Best Of
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
Healey’s letter. Both barrels at the PM.Your daily reminder that Labour/Starmer is, in fact, "ending the chaos"...
https://x.com/johnhealey_mp/status/2065028766540145140
GIN1138
2
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/shippersunbound/status/2065042502344745138
Given the subject matter and comparing it to the psychodrama that often governs cabinet resignations, Healey's decision to quit feels like the most consequential departure of the last 25 years
Given the subject matter and comparing it to the psychodrama that often governs cabinet resignations, Healey's decision to quit feels like the most consequential departure of the last 25 years
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
Really enjoying Khan telling people in Soho to piss off with their sound complaints.
https://x.com/mayoroflondon/status/2064951696732635447?s=46
https://x.com/mayoroflondon/status/2064951696732635447?s=46
Eabhal
3
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
John Healey deserves enormous credit for putting our defence first and Starmer and Reeves should be the ones to goNot exactly enormous credit.
Labour could do worse than make him their leader
He was the SecDef who thought that 2.5% of GDP would be sufficient, until it obviously wasn't.
But he deserves some credit for recognising the obvious.
The other point against him is that it's been nearly a year since the defence review, and it's taken him all that time to fail to make his case with the Treasury. If you're kicking out one leader for delay and muddle, he's hardly the guy to replace him.
Nigelb
3
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
And an excellent motive for resigning, even if it's fake. Total plausible deniability.Savage and he’s not one of the usual suspectsWell said John Healey.Wow. Starmer and Reeves are finished.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/06/11/john-healey-resigns-as-defence-secretary-labour-starmer/
John Healey has resigned as defence secretary over Sir Keir Starmer’s defence investment plan (DIP).
He has accused the Prime Minister of failing to “meet the moment” over his long-delayed proposal to boost the military.
Sir Keir is expected to set out details of the plan as soon as tomorrow, but it is thought to have been watered down following a row between No 10, the Ministry of Defence and the Treasury.
In a letter to Sir Keir, Mr Healey said the defence investment plan “falls well short of what is required for defence and the country at a dangerous time”.
He added: “Without a DIP that meets the moment in this way, I am being forced to make decisions that would reduce the readiness of our Forces and increase the risk to personnel on operations, and could make the country less safe.”
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
Why AI output is getting dumber.I said here that this would happen many months ago. Sorry to gratuitously advertise my own foresight, but if I don't nobody else will.
Paper published in Nature, by Oxford, Cambs, Imperial researchers.
https://x.com/heynavtoor/status/2064797676475187520
You have noticed it. ChatGPT feels dumber than it used to. Your prompts that worked six months ago produce worse results now. The writing sounds flatter. The ideas sound safer. The internet itself feels like it is shrinking. Every article reads the same. Every email sounds the same. Every answer sounds like it was written by the same voice.
You thought it was you. It is not you.
Researchers at Oxford and Cambridge published a paper in Nature proving what is happening. They call it Model Collapse.
Here is the mechanism in one sentence. AI trained on AI-generated data gets dumber every generation until it forgets what real human data looked like.
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
Solar generates more energy in US than coal for first time
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jun/11/solar-energy-us-coal
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jun/11/solar-energy-us-coal
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
Achtung all you Sammstisch Admiräle! There is a semi-lucid article in the NYT comparing the SMO to WW1.Except that the Russians never actually took Pokrovsk. They sent two commandos to raise a flag and take photos for Putin to put on his press releases, but they never actually took the city despite several months of fighting around it, with tens of thousands of dead Russian soldiers.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/11/world/europe/ukraine-russia-world-war-i.html
The most interesting stat is that when the Russians took Povrovsk, they did it at 75m per day which was slower than the Somme.
Sandpit
1
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
I think it's hard to say, what we do know is that using bunch of bots to produce clickbait and boost clickbait produced by other people is something that has been done very frequently by various people, and seems to have really good ROI. This doesn't contradict the fact that people are also inclined to like this stuff organically, they target messages that people will like.https://www.npr.org/2026/06/10/nx-s1-5844328/us-china-data-centers-foreign-influenceChina isn't funding a thing, there are enough NIMBYs hating them without being paid.
The theory taking the rich by storm: China funds data center haters
It's nice to think that everyone with an agenda you dislike is being paid but reality is most of the time people simply like things as they are..
What we know about AI datacenters is that there's very strong opposition to them based mainly on something that's totally fake (water usage). We also know that people are often using AI to make viral images to get people mad about AI.
Re: Private polling klaxon – politicalbetting.com
The Russians cutting cables and pipelines isn't a short term threat to Britain?What are the odds on Healy for the leadership?I like John, but doubt if anyone campaigning on a "spend more on defence" ticket would get more than 10% of the vote of Labour members. It's a perfectly understandable decision for a Defence Secretary, but with no short-term threat to Britain visible it'd be a mistake IMO to prioritise a leap in defence spending, at a time when money is exceptionally short.
Doubt he's win but if you bet at long odds, you might do well to trading it.
Peter.
Besides which, defence spending is about long term decision making.



