham either comes back with everything in place to replace Starmer as party leader and PM, or he stays put. This 'all women shortlist' business is a bit of a red herring.
IMO he's a sell at anything in single digits.
It's just so wildly implausible that he can somehow propel himself to power in the Labour party by basically just saying 'I'm free'.
Omnium
1
Re: It’s always the economy, stupid – politicalbetting.com
Which is why there should be no national pay agreements in the public sector. Each local organisation needs to deal with their own pay.I think it very much depends where you are. In most of Scotland public sector pay is actually substantially ahead of what the private sector is offering. So, for example, a one year qualified solicitor in the private sector will earn somewhere between £40 and £50k outside the most demanding areas. A procurator fiscal with the same qualifications will be paid £52-54K plus the extras that come from the public sector such as pension rights, more holidays, better sick pay, greater security of employment etc.add pension contributions , cushy number , conditions etc and it is the opposite.Meanwhile, this being a Labour government, UK unemployment continues to rise: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c98nqe0m008oIsn't it the case that public sector wages lag private sector wages - pay settlements tend to be based on historic rates of inflation. In fact, you can see that quite clearly here in Figure 4/5, with public sector wages well behind private sector during the post-COVID period: https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/averageweeklyearningsingreatbritain/december2025
And sometimes words just fail me:
"Annual average earnings growth was 3.9% for the private sector and 7.6% for the public sector, across the three-month period."
This is a problem for the private firms and more generally it is a real problem for the economy since the cream of the crop are tempted to the public sector where their skills are not necessarily fully utilised. This makes growing businesses in Scotland, and in other areas with depressed earnings, much more difficult and removes potential innovators or entrepreneurs from the scene.
In contrast, in more affluent areas we see the public sector really struggling to get qualified staff at all because they cannot compete with what is on offer.
The combination of these effects are to depress growth, entrepreneurship and investment in our poorer areas and to increase these in the richer ones. This is one of the major reasons so much money invested in "levelling up" , regional investment funds etc has simply not worked. Ironically, given this money is public sector driven, it can aggravate the problem rather than address it. Do you want a safe, secure, well paid job in some "enterprise company" or take your chances with a dodgy start up?
I think it is a major factor in our economic performance because we create this huge drag factor. Only existing hot spots can create the opportunities and employment needed for growth. Everywhere else the dead hand of an overheavy, over paid public sector destroys growth.
Possibly the best thing they could do is move the public sector pensions to DC scheme, but that has a significant short term cost.
As was mentioned upthread, the vast majority of public sector workers have no idea just how bad are most private-sector pensions now.
Sandpit
1
Re: Starmer once again displays his lawyerly brilliance – politicalbetting.com
Starmer really needs to fear a by-election in Angus and Perthshire Glens because it has been foretold that:
"He shall never vanquish'd be, until great Burnham would to high Dunsinane Hill come against him"
"He shall never vanquish'd be, until great Burnham would to high Dunsinane Hill come against him"


