Best Of
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
Which current cabinet members should be excluded from Burnham's?
Hermer is top of my list
Reeves, R
Reeves, E (the entire department needs replacing)
Jones
Reed
Alexander, H
Lammy
McFadden
Phillipson
Murray
Kendall
Nandy
Miliband
The lack of real talent round the table is scary. Very poor communicators along with their other flaws
It really does need to be a major cull.
Hermer is top of my list
Reeves, R
Reeves, E (the entire department needs replacing)
Jones
Reed
Alexander, H
Lammy
McFadden
Phillipson
Murray
Kendall
Nandy
Miliband
The lack of real talent round the table is scary. Very poor communicators along with their other flaws
It really does need to be a major cull.
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
I wonder if it’s worth considering if one David M will consider a return in some form under PM Burnham.
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
A number of people were decrying the idea of cracking down on Community Feedback in Northern Ireland. Because the Peace Process is a delicate flower.What are you trying to imply here? I don’t think Theuniondivvie or any other PBer as ever excused terrorism in this way.Presumably Sir Keir was too distracted to call a COBRA meeting.It’s not racist violence, it’s Community Feedback From The Peace Process.
Man charged with five counts of attempted murder linked to terrorism, after alleged anti-Muslim attacks in Edinburgh
https://x.com/bbcbreaking/status/2069122166793150875?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Don’t you like peace?
Surely the same moral calculus applies here?
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
If I'm ever homeless I want Norway prison.The US recidivism rate is actually about average, Norway, Singapore and South Korea the bestIt is a very short term saving to economise on prisons by making them "an expensive way of making bad people worse" in the words of Douglas Hurd. These convicts have a very high rate of recidivism so as well as the social and financial chaos from their repeat offending, they are soon back in prison and costing £40 000 a year, until their next release, next crime spree etc.Ideally no. But good luck with getting prisons to the top of the pile of those screaming for more money. In Scotland our solution is to let people out after ever shorter parts of their sentence. I had a death by dangerous driving case last week. The man, a foreign national, got 45 months. Of which he would normally serve about 40%. But in fact he is more likely to qualify for a tag on less than half of that. So a 45 month sentence may well turn out to be less than 45 weeks.Well obviously so. But should prisons also be rat infested, understaffed, and full of drugs?One of the major problems with our prisons is that many of those who end up there are not very nice people. They are selfish, greedy, arrogant, all too often suffering from personality disorders, violent and not entirely honest. Locking them up together in a confined space is highly problematic from a risk assessment point of view.The underlying issue is the state doesn’t give a fuck about the incarcerated. .Yes, our prisons are truly disgusting. It is hard to see how anyone comes out a better person.
IMO everyone held against their will should be safe. Properly safe. Safer than on the streets. The above discussion accepts that prisoners will be unsafe.
If people were safe when institutionalised, the approach to trans etc could be more positive.
(. They should have a vote too. )
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jun/22/rats-children-prisons-incarceration-ferrets?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
And the prisons are still overcrowded and dangerous.
There is very little relationship between incarceration rates and reducing crime. America has 25% of the worlds prison polulation but isn't noted for its civil peace, while many European countries have incarceration rates of half ours, but ofyen lower rates of crime.
Properly funded prisons with an emphasis on rehabilitation, drug treatment, alternatives to violence programmes and education are very likely to pay dividends in both criminal justice and social peace.
It is the same problem in my
business. The work upstream to
maintain health rather than try to salvage something from the wreckage is also good value, though less of a photo-op for politicians.
"Recidivism Rates by Country 2026" https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/recidivism-rates-by-country
Monkeys
1
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
The last thing Farage actually wants is a GE.It doesn't matter when the general election comes, Reform will not be ready.
No way are Reform ready.
Properly selecting and training candidates plus formulating coherent policies are not things Farage and his lackies can be bothered to do.
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
People say Burnham offers hope.It's too soon to say for sure, but what I hope for is a progressive strategy. Starmer turned out to be all about tactics, with no detectable long-term objectives. Burnham, potentially, offers a more systematic approach. I'm intrigued, too, in his genuine interest in devolution, which isn't something that has really gone beyond casual slogans under successive PMs.
But what does "offering hope" actually mean?
It seems to me that it is nothing more than elaborate talk for the purpose of entertaining people.
It contains nothing whatsoever of substance.
But the thing is that it does give quite a few people what they want - because many people just want to be entertained.
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
Streeting would be the best choice because he’d represent a decisive break with Starmer.Miliband is by far the best qualified of the three to be Chancellor of the Exchequer. He worked at the Treasury and was effectively Gordon Brown's right hand man when he was CoE. There's a political dimension but knowing something about economics and government finance should count as well.
Ed M is too divisive even though I like him personally.
2
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/2069169730976354643Split the difference and have them all, like a three headed Cerberus Chancellor, or something. Shabanawesed Milibandmahmoodeeting.
NEW: Andy Burnham is choosing between Ed Miliband, Wes Streeting and Shabana Mahmood to become his Chancellor
[@thetimes]
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
People say Burnham offers hope.It is about being positive, rather than simply against things, as @NickPalmer was saying the other day.
But what does "offering hope" actually mean?
It seems to me that it is nothing more than elaborate talk for the purpose of entertaining people.
It contains nothing whatsoever of substance.
But the thing is that it does give quite a few people what they want - because many people just want to be entertained.
Most contemporary politicians are noted for what they oppose, and certainly relentless negative campaigning works as a political strategy. It does rather rot the national soul, and leads to things like Starmer, elected for what he is not, rather than what he is (or was).
It is rare for politicians to exude positivity and optimism in a credible way. Tony Blair did, Johnson did, Polanski often does, and now Burnham does. Lets see if it works.
Foxy
3
Re: Quite The Victory – politicalbetting.com
People say Burnham offers hope.It's not necessarily meaningless. Believing that the person in charge might have a clue about what needs to be done and how to go about doing it would be a reason to be hopeful that goes beyond just being entertained.
But what does "offering hope" actually mean?
It seems to me that it is nothing more than elaborate talk for the purpose of entertaining people.
It contains nothing whatsoever of substance.
But the thing is that it does give quite a few people what they want - because many people just want to be entertained.




