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Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
No-one, literally no-one is going to be an excellent PM in these conditions. An adequate one is realistically hard to find.The media and many Labour MPs might end up reading too much into a clear Burnham victory .The result makes no difference at all to the most interesting question for the country, more or less never asked: What are the compelling reasons for the belief that Burnham will be an excellent PM in each respect that excellence is required?
The circumstances are unique and should be viewed with that in mind .
The evidence is he will be far better than Starmer at comms and a bit worse on delivery. Probably a small win for the Labour party and a small loss for the country.
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
Another part of the DIP about to go tits up ?
Non-committal answer from @LukePollard
re Precision Strike Missile, which had been seen as at the heart of the @BritishArmy deep fires modernisation. I hear that a combination of massively escalating costs, as well as no guaranteed delivery slots has made PrSM really unattractive..
https://x.com/FTusa284/status/2067237007588208695
Relying on Lockheed to deliver on time and on budget isn't really a plan.
Non-committal answer from @LukePollard
re Precision Strike Missile, which had been seen as at the heart of the @BritishArmy deep fires modernisation. I hear that a combination of massively escalating costs, as well as no guaranteed delivery slots has made PrSM really unattractive..
https://x.com/FTusa284/status/2067237007588208695
Relying on Lockheed to deliver on time and on budget isn't really a plan.
Nigelb
1
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
Why are the media trying to analyse Trump's deal with Iran ?
The chances of either side keeping their word is minimal in the medium term and zero in the long term.
The chances of either side keeping their word is minimal in the medium term and zero in the long term.
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
They range from boringly normal to Fucked In Da Head.Relative of mine did that. Dealt with the various bombs and devices. Got a medal for it. How he managed to have the coolness to do it we can't work out but we're glad he did and survived.OKaWell, then, try to express yourself more clearly!Which is exactly wrong - I think the Peace Process can survive more law enforcement. And without law enforcement it isn’t a peace process. Just giving criminals control.But most people think that's not the case and we could have a bit more law enforcement without any jeopardy to the peace process. Whereas you appear to think that the entire peace process was a mistake.Which is the kind of reasoning that has been used to avoid dealing with gangsters running the streets.I added provisos but I stand by my evaluation.So race riots are an acceptable price?Yes it is with some reasonably obvious caveats. Would you want to return to the car bombs exploding outside the Europa Hotel every five minutes?On the riots in Belfast and the failure to tackle Loyalist groups: https://www.thehandbasket.co/p/elon-musk-belfast-pogrom-lee-hurleyBut the Peace Process is so wonderful!
Or should we risk a certain amount of disorder to clamp down on criminal behaviour?
Perfect is the enemy of good.
The belief that any kind of law enforcement against them “risks the peace process”
It’s the governments in London, Dublin and Stormont who don’t agree with that.
Let’s fix the Peace Process
Now Work with veterans, a lot of whom were in NI. And after all this time, the mental scars are still there. God knows what the average person in NI is like, if the veterans are like they are.
Mainly a function of how close they were to events.
Most people saw nothing apart from a few riots and army patrols. And those were in specific areas.
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
Ummm..Indeed it has been admitted so. Liked by a number of newly elected Wigan councillors.
This appears to be real…?
A sign of the crazy times is many people automatically believed it was AI.
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
Pollsters finding it very difficult to find people who voted Reform in 2024.
Maybe Sandy's dream was clairvoyant?*
*He reported having dreamt Burnham on 60%+.
Maybe Sandy's dream was clairvoyant?*
*He reported having dreamt Burnham on 60%+.
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
It seems to me that a lot fewer people than usual are flying England flags for football purposes both on houses, pubs etc and in cars. (North Cumberland.) Is this true more generally?You've got to hold and give, but do it at the right time
You can be slow or fast, but you must get to the line
They'll always hit you and hurt you, defend and attack
There's only one way to beat them, get round the back
Catch me if you can, cause I'm the England man
And what you're looking at is the master plan
We ain't no hooligans, this ain't a football song
Three lions on my chest, I know we can't go wrong
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
He's gonna get a lot of tickets waiting there until mid July.Our Gails doesn't open until mid-July!This was outside Gails presumably?
Quota, in deepest LibDemShire.
I feel all Emily Thornberry.
Re: Why the polls might be underestimating Burnham – politicalbetting.com
Chris Mason on 6 o clock news saying Rob the plumber winning Makerfield sends Labour into a (death?) spiral.








