The main reason rustbelt voters voted for Trump was precisely because their wages were low, if they were all in high paying jobs they wouldn't need to vote to rebuild US manufacturing industry would they!How much are they going to pay these new American workers to produce consumer tat ?And then employ more American workersWho are, for example, these imaginary textile manufacturers they will buy from ?Not if they buy AmericanSo Americans will be paying higher prices.AmericansChina has sold the consumer tat it produces to richer countries.It worked for China over the last few decadesAt the expense of others not by creating anything of value.Trump hasThat extra tax revenue will be paid by US consumers alongside the higher prices.So does Trump really think that tariffs will simultaneously bring in so much revenue that he can get rid of income tax plus also lead to imports being replaced by US manufacturing ?The great new rustbelt manufacturing boom and the extra tax revenue
If the imports are replaced where does the tariff revenue come from ?
You cannot get rich by producing low value added consumer tat.
That might work very well for an individual but it doesn't work for a country.
Now which countries are going to buy consumer tat which has been made at American prices ?
That might help those Americans who might be employed at new consumer tat factories but they're going to far exceeded by those Americans who will lose out.
Or electronic goods ?
You're living in a fantasy world.
Even where there is domestic manufacturing, companies will put up their prices because of the reduced competition.
Because if its not competitive compared to other jobs they wont get any workers and if they do pay competitive wages then that will increase the product price even more.
If Trump stuck to immigration and social issues he would be quite popular in other countries.How this all impacts the UK is kind of impossible to say.There's a percentage of people who like Trump in the UK of course, albeit not massive. And so far hitching to Trump has not seemed to hinder Reform too much versus the other reasons people are currently supporting them. I imagine Farage will perform some more insincere equivocations if he has to.
Reform hitching itself to Trump does not seem a wise move to me.
Tories are still the value bet IMHO.
You said:Ok, so free trade is detached from reality, but yerman Trump is I assume connected with it?Think through the implications of your third point. We have a comprehensive zero-tariff and zero-quota TCA with the EU that goes beyond most free trade agreements in existence globally, but now you imagine that the rest of the world will somehow suddenly agree to go well beyond that and exclude us? It's detached from reality.1. An awful lot of people are talking about creating something newWe’re at risk here of the world pulling together a notAmerica free trade zone and the UK not being part of itThis is an absurd fantasy. There isn't a NotAmerica free trade zone, and we're already part of the CPTPP and have a free trade zone with the EU.
2. CPTPP means what - that we can’t do anything else? Anyone told China and Japan?
3. We don’t have free trade with the EU. We have a long swathe of tariffs and longer swathes of paperwork even when the tariff rate is zero.
I know that this is a very tough time for you. Thoughts and prayers and all that
You are ramping a trade deal you don’t understand for political reasons. All of us who actually trade have described in detail how it isn’t free and people like you call us liars. I live here and import. You live over there and don’t.
There is genuine free trade inside the EEA. We can expand that. And global leaders - literally global as they’re saying it across the globe - want to do this.
Again, we all have you in our thoughts in this Hard Time for you. But that doesn’t change the simple reality that you’re now shilling for Trump which means shilling for Putin which means you know what for Ukraine.
We’re at risk here of the world pulling together a notAmerica free trade zone and the UK not being part of itPutting this together with your thoughts on how the UK-EU TCA isn't free trade, then I have to assume you are picturing something like a global single market excluding the UK and US. It's just not happening.
And there's the problem. We're supposed to just accept the French doing what the French do.Nope but I think they are mainly national security ones (and food because well the French founded the EU)Are all of the EU tariffs protecting fledgling industries? (genuine question)If tariffs are so awful why haven't other nations (And supranational blocks such as the EU) done away with them all ?Because economic theory allows for tariffs in certain limited circumstances. When you are protecting infant industries (which America's aren't), when there are industries crucial to non-economic purposes like national security (which these general tariffs don't pretend to protect) and when there are increasing returns to scale (ditto), there is some argument for them.
Also, politically, powerful lobby groups like farmers and carmakers that benefit hugely from them can influence cowardly or ignorant politicians.
The pillock-in-a-pond quite clearly has zero knowledge of what the current trading arrangements are and what new ones are possible or even desirable. Should we give proto-fascist and Russian oil-guzzler Modi whatever he wants (which seems to be a huge deal on visas) because we're incensed by Trump’s 10% tariff? India has an average tariff rate of 17%!1. An awful lot of people are talking about creating something newWe’re at risk here of the world pulling together a notAmerica free trade zone and the UK not being part of itThis is an absurd fantasy. There isn't a NotAmerica free trade zone, and we're already part of the CPTPP and have a free trade zone with the EU.
2. CPTPP means what - that we can’t do anything else? Anyone told China and Japan?
3. We don’t have free trade with the EU. We have a long swathe of tariffs and longer swathes of paperwork even when the tariff rate is zero.
I know that this is a very tough time for you. Thoughts and prayers and all that
Are all of the EU tariffs protecting fledgling industries? (genuine question)If tariffs are so awful why haven't other nations (And supranational blocks such as the EU) done away with them all ?Because economic theory allows for tariffs in certain limited circumstances. When you are protecting infant industries (which America's aren't), when there are industries crucial to non-economic purposes like national security (which these general tariffs don't pretend to protect) and when there are increasing returns to scale (ditto), there is some argument for them.
Also, politically, powerful lobby groups like farmers and carmakers that benefit hugely from them can influence cowardly or ignorant politicians.
Tory MP for neighbouring seat to Runcorn & Helsby calls for Tories to stand back and allow Reform to win the seat.She's right from 2 perspectives.
"Tories should let Reform win Runcorn by-election, says Esther McVey
Former Cabinet minister proposes that Conservatives should ‘stay out the way’ of a victory for Nigel Farage’s party" (£)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/04/02/tories-let-reform-win-runcorn-byelection-esther-mcvey/
@jurgen_naudittTrump has done more to fix inequality than Labour.
Meanwhile, the US stock market has lost over $2 trillion in the last 20 minutes.
https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1907540913431183666
We’re at risk here of the world pulling together a notAmerica free trade zone and the UK not being part of itThis is an absurd fantasy. There isn't a NotAmerica free trade zone, and we're already part of the CPTPP and have a free trade zone with the EU.
I don't think it really matters whether other countries apply any retaliatory tariffs as there are going to be consumer boycotts over much of the world against anything 'Made in the USA'.Would that be in between us forcing school children to watch drama from USA-owned subscription platforms?