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Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
I thought of thisEugh, people claiming to own an "apartment" in this country will be first up against the wall come my revolution.I work in Manchester and still own an apartment in Manchester.As somebody who has a vote in the Greater Manchester mayoral election I have noticed a lot of Labour adverts about this in the last few days on my social media accounts.I thought you lived in Sheffield - how come you get a vote in Manchester?
I blame the private schooling.

Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
Streeting if he launches a leadership contest would certainly help Burnham assuming he wins the by election tomorrow and is eligible to run. As Burnham has said he will join a leadership challenge but not directly that he would challenge Starmer. Starmer has also made clear he would contest a leadership contest and it is different to the situation Brady was in as under Tory rules now a simple VONC can remove a leader but under Labour leadership rules a full leadership challenge and election is needed (indeed before the rules were changed under Hague even Thatcher contested the first round of the 1990 leadership election). Corbyn of course survived a 2016 leadership contest against Owen Smith even though most Labour MPs nominated his opponent. Starmer would also beat Streeting most likely and would hope to get some of his preferences against more leftwing BurnhamIf Streeting had the nominations wouldn't he have used them before Burnham was eligible? Suspect its all talk from him.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/2067147705063764360
Reform’s lead drops slightly to 7 this week. While the Greens drop to 9% - their lowest this year.
➡️ REF UK 29 (-1)
🌹 LAB 22% (+2)
🌳 CON 21% (+1)
🔶 LIB DEM 13% (+1)
🌍 GREEN 9% (-2)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
Reform’s lead drops slightly to 7 this week. While the Greens drop to 9% - their lowest this year.
➡️ REF UK 29 (-1)
🌹 LAB 22% (+2)
🌳 CON 21% (+1)
🔶 LIB DEM 13% (+1)
🌍 GREEN 9% (-2)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)
Re: This is the polling Andy Burnham has to change – politicalbetting.com
Have you thought about writing for the Telegraph? Such succinct prose.I see the MoD have decided to play down the Frigate incident.Is it any wonder, all the morons clutching their pearls at fact that a Russian frigate fired a few blanks to save a pair of doddery English retirees, who had ignored all signals up to then, from getting run over.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
Twitter is full of “Reform” accounts that are based in Nigeria.
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
Morning all 
After yesterday's 50/1 boilover in the Queen Anne, most of the bookies willnow have their winter holidays sorted.
On to day two and the quality falls off after a stellar opening day - I think the Ascot programme needs more balance and in truth (and I know it'll get me a one way trip to the Tower and not on the District Line), there's not really five days worth of quality - it should go back to four days and have the huge handicaps on a special Heath meeting on the Saturday.
MY view and as always I'll be in a minority of one.
Today's selections:
Queen Mary: RUIZA (each way)
Queen's Vase: POINT OF LAW
Duke of Cambridge: CATALONIA DELCARPIO
Prince of Wales: ALMAQAM
After yesterday's 50/1 boilover in the Queen Anne, most of the bookies willnow have their winter holidays sorted.
On to day two and the quality falls off after a stellar opening day - I think the Ascot programme needs more balance and in truth (and I know it'll get me a one way trip to the Tower and not on the District Line), there's not really five days worth of quality - it should go back to four days and have the huge handicaps on a special Heath meeting on the Saturday.
MY view and as always I'll be in a minority of one.
Today's selections:
Queen Mary: RUIZA (each way)
Queen's Vase: POINT OF LAW
Duke of Cambridge: CATALONIA DELCARPIO
Prince of Wales: ALMAQAM
2
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
Morning allI had the kudos of a 25th finish yesterday, I thought they stopped counting long before that.
After yesterday's 50/1 boilover in the Queen Anne, most of the bookies willnow have their winter holidays sorted.
On to day two and the quality falls off after a stellar opening day - I think the Ascot programme needs more balance and in truth (and I know it'll get me a one way trip to the Tower and not on the District Line), there's not really five days worth of quality - it should go back to four days and have the huge handicaps on a special Heath meeting on the Saturday.
MY view and as always I'll be in a minority of one.
Today's selections:
Queen Mary: RUIZA (each way)
Queen's Vase: POINT OF LAW
Duke of Cambridge: CATALONIA DELCARPIO
Prince of Wales: ALMAQAM
Re: This is the polling Andy Burnham has to change – politicalbetting.com
If Streeting does not have the numbers then he can't challenge, by definition.Streeting doesn't have the numbers, particularly if Starmer defends his position, he's desperately trying to resurrect his career after flushing it down the toilet.Streeting makes clear he will challenge Starmer next week, if Burnham wins and Starmer doesn't decide to resign over the weekend.If Streeting has enough followers to challenge for the leadership then Burnham (assuming he wins) will need to give him a substantial role, for party management reasons if nothing else. The opposite also applies.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gyeg2207yo
He's doing Burnham a big favour both in wielding the knife, and immediately precipitating the contest, as Burnham now has no need to worry about the timing or the optics of making the challenge himself.
I wonder if there's any coordination and/or if he's expecting something in return ?
Re: This is the polling Andy Burnham has to change – politicalbetting.com
Pleasing to see that you have included engineers on that list.Only about 10% of pupils will ever achieve the academic potential needed to become doctors, lawyers, accountants, bankers, academics, company executives, engineers etc. 40% might do some form of middle class office/admin work or become a middle manager or teacher or nurse or police officer, the rest will do a bluecollar job of some form with a few unemployed.Strangely enough, they were quite a disappointment (myself included). The poshest of posh boys became a big cheese on Wall Street and later in life achieved his own pre- bankruptcy notice in the London Gazette.And many of the A stream became doctors, lawyers, academics, business leaders etcAt my small market town those who failed the 11 plus went to the secondary modern with an expectation they could work on a farm, on the line at the jam factors or at Chapman's stationary products. At secondary year 4 the classes were split at the Grammar school into an A and a B stream with the B stream doing CSEs and the A stream doing O levels. The B stream were often referred to by dyed in the wool grammar school staff who swept around the place in their moth eaten gowns as "less able" students. The expectation was they could work on a farm, on the line at the jam factory or at Chapman's stationary* products.You are more likely to go to a top university from grammar school regardless of your background because grammar schools only let in people who are likely to go to a top university. A system that divides children into academic successes and failures at 11 will always favour children whose parents understand the system, ie the pushy middle classes. Not that I am criticizing the pushy middle classes, they are the people this country's prosperity largely rests on!You are more likely to get into Oxbridge or a Russell Group university or law and medicine from a grammar than most comps and academies if you are from a working class or lower middle class background. Comprehensives/academies are largely secondary moderns anyway unless from the leafiest middle class suburb or prosperous town and plenty of high schools in selective areas do OKThey are the best way of letting pushy middle class parents game the system while leaving most kids to rot in under-resourced secondary moderns.Yes and I have no problem with selective schools at all, they are the best way for bright children from working class or lower middle class backgrounds to get to a top university and top professional or managerial careerThat is unsurprising as they are selective. If you only let in the most academically gifted students then you will tend to have a lot going on to top universities and academically challenging courses. It doesn't necessarily tell you anything about the quality of the school.Grammar schools were and still are where they exist the only state schools which really tend to challenge the top private schools on Oxbridge entry and admission to the top professions like law and medicineParents could own their own grammar schools?Rather sadly, the job you achieve in life (barring things like ill-health, accidents and wrongful imprisonment) is largely down to your own efforts and character: character is destiny and a' that. So the public school debate is a non-sequitur.No, as May discovered that is political suicide as far more voters own houses or have parents who own houses than attend public schools.
What is the problem, and it's going to get much worse when the boomers die, is the money and inheritance that wealthy parents gift their children. You can be very, very stupid but if you had wealthy parents you are not going to die in a council house, even if you deserve it.
So if Labour really wanted to increase class mobility, they'd tax houses not public schools.
The biggest increases in social mobility in the last 100 years (bar the expansion of white collar office jobs after WW2) arguably came from Thatcher's sale of council homes so more could own their own homes and grammar schools, Labour of course opposed both
Impressive.
*Customer asks a W H Smith Saturday girl; "do you keep stationary". "No" replies the girl, "my boyfriend likes me to writhe like a wild animal".
I think you missed my key point. All the secondary kids and half the grammar school kids didn't necessarily achieve their full academic potential. That is not a success story for me.
The grammar schools at least ensured a fair number of their pupils got into that top 10%
Thank you!
Re: Wes Streeting could be about to do Andy Burnham a huge favour – politicalbetting.com
New: Starmer starts rolling the pitch with his main argument against an immediate leadership contest - saying Burnham should help with the mayoral byelection.
He tells me: "We're immediately tipped into a Manchester mayoral contest by-election, one of the biggest by-elections that we've ever fought, because of the scale of it.
"And it's really important to my mind that the whole of the Labour Party and Labour movement focuses on that, which is the next most immediate task.
"I don't think there should be a challenge. I think history, particularly the last government, shows that that isn't a successful way for a government to behave. But if there is a challenge, then I intend to fight.
"I'm not going to walk away from that, and I've been clear and consistent about that."
https://x.com/breeallegretti/status/2067148730118074847
He tells me: "We're immediately tipped into a Manchester mayoral contest by-election, one of the biggest by-elections that we've ever fought, because of the scale of it.
"And it's really important to my mind that the whole of the Labour Party and Labour movement focuses on that, which is the next most immediate task.
"I don't think there should be a challenge. I think history, particularly the last government, shows that that isn't a successful way for a government to behave. But if there is a challenge, then I intend to fight.
"I'm not going to walk away from that, and I've been clear and consistent about that."
https://x.com/breeallegretti/status/2067148730118074847



